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Most viewed
Bernard Hickey slams John Key's tax reforms on TVNZ's Breakfast
Bernard Hickey slams John Key's tax reforms on TVNZ's Breakfast. For more reaction see today's Top 10 at 10.
35 Comments
Shon Key's performance was a
Shon Key's performance was a perfect demonstration of roll over.......... aaaaaand...sit now.(par Don my French)
Property Council don't bother flattering yourselves that "you" had any influence in this piss weak backdown........ That credit belongs squarley with bully boy bankers who have far too much vested interest to allow some johnny jump up in a suit to make decisions that involve thier MONEY./
You are a bloody idiot.
You are a bloody idiot. Why would X or Y want to stay in New Zealand under anything you'd like to see in this country when the majority of them wouldn't even get a tax cut from you but more importantly if they could actually come up with the money to buy their own they'd get strapped with a land tax on top of it.
In that video you basically stated all you want to see is a land tax and the top rate tax to go down. What you don't mention that X & Y will deplore is that you want interest rates re-added to student loans, working for families removed and significant cuts to Super Annuation and a raise in the age of retirement.
That doesn't look like a bright future for either the X or Y generation. Most of them won't get tax cuts, if they have children there will be no working for families, they will have to work for far longer, once they get a home they'll be swamped with a land tax. Interest on their student loans will return. Services will be cut everywhere since you want government GDP spending significantly cut. Then once they do retire they'll still be paying a land tax, they will get a very low pension, health costs will go through the roof and they won't have any money of their own. After all what are they going to retire on because its not housing you've taxed the hilt out of that.
I agree a land tax
I agree a land tax was needed. However would the PM really introduce a tax, where he would have to pay over 200,000 a year on his own properties. His mates would also have to pay huge amounts. Banks would also not be happy to see their cusomters owing more than their house is worth. (very risky) We need to either bring our house prices down, or increase our average wage. However this announcement will do neither.
The PM has shown from his own experience that you are better when you are young to live outside NZ to generate your wealth, and come back when you are financially secure. That is why so many NZers are leaving NZ.
You can't artificially push house
You can't artificially push house prices down, you can perhaps slow the growth. But despite what you do in housing there are still those who will invest in property. Half the reason things like a land tax etc are awful is because while they get some people out of the property game. It still punishes those who have just the house they're occupying or the farmer with a certain amount of hectares. The big punters will keep investing and they'll continue to get richer and we'll still have the same problems where most people can't buy a new home. House prices remain going up with rentals increased meaning still hard to buy a house.
As for average wages. Key has said across-the-board tax cuts with an increase in GST. Means people actually get to make decisions about what they spend. And as Hickey likes to go on and on and on about our horrible consumerist ways surely a GST increase is exactly what is needed.
Well, if I have spare
Well, if I have spare money to invest would I invest in the share market? Probably not. put my money with Financail Investment firm? Definately not! So don't put all the blame on prop investors.
Agreed GBMan..... it's not the
Agreed GBMan..... it's not the investors,, it's the playing field created for them, the rules that allow them to florish at the expense of a future generation, and the bully boy bankers who ensure the ground seed is available seasonal or not.
1 : Bernard is not
1 : Bernard is not " a bloody idiot ", he shaves neatly , no cuts at all .
2 : Bernard does care about Gen X & Y . Listen to wot he says : Key has given the green light to the ongoing transfer of wealth to the already well-off Baby Boomers .
3 : More bureaucrats to oversee the GST increase to 15 % , and to administer the compensatory packages to welfare recipients . That is sheer idiocy , on Key's part . Why bother ?
Bernard does not care about
Bernard does not care about Gen Y and X. Do you really think everything Bernard stands for is going to appeal to those generations? I don't think so. And a land tax or any tax change whatsoever adds more bureaucrats. That is a stupid point.
Bernard - you are probably
Bernard - you are probably a nice, honest and not entirely stupid individual. However, until you grasp some mathematical certainties, oddly enough related to interest, you will continue to miss the point.
Key is on a hiding to nothing - as is every leader around the world. The doubling-time thing gets every activity within a finite system - and we've hit the global supply-rate peak of a number of things.
This means a bumpy roller-coaster of a downward ride, and no wal does a growth-requiring fiat system survive that.
Whether the fiscal system collapses before the inevitable war over dwindling resources is a moot point - the only way to maintain something is to have something that is maintainable.
Do some homework, Bernard. Don't keep regurgitating the horsepoo you learnt in economics. They used to teach of a flat world too - a similar, and equally as bankrupt a concept, as perpetual growth.
Sorry Bernard, but I dont
Sorry Bernard, but I dont agree with a land tax. After pondering it for several weeks I decided against it. Just thinking about it now, it would probably influence me against buying a house/property, as it adds to the expense of owning a house (on top of rates etc). I am a Gen X/Y, and have no current plans to buy a over priced house, I'm happy to wait till they are back to a fair value (preferably undervalued).
After all, owning a house is a luxury, not a right.
I also think your mixing up genuine propetry investors (buy & hold very long term) with speculators & traders (oh I bought a house for $XXX, polished the floors & made $100k). I believe the IRD is chasing these punters up. I'd hate to be the guy who didn't declare his $8mill profits ;)
I'm waiting for the budget to make up my mind on Nationals plans. But one would have to assume if they align corporate/trust/top personal tax rates then they have removed a tax advantage gained by negatively gearing, so all those "investors" in the top income bracket may end up making changes to their portfolios to get back to positively geared.
"You can’t artificially push house
"You can't artificially push house prices down"...rubbish.
It would be a simple task of either increasing supply or cutting back demand.
A variable stamp duty ranging from 2% to 20% on property sold above 200K. The % rising at each 50K break. That would push prices down.
Slamming the immigration gates closed...now that would reduce demand and push down prices.
Imposing a mortgage levy ranging from 1% to 20% starting at 100K and rising 1% every 50K break.
Plenty of ways to "artificially push house prices down"
Any ideas why John Key
Any ideas why John Key was so limpwristed? have a look at the MP sitting next to him during the speech. he owns Tremains real estate agency.
Wally, <blockquote> Slamming the immigration
Wally,
Immigration gates won't get closed. Just cannot see it. Labour & National are wed to the idea of growth and immigration being the panacea for the near to mid term future.
Long term whether that is a good idea or not.? Pfffttt. Politicians long term outlook is 3 years. (at the outside)
@gingercrush It wouldn't actually be
@gingercrush It wouldn't actually be artificially driving house prices down. It would be rebalancing the tax system, so property didn't have so many advantages over other investments. The fact is that house prices have more than doubled over about 8 years, which is an artificial and unsustainable rise, on the back of favourable tax benefits. House prices should only be rising by the rate of inflation in an ideal tax situation.
The thing is gingercrush, the
The thing is gingercrush, the option currently being pursued is to maintain the status quo at the expense of bankrupting the country at about the time Gen X&Y will be hitting middle age.
So we get screwed either which way.
Also, I don't think a land tax punishes land owners any more than income tax punishes income earners. It is just another option the govt has in fulfilling its need to gather revenue to cover its expenses.
Putting aside alterior motives like bringing down land prices, there are some real advantages to land taxes. They can be very simple, VERY hard to avoid and apply to a much wider base than the current tax base (think how much tax Shania Twain pays for the priviledge of owning a massive chunk of our back-country - NONE). Ultimately, income can flee the country but land cannot.
A land tax, introduced hand in hand with substantial income tax reductions (so that the govt was revenue neutral) would have been a bold and visionary change that (whether it would work or not) would have been an honest attempt at bringing around a step-change in NZ's economic outlook.
@Wally "Slamming the immigration gates
@Wally "Slamming the immigration gates closed"¦now that would reduce demand and push down prices."
It is also offshore investors who are buying up NZ property, and they don't end up paying any tax. Introducing a land tax, would have meant that they would then have to pay tax, which would broaden our tax base outside NZ. ALso stomping down on offshore people buying property would be a good step. NZ houses should be being bought by people who live and work in NZ. Instead profits these offshore investors get from rent, goes offshore, which doesn't help NZ.
@Sam_M I agree. However there
@Sam_M
I agree. However there will be some people who will be negatively affected. Namely lifestyle property owners who retire on a small block of land. They will have very little income, but their land may be quite valuable. They will either have to continue to work to pay the land tax, or sell their lifestyle property. It may make lifestyle properties worth very little. In order to combat those types of problems, they will need lots of exceptions to make it fair, which will make it more difficult to administer.
Wally & P.D.K have to
Wally & P.D.K have to agree with you there, we need to get away from the idea of growth, and population growth through immigration, and make the 4.3 million that are already here more productive, educated, healthy, prosperous etc..
I would argue that population growth is BAD for NZ. Granted we are not growing that fast, according to Stats NZ, we are growing at 1.4% which means our population is doubling every 50 years. But still by 2060 we will have 9 million people .. is that really what we want ??
That also means double the number of houses/ fresh water/ sewerage systems/, double the cars on the roads, double our energy use, we need to double our energy production (coal / more dams / nuclear anyone?), double everything (crime, pollution, .. schools, hospitals .. you get the picture).
At what point do we have 'enough' people?? 10 million, 20m like Australia now? Personally the reason I like NZ is because of the LACK of people. Why do people think that growth is good?
Remember growth, any growth whether it be 1% or 5% is all exponential. exponential growth is ALWAYS unsustainable ..
The Irish are doing it
The Irish are doing it better
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/feb/08/ireland-suffering-austeri...
@gingercrush: "You can’t artificially push
@gingercrush: "You can't artificially push house prices down" - no but you can remove th reasons it is inflated.
We cant afford super at its prsent rate, WFF is awful in terms of encouraging over-sized families
regards
Bring on the land tax...
Bring on the land tax... would have cost me less than what he's going to do! ;o)
i voted for this man
i voted for this man and expected more, wont make the same mistake next time, spineless and a flip flopper, mind you now we know he can flip flop without shame, can he go back on his superanuation promise
Bernard has real class allowing
Bernard has real class allowing commentators like gingercrush to publish on his site. Only an idiot calls someone like Bernard an idiot. Some of the issues we are faced with at the moment have no good answers. Neither John Key nor Bernard Hickey have the solutions. We can however say firmly that the issues lie with the management of the world economy by Alan Greenspan Ben Bernanky and the rest of the Financial Oligarchs.
Life is not fair. The next generation must find it's own solutions it no good blaming the previous one. New Zealand is unfortunately likely to become a secluded retirement community for the wealthy elderly of the world. As it is those currently young and unemployed will be forced to move far out on to the risk curve to make their way many will fail some will not. Those that succeed will blaze a path for their generation. Bernard is a very good example of this. It was not all smooth sailing for the babyboomers either.
@ Nat "can he go
@ Nat
"can he go back on his superanuation promise"
- He should go back on his Superannuation promise. I thought it was a foolish thing to say.
@Dave /"- He should go
@Dave
/"- He should go back on his Superannuation promise. I thought it was a foolish thing to say."/
Nope. I disagree, Dave. There've been enough broken promises without *encouraging* more of them!
Hey Peter :) Raising the
Hey Peter :)
Raising the retirement age will become a necessity pretty soon!
He would be better to
He would be better to remove the 'interest free' from student loans. Are there any stats that show it is actually working at stopping people leaving.
/"Raising the retirement age will
/"Raising the retirement age will become a necessity pretty soon!/
Yes, sure, Dave. Agreed... but NOT before the next election.
My view is that big hairy audacious policy changes (like those ruled OUT yesterday) need to be offered to the electorate ... and not foisted upon us/snuck in under what Margaret Thatcher called the TINA ploy ("There IS No Alternative").
For all the rage, disappointment and diarrhoea John Key sparked yesterday he showed an understanding of that democratic principle.
Muldoon said he would scrap Kirk's National Super during the 75 election ... and then won the vote and did it. ... Damn him to hell. What a different country we'd have if that had still be in place, even dumbed down/watered down through the 1970s & 80s. (sigh) Alas poor Cullen fund? - P
Everything is always moving in
Everything is always moving in fast-motion guided by the notion that time= money. At my job, my co-workers are always multi-tasking and rushing to cram into a single day what realistically should be done in a week.
Bernard Hickey wanted a land
Bernard Hickey wanted a land tax - also capital gains tax - so that house pices would drop "a little bit" so that young NZers would think "gee, maybe one day I can own a house". Wouldn't these same young NZers have to pay the land tax, and the capital gains tax as they try to move on to better house? Isn't cutting personal tax and company tax creating both chances for personal saving & chances for economic growth, both of which will help young NZers save and be employed and presumably buy a house?
I fail to see what Bernard Hickey is hoping to achieve. It seems nothing but a declaration of war on property investors would have satisfied him. Now he's portraying himself as a champion of the young and the poor, and an enemy of the wealthy. This is real wolf-in-sheeps-clothing stuff.
@AAron: A land tax would
@AAron: A land tax would be a small %, say 0.25%...balanced with a tax cut...CGT, a familiy home would be exempt...
The idea is/was to re-balance the economy...the tax working group was a collection of great ppl, who's work has been largely ignored because of political ideology/ pork barrel politics. 0.25% on a land tax would effect X and Y less than 15% GST...
regards
Sorry Bernard, I think you
Sorry Bernard, I think you are out of order there. I am suddenly starting to be very impressed by John Key. His grasp of political subtlety is much greater than I realised.
John Key has stated quite openly that his approach is of incremental change that sticks rather than radical change that provokes a backlash. He is clearly testing the waters here, having ruled out the more radical changes as unacceptable (ie, they might or might not work economically but that is irrelevant if they will not work politically).
John Key is a political realist of a different type than we are used to. He does not hector and harangue as dear Aunty Helen did, but he is far from spineless (as I too feared at one stage). His power sharing with the Maori Party was a bold move by any count. He is a much more subtle operator than we expect.
@Rob, fairness??? What the hell
@Rob, fairness??? What the hell is fair about me being hit with the highest marginal tax rate on my income and yet struggling to afford a modest house within 20kms of my place of work for my young family.
Why the hell should I worry about fairness to lifestyle block owners with little income (which presumably means they are paying little tax) when I can't afford a house on a half fricking section.
Fairness my arse.
Roger Witherspoon said.......John Key is
Roger Witherspoon said.......John Key is a political realist of a different type than we are used to. He does not hector and harangue as dear Aunty Helen did, but he is far from spineless (as I too feared at one stage). His power sharing with the Maori Party was a bold move by any count. He is a much more subtle operator than we expect.
Roger.... any picture ,person or thing is always open to interpretation.
This man I believe is a corporate operator through and through and will gut you like a pig as and when the shareholders necessity dictates..........who pray tell are the "shareholders"
As to his liason with the Maori party.. that is little more than confirmation of the creedo... "diplomacy is the art of saying nice doggy untill you can pick up a big stick.
In true corporate fashion , he will gain the confidence of the Maori party... then set the cat amongst the pigeons.. so to speak
I believe these boys are working to a plan that may now have to be hurried along as the likelyhood of them not being re-elected increases.
When you hurry you tend to make more mistakes or errors of judgement.
Steven An equalisation of the
Steven
An equalisation of the top tax rates along with rising interest rates will see to bringing house prices down, or back in line with long term fundamentals.
Any meddling by the govt is likely to have unintended consequences, as we saw with the top tax rate going to 39c etc etc