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Mike Jones

BNZ's Chief Economist expects the housing market to remain flattish in the first half of this year then pick up in the second half
11th Mar 24, 3:15pm
34
BNZ's Chief Economist expects the housing market to remain flattish in the first half of this year then pick up in the second half
A gaping infrastructure deficit and a growing population will pose a challenge to the incoming National-led government
16th Nov 23, 5:00am
108
A gaping infrastructure deficit and a growing population will pose a challenge to the incoming National-led government
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says the currently wide cost gap between building and buying a house should reduce, but much of this is expected to come via higher house prices
30th Oct 23, 1:50pm
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BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says the currently wide cost gap between building and buying a house should reduce, but much of this is expected to come via higher house prices
We asked twenty economists how they would define a recession in New Zealand
24th Sep 23, 6:00am
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We asked twenty economists how they would define a recession in New Zealand
BNZ chief economist estimates the average annual expense associated with buying the median NZ home currently exceeds the cost of renting by just over $38,000 a year
19th Sep 23, 11:46am
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BNZ chief economist estimates the average annual expense associated with buying the median NZ home currently exceeds the cost of renting by just over $38,000 a year
BNZ economists had expected continued improvement in housing affordability but now say any improvement next year will be 'glacial' and affordability will start to deteriorate again in 2025
5th Sep 23, 9:52am
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BNZ economists had expected continued improvement in housing affordability but now say any improvement next year will be 'glacial' and affordability will start to deteriorate again in 2025
China's economic slowdown could put added pressure on New Zealand's regional economies
22nd Aug 23, 6:14pm
17
China's economic slowdown could put added pressure on New Zealand's regional economies
If the economy develops as expected, with very weak economic activity and falling inflation, then 'we should start talking more about rate cuts as we head into next year', Kiwibank economists say
22nd Aug 23, 11:34am
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If the economy develops as expected, with very weak economic activity and falling inflation, then 'we should start talking more about rate cuts as we head into next year', Kiwibank economists say
BNZ economists say if they are right about the housing market having bottomed then prices will be levelling out around 20% above pre-pandemic levels
7th Jun 23, 10:51am
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BNZ economists say if they are right about the housing market having bottomed then prices will be levelling out around 20% above pre-pandemic levels
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones thinks the RBNZ has made progress bringing the runaway economy back under control
28th Apr 23, 12:36pm
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BNZ chief economist Mike Jones thinks the RBNZ has made progress bringing the runaway economy back under control
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says significant mortgage rate relief is unlikely this year and he's 'not confident' the housing market can 'right itself' till it is clear mortgage rates have stopped rising
6th Mar 23, 10:05am
16
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says significant mortgage rate relief is unlikely this year and he's 'not confident' the housing market can 'right itself' till it is clear mortgage rates have stopped rising
[updated]
The downbeat results from the ANZ Business Outlook survey suggest that the RBNZ may have to rethink its OCR hiking plan, according to BNZ economists
31st May 22, 1:24pm
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The downbeat results from the ANZ Business Outlook survey suggest that the RBNZ may have to rethink its OCR hiking plan, according to BNZ economists
[updated]
Reserve Bank sees OCR being as high as 3.9% by June next year
25th May 22, 2:09pm
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Reserve Bank sees OCR being as high as 3.9% by June next year
Bank economists agree the RBNZ will lift the OCR by 50 basis points to 2% on Wednesday, so what else are they focusing on?
21st May 22, 9:05am
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Bank economists agree the RBNZ will lift the OCR by 50 basis points to 2% on Wednesday, so what else are they focusing on?
ASB economists say last week's 'big lift' in wholesale interest rates added to the upside pressure on mortgage rates
11th Apr 22, 2:21pm
107
ASB economists say last week's 'big lift' in wholesale interest rates added to the upside pressure on mortgage rates
Latest ASB Housing Confidence Survey shows respondents at odds with ASB's economists over the direction of house prices
6th Dec 21, 5:00am
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Latest ASB Housing Confidence Survey shows respondents at odds with ASB's economists over the direction of house prices
Economists at three of the four largest banks now see house prices dropping in 2022
1st Dec 21, 1:49pm
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Economists at three of the four largest banks now see house prices dropping in 2022
ASB economists say the Reserve Bank 'should consider' starting lifting interest rates with a 50 basis-point rise and say the central bank could use interest rates to 'douse the housing market'
9th Aug 21, 12:56pm
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ASB economists say the Reserve Bank 'should consider' starting lifting interest rates with a 50 basis-point rise and say the central bank could use interest rates to 'douse the housing market'
ASB economists say even though debt burdens have increased, households should be able to tolerate reasonable increases in mortgage rates without budgets becoming unduly stressed
29th Jun 21, 1:53pm
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ASB economists say even though debt burdens have increased, households should be able to tolerate reasonable increases in mortgage rates without budgets becoming unduly stressed
ASB economists see single figure house price inflation by the end of next year; rents are now running hot in tandem with house prices
10th Mar 21, 11:26am
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ASB economists see single figure house price inflation by the end of next year; rents are now running hot in tandem with house prices
The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
3rd Feb 21, 3:24pm
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The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped to 4.9% in the December quarter from 5.3%; economists had universally expected unemployment to rise
3rd Feb 21, 11:02am
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Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped to 4.9% in the December quarter from 5.3%; economists had universally expected unemployment to rise
Economists think the unemployment rate will show a discernible lift for the September quarter, but the figures are not likely to be as bad as was being forecast earlier in the year
2nd Nov 20, 10:16am
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Economists think the unemployment rate will show a discernible lift for the September quarter, but the figures are not likely to be as bad as was being forecast earlier in the year
ASB economists say a much more severe shortage of housing than earlier thought is a key reason for rocketing house prices; 11% house price inflation forecast for June 2021 year
14th Oct 20, 9:23am
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ASB economists say a much more severe shortage of housing than earlier thought is a key reason for rocketing house prices; 11% house price inflation forecast for June 2021 year
Economists flag potential for quantitative easing to reach its limit if government spending and debt issuance end up being lower than forecast
11th Aug 20, 5:00am
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Economists flag potential for quantitative easing to reach its limit if government spending and debt issuance end up being lower than forecast