OCR

Money markets, bank economists, and you, all struggle with assessing what will happen at the four OCR reviews to come in 2026 and the resulting interest rates moves

Money markets, bank economists, and you, all struggle with assessing what will happen at the four OCR reviews to come in 2026 and the resulting interest rates moves

Although the Reserve Bank is caught between a rock and a hard place, its priority should be not making things worse, Brian Fallow says

Although the Reserve Bank is caught between a rock and a hard place, its priority should be not making things worse, Brian Fallow says

Mixed messages from Middle East, with Trump dampening expectations for an imminent deal; Brent crude falls regardless. NZD and AUD the only notable FX movers after RBNZ's hawkish hold and softer Australian CPI data

Mixed messages from Middle East, with Trump dampening expectations for an imminent deal; Brent crude falls regardless. NZD and AUD the only notable FX movers after RBNZ's hawkish hold and softer Australian CPI data

‘I made an assessment on how I see these two forces.’ RBNZ Governor Anna Breman on her casting vote in May's OCR review

‘I made an assessment on how I see these two forces.’ RBNZ Governor Anna Breman on her casting vote in May's OCR review

Most economists predict the Reserve Bank will start raising the Official Cash Rate from July, following a split vote at May's Monetary Policy Committee meeting

Most economists predict the Reserve Bank will start raising the Official Cash Rate from July, following a split vote at May's Monetary Policy Committee meeting

Reserve Bank holds Official Cash Rate at 2.25% as expected, but needed the Governor’s casting vote after a 3-3 split vote

Reserve Bank holds Official Cash Rate at 2.25% as expected, but needed the Governor’s casting vote after a 3-3 split vote

Risk sentiment is softer as the market awaits progress on a US-Iran peace deal and after military clashes. NZD in steady fall in the lead-up to today's RBNZ MPS, matching lower domestic rates heading into the meeting

Risk sentiment is softer as the market awaits progress on a US-Iran peace deal and after military clashes. NZD in steady fall in the lead-up to today's RBNZ MPS, matching lower domestic rates heading into the meeting

Buoyant investor risk appetite on hopes a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz may be close. Global equities make solid gains pushing the MSCI world index to an all time high. Brent crude falls contributing to lower bond yields

Buoyant investor risk appetite on hopes a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz may be close. Global equities make solid gains pushing the MSCI world index to an all time high. Brent crude falls contributing to lower bond yields

S&P500 closed higher to extend its longest weekly winning streak since December 2023. Influential Fed Governor Waller pivots to a more hawkish stance. Market pricing a full 25bp Fed hike by December pushing front end rates higher

S&P500 closed higher to extend its longest weekly winning streak since December 2023. Influential Fed Governor Waller pivots to a more hawkish stance. Market pricing a full 25bp Fed hike by December pushing front end rates higher

Bank economists expect the RBNZ to keep the Official Cash Rate on hold on Wednesday as inflation uncertainty clouds the timing of future hikes

Bank economists expect the RBNZ to keep the Official Cash Rate on hold on Wednesday as inflation uncertainty clouds the timing of future hikes

Large swings in oil prices amid conflicting reports on US-Iran negotiations. Major equity markets little changed. Weak labour market data in Australia

Large swings in oil prices amid conflicting reports on US-Iran negotiations. Major equity markets little changed. Weak labour market data in Australia

Risk sentiment improved on hopes that the Middle East conflict is nearing an end, supported by signs of increased traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Strong rally across bond markets with US 10-year rate down

Risk sentiment improved on hopes that the Middle East conflict is nearing an end, supported by signs of increased traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Strong rally across bond markets with US 10-year rate down

Global bond selloff returns after a one-day pause; US 30-year rate hits highest level since 2007, joining other countries seeing multi-decade highs in long-term rates

Global bond selloff returns after a one-day pause; US 30-year rate hits highest level since 2007, joining other countries seeing multi-decade highs in long-term rates

Risk off with higher oil prices, higher global rates and weaker equity markets. US and Japan rates reach fresh milestone highs before moves fade. No developments to resolve the Mid East conflict

Risk off with higher oil prices, higher global rates and weaker equity markets. US and Japan rates reach fresh milestone highs before moves fade. No developments to resolve the Mid East conflict

Global bond yields extend higher on inflation concerns. 10-year US treasury yield reaches 4.60%. Higher rates undermine equities. S&P falls more than 1%. Brent crude trades above US$109 per barrel

Global bond yields extend higher on inflation concerns. 10-year US treasury yield reaches 4.60%. Higher rates undermine equities. S&P falls more than 1%. Brent crude trades above US$109 per barrel