OCR

Reserve Bank holds the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% and is not forecasting a rise until either late this year or early next

Reserve Bank holds the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% and is not forecasting a rise until either late this year or early next

Choppy market conditions overnight but net movements modest. Oil prices are lower. US Treasury yields push higher after earlier falls as risk of war in the Middle East fades. Domestic focus on RBNZ MPS

Choppy market conditions overnight but net movements modest. Oil prices are lower. US Treasury yields push higher after earlier falls as risk of war in the Middle East fades. Domestic focus on RBNZ MPS

Results from latest business survey for Reserve Bank show sharp rise in expectation of the level of inflation in two-year's time - the key timeframe the RBNZ looks at

Results from latest business survey for Reserve Bank show sharp rise in expectation of the level of inflation in two-year's time - the key timeframe the RBNZ looks at

US equity futures flat, US Treasury futures slightly higher, implying further modest downward pressure on yields. BofA fund manager survey shows record short positioning for the USD

US equity futures flat, US Treasury futures slightly higher, implying further modest downward pressure on yields. BofA fund manager survey shows record short positioning for the USD

Latest Reserve Bank quarterly Household Expectations Survey finds households expect inflation to be lower in future - but the downside is that they reckon the current rate of inflation's more than double what it is officially

Latest Reserve Bank quarterly Household Expectations Survey finds households expect inflation to be lower in future - but the downside is that they reckon the current rate of inflation's more than double what it is officially

Benign US CPI data supports a decline in US treasury yields. US equities were stable after the previous session's AI-driven selloff. Currency markets subdued

Benign US CPI data supports a decline in US treasury yields. US equities were stable after the previous session's AI-driven selloff. Currency markets subdued

The Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate review for the year won't see any changes to interest rates - but there will be plenty of other things to watch out for

The Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate review for the year won't see any changes to interest rates - but there will be plenty of other things to watch out for

US equities fall by more than 1%, US Treasury yields lower on risk-off vibe. Yen and ultra-long JGBs continue to rally after Takaichi's big election win

US equities fall by more than 1%, US Treasury yields lower on risk-off vibe. Yen and ultra-long JGBs continue to rally after Takaichi's big election win

Stronger than expected US labour market figures all round - payrolls up 130k, unemployment rate drops to 4.3%. Market pares expected rate cuts this year, US Treasuries curve flattens

Stronger than expected US labour market figures all round - payrolls up 130k, unemployment rate drops to 4.3%. Market pares expected rate cuts this year, US Treasuries curve flattens

In their forthcoming first economic outlook for the year, Westpac's economists now think there will be SIX hikes of the OCR during next year as the current excess capacity in the economy is swallowed up more quickly than earlier expected

In their forthcoming first economic outlook for the year, Westpac's economists now think there will be SIX hikes of the OCR during next year as the current excess capacity in the economy is swallowed up more quickly than earlier expected

Soft US retail sales data bolsters the case for Fed easing. US Treasury yields decline led by longer maturities. Yen gains against the US dollar while moves in other G10 currencies were modest

Soft US retail sales data bolsters the case for Fed easing. US Treasury yields decline led by longer maturities. Yen gains against the US dollar while moves in other G10 currencies were modest

Even as banks start to raise mortgage rates again, the yields on outstanding mortgages are continuing to drop, albeit slowly

Even as banks start to raise mortgage rates again, the yields on outstanding mortgages are continuing to drop, albeit slowly

Broadly weaker USD overnight. Strong rise in Japanese equities after PM Takaichi wins a strong mandate to govern. JPY recovers after early weakness

Broadly weaker USD overnight. Strong rise in Japanese equities after PM Takaichi wins a strong mandate to govern. JPY recovers after early weakness

BNZ economists think the Reserve Bank will start to raise interest rates in the third quarter of this year but won't want to signpost that yet in its first Official Cash Rate review for the year next week

BNZ economists think the Reserve Bank will start to raise interest rates in the third quarter of this year but won't want to signpost that yet in its first Official Cash Rate review for the year next week

ASB comes back again for more mortgage rate rises. Kiwibank also raises rates. They also adjusted TD rates up, but only to rivals' levels

ASB comes back again for more mortgage rate rises. Kiwibank also raises rates. They also adjusted TD rates up, but only to rivals' levels