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Reader poll

National will be able to form a government without NZ First's support.
52% (34 votes)
National will need NZ First's support to be able to govern.
23% (15 votes)
Labour, the Greens and NZ First will be able to form a government.
18% (12 votes)
We get a hung parliament or minority government.
8% (5 votes)
Total voters: 66

What's the most likely election outcome?

Older polls


Boost from fresh China QE

Lower USD, flat GDT auction and big additional Chinese liquidity helps the NZD gain, gold and oil higher

90 seconds at 9 am: Big China decisions

Dairy prices don't fall; China's latest QE; China FDI sinks; corruption enquiry targets NZ; UST 10yr 2.57%; NZ$1 = US$0.818, TWI = 78.5

Equities mixed, NZD in tight range

Currency markets awaiting the Fed and the Scottish vote, US data disappoints

90 seconds at 9 am: China power dims

US factories stumble in August, up in September; China's power generation falls; OECD worries about the EU; markets await Fed; NZ$1 = US$0.818, TWI = 78.5

RBNZ statement more dovish than the expected bland

Roger J Kerr sees "one hell of a turnaround" by the RBNZ in the way they look at their 90-day interest rate projections

Why offshore investors are ditching the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr explains why international sentiment has turned against the $NZ, but why there won't be a 'massive currency devaluation'

NZD/USD in steady decline

NZD lower after strong US retail and consumer confidence; gold and oil down, equity markets mixed

90 seconds at 9 am: Crucial votes loom

US retail strong, consumers bullish; China industry slows; markets expect early US rate rises; oil and gold fall; UST 10yr at 2.61%, US; NZ$1 = US$0.815, TWI = 78.2

Hike expectations pushed out

NZD lower following dovish RBNZ MPS; gold down, oil up, most equity markets lower

90 seconds at 9 am: A sinking NZ dollar

US deficit narrows, jobless claims fall; China's inflation falls; Australia's big jobs gains; oil demand falling; NZ swap rates tumble; NZ$1 = US$0.818, TWI = 78.4