Capital Economics
Independent global economic researchers Capital Economics say falls in nominal house prices have been 'modest' in most developed economies and 'almost non-existent' in some others
15th Feb 24, 11:32am
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Independent global economic researchers Capital Economics say falls in nominal house prices have been 'modest' in most developed economies and 'almost non-existent' in some others
Independent economic researchers Capital Economics say it is 'increasingly clear' monetary policy tightening is doing its work and the rate-hiking cycle is already over, with cuts coming next year
4th Oct 23, 11:21am
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Independent economic researchers Capital Economics say it is 'increasingly clear' monetary policy tightening is doing its work and the rate-hiking cycle is already over, with cuts coming next year
After quarterly inflation figures that contained, in the words of one economist, 'a number of red flags' for the Reserve Bank, upcoming labour market data are seen as key ahead of the RBNZ's next Official Cash Rate decision in August
24th Jul 23, 2:24pm
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After quarterly inflation figures that contained, in the words of one economist, 'a number of red flags' for the Reserve Bank, upcoming labour market data are seen as key ahead of the RBNZ's next Official Cash Rate decision in August
Independent economic researchers see global economy next year meeting the 'old' IMF description of a recession, while NZ's economy WILL tip into recession; house prices here down 25%
26th Oct 22, 10:38am
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Independent economic researchers see global economy next year meeting the 'old' IMF description of a recession, while NZ's economy WILL tip into recession; house prices here down 25%
Capital Economics says several central banks around the globe will have to reverse course as their countries' economies either enter recession or teeter on the edge of it
25th Jul 22, 11:54am
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Capital Economics says several central banks around the globe will have to reverse course as their countries' economies either enter recession or teeter on the edge of it
[updated]
The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
16th Jun 22, 10:54am
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The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
14th Jun 22, 2:12pm
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Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
31st May 22, 11:20am
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Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
Inflation had its biggest annual jump since 1990, driven by housing and fuel related costs
21st Apr 22, 10:59am
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Inflation had its biggest annual jump since 1990, driven by housing and fuel related costs
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics says some countries' housing markets look vulnerable to 'even a modest rise' in interest rates - and the New Zealand market is pinpointed as one for particular concern
28th Mar 22, 9:58am
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Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics says some countries' housing markets look vulnerable to 'even a modest rise' in interest rates - and the New Zealand market is pinpointed as one for particular concern
Independent economics researcher Capital Economics warns of potential further supply chain problems and inflationary pressures
29th Nov 21, 11:49am
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Independent economics researcher Capital Economics warns of potential further supply chain problems and inflationary pressures
Latest labour market figures blow all economists' expectations out of the water once again
3rd Nov 21, 11:05am
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Latest labour market figures blow all economists' expectations out of the water once again
Statistics New Zealand says the Consumers Price Index rose 2.2% in September quarter, which was by far more than economists and the Reserve Bank picked
18th Oct 21, 10:55am
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Statistics New Zealand says the Consumers Price Index rose 2.2% in September quarter, which was by far more than economists and the Reserve Bank picked
Global researcher Capital Economics says if the rise in shipping costs is fully passed on this will boost consumer prices globally by about 2%
15th Sep 21, 11:19am
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Global researcher Capital Economics says if the rise in shipping costs is fully passed on this will boost consumer prices globally by about 2%
NZ-based economists still think as long as the Covid outbreak here can be contained reasonably quickly, interest rates will still go up this year - but one international economics firm reckons hikes are off till May next year now
23rd Aug 21, 2:43pm
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NZ-based economists still think as long as the Covid outbreak here can be contained reasonably quickly, interest rates will still go up this year - but one international economics firm reckons hikes are off till May next year now
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped in the June quarter to 4.0% from 4.6% in March, 'underutilisation' also dropped sharply, seemingly pointing the way for Reserve Bank interest rate increases
4th Aug 21, 11:01am
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Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped in the June quarter to 4.0% from 4.6% in March, 'underutilisation' also dropped sharply, seemingly pointing the way for Reserve Bank interest rate increases
Kiwis now seem to be unloading some of the partly enforced savings they made last year - and that might not be helping an economy that's starting to overheat
11th Jul 21, 6:01am
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Kiwis now seem to be unloading some of the partly enforced savings they made last year - and that might not be helping an economy that's starting to overheat
Economists with global researcher Capital Economics expect the first generation of Central Bank Digital Currencies will be designed to have as little impact on the existing financial system as possible
8th Jul 21, 10:49am
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Economists with global researcher Capital Economics expect the first generation of Central Bank Digital Currencies will be designed to have as little impact on the existing financial system as possible
RBNZ leaves monetary policy settings unchanged, but reintroduces forward interest rate forecasts suggesting a first Official Cash Rate rise in the second-half of 2022; Kiwi dollar jumps
26th May 21, 2:07pm
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RBNZ leaves monetary policy settings unchanged, but reintroduces forward interest rate forecasts suggesting a first Official Cash Rate rise in the second-half of 2022; Kiwi dollar jumps
The economy went into reverse again in the last quarter of 2020 with a fall that was bigger than expected by the Reserve Bank and by bank economists; second recession looms
18th Mar 21, 11:03am
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The economy went into reverse again in the last quarter of 2020 with a fall that was bigger than expected by the Reserve Bank and by bank economists; second recession looms
The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
3rd Feb 21, 3:24pm
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The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
Economics research firm Capital Economics says the Wallstreetbets saga of recent days highlights how technology allows asset bubbles to inflate more quickly than in the past
2nd Feb 21, 1:17pm
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Economics research firm Capital Economics says the Wallstreetbets saga of recent days highlights how technology allows asset bubbles to inflate more quickly than in the past
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics have doubled down on forecasts of rising interest rates from next year and now see quantitative easing ending by the middle of this year
26th Jan 21, 4:29pm
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Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics have doubled down on forecasts of rising interest rates from next year and now see quantitative easing ending by the middle of this year
Westpac economists expect annual house price inflation will peak at 20% later this year, 'which is not an environment conducive to further OCR cuts'
21st Jan 21, 1:28pm
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Westpac economists expect annual house price inflation will peak at 20% later this year, 'which is not an environment conducive to further OCR cuts'
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics see the Reserve Bank as needing to lift interest rates from next year as economic conditions improve beyond expectations
19th Jan 21, 3:48pm
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Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics see the Reserve Bank as needing to lift interest rates from next year as economic conditions improve beyond expectations