OCR
ASB changes tack on the Reserve Bank's Official Cash Rate outlook, now expects July OCR pause as US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding cools oil prices
26th Jun 26, 11:52am
2
ASB changes tack on the Reserve Bank's Official Cash Rate outlook, now expects July OCR pause as US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding cools oil prices
Iranian Navy fires at ship crossing Strait Of Hormuz, following warnings. Oil prices rise. US core PCE rises, but not as high as some feared; UST 10-year rate falls
26th Jun 26, 7:47am
Iranian Navy fires at ship crossing Strait Of Hormuz, following warnings. Oil prices rise. US core PCE rises, but not as high as some feared; UST 10-year rate falls
[updated]
Following a split Official Cash Rate vote in May, UBS anticipates a more allied voting stance in the Reserve Bank’s July Monetary Policy Review. Westpac sees 2 hikes this year
25th Jun 26, 11:45am
7
Following a split Official Cash Rate vote in May, UBS anticipates a more allied voting stance in the Reserve Bank’s July Monetary Policy Review. Westpac sees 2 hikes this year
Oil prices continue to fall. Lower oil prices pull down global rates. USD continues to strengthen, building on the gains since the Fed's hawkish hold last week. Other major currencies probe fresh lows
25th Jun 26, 7:41am
Oil prices continue to fall. Lower oil prices pull down global rates. USD continues to strengthen, building on the gains since the Fed's hawkish hold last week. Other major currencies probe fresh lows
Risk appetite weaker, linked to selling pressure across semi-conductor and AI-related stocks. Global equity markets fall. Move supports lower global rates, overpowering concern about prospect of tighter US monetary policy
24th Jun 26, 7:44am
Risk appetite weaker, linked to selling pressure across semi-conductor and AI-related stocks. Global equity markets fall. Move supports lower global rates, overpowering concern about prospect of tighter US monetary policy
Brent crude prices dip towards US$78 per barrel on US-Iran talk optimism. US Treasury agrees a temporary waiver on Iran oil sanctions
23rd Jun 26, 7:48am
Brent crude prices dip towards US$78 per barrel on US-Iran talk optimism. US Treasury agrees a temporary waiver on Iran oil sanctions
A delay to US-Iran negotiations weighed on risk appetite and supported oil prices. NZD/USD saw only a limited recovery after falling to two-month lows. NZD was weaker on the crosses
22nd Jun 26, 7:21am
A delay to US-Iran negotiations weighed on risk appetite and supported oil prices. NZD/USD saw only a limited recovery after falling to two-month lows. NZD was weaker on the crosses
US-Iran MOU signing has led to an earlier end to the conflict and a re-opening of Hormuz; oil and gas is flowing freely; Brent crude probing fresh 3-mth lows. US equities rebound. USD strength returns, sending DXY index to highest in over a year
19th Jun 26, 7:52am
US-Iran MOU signing has led to an earlier end to the conflict and a re-opening of Hormuz; oil and gas is flowing freely; Brent crude probing fresh 3-mth lows. US equities rebound. USD strength returns, sending DXY index to highest in over a year
Economists don’t expect the latest GDP figures to have a large bearing on the Reserve Bank’s OCR outlook but ANZ says likely hike in July is ‘no longer the slam dunk it was’
18th Jun 26, 3:26pm
4
Economists don’t expect the latest GDP figures to have a large bearing on the Reserve Bank’s OCR outlook but ANZ says likely hike in July is ‘no longer the slam dunk it was’
Hawkish hold by the US Federal Reserve at Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as chairman. Front end US Treasury yields higher supporting the US dollar. US retail sales stronger than expected
18th Jun 26, 7:51am
Hawkish hold by the US Federal Reserve at Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as chairman. Front end US Treasury yields higher supporting the US dollar. US retail sales stronger than expected
Oil prices continue to tumble, ahead of the official signing of a US-Iran peace deal, seeing Brent crude trade down to USD79 per barrel; Iranian oil on the move already. BoJ rate hike and steady RBA policy both as expected
17th Jun 26, 8:04am
Oil prices continue to tumble, ahead of the official signing of a US-Iran peace deal, seeing Brent crude trade down to USD79 per barrel; Iranian oil on the move already. BoJ rate hike and steady RBA policy both as expected
Following May’s SPI figures, bank economists have revised their inflation projections for the June quarter and while the US-Iran deal is welcomed, it ‘doesn’t fully unwind the global oil supply shock’
16th Jun 26, 4:12pm
8
Following May’s SPI figures, bank economists have revised their inflation projections for the June quarter and while the US-Iran deal is welcomed, it ‘doesn’t fully unwind the global oil supply shock’
Petrol and diesel prices dip month-on-month, food prices rise 1% due to global milk prices increasing in May
16th Jun 26, 11:31am
Petrol and diesel prices dip month-on-month, food prices rise 1% due to global milk prices increasing in May
US-Iran MOU signed electronically, paving the way for the Strait of Hormuz to gradually reopen. Brent crude falls to US$83/bbl; solid gains in many equity markets. Muted reaction for bonds and currencies
16th Jun 26, 7:41am
US-Iran MOU signed electronically, paving the way for the Strait of Hormuz to gradually reopen. Brent crude falls to US$83/bbl; solid gains in many equity markets. Muted reaction for bonds and currencies
Hopes for diplomatic breakthrough to de-escalate conflict support equities. Oil prices swing but ultimately extend recent decline and reach lowest since mid-April. Conflicting narratives suggest ongoing uncertainty about the proposed US-Iran deal
15th Jun 26, 7:29am
Hopes for diplomatic breakthrough to de-escalate conflict support equities. Oil prices swing but ultimately extend recent decline and reach lowest since mid-April. Conflicting narratives suggest ongoing uncertainty about the proposed US-Iran deal