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90 seconds at 9am: US GDP rebounds; Record US budget deficit; RBA rate hike due
Bernard Hickey details the key news over the long weekend in 90 seconds at 9am in association with the BNZ, including news that US GDP rose a stronger than expected 5.7% on an annualised basis in the December quarter, largely because of a rebuilding of stocks, rather than product actually sold.
The Dow fell on concerns about sustainability of the growth. Meanwhile, Barack Obama announced plans overnight for a record US$1.6 trln budget deficit (10% of GDP) this year, which he forecasts will drop to 4.2% of GDP by 2013, largely funded by taxes on the rich. However, US debt to GDP is expected to rise from 53% to 77% by 2020, taking it close to the area seen as dangerously high.
Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to hike the official cash rate there by 0.25% to 4% later this afternoon. This opens up the gap between NZ on 2.5% and Australia on 4% to 1.5%, the biggest deficit seen since the introduction of the OCR in New Zealand in 1999.
Meanwhile New Zealand will report jobs figures on Thursday that expected to show the jobless rate up to 6.8% from 6.5%.
8 Comments
It's worth noting <b><a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/we-
It's worth noting John Mauldin's comments on the US GDP figure. Not optimistic....and the wider article in which these are embedded is a good read, too.
Obama's budget appears to have
Obama's budget appears to have a hint of " magic beans " about it . If the government can help create jobs - particularly within the badly hit middle-class - then tax revenue to the IRS will rise , and fix the budget hole which was dug in the pursuit of .............. creating jobs .
However , a cut has been made to a group of wastrals who have been burning a hole in the tax man's pocket for decades . A $ 100 B funding cut for NASA . A moon-boot up the arse for you !
Hang on RT...the RE liars
Hang on RT...the RE liars were counting on that moon pasture as the next boom in land sales. They have all the advertising ready to go....the signs are ready and the trainee sales staff are about to get their moon degrees posted out.
Too late , Wally .
Too late , Wally . Someone has got the best locales shored up . When the astronauts return ( eventually ) , they'll be greeted by golden arches . Green cheese on your moon-burger , Sir ? MacD's really are everywhere !
My favourite way of visualizing
My favourite way of visualizing the US debt: it is equivalent to having borrowed $2.46 every day since the beginning of time.
http://goldnews.bullionvault.com/us_debt_011620102
GDP figures in America -
GDP figures in America - are these not the same people who said everything was just dandy fine and that the only way was up? Why on earth would any Kiwi believe anything coming out the good ol US of A?
Re The Yanks I think
Re The Yanks
I think it's fair to say that vested interests have captured the govt (particularly the senate) to the point that the president struggles to get anything done if it's not what the nation's boardroom desire...compare the passage of the Patriot Act (lots of expensive new security measures!) vs the Healthcare Bill.
And for that reason, should we be persuing a free trade deal with a democracy as broken as the states?
For best result, you might
For best result, you might want to start the video and pause it for about 10 sec before resuming it. This is to allow the video to play it in your screen smoothly without any intermediate stoppage.