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Reader poll

Not until some time next year.
40% (10 votes)
It won't, this tightening cycle is done and dusted.
36% (9 votes)
Before the end of 2014.
24% (6 votes)
Total voters: 25

When do you think the Reserve Bank will resume increasing the Official Cash Rate?

Older polls


Biggest one day move in 2014 for NZD/USD

Explicit comments from RBNZ sends NZD/USD lower; US jobless claims beat expectation by nearly 10%; UK retail sales disappoint

90 seconds at 9 am: Low rate angst

US factory expansion; steep fall in US jobless claims; Euro services rebound; AU concern at low rates; UST 10yr 2.51%; NZ$1 = US$0.858, TWI = 79.9

RBNZ hikes, but signals pause

RBNZ signals "period of assessment"; NZ$ drops to 86 USc after Wheeler warns it could fall a lot; Pause may last til March; Door seen opening for NZ$ intervention

90 seconds at 9 am: China gold demand falls

IMF downgrades US in 2014, upgrades for 2015; China's provinces upbeat; Aust sees mortgage war, UST 10yr 2.46%; NZ$1 = US$0.868, TWI = 80.8

USD responds to higher inflation numbers

Upward trend for US inflation sees USD hit 6-week high against a basket of currencies; EURUSD pairing falls to 8-month low

90 seconds at 9 am: Markets ignore non-economic tensions

American inflation rises; house sales up; equities hit a new record on good earnings reports; NZ$1 = US$0.866, TWI = 80.7

Holding back, waiting for direction

Gold and oil rise, equities fall, as anxieties remain about Ukraine and Gaza; however currency markets subdued

90 seconds at 9 am: New China food scare

China restarts RMBS sales to bolster housing; another China food scare; UST 10yr 2.46%; oil markets reassured; NZ$1 = US$0.869, TWI = 80.9

Stars finally aligning for a weaker Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr says our 'rock star' economy is suffering from smaller audiences and declining fan interest because our rosy economic picture has wilted

Geopolitical events dominate

Despite risk aversion, NZD holds on to current levels, although that may change if tensions rise further