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Have your say: Opposition sets up bank profit inquiry (Update 2)
The three opposition parties in parliament, Labour, the Greens, and the Progressives, announced they would set up the "equivalent" of a parliamentary inquiry into bank profits to try and discover whether customers are "getting a fair go or not" by banks in New Zealand. (Updated with comments from NZMEA supporting the inquiry) "Kiwis believe they are paying higher interest rates than they should be paying. Banks believe interest costs are justified. The facts should be put on the table fairly and openly so that people can see whether they are receiving a fair deal," Labour Finance spokesman David Cunliffe said. Cunliffe has repeatedly called for an investigation into the profits made by New Zealand's four Australian-owned banks, and their interest rate margins through the recession following the Finance and Expenditure Committee's report in June which slammed the Australian-owned banks for not passing on the 50 basis point cut in the Official Cash Rate on April 30 to short term mortgage rates. Cunliffe said they will write to all parties asking them to participate in the inquiry, and that a letter had been sent to Speaker Lockwood Smith for "appropriate parliamentary logistical support." A website has been set up for the inquiry at http://www.bankinquiry.org.nz/home. Cunliffe told interest.co.nz in an interview that he had spoken to RBNZ Governor Alan Bollard to see if he would participate in the inquiry, but that Bollard's involvement would be a decision for the Finance Minister Bill English.
The MPs behind the inquiry had yet to meet to sort out of the details, but it was envisaged the inquiry would take place in July and August. He said it would not have the usual select committee powers to subpeona people for submissions, but he hoped it could be held in Parliament's committee rooms. The inquiry could potentially look at business lending, credit card lending and variable mortgage rates, but would not look at the tax issue, which was subject to court deliberation and too complex for Parliament, he said. Earlier Prime Minister John Key was quoted as saying in the NZ Herald that he wanted ideas from the Reserve Bank to break the impasse and an inquiry was pointless.
"We have an impasse now. If there is something that should be done, let's act. We don't need another inquiry, let's do something about it. But to do something about it, we need some suggestions."
English was quoted as saying the inquiry was more of a meeting of the opposition than an inquiry.
"This discussion is more about politics than it is about the economy."
What do you think? Will this equivalent inquiry achieve anything, or just lead to a lot of hot air? What needs to happen for the inquiry to be successful and have an impact on how the banks operate? We welcome your comments below. Here is the full statement from Cunliffe:
The Labour Party, the Greens and the Progressives will hold the equivalent of a parliamentary select committee inquiry into bank profits, says Labour finance spokesperson David Cunliffe. "Kiwis believe they are paying higher interest rates than they should be paying. Banks believe interest costs are justified. The facts should be put on the table fairly and openly so that people can see whether they are receiving a fair deal." David Cunliffe said Labour and the Greens were disappointed that the Finance and Expenditure Select Committee had decided not to proceed with its own inquiry despite the view of Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard that banks have set their interests higher than needed. The inquiry being announced today would have a similar primary focus as that originally agreed by the select committee, he said. "It will be an inquiry into the relationship between the Official Cash Rate and short term interest rates, in the context of matters raised by the Finance and Expenditure Committee in its report on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's financial stability report." David Cunliffe said Labour and the Greens wanted the inquiry to be cross-party, he said. "We are writing to the leaders of all parties in Parliament asking them to participate. We have also written to a cross-section of New Zealand organisations and businesses, including banks, inviting them to participate, and expect a significant number of positive responses. "We want ordinary New Zealanders to share views with us. We will ensure their views get the wider audience they deserve. We have also asked Dr Bollard to consider asking the Finance Minister for approval to attend and give evidence at the inquiry." A letter had been sent to the Speaker seeking appropriate parliamentary logistical support for the inquiry, David Cunliffe said. "This is a serious inquiry by parliamentarians on behalf of New Zealanders. We believe it is appropriate support, including a venue, is made available, so that the public and media can attend." David Cunliffe said further details of the inquiry, including a starting date, would be announced in the next few days. "The committee will be supported with high quality expert advice to help the committee come to robust and considered conclusions. "We want to get started as soon as possible. New Zealanders deserve that," he said. "Our aim, at the end of the inquiry, is that New Zealanders have had the opportunity to learn why banks are making the decisions they are making, and to discover if customers are getting a fair go or not". The bank inquiry website is at: http://www.bankinquiry.org.nz
The New Zealand Manufacturers and Exporters Association said it supported the inquiry there were issues much wider than banking margins.
Related Topics
The failure of monetary policy to serve the interests of the tradeable economy lies at the heart of New Zealand's poor economic performance delivering uncompetitive interest rates, an overvalued exchange rate, and hindering real growth and wealth creation. NZMEA Chief Executive John Walley says, "Proper debate on bank margins will be helpful because, as Alan Bollard has already noted, short term margins are too high and generally margins have increased since the financial crisis. However, the inquiry needs to go further than this and look at why New Zealand's interest rates are consistently higher than the rates of many of our competitors and how this is affecting our economic performance."
56 Comments
I'm sorry, I'm trying hard
I'm sorry, I'm trying hard but I can't stop laughing.
Th't;s three seriously wet bus
Th't;s three seriously wet bus tickets slapping the banks about then..,hahahah Have they ever heard of the free market?
Ok ok ok, I think
Ok ok ok, I think I'm ok, haaaaaaaahaahahahahah oh gawd I'm off again.
Cunliffe and Goffee heheeeeeheeeeehe. I'm sorry, I tried hard honest.
Is this a launch of
Is this a launch of NZ's own version of the Monty Phyton?
They missed 1st April by about two months and twenty one days
Dear Hon Mr Cunliffe, Please
Dear Hon Mr Cunliffe,
Please go ahead with your inquiry. I hope you make it as loud and as big as possible so as to show how much you care about our dear New Zealand Debtors who are paying every penny of their hard earn cash to big bad bankers. Show how all these evil foreign bankers (no longer Zurich gnomes, but shaped like kangaroos) are raping and pillaging our fair new zealand blood sweat and tears.
Best of all drive them away from our virgin shores and save us from ourselves...
Lead us not into financial temptations and deliver us from the evil foreign bankers.
Drive them all the way into "Gulch" valley and close the exits after that !!!
It would be funny if
It would be funny if it weren't so deluded. Win the next election and then you can launch your inquiry. No point in pretending you're the government when you're not.
Goff has a problem, Firstly
Goff has a problem,
Firstly he should stay quiet so the great unwashed forget that Labour had nine years to do stuff like this and didn't....but....if he does everyone is more likely to forget who he is.
Neven
Irrelevant huffing and puffing by
Irrelevant huffing and puffing by the crew who had nine of the best years we're ever likely to see for a generation, in which to do something different.
And kin, look up "autarky" sometime.
this is a joke -
this is a joke - and whats a bet they dont ask the most important question - WHY DONT YOU GIVE SAVERS BETTER RATES?? It will all be about our poor overindebted borrowers who are getting close to the best rates in history courtesy of an artificially low OCR.
Here's a link for their
Here's a link for their "Further Reading" page;
http://www.reservebank.govt.nz/statistics/banksys/g3/data.html
The 2009 data will be available soon, as will all the banks full year disclosure statements. Key items to look for when that is released will be the "doubtfull debts" (increasing), and of course "Net Interest Income" (decreasing).
A quick glance across the summary page shows that from years 2001 - 2008 (currently) that while "Interest income" has increased, so has the "Interest Expenses". This trend shows that margins have been steadily decreasing.. I predict that the 2009 data will show a continuing of this trend, and a even tighter year for banks.
Not really sure what they hope to find with this inquiry, has some serious potential to backfire on them.
I have to say I
I have to say I am in 2 minds when it comes to bank competition. On the one had I dont like to see people being screwed and banks making easy profits. On the other hand, increased competition has contributed to unsustainable lending practices and a housing bubble via:
- more 2nd tier banks oferring 0-5% loans, and in the process forcing tier 1 to follow suit
- cheaper rates for borrowing, makes it more attractive and increases amount people can borrow (the BNZ instigated mortgage war added another phase to our current housing bubble)
- fatter margins means banks can be profitable on smaller loans, you dont NEED to lend big and risky to make a profit
I would much rather see a return to the boring old staid banks of yesteryear, thats right - 30% deposits, show us your savings history, and no we will only lend 2-3* your income (and forget your wife's income). Consumers and the economy will be a lot better off. Thats way we can have a strong banking system AND a strong economy. It seems at present a strong banking system is dependant on a bubble economy.
The only way to achieve a much needed return is for the govt to provide decent regulation, and perhaps nationalisation of the whole lot. Neither party has the balls, the desire or the intellectual grasp of the real issues facing this country to take these steps. RESULT: either a massive depression to clear out the excess OR a worsening quality of life for NZers and fantastic life for bankers as the bubble remains propped up by govt policy, taxpayer largesse, horrendous immigration rates and general stupidity of new entrants to the market. Personally I am hoping for a depression, but I am waiting this out overseas so at least my quality of life aint being impacted in the meantime.
They have nothing else to
They have nothing else to do, so it will keep them occupied. When Bollard begins to raise rates again, it will make the inquiry a total waste of time and money, as it will become irrelevent. We need to DISCOURAGE borrowing, and try to get NZers saving, not encouraging them to borrow more, at unsustainable low rates, that are only this low due to a once in a generation financial crisis.
They would be far better to focus their time in investigating ING, and some of these dodgy finance companies that have left hard working NZers out of pocket
Did someone wake Labour up???
Did someone wake Labour up??? (That's incl. progessive and the Greens). Sounds like they have been asleep for the last nine years, they just got up and starts talking some sensible stuffs. But they aren't in control anymore and noone else is paying any attention. Just a buzzing annoyance noise they are making.
Yep good on them...it is
Yep good on them...it is political suicide not to have media attention, even if it is way off beat...Winston has shown this over the decades, and is doing it again.
They would be far better off investigating why in counties from Iceland to Peru, children can keep NZ kakariki parrots instead of budgies, and cant in NZ.
Or DoC will not use experienced private volunteer bird breeders to put native species back into our backyards...Instead of waiting (because of funding) for them to go from endangered to highly endangered.
Or why Private breeders stock of endangered NZ birds end up having their heads chopped off, yet are pure breed and have been checked for deases
Productive Economy Council urges Labour
Productive Economy Council urges Labour to expand scope of banking inquiry
The Productive Economy Council has welcomed the announcement of an inquiry into bank profits by Labour, the Greens and the Progressives, but cautions that unless its terms of reference are broad enough, it may not get to the root of the problems the country faces with regards to banking and monetary policy.
"It's great to see some parliamentarians taking the issue seriously, after the Finance and Expenditure Select Committee choked on proceeding with its own inquiry," says PEC spokesman Selwyn Pellett, "but it seems that right now they are simply focusing on the relationship between the Official Cash Rate and short term interest rates. David Cunliffe says that the aim of the inquiry is for New Zealanders to have the opportunity to learn why banks are making the decisions they are making, and to discover if customers are getting a fair go or not. But there is much more at stake here than consumers getting a fair go from banks," he says.
"The banks' behaviour and policies have a direct effect on the economy, and that has implications for all of us. This country does not have a future without an export-led productive economy and that export sector has for a long time been the victim of our lack of a monetary policy that puts the interests of the economy, not the banks, first and foremost. Export businesses are perpetually at the mercy of our volatile currency, and if you follow the bread crumbs, the trail leads back to the Australian owned-banks and the currency traders. This isn't just about consumers paying less for money during a recession. It's about the long term health of our economy and the future of our country," says Pellett.
"We'd like to see the inquiry following the scope of the 1956 Royal Commission on Monetary, Banking, and Credit Systems. The country doesn't need a band-aid right now, it needs serious surgery if the economy is going to regain long-term health. That means establishing an appropriate Monetary Policy for New Zealand, getting control of our exchange rate and giving both the government and the Reserve Bank better tools to drive the economy in the right direction and prevent it being derailed by the self-interest of the banks and other third parties.
"The government is happy to set up a Productivity Taskforce, with what many assume to be a privatisation agenda, and yet they blocked an inquiry into the banking sector. If the government really wants to know why we lag behind Australia in productivity, then surely they need to look closely at all relevant factors, including how the banks influence the productive economy. And if Labour wants to gain widespread support for this inquiry then they need to delve deeper into the issue than just how banks affect the fortunes of home buyers. This issue is too important for the ideologies of left and right to simply use it as catalyst for trundling out the same old solutions. The country needs better than that from its politician and we hope that this inquiry can be a starting point for getting a real debate of all the issues and possible solutions out in the open," says Pellett.
Bring it on....
The best thing Labour could
The best thing Labour could do is have Klark and Kullen go on prime time TV and issue a formal apology to the taxpayers of NZ for 9 years of overtaxing us and squandering the surpluses on non productive projects,rainbow lobbiests and trade union appeasement
Cunliffe and Goff will be
Cunliffe and Goff will be Morris dancing next week.
Jimmy says, "I would much
Jimmy says, "I would much rather see a return to the boring old staid banks of yesteryear, thats right - 30% deposits, show us your savings history, and no we will only lend 2-3* your income (and forget your wife's income)."
Along with a first mortgage from State Advances with an interest rate locked at 3.5% for 25 years.
Only this morning a young man told me he wished he had started his working life in the seventies so he could have afforded a house and a boat. He can only see renting in his future.
This site does get things
This site does get things moving - no need for a CIR to get em' going after all:
http://www.interest.co.nz/news/rbnz-says-fixed-mortgage-rates-ok-floatin...
Rob, most people would encourage
Rob, most people would encourage their adult children to buy a home as soon as they are able, to set themselves up for life.. Don't rent, BUY!
How can they buy without borrowing?
Yes, discourage borrowing in the form of credit cards and personal loans, but do not discourage borrowing in the form of a mortgage, which is where the higher interest is being paid, not in interest rates, but in amounts borrowed.
Look at the bigger picture, you might save a few dollars in "savings", but you could save a lifetime with a fairer interest rate on your mortgage.
Joe, Good points. Its amazing
Joe,
Good points. Its amazing how the stats are telling us we are wealthier than 30 years ago. I guess thats cos the stats are rigged - eg house prices are NOT included in our inflation index ... the most expensive and (aside from food) most important thing most people will buy is not considered an item worthy of putting in an inflation index.
Listen Cunliffe, I don't give
Listen Cunliffe, I don't give a rats if you and Goff want to behave like complete idiots but no way should taxpayers have to fund your little bit of stupidity.
"Although he can't give a number on how much he expects this exercise to cost, "because that will depend in part on what the parties collectively think is a good process", Mr Cunliffe has sent a letter to the Speaker seeking parliamentary logistical support for the inquiry.
The answer Cunliffe, should be NO. Pay for it yourself.
Sal, Robs point is that
Sal,
Robs point is that the more savings and less borrowing, the less houses cost, and the smaller our mortgages, teh better your kids lifestyles, and the less money paid overseas to foreigners as interest tribute and the more funds avaiable for businesses that build our economy OR to invest in overseas countries that reverses our CAcct deficit.
Its a very simple equation and a no brainer that NZ would be better off if we reduced our borrowings and dependance on housing. Its just that powerful groups (banks, property industry, investors, real estate agents and baby boomers) are opposed to anything that would interfere with their gravy train.
lets have an inquiry into
lets have an inquiry into the 3 parties who suck off the taxpayer,and have learnt nothing ANDERTON who has been in parliament since it opened, Goff since late 70s and Rusel the Australian who the Aussies got rid of and seized him on us.Talk about Chicken likken Henny PENNY and Cunliffe masquerading as the SKY,the last time i enjoyed such a fairytale was when the dish ran away with the spoon.
Funny I didnt see any
Funny I didnt see any enquiry from Labour when mortgage rates were 10.5% now the are 6%.
If they ever want a vote from anyone who is a saver they might want to just shut up. If we need our saving rates to increase lower interest rates are not the solution.
One way to help fund
One way to help fund this inquiry might be by donations from the banks?
http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/07/20/ird-wins-in-mas...
Inquiry good, but net must
Inquiry good, but net must be cast wider
The New Zealand Manufacturers and Exporters Association (NZMEA) are supporting the opposition inquiry into the banking system, but say that the issues are much wider than banking margins. The failure of monetary policy to serve the interests of the tradeable economy lies at the heart of New Zealand's poor economic performance delivering uncompetitive interest rates, an overvalued exchange rate, and hindering real growth and wealth creation.
NZMEA Chief Executive John Walley says, "Proper debate on bank margins will be helpful because, as Alan Bollard has already noted, short term margins are too high and generally margins have increased since the financial crisis. However, the inquiry needs to go further than this and look at why New Zealand's interest rates are consistently higher than the rates of many of our competitors and how this is affecting our economic performance."
"Higher interest costs than our competitors and a high exchange rate caused by those high interest rates are the major reasons for the low investment and resulting low productivity that have caused the export sector to contract over the past seven years or so," says Mr. Walley.
"We saw high interest rates designed to curb inflation cause the New Zealand dollar to rise to over 80 US cents when the economy was in its "˜boom' period and now we are seeing comparatively high interest rates holding up the exchange rate even though our terms of trade have fallen away and the economy as a whole has faltered."
"Our monetary policy settings have proven to be ineffective at both ends of the economic cycle."
"The inquiry needs to look at how to create a financial sector that promotes rather than inhibits growth in the real economy."
Well said....
Can Cunliffe and Goff get
Can Cunliffe and Goff get any more stupid than they already are? Yes, I think they have a way to go yet. Sad!!!
Excellent posts Les Rudd. Whats
Excellent posts Les Rudd.
Whats happened here is... Labour, Greens & Progresive... have put their ear to the ground and heard the Buffalo coming.
Sadly, National has been too busy "Delivering the Pork" to their mates, to hear this.
I think "the Clash" once said "Fury of the Hour... Anger can be Power"... I just hope they know how to use it.
I THINK THE 3 PARTIES
I THINK THE 3 PARTIES MENTIONED SHOULD BE SEEN AS THE 3 BLIND MICE ,sorry mouse.
Jilll, Possibly Blind like... Jim
Jilll, Possibly Blind like... Jim was when he championed KiwiBank ?.
Regardless of who is calling
Regardless of who is calling for this inquiry - I think we need it. It is always interesting when the Govt does an about turn in a very short space of time. First Key was going to have an inquiry and then he wasn't - that signals to me 'special interests' pressure. If there is nothing to hide then what have the banks got to lose - all their customers are loosing confidence and satisfaction anyway - why wouldn't they want to be open and honest and rebuild trust with their customers. But frankly after the recent court ruling over the shonky tax evasion schemes by the banks I for one think we need a review of the entire banking sector in NZ. We need a banking system which works for kiwis NOT aussies.
mouse how come Jims Bank,
mouse how come Jims Bank, are less than competitive than the big 4 in some instances .Sorry again mouse could be the trap has gone off ,OUCH
"We need a banking system
"We need a banking system which works for kiwis NOT aussies."
I wonder how it would be if the Aussie banks packed up their marbles and headed off back to Bondi and left Kiwibank to it. Where would all the money come from to fund our economy? Of course! The American banks? The English? No, the errrr... the Chinese....? They're much fairer....Frying pan and fire come to mind...
Indeed George and that proves
Indeed George and that proves the point. We need a system which works for us and not the aussies. yanks, poms, and especially the Chinese. There are no quick fixes and there are plenty of other structual issues to address such as poor savings, over leveraged housing and farming, and weak monetary policy etc. But we need a banking system which is less dictated by the monetary policy of other nations regardless of who it is.
I agree with Les and Selwyn that we need a wider inquiry and a review of the entire system. Lets stop just poking holes and discuss real fundamental change so our childrens future is not owned by foreigners.
Jill, I'm thinking...it's because the
Jill, I'm thinking...it's because the cost of capital of the "big 4" have been externalised to the average NZer... through ineffective regulation of capital adequicy ratios... and tax evasion.
You and I are on
You and I are on the same hymn sheet, Israel, but I fear that the government that WE elected has seen the magnitude of our problems and knows that there is no easy way out, as you rightly allude to. The "let sleeping dogs lie" approach may be all that is left to us. WE have already sold our children's future to 'whoever' and WE are unwilling, or unable, to take an remedial actions necessary at this late stage. Further summits or enquiries by whichever body you care to mention are unlikely to produce a solution of any merit. Politics, eh..!! God Defend New Zealand, because........
George - take heart, "Thinking
George - take heart, "Thinking - nearly as powerful as communication." at the bottom of:
http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/07/06/rbnz-says-fixed...
Whole thread's not bad, apart from The Chairman and I meandering off to almost agreeing that it's time to end the left v. right approaches to economic development.
As I said earlier in that thread, "Don't forget our real problem is not Bill E, John K, David C, Phil G, Alan A, the 4 Auzzie Banks - it is our own APATHY." So hang in there, don't give up, keep the iron sharpening the iron, say your stuff, but consider reprogramming yourself with hope that things can be different.
The problem that Roger Douglas had was that he had to deal with a situation resulting from, "let sleeping dogs lie" - or nettles not grasped, for too long. Today the issues are more widely understood - and I actually think the government understand as well - all they need is a little encouragement and the realisation:
"Thinking - nearly as powerful as communication."
If the inquiry is done well it will communicate well, and then people can well think things out for themselves.
Well let's see.
Jill, I work for one
Jill, I work for one of the 4 Big Banks.
In the last 12 months, Kiwibank have been writing 38% of the home loans in this country. This from a 4% market player! They are EXTREMELY competitive and have forced us to make pricing decisions that we wouldn't have to make if they weren't around.
I hate to admit it, but Kiwibank keep us on our toes. We are making a significant loss on our most popular TD rate right now because we have to match bloody Kiwibank to stay competitive.
As far as overall market share goes they are still small, but their growth over the last 2 years is nothing short of phenomonal. The next step for them will obviously be to start borrowing from overseas as domestic funding is basically tapped out. This will lengthen their loan book and make them an even stronger bank.
Regardless of whether you're a fan of Jim Anderton, you have to give them their due.
Lets put all the cards
Lets put all the cards on the table,the crazy now opposition had 9 years to perform with an inquiry into the banks,seems to me they are now dealing from the bottom of the pack and are performing the dance of the desperate,all they are doing is grandstanding ,once more i ask the same question,were where were they last year when they held the treasury benches and interest rates were almost11%.ps thanks for your reply mouse ,also we flushed out a Labour sycophant ,pretending to work for one of the big 4.If he named the bank who employed him at least we would know he was making honest comments.
What a shame that this
What a shame that this inquiry won't be extended to whether NZers are getting a good deal from Kiwibank; there's a few questions that could be usefully raised there, starting with:
Why is Kiwibank's all-up income - interest and fees - on a par with the major banks, when they were set up to be a low-fee operation?
Why has Kiwibank passed on less of the OCR cuts than the major banks?
How do taxpayers benefit from funding a business whose operating costs are wildly out of line with its competitors, including other small outfits such as TSB?
Jill- I work for BNZ.
Jill- I work for BNZ.
I am not a Labour supporter, and have never voted Labour in my life. To be honest I voted for Pita Sharples at the last election as he was the only guy I liked!
I'm a little surprised at your response though... you seem to have something against Kiwibank?
And if you don't understand why interest rates were so high last year, I can only assume you have a limited understanding of how fiscal policy is applied.
May I ask what it is you do for a living?
Cheers,
Miguel- taxpayers benefit through Kiwibank's
Miguel- taxpayers benefit through Kiwibank's profit ($38M) being bigger than it's expenditure. I would have thought that would be obvious....
It's fees are only on a par in 2009 because we have reduced our fees to match them!
I wouldn't want work for them at this stage but I'm interested in the anti-Kiwibank sentiment here.
Given the enormity of the
Given the enormity of the global credit crisis, I like where we are at. The RBNZ has resisted the zero rate currency policy and quantitative easing gambit that got us into trouble in the first place, and will be near impossible to reverse. Legislators have not drafted grand infrastructure spending; building bridges to nowhere with borrowed money. Frankly, I'm surprised they had the 'cojones' to allow IRD to sue the banks, that demonstrates to me that National is working in the interest of taxpayers.
As I see it, the challenges facing government are to reduce social service spending (and I would include the justice system - ie. jails and courts), improve education outcomes, and to replace the 3 out of 5 new jobs created during the last decade - all related to the property market - with jobs that are sustainable.
To be honest, I'm glad credit is more difficult to access, because it was cheap credit that diluted prudence on the part of kiwis to live within their means and save money. Banks are not public institutions. They exist to maximise their profits, just like any other business. Labour is duplicitous is their shadow investigation of the banking industry. The last ten years could have been an opportunity to eliminate sovereign debt and invest in the research and development that would be paying dividends today.
Bank bashing the hot new
Bank bashing the hot new game
http://www.mortgagerates.co.nz/blog/bank-bashing-the-hot-new-game/
"First up the government seemed vaguely interested in such an enquiry. Then it put the kybosh on it big time.
However, some of the government's key supporters such as Federated Farmers seem pretty keen on the idea.
This all leads to the observation while an enquiry may not amount to much the government is well and truly on the wrong side of the argument."
Yep, too true...
What we really need is an inquiry, into enquiry - is it allowed?
Spoke to a bank manager
Spoke to a bank manager recently. Ususally in response to the question where did he/the bank see interest rates going he is pretty non-committal, not his place to predict etc but this time he said they are feeling the heat!
Would banks move their rates to head off an enquiry?
Thanks Michael Sharpe for your
Thanks Michael Sharpe for your open book comments ,i am a home executive who since the change of government am $200 per week better off on my mortgage repayments ,one dosn't need too much perception to understand money in money out is the bottom line.I just get so agitated when i read that the 3shiver parties looking for a spine to crawl up,never made a sound when interest rates were sky high,i also recall when DON BRASH in the late 80s and early 90s got interest rates down from late teens early 20s under Labours FINANCIAL MISMANAGEMENT,seems to me to quote that lot they are the enemy within ,the 3 Blind mice parties,call it as you see it Michael its all perception.
"The next step for them
"The next step for them will obviously be to start borrowing from overseas as domestic funding is basically tapped out" an interesting bit of info if it really does come from an employee at the BNZ, the bank the taxpayers rescued from its own stupidity. Let's take this info as correct. It means Bollard's call for banks to target domestic deposits must push dep rates higher amd that means up go the M rates. Bloody good show. Then we can factor in the rise in the cost of foreign credit due to the massive international govt borrowing going on and set to worsen. That'll be a bigger impact for the M rates. Super, bring it on I say. Post 2010 we will discover Bernanke and the BoE and other QE fools will not find it so easy to extract the loot curretly being dumped into the market to make it look good. That is the wall of inflation that must arrive. Bollard will have no choice but to shove the ocr somewhere north of Alaska and it will be 'back to the future' 1970s interest rates near 20%. 'Collapse' is not the best term to describe what will happen to the bloated overpriced unaffordable residential property mess in Noddyland.
Les: “Don’t forget our real
Les: "Don't forget our real problem is not Bill E, John K, David C, Phil G, Alan A, the 4 Auzzie Banks - it is our own APATHY." So hang in there, don't give up, keep the iron sharpening the iron, say your stuff, but consider reprogramming yourself with hope that things can be different." - I couldn't agree with you more.
Doug: "Given the enormity of the global credit crisis, I like where we are at." - It is worry you think this. Indeed we are much much better off than many, but we could be and can be even more soundly positioned. You are right the banks exist to make a profit, and they should be encouraged to do so. The deeper issues are who the banks are owned by, the effect they have on our exchange rate, the pressure this then puts on our exporters, and ultimately the continued deterioration of our standard of living. I agree we have borrowed way too much and are now paying the price "“ but that is another issue. We must fight for the sovereignty of our financial system otherwise it will continued to be squirreled away by foreigners and we will ultimately end up like Iceland "“ bankrupt, and with no financial future. Our entire monetary system and consequently our economy is determined not by the Government we elected, or the Reserve bank or hard working kiwis "“ instead it is largely a product of a "fractional reserve" banking system owned and dictated by foreigners. Please watch this if you have time: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-4179505350194809051
This "Kiwibank" that folks keep
This "Kiwibank" that folks keep banging on aboot. Would that be the one that uses a well-known US ZombieBank, shambling along courtesy of TARP printed-by-pixies funding and the suspension of FAS-157, for most of its business services and all of its international services? The trusty Interweb reveals all: http://www.allbusiness.com/banking-finance/banking-lending-credit-servic...
"Be careful what you wish for" is always good to keep in mind at times like this. The urge to scapegoat and to do Interesting things to those deemed suddenly as 'the Other' is wired right in to our monkey genes.
But as most of Africa has discovered, chucking out the banksters and the entrepreneurial types is not a winning proposition. Hoocoodanode?
waymad - "chucking out the
waymad - "chucking out the banksters and the entrepreneurial types is not a winning proposition."
chucking out - don't undestand?
banksters = entrepreneurial types - don't undestand?
Africa = NZ - don't understand? (Maybe Argentina, Iceland?)
Les, the point is that
Les, the point is that demonising the "other" - other group, tribe, race, gang - etc is a very natural gambit for us all, because it is wired right into our poor monkey brains. The amygdala, f'rinstance, is a raw reptile. "Before the Dawn" - Nicholas Wade - required reading here.
But there's a fine line to draw between setting ourselves up for a colder and more austere future (the Good Intention) and managing to saw off the very thin branch we are sitting on (a shipload of debt owed offshore, a very bad productivity record, a decade of thoroughly misallocated Gubmint expenditure, and an underclass which is one welfare cheque away from rioting).
So I'm very leary of letting too much of this demonisation out into public discourse, because
- it threatens the wider support for what little the Gubmint can and is doing, given the circumstances
- it raises expectations unduly (just read some of the common taters above)
- it don't change a thing in the gritty world of the real economy
- it pulls bricks from the wall of business confidence - a frail thing at present
Kipling put it well:
"When the Cambrian measures were forming, They promised perpetual peace.
They swore, if we gave them our weapons, that the wars of the tribes would cease.
But when we disarmed They sold us and delivered us bound to our foe,
And the Gods of the Copybook Headings said: "Stick to the Devil you know."
Better the devils we know..
waymad - can't disagree with
waymad - can't disagree with us suffering a, "...shipload of debt owed offshore, a very bad productivity record, a decade of thoroughly misallocated Gubmint expenditure," but do we really have this, (yet?) "..and an underclass which is one welfare cheque away from rioting."
My take is that we can improve on all those, IF, this inquiry is broad enough and leads to some appropriate discussion and policy responses. But not inquiring, broadly enough, certainly won't. (See PEC and NZMEA press releases I pasted into my comments above.)
You say, "I'm very leary of letting too much of this demonisation out into public discourse, because, etc, etc". I disagree, it's a democracy, we don't have the facility of a second house, sel.committees it appears can be squashed like bugs and the issues are fundamental to appropriate outcomes on all four of your points:-
wider support for govt. - nothing to stop them supporting this, aside from.... I wonder if Bill E will give AB permission?
raises expectations - we do need to understand if we maintain the status quo we are screwed.
change in the real economy - we are desperate for it ("shipload of, etc, etc..")
business confidence - read around the site here about the cross-subbing of fixed to floating and bbr, and issues on monetary policy reform - exporters need confidence too!
Cheers, Les.
I'm afraid I have Churchill's
I'm afraid I have Churchill's view of democrcay, Les. And the bred-in quarrelsome-tribes behaviour should Not, as a matter of public policy, be encouraged in any form.
We're tuning a running engine here. The first rule for that is: don't let it stop (economies are surprisingly easy to disrupt. See John Robb/Global Guerillas). The second rule is, don't get your fingers in the fan.
We are stuck with a horrible mess, Just run this thought experiment: the Gubmint can't make the welfare payroll next week - so it doesn't. Tuatapere and Karamea might make it through the month it takes to crank up the pixie printing press. South Auckland and Porirua won't.
And if you've read much about the oxymoronic 'new normal' you'll understand that the status quo has already changed. What we're seeing is the end of the beginning of that realisation. What's still in front of us are the actual adjustments.
So taking the banks outside the bar door for a little roughing up by the local yobbos is hardly a "plan".
It's a sideshow, orchestrated by the very same crew who wasted nine good years, infantilised and enslaved an entire cohort by creating unsustainable dependencies of all stripes, and are now in deep denial about all that. Other peoples' money kept them in office. And now, quelle surprise, it's Other Peoples' Fault.
It's a foreign policy moment. There are only really bad choices, and much, much worse choices left. Think: simultaneous service cuts, tax increases, interest increases.
And if you think that Joe and Janet Six-pack can usefully contribute to That, other than by getting a sudden infusion of small-town values and behaviours, then I have a slightly used, smallish but perfectly formed bridge to sell you.
waymad - I agree with
waymad - I agree with you on, "the very same crew who wasted nine good years, infantilised and enslaved an entire cohort by creating unsustainable dependencies of all stripes, and are now in deep denial about all that. Other peoples' money kept them in office. And now, quelle surprise, it's Other Peoples' Fault."
However, I don't see things as, "taking the banks outside the bar door for a little roughing up by the local yobbos". Are FedF, PEC, NZMEA and indeed AB yobbos? Nope, not in my view.
Supporting a lack of transparency, secrecy is surely where 'totalitarianism' starts? That wasn't Churchill's kind of democracy, was it? Practical, yes, but totalitarian, no - we may be in the pooh, but we are not at war, so I don't see this kind of investigation subverting the good ship NZ and grinding things to a halt. If any thing it might pump a few bilges, seal a few leaks and help set us on back on course.
If it really is that bad, and the risk is serious as, "managing to saw off the very thin branch" - then that justifies the inquiry in itself - in other words, NZ needs to affirm and develop it's economic sovereignty.
Cheers, Les.
Thanks Les, saved me the
Thanks Les,
saved me the effort
http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/07/21/have-your-say-o...
its all to do with the terms of reference of any inquiry as to whether it is just more piss into the wind political postering.
Im back at the hamster wheel 10-14 hours a day, but if you dont see me posting for a while you can be damn sure Im working on my submission to the rebel bank inquiry, wider terms of reference or not, they will be getting lock,stock and barrell from me.