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Have your say: 2025 Taskforce to recommend flat tax, govt spending cuts
Television New Zealand's Guyon Espiner has reported that Don Brash's 2025 Taskforce will recommend on Monday afternoon that the government radically reform the tax system to bring in a flat income and corporate tax rate of between 20% to 25%, but that no capital gains tax is needed. Espiner also reported the Taskforce was likely to recommend more privatisation and the reduction some social services. John Key was reported as rejecting the recommendations before they had been made. "We campaigned on some key and core commitments and we're not going to break those promises to New Zealanders. That's not to say we can't pick our way through the report and find something that might add to New Zealand's economic performance, but where we specifically campaigned on something then I'm not going to break my word," Key says. Espiner said the reported questioned why a number of social services and benefits were universal. The commission was understood to have looked at restricting access to free student loans. My view
It's very early to judge either the content of the Taskforce's report or the government's reaction when it isn't due out until 1.30 pm on Monday. I'm going to be in the lockup in Wellington and will report much greater detail on our site at 1.30 pm. But the suggestions reported by Guyon are not unexpected. The fairly sweeping rejection from Key appears disappointing on the surface. It's hard to believe he would commission the report and then write it all off on the grounds it breaks election promises. Key seems interested in cherry picking the bits that arn't too offensive or haven't already been ruled out by him either before or after the election. My concern is that John Key's beliefs seem to be like pre-cooked sausages. He cooked them before the election and that's it. Let's hope he'll make some new beliefs before the next election. Your view? We welcome your comments and insights in the comments below.
34 Comments
Difficult for Key to dismiss
Difficult for Key to dismiss core findings of the Tax Task-force , if most of their recommendations are revenue neutral , to the government . Key is still missing the essential point that our economy has become unbalanced . And those imbalances may lead to an exodus of the young to Australia , if we cannot make NZ an economically attractive place to stay . We are already so far behind Oz , and they have their own report in the pipe-line , to further enhance their fiscal strength . The pressing need for us to shift taxation from production towards consumption appears to have eluded John Key . As has the need to scale down all-comprehensive government " services ", we simply cannot afford them . Get with the programme , Mr Prime Minister , or the electorate will send you a " Dear John " .
"..... but that no capital
"..... but that no capital gains tax is needed.
Espiner also reported the Taskforce was likely to recommend more privatisation and the reduction some social services."
errr, that's a surprise - not.
"It's very early to judge either the content of the Taskforce's report or the government's reaction when it isn't due out until 1.30 pm on Monday."
a surprise - not.
Betcha don't believe in Santa
Betcha don't believe in Santa either , Les . Oooooh , you curmudgeon , you . ( gotta go and be brutal to the city's newspapers , catcha in the morn. )
“….. but that no capital
""¦.. but that no capital gains tax is needed.
And the day after what conference is happening at Vic Uni?
New Zealand cannot privatise its
New Zealand cannot privatise its way to prosperity. It simply doesn't work that way. Don Brash and ACT may be keen on privatisation, but they are simply wrong. Privatisation is an idea that has been and gone. Check out John Kays article in the FT on UK privatisations. He concludes that they have simply not worked. They made the management into Lottery winners, made money for bankers and consultants. However what they did not do was lower costs for consumers (excluding those better explained by technology changes) or create world class companies. The similarities between the poor performance of Telecom and BT are illuminating. Privatisation of monopoly businesses is a disaster for New Zealand. The idea that ownership does not matter has been discredited by experience .If Don and the boys want to be seen as credible they had better up their game and change their tune or retire and give someone else a go as the amount of media oxygen they consume is smothering real debate.
Strongly agree with Roger -move from Tax on Production to Tax on consumption.
Giles - good points. Roger
Giles - good points.
Roger - dont expect much from John Key. He was a banker, not a businessman.
Don't worry, I'm sure Jonkey
Don't worry, I'm sure Jonkey will show strong leadership and make the difficult decisions needed to deliver the easy does it minor changes that will make stuff all difference to anything in the long run, and willl satisfy most of the people's cultural guardian instincts for the next few months until some other major issue contronts the nation such as whether the duck shooting season should be extended.
I think this is the
I think this is the FT article Giles is referring to:
How the market proved no panacea for BT
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/788d77c6-d3b2-11de-8caf-00144feabdc0.html?cati...
But what do you expect from John Kay, after all he' a CASPer, eh Roger.
I've done a NZ contexted review of his book, 'Culture and Prosperity' here, link through from top of page:
http://www.mea.org.nz/events.aspx
He uses NZ and Argentina as examples of countries as once rich, but become/becoming poor. Funny that, not!
So nuff said to all the 'Free Market Fantasizers, now something for all you Politburo'esque 'central planners' out there, more from Kay's FT columns:
Chaotic evolution defines the market economy
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/9f490100-c8c7-11de-8f9d-00144feabdc0.html?ncli...
Evolution is the real hidden hand in business
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3ff65514-ad28-11de-9caf-00144feabdc0.html
Soooo, it looks like he's agin privatisation, and central planning, hmmmm, very contradictory that. Mindboggling, to 'Orthodoxite TINAs', left and right alike, huh - unless your'e a CASPer, eh Roger.
Forgive me for the friendly trolling Roger, but just wondering if you've become a CASPer yet? Can you ever see your cuzzie as a CASPer?
http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/11/19/guest-opinion-w...
Fran O'Sullivan has good article
Fran O'Sullivan has good article is The Herald on this topic,,
Tax cuts in plan to catch up with Oz
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10612472&p...
I don't normally find much to laugh at in Fran O's articles, however, these directly reported bits seemed not a little ironic. Re. killing The Cullen Fund:
"The taskforce also believes such a step would remove the temptation for politicians to use the fund for political purposes."
And, "Dr Brash told the Herald last night the Ministers of Finance and Economic Development had asked the taskforce to "give its best professional judgment and leave political considerations to one side". However,
"The taskforce is also understood to have recommended against introducing a capital gains tax on property - one of the issues examined by the Taxation Working Group."
I'm all for 'joined up thinking', but it's like the TINAs have got all hands to the pump from where ever they can be found. Bless. As I said, "NZ's amusing interpretation of Neo.lib'ism", second para, here:
http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/11/06/opinion-how-neo...
<blockquote> “We campaigned on some
That rather sums up John Key and his self-centred view of the world. Quietly ignore that he was elected to lead, or perhaps even to deliver government in the interests of N.Z, and put his own image first. From a prime minister that is dereliction of duty.
No progress until the property
No progress until the property ponzi stupidity is brought to an end. Families need affordable housing. It means disposable income increases. Consumption can increase. Tax revenue improves. Employment improves. Banks harvest falling profits...
"AAArrrrhhhh we can't have that....bugger the families...keep the bubble going no matter what...tell the peasants anything..jeeez that was too close for comfort...who brought that idea into the Cabinet room?...I will not have ideas in this Cabinet room that threaten bank profits....."
I haven't read much on
I haven't read much on this report only heard a little on the radio this morning. But I'm surprised they have a report out already -- Brash's group haven't been togetjher very long , so how much thought / work has gone into it ??
According to the Herald they
According to the Herald they are going to recommend road pricing which is a good idea. I dont see why Key would have a reason to reject that as being contradictory to his mandate.
Hi all, Here is the
Hi all,
Here is the taskforce's website which has all the submissions etc.
http://www.2025taskforce.govt.nz/index.htm
Cheers
Alex
Well Les you've had plenty
Well Les you've had plenty to chew on haven't you! This debate is really getting warmed up now and not just on these blogs either. Pretty soon there are going to be some decisions made and let us all remember deciding to do nothing is actually still a decision.
It will be interesting to hear what the Labour Party politicians have to say about all this. More socialist rhetoric about defending the people I guess after they have taken the last nine years to royally screw them by ensuring the landscape will rob them of opportunity in well paying jobs.
yes - terrible policy. But
yes - terrible policy. But as i continually repeat, not as bad as Aus. Comments from Rick Battellino (RBA deputy) last week justified Aus house prices. one of the reasons given was that Aussies spend more on their houses, whereas Americans prefer to spend more on things to put in their houses. Hmmm, powerful reasoning that.
Mathew: <blockquote> I dont see
Mathew:
I can't remember Key being given a mandate. We disliked his team and ideas less than the team that came in second. He is part of a government that includes 'non-mandated' parties.
I keep coming back to
I keep coming back to William's romantic comedy..."Much ado about nothing"...seems to sum up the Brash humbug. This whole exercise has been about keeping the public in a fog of hope and the lobby groups preoccupied chasing each other round Don Brash. It is a stew of opinions that has been kept simmering away for months with the vapours wafting through the media and up the nostrils of those who thought their opinions would improve the final dish. In the end the cook will declare the stew tastes of too much "NO" and needs to be put away for many months, if not years, to allow the "NO" to go.
"In the end the cook
"In the end the cook will declare the stew tastes of too much "NO" and"... introduce their own pigshead instead.
Politcal games - scare the population with the worst possible option so that when they introduce something a little less disturbing, Joe blogs relaxes in a sigh off relief, instead of being up in arms.
Decades from now, mothers will
Decades from now, mothers will threaten their sprogs with a plate of Brash Stew. That'll make the little buggers behave themselves.
Re: Tax Reform Too many
Re: Tax Reform
Too many welfare dependants and socialists in this country to allow such a change to the tax system unfortunately.
Hmm...... I wonder how many
Hmm...... I wonder how many of them voted for National?
"Where’s Your Backbone Mr Key?"
"Where's Your Backbone Mr Key?"
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PA0911/S00463.htm
"How spineless do you have to be to dismiss a report before it has even been released in order to try to stop the public debating these kinds of issues? John Key has a remarkable ability to dismiss expert advice when he believes it may conflict with his personal popularity," Sir Roger said.
<b>Mike M</b> : That is
Mike M : That is why leaders are elected to .............LEAD ! I was living in Oz during the Hawke / Keating era . Alot was not discussed with the public . They made changes ( think of the compulsory super. scheme ) without a mandate . And took the risk of backlash into the next election . These two endured due to more good policy than bad . They had chutzpah , pizzazz , and vision . Anything similar amongst the Key / English team ?
Interesting..... (from page 98) "As
Interesting..... (from page 98)
"As already noted, we do not share the popular view that the income tax system treats leveraged purchases of investment rental properties in a way inconsistent with other assets, especially other real assets. Un-leveraged owner-occupied housing can certainly be seen as being treated in a preferred manner (an issue dealt with in the McLeod review of the tax system in 2001). But any bias is not obviously greater in New Zealand than in many other countries."
The govt is borrowing a
The govt is borrowing a billion dollars a month... so lets cut taxes, what planet are these guys on?
We'll be right up there with a debt like Dubai soon the way we are going, at least they will have something to show for it though unlike us.
<b>phil</b> the tax cuts, which
phil the tax cuts, which increase productivity by leaving money in the hands that earned it as a fair reward for risk and previous investment, and hence allowing bigger profits available to be invested in further production, rather than bureaucrats salaries - because business expenditures drive growth, not consumption, and all government spending is consumption - but more than that, the main point of this report is to state the size of the 'State' has to be curtailed down to government spending of 29% of GDP, rather than its current 50%.
From that type of cut in government (waste) spending, the tax cuts are consistent.
This is the direction NZ has to go.
<i>phil Says: November 30th, 2009
phil Says:
November 30th, 2009 at 2:13 pm
The govt is borrowing a billion dollars a month"¦ so lets cut taxes, what planet are these guys on?
Plus Nzers are also borrowing billions privately to buy houses. I'm wondering how NZ isn't yet bankrupt, as we are spending more than we earn.
Recommendation 36 All parliamentarians should
Recommendation 36
All parliamentarians should dig for gold on the SI Westcoast for a week just on bread and wine to prepare for the real life in 2012.
bollix Walter..make the buggers grub
bollix Walter..make the buggers grub variegated thistles on 70 degree slopes in 30 degree heat.
No news in this; Brash
No news in this; Brash has blown the dust off his old manifesto. He must be our number one recycler. Oh, and look who's in there, but our old friend Sir Roger. What a surprise. No wonder Key, being a canny politician, didn't even wait until the report was out to say he would not act on it THIS TERM. When will he act on it?
What's the point of the taskforce report? Is it a tester to see how loud the squawks are, therefore what National can get away with after the next election?
More to the point, when is a govt full of alleged businessmen and bankers going to come up with a humane and achievable long-term plan to haul NZ out of the mire of debt instead of reusing the same old economic equivalent of mushroom compost?
The Control freaks (Govt, Banks
The Control freaks (Govt, Banks and other money lenders) have taken advantage of Bernard's persistence in pushing for land tax over CGT that they are now signalling thro the media that the changes to NZ tax system will pretty much be,
1 increase GST
2 intro property tax
3 reduce top tax to 30%.
This will mean that the average person will pay a lot more to live. While those who live a life a kin to a money trader will be able to carry on there way of obsession with money and getting one over every else.
The fact that the Govt will end up taxing new zealanders income, saving, spending, local body rates and now their home, makes this country pretty queer.
The biggest problem for NZ wether we are in a recession or a boom is the amount of borrowing and lack of saving. I'm amazed that so many intelligent people can't identify this. We need to have tax-free income from saving for all individuals. This would encourage people to save which would reduce the inflation rate, lower interest rate for domestic burrowers and help to hold down the exchange rate of the New Zealand dollar.
But the money lenders would not be happy, unfortunately a certain group including the Government (GST) Banks and others is hell bent on making New Zealand a low income, high cost country.
Mark H, gov't spending (according
Mark H, gov't spending (according to the Fran O'Sullivan article) is 37.3% of GDP this financial year.... not that that is much comfort however!
And Mark (without the H) regarding page 98 - unbelievable. Didn't someone once call the Brits a nation of shopkeepers? Well, Dr. B. must have a vision for 2025 where instead we are a nation of slum landlords! And I bet there is no recommendation for the Government to cease its subsidy of private rents by way of cutting the accommodation supplement.
I don’t think Stephenie Meyer
I don't think Stephenie Meyer has sold the rights to Breaking Dawn. there going to be a Breaking Dawn movie? If you are not sure of that, then do you wish there is going to be
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