Pollster Roy Morgan says new Prime Minister Bill English must find a solution to New Zealand’s growing ‘Housing Crisis’ – the largest problem facing New Zealanders in late 2016

Content supplied by Roy Morgan Research

In October 2016 Government/ Public Policy/ Housing issues are still clearly the most important problems facing New Zealandaccording to New Zealanders. Some 40% of respondents (down 5% since July 2016) mention these issues. Within this bundle of concerns Housing affordability/ Increasing house prices (17%) and Housing shortage/ Homelessness (10%) are the most prominent.

In contrast, these domestic issues barely register when considering the wider world with War & Terrorism/Security/Refugee Crisis 30% (down 1%) still considered the biggest problem facing the World according to the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand survey conducted in October 2016 with a representative cross-sample of 1,001 New Zealanders.

New Zealand views on Problems facing New Zealand

When asked about the most important problem facing New Zealand, 40% of New Zealanders mention some kind of Government/ Public Policy/ Housing issue. This is down 5% from July 2016, but is still ahead of Economic issues 31% (down 1%), Social issues 15% (up 2%) and Environmental issues only 4% (up 1%).

In terms of Government/ Public policy/ Housing issues a large number of New Zealanders (27%) mention Housing as a major problem – 17% (unchanged) mention Increasing house prices/ Housing affordability and a further 10% (down 2%) mention the Homeless/ Homelessness/ Housing shortage. These issues are well ahead of other issues including Government/ Politicians/ Leadership/ Government Spending 6% (unchanged) and Immigration/ Refugees 4% (down 2%).

The most important Economic issue facing New Zealand is Poverty / The gap between the rich and poor 16% (down 1%) ahead of Unemployment/ Job security 5% (up 1%), Economy/ Financial crisis/ Recession/ High dollar 4% (unchanged) and Cost of living/ Inflation/ Financial hardship/ Household debt 3% (up 1%).

New Zealand’s ‘Housing Crisis’

Men (20%) regard House prices/ Housing affordability as a greater problem than Women (14%) while this is reversed for the Homeless/ Homelessness/ Housing shortage: Women (11%) cf. Men (8%).

New Zealand’s largest city is clearly most heavily impacted by the Housing crisis with 37% of Auckland residents mentioning either Increasing house prices/ Housing affordability (25%) or the Homeless/ Homelessness/ Housing shortage (12%) followed by capital city Wellington – a total of 24% (Increasing house prices/ Housing affordability (16%) or the Homeless/ Homelessness/ Housing shortage (8%).

Although Increasing housing prices/ Housing affordability are a major problem of New Zealanders of all age groups – it is those in the prime age to buy a house aged 25-34yrs old (21%) and 35-49yrs old (18%) that clearly see this as the biggest problem facing New Zealand well ahead of all other issues.

Comments made by Aucklanders about New Zealand’s ‘Housing crisis’

“Housing affordability; people not being able to afford a house.”

“Financial problems with housing prices and the flow on from that.”

“The housing crisis, like the housing Auckland – the prices are going up drastically each year and it’s hard for people to buy houses.”

“Construction can’t keep up with demand for housing.”

“The housing market is crazy and traffic is crazy. Two crises for me personally which I think comes down to issues with land and travel.”

“The price of houses compared to your national income.”

 “Housing for first time owners.”

“Homelessness based on the economy.”

“Housing, too much demand for housing and we don’t have the necessary housing for these people especially at the rate the houses are selling.”

“Homeless people. It keeps increasing, everywhere in the world, I think. Maybe they have no work or the Government isn’t helping them.”

“Home ownership versus average income. One’s ability to own a home is diminishing.”

“Housing, and the shortage of housing. How are they going to accommodate people in the next 5 years.”

“Trying to avoid our housing crash with the bubble bursting.”

“Overpriced houses in Auckland, but it’ll be much the same in the whole of New Zealand soon. There’re too many people overly invested in property. The market might go down a big, and a lot of people won’t be able to maintain their lifestyle, and possibly minimum requirements for the debt they’ve built themselves.”

New Zealand views on Problems facing the World

The biggest World problems according to New Zealanders are still War & Terrorism/ Security issues / Refugee Crisis 30% (down 1% since July 2016). Within that group New Zealanders most frequently mention Wars & Conflicts/ Unrest 14% (up 7%) clearly impacted by the intensification in the Syrian Civil War in recent months followed by Terrorism 9% (down 7%) and Refugee/ Migrant Crisis 3% (unchanged).

The next biggest World problems are Economic issues 25% (down 2% since July 2016). The Economic issues facing the World mentioned most often by New Zealanders are Poverty/ The gap between rich & poor/ Imbalance of wealth 13% (down 1%), the Economy/ Financial crisis/ Recession 4% (down 1%), Cost of living/ Inflation/ Financial hardship/ Household debt 4% (up 1%) and Over-population 3% (up 1%).

Other important World problems mentioned are Government/ Politicians/ Political Unrest 8% (unchanged)  Climate change/ Global warming/ Ozone layer/ Greenhouse effect 7% (up 1%), Social apathy/ Lack of values/ Lack of empathy towards others/ Intolerance 7% (up 1%), and Greed 3% (unchanged).

Comments made by New Zealanders about the problems of War & Terrorism the world faces

”These civil wars like they have going on in Syria and the other wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.”

“The war in Syria. They finish one and they start another. It’s big business.”

“War. It’s the Russians and the Yanks. I think they’re going to rev each other up and go to war.”

“Little boys with guns, the world has become a violent place. Being pressured by American, Russian arms industry I think that is the start of it. Stop dropping bombs and the world would be a better place.”

“Wars that are going on around us. These countries fighting at the moment. Thirty or forty years ago they were so safe and so why do they fight amongst themselves? The problem of refugees is a very difficult one and it creates a lot of problems.”

“Terrorism. People going around bombing everything, taking lives, full of destruction.”

“Wars and famine. There’s a station of war and the whole misery of that situation then spreads to everyone. There’s a knock-on effect and in a humanitarian way.”

“Stop these unnecessary wars. It’s a waste of innocent civilians caught up in it. Particularly in Syria.”

“War in Syria. People being displaced from their homes. Millions are being displaced because of war.”

“Terrorism. The ISIS threat and religious based terrorism.”

“Terrorism, probably all over, like ISIS, al-Qaeda, Taliban, and all those groups. It comes under war.”

“War, probably just to do with the number of countries that have unrest – to do with terrorists.”

“I’m watching the news and these countries fighting and they’re putting the children in the middle.”

Michele Levine, Chief Executive Officer, Roy Morgan says:

“Incoming Prime Minister Bill English must get to work finding a solution to New Zealand’s worsening ‘Housing crisis’ according to a cross-sample of 1,001 New Zealanders asked what the most important problems facing New Zealand, and the World, are just over a month ago.

“A staggering 27% of New Zealanders named Housing related issues as the most important problem facing New Zealand in late October – including Increasing house prices/ Housing affordability 17% (unchanged from July 2016) and a further 10% (down 2%) named the closely related issue of the Homeless/ Homelessness/ Housing shortage.

“Unsurprisingly, this problem is particularly acute in New Zealand’s biggest city of Auckland – 37% of respondents in Auckland mentioned a Housing related issue as the biggest issue facing New Zealand – 25% mentioning Increasing house prices/ Housing affordability and a further 12% mentioning the Homeless/ Homelessness/ Housing shortage. This was far higher even than in the capital Wellington – 24% mentioned a Housing related issue, second only to the results in Auckland.

“The increasing problem of Housing related issues means the category of Government/ Public Policy/ Housing/ Human rights issues 40% (down 5%) is clearly on top ahead of more narrowly defined Economic issues 31% (down 1%) – however it is arguable the ‘Housing crisis’ could easily fit in either of these two categories. Both are well ahead of Social issues 15% (up 2%) and even further ahead of Environmental issues 4% (up 1%) – which have barely rated a mention in New Zealand for over 5 years.

“Once again – for the fifth straight survey stretching back to mid-2015 - Kiwis mention War/ Terrorism/ Security/ Refugee crisis 30% (down 1%) as the biggest problem facing the World, ahead of Economic issues 25% (down 2%). Well behind these two large groups of issues are Social issues 17% (up 1%), Environmental Issues 12% (up 3%) and Government/ Public policy/ Human rights issues 10% (up 1%).

“The biggest War/Terrorism/Security/Refugee crisis issue is now Wars and Conflicts 14% (up 7%), ahead of Terrorism 9% (down 7%) as focus shifted from the terrorists that are part of the Syrian civil war to the national armies at war in the country including the Syria Arab Army and the Russian Federation.

“Both of these issues are of course closely inter-related to the other issues mentioned in this category including Refugees/ Migrant crisis 3% (unchanged), Religion/ Religious conflict 2% (down 1%) and Peace/ Lack of World Peace 2% (up 1%).

“New Zealanders consider the World at large faces several key issues as it prepares to welcome US President-elect next month including the Economic issues of Poverty/ The gap between the rich and the poor/ Imbalance of wealth 13% (down 1%), Government/ Politicians/ Political unrest 8% (unchanged), Climate change/ Global warming/ Ozone layer/ Greenhouse effect 7% (up 1%) and Social apathy/ Lack of values/ Lack of empathy toward others/ Intolerance 7% (up 1%).”

These findings come from a special New Zealand Roy Morgan survey conducted with New Zealanders aged 14+ asked what are the most important issues facing New Zealand and the World today.

In New Zealand, a cross-section of 1,001 men and women aged 14 or over were interviewed by telephone in October 2016. Respondents were asked: “Firstly, what do you think is the most important problem facing the World today?” and “What do you think is the most important problem facing New Zealand today?” The research conducted was both qualitative (in that people were asked to use their own words) and quantitative (in that the ‘open-ended’ responses were analysed and ‘coded’ so that the results could be counted and reported as percentages).

You can find the full poll questions and response levels to each question here.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

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26 Comments

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Remember when old Winnie referred to Key as "Spray and walk away". Ta da.

To be fair Key really was our biggest problem, a total populist, never ever going to do anything for the good of NZ if it annoyed a few people, everything he did was with one thing in mind - how does this affect my popularity, that's why his legacy is record debt, a massive housing crisis, and low wages.
The other big problem is people in NZ don't bother to be informed about what a government is doing or not doing, and vote entirely on personality, and if someone "seems" like a good guy or not.

"If you set out to be liked, you would be prepared to compromise on anything at any time, and you would achieve nothing." Margaret Thatcher

It really shows how much of a weak PM he was.

Well, someone followed that one to the letter, didn't they?

Well,

I lived in Scotland right through Thatcher's time as PM and though I initially supported her,I rapidly changed my view of her. Her much vaunted "U turn if you want to,this lady's not for turning" attitude was extremely divisive and the more she played up to her Iron Lady image,the more divisive and rigid she became. She should have been replaced after one term.

step 1 admit it is a problem
step 2 reduce demand
step 3 replacing housing minister with a competent one

I think the nats want an incompetent housing minister - maintain the status quo.
Replace steps 2&3 with NATSEXIT.

Nothing is going to change if we vote in the same government next year.

Nothing will change with a different Govt either.

If there is one thing the last 20 years of Politics has taught me, it's that the nothing changes.

The faces maybe different, the advertising message (some call them policies) maybe different, but the system stays the same.

Bloated, inefficient, and resistant to change.

We the public have been crying out for change on numerous things for years, do they change? No, and it seems we are powerless to do anything about it.

The public "crying out for change" voted in MMP and the resultant dead wood non-accountable career politician class. The public have to take it on the chin.

Beats the hell out of FPP with its gerrymandering of boundaries and safe seats not even being fiercely contended (as Auckland Central has been lately) and the whole election being decided by a few wavering seats. MMP might just need a bit of a trim down.

On from that, what an absolute shame that Ms Collins treated the MMP review with such contempt, and she wonder why she is so hated.

the worst part about MMP is not being able to vote for the individuals on the list for each party, change that and I would be happy with the system.
as it is now we have people on the lists that nobody would vote for showing up to make laws and regulations

Any solution will start from #natsexit.

Wait for election.

When a "blind as a bat" Prime Minister, aided by his feeble Entourage of Ministers and Members Of Parliament, cannot see the woods for the trees, it is no surprise we have been going up a "Blind Alley" on Housing.

When half the country cannot see the problems these people created, I thing we all need to go to ..."""""SPECSAVERS"""""

Corruption of eyesight, leads me to suspect, the other half closed their eyes to the fiasco and just par-took, took the Capital Gain, filched the Taxpayers money via Income Benefits and will award a knighthood for the longest scam ever perpetuated by an ex-banker, who got a free "get out of jail card " for providing this "Monopoly"

And not one Journalist noted a damn thing, cos they had their blinkers on.

Must have been a "Blind Trust'....somewhere..in that.

A sure vote winner for Bill would be to ban sales of houses to non residents, won't fix the housing problem, but makes it look like something's being done.

This will still be commented on in 2023...

This problem was spotted by John Key in 2007 in his housing Crisis speech as per below.

Maybe as part of the 10 year speech anniversary next year National may start doing something to tackle the demand.

http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PA0708/S00336.htm
Key: Speech to New Zealand Contractors Federation
Tuesday, 21 August 2007, 9:29 am
Speech: New Zealand National Party

Keep it up, JP, just because JK is gone does not mean this should just fade away

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWPgoAI1cLE

Edited video starting at Housing

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWPgoAI1cLE

Edited 2007 KEY video on housing reform.

We now have the highest house prices in the world relative to income.

http://www.imf.org/external/research/housing/

What a legacy Key and the National Governent have left us with.

Would be interested to see how Roy Morgan's sampling design for this. While the research may be representative nationally across demographics, SEC, etc, I wonder how they dealt with property ownership and political persuasion.

Looking forward to the Spinoff Parties housing policy
https://www.wired.com/2013/08/unbelievable-photographs-of-hong-kongs-cra...

I would say the odds of bill english solving the housing crisis would be the same as of him parachuting into christchurch to save 170 jobs at national cable,namely zero.

National party can't save the housing crisis without admitting there miracle economic rock star economy is just them selling off our low population statistic. We've sold everything else. now where selling our lifestyle.