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Parliamentary committee slams Australian owned banks

Posted in News

Parliament's Finance and Expenditure Committee has issued a report challenging New Zealand's Australian-owned banks to pass on more of the April 30 cut in the Official Cash Rate and to treat New Zealand businesses fairly. The committee said in its report into the Reserve Bank's May Financial Stability Report that it was surprised bank profits had not fallen further in the last year.

"We are concerned that some banks have not passed on the latest 50-basis-point cut to the official cash rate (OCR) in their interest rates for floating mortgages. The Reserve Bank was disappointed at the response of the banks' floating mortgage rates to the latest OCR cut -- only two major banks, Westpac and ANZ National, have reduced their floating mortgage interest rates significantly," the Committee said, adding however that a large portion of the 575 basis points of cuts since mid 2008 had been passed on. "In view of our concern that OCR cuts are not being passed on in their entirety, we asked why mortgage rates do not appear to reflect the price that the New Zealand banks are paying to fund their mortgage lending," it said. "The Reserve Bank commented that longer-term mortgage rates are influenced more by overseas term rates and deposit rates than by the OCR. However, the OCR has a significant effect on floating mortgage rates through its influence on short-term wholesale rates," it said. "We are surprised and concerned that longer-term mortgage rates have risen recently, even though conditions in bank funding markets have started to ease. The Reserve Bank explained that international swap rates increased at the same time as many banks and Governments raised funds from the markets. As a result, longer-term rates remained high." "To maximise the positive effect of the OCR cuts on the economy, we urge banks to pass on OCR cuts to their interest rates to the maximum extent possible," the Committee said. "We were very surprised to learn that despite the severe impact of the current recession on business and household liquidity, bank profits declined only marginally in the past year, and principally as a result of provisioning against future credit losses." The committee said it "would expect that the banking sector would take on a greater role in sharing the burden of the current recession." "Reducing interest-rate margins can help relieve the burden on mortgage holders and corporate borrowers. We consider that banks could further reduce interest-rate margins whilst maintaining an acceptable level of profitability," the Committee said. "In view of the relative resilience of profits in the banking sector, we are concerned that taxpayers are, in effect, subsidising banks through the Government's retail deposit guarantee scheme. The Reserve Bank agreed to a certain extent. In contrast, the Reserve Bank did not see the wholesale funding guarantee facility as an effective subsidy, because banks accessing funds from this facility have to pay "market rates"." The Committee's report said "some of us consider it vital that banks neither insulate their profit margins nor charge excessively high interest rates at the expense of the real economy and the taxpayers, because of the potential adverse consequences for businesses and households." "The Reserve Bank noted that banks' behaviour tends to be pro-cyclical-providing easy access to credit in booms, tightening credit supply in downturns," it said. "The Reserve Bank said that it has discussed interest rates and profit margins with the banks. We encourage the Reserve Bank to continue to work closely with the banks to help provide credit to the economy on reasonable commercial terms that reflect monetary policy settings and prevailing market conditions." The Committee also said it was vital the "Australasian banks treat Australian and New Zealand firms on an equal footing." "The Reserve Bank commented that Australasian banks might offer different lending terms to Australian and New Zealand firms because the New Zealand subsidiaries of Australian banks operate separately from their parents. However, the Reserve Bank pointed out that both Australian firms and New Zealand firms face difficulty obtaining credit," it said. The Reserve Bank was investigating whether banks had unreasonably withheld credit supply. "It assured us that it is pressuring local banks to continue lending to creditworthy customers on reasonable terms," it said. "We encourage the Reserve Bank to continue monitoring closely the lending terms offered by Australasian banks to New Zealand firms." Here is new ANZ National CEO Jenny Fagg interviewed by Sean Plunket on National Radio. My opinion on this issue is here.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

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The Committee also said it

The Committee also said it was vital the "Australasian banks treat Australian and New Zealand firms on an equal footing."

Is that statement even the slightest bit testable? Is it possible that Australian and New Zealand firms might be treated differently because they face different operating environments? Y'know, what with being in different countries and all.

As for bank profits not falling much, all I'll say is come back in a years' time.

Bernard, have you done any

Bernard, have you done any analysis of Kiwibank's latest disclosure statement, in particular on their lending growth?

I'm going to set up

I'm going to set up a clothing factory to supply the Finance & Expenditure Committee members' brown shirts. I already sold one a few weeks back to Gerry to help him bring those dang power companies into line, and he said he looked real good in it.

And why has nobody on this committee got any sort of qualification: at least that's what I'm assuming, given none of them are very bright, or, versed in economics. You'd had thunk after making one big Betty of a Bubble, and bursting it so spectacularly, they'd be just a little less hasty wanting to create the next to destroy the next generation's savings.

So how many members on this committee, their salaries? I reckon we can start slimming down the size of government right here.

The committee said it "would expect that the banking sector would take on a greater role in sharing the burden of the current recession."

Oh superb. Look, the committee members are also recommending that the country do away with politicians perks: free air travel after leaving office, all the other baubles. All the perks are going so the parasites, sorry, politicians can 'share the burden of the current recession'. And only fair since they alone created it.

"expect", "encourage", "urge" - I'm

"expect", "encourage", "urge" - I'm sure wish and wishing must have been in there somewhere too, they usually are. As in policy ain't working, but like rabbits in the headlights we are going to sit in this position and maintain the status quo come what may.

I wish too, because we can be pretty certain what's coming, based on this kind of effort.

Parliament’s Finance and Expenditure Committee

Parliament's Finance and Expenditure Committee members needs to get out of their cot and have a look at what has happened to many banks overseas. There are countries called Ireland, Iceland, USA and something called the EU where there have been banks falling over or where their governments have been putting in taxpayers money. This has not happened in New Zealand. Why?

I am pleased our banks are profitable. This brings stability. I have money with them and don't want to loooooose it. I bet the members of Parliament's Finance and Expenditure Committee put their money with finance companies. That is if they had the ability to earn and save any which I doubt.

The comments from the Finance

The comments from the Finance and Select committee are about protecting New Zealand's Economic Sovereignty which it seems many with self interests are prepared to sell to the highest bidder.

Comments about Brown Shirts and the like are very misplaced in this context and on this group of people. Have a look at who the members are (below), their qualifications, their party affiliations and ask "why did this group of people come to these conclusion after talking to Dr Bollard and Treasury officials"

Perhaps because it's in the National interest, perhaps it's because the top 4 banks make more profit then the NZX 50, perhaps it's because of the repatriated profit leaving New Zealand every year from these banks or perhaps it's because the higher interest rates effect the real economy via the exchange rate, perhaps it's because they want to see a New Zealand where Gen X and Y don't have to sell their childrens birthright to take part in society due to the indebtedness that the baby boomers got them into. Start thinking New Zealand. What has happened and is happening doesn't serve our future well.

We need Kiwi Bank to be recapitalized and start lending to our business sector and to be used as a macroeconomic tool for the Reserve Bank to help control the behavior of foreign banks. Imagine a New Zealand where Bank Profits stayed in our country, to serve our businesses, our farmers and our people. It's just a thought. Perhaps if that happened we just might start to reduce our dependencies on foriegn capital.

Profile of Select Committe below

Craig Foss (Chairperson) Nat
Hired by the Bank of New Zealand (BNZ), treasury in Wellington, Managed the BNZ Singapore treasury office for six months in 1990. During his time at the BNZ he covered most financial instruments and was rapidly promoted leading to the position of Chief Dealer Long Term Interest Rates in 1991. Credit Suisse Financial Products, London, (CSFP), employed Craig in 1993. After managing the financial risks across many European markets, he was appointed to Director of European Trading in 1996. In 1998 Craig moved to Tokyo, to manage CSFP's Japan and Pacific trading operations. This period also saw him promoted to Managing Director.

David Cunliffe (Labour): Int Bacc, United World College of the Atlantic 1982-1982 ,BA (Hons1), University of Otago 1986-1986 ,Dip Soc Sci (Distinction) in Economics, Massey University 1993-1993, MPA, Harvard University 1994-1995, Fullbright Scholar, Harvard University, Kennedy Memorial Fellow, Harvard University

Amy Adams (Nat) :Canterbury University LLB first class Honours in 1992. Before being elected she was a partner with Mortlock McCormack Law in Christchurch specialising in commercial and property law

Raymond Huo (Labour): BA, Anhui University, Hefei, LLB, China University of Political Science and Law, Beijing, LLB, University of Auckland, MLitt (First Class Honours), University of Auckland

David Bennett (Nat): Victoria University LLB Honours and a Bachelor of Commerce and Administration.

John Boscawen (Act)
John is also a member of the NZ Institute of Chartered Accountants, the NZ Institute of Directors and an associate member of the NZ Business Roundtable.

Brendon Burns (Labour)
12 years in the Parliamentary Press Gallery. As Editor of The Marlborough Express for seven years, I led various community initiatives and won the country's top journalism award - a term at Cambridge University

Rahui Katene (Maori): LLB, Victoria University of Wellington, 1992

Peseta Sam Lotu-Iiga (Nat): Auckland Grammar School, Auckland University BCom/LLB and MCom(Hons), MBA from the University of Cambridge (Queens College).

Stuart Nash (Lab) : Master of Management (Auckland University), Master of Forestry Science (Canterbury University), Post Graduate Diploma Business (Auckland University), Post Graduate Diploma Forestry (Canterbury University), Bachelor of Arts (Victoria University)

Dr Russel Norman (Greens)
A doctorate in politics

Chris Tremain (National)
Chris was born and raised in Napier, attending primary school in Taradale, and Napier Boys High School where he was head boy in 1984.

We must be the only

We must be the only country in the world complaining that our banks are profitable. Most are currently complaining their banks are loss making, insolvent and close to failure

Selwyn - "We need Kiwi

Selwyn - "We need Kiwi Bank to be recapitalized and start lending to our business sector and to be used as a macroeconomic tool for the Reserve Bank to help control the behavior of foreign banks. Imagine a New Zealand where Bank Profits stayed in our country, to serve our businesses, our farmers and our people. It's just a thought."

It's a very good thought, but it's not going to happen with "expect", "encourage",
"urge" and wishing. It is going to need a positive decision by gov.

Why doesn't it happen?

Selwyn: Your response is a

Selwyn: Your response is a political response. You need to take a financial/business approach.

Selwyn says: "The comments from the Finance and Select committee are about protecting New Zealand's Economic Sovereignty which it seems many with self interests are prepared to sell to the highest bidder".

The best way for a business to protect jobs and keep supplying it's customers is to keep making a profit. By the banks staying profitable they are protecting 'New Zealand's Economic Sovereignty'.

Selwyn says: "Comments about Brown Shirts and the like are very misplaced in this context and on this group of people. Have a look at who the members are (below), their qualifications, their party affiliations and ask "why did this group of people come to these conclusion after talking to Dr Bollard and Treasury officials".

The committee should have been talking to people who have lost money in finance companies (the finance companies were not profitable!) and people (especially business) who had money or loans in banks in USA, Ireland, Iceland, UK, EU and many others. The committee members (and then possibly people like Selwyn) would realise that profit is actually the lessor evil. New Zealand would be in a lot worse situation if our banks were making a loss like in the USA, UK, EU, Ireland, Iceland.

<i>Comments about Brown Shirts and

Comments about Brown Shirts and the like are very misplaced in this context and on this group of people.

Not at all misplaced. While old school socialists believe that the State should control the means of production, the National Socialists believed in private ownership, but that the State should have utter and absolute control over the lives of the individuals who make up the private ownership, first by public outings and bullying, then it progresses ...

From a production economics point of view, if it looks like a fascist act, call it such.

Every time a committee of government busy bodies attempts to control like this, they are attacking my freedom.

And as for the hypocrisy of expecting the private sector to 'share the burden' of a government caused recession, while governments continue to grow the size of the unproductive, parasitic State, that's just disgusting.

Parliament’s Finance and Expenditure Committee

Parliament's Finance and Expenditure Committee is political...or put another way their comments will be populist rather than factual....
In the same way protectionism turned the '29 recession into a depression.

On the other hand, the banks must remain profitable for stabilyty...the question then is "how profitable" same as before or like most other companies have to down grade returns to shareholders.

And like other institutions/companies, if they make bad investments they have to carry the can...is this happening? , are banks maintaining previous profit levels in spite of 100% loans going belly up by having current lenders subsisting maintaining profit levels and then doing a spin blaming EVERYTHING on increased cost off shore?

If say Fonterra invests in a company in say China...and it goes belly up, who cares the can ? does Fonterra right the loss off or do they screw the consumer by creating a cartel with competitors to maintain profits and profit increases?

I think so...
Sure all the fundamentals show inflation hitting longer terms and rates reflect this.
BUT when all/most of other companies are showing declines in profits, and bank bad debts are rising it just doesnt follow that bank profits are still up.

There is a case for both sides and the answer is somewhere inbetween...and even if the answer is somewhere in between it still means the banks are screwing their customes....with an across the industry uniform polices of operation.

Parliament’s Finance and Expenditure Committee

Parliament's Finance and Expenditure Committee is a standing joke. "The Committee's report said "some of us consider it vital that banks neither insulate their profit margins nor charge excessively high interest rates at the expense of the real economy and the taxpayers, because of the potential adverse consequences for businesses and households." Gotta be the biggest laugh of the decade, so far, expect more of this claptrap garbage in the weeks ahead. I would enjoy knowing which morons are in the 'some of us' group.

If the Committee wants to

If the Committee wants to help the NZ consumer & taxpayer, then reduce taxes so we can by stock in profitable companies like these banks and then the dividends and any capital gains on share sales can be repatriated back to NZ and/or kept in NZ. It's that simple.

Mark, how can The Maori

Mark, how can The Maori Party, Labour Party, National Party and Act all be Brown Shirts. Like it or not (and I assume not) these people have some influence a) on what the public think and b) on what government does. Its interesting how you can dismiss entire sections of society with your sweeping comments and ignore there privileged access to information you dont have, their focus on the subject, their multi party position on that subject.

Will it make a scrap of difference in itself NO. Think about what we are saying here. The Governor of the Reserve bank, the PM, the Minister of Finance and now the Select Committee have all "ASKED" the banks to play fair.

Does that not worry anyone. Do you not realise we have become beholden as a country to Corporate Bankers. I didn't vote for a Bank to rule New Zealand and I doubt many would.

I am a businessman Mark and I know all the issues involved in building and maintaining profitable businesses. This isn't about common sense it is truly about Economic Sovereignty and call that any name you like. To me it's our right, to manage our country in the interests of our citizens. If something is not in the National Interest then why the hell would you do it. I think it's time we all focused on the future, not our baby boomer nest eggs.

@Bernard I have read and

@Bernard

I have read and heard you discuss your views on whether the bank rates are too high, how its related to the overseas cost of borrowing etc etc.

Something I havn't heard you discuss is whether you think the floating rates get bundled in this also, or whether these could be considered something the OCR rate may have a bearing on. Im not a financial guy, so im wanting to know if the ocr would have an effect on this, or whether this money is also funded from overseas and from local deposits [which are requiring a higher rate at the moment]

Thx

Westpac raises long term mortgage

Westpac raises long term mortgage rates less than a day after Parliamentary report.

http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/06/10/westpac-raises-...

<i>Mark, how can The Maori

Mark, how can The Maori Party, Labour Party, National Party and Act all be Brown Shirts.

Everyone of those parties, even ACT, believes the State takes precedence over me, and that I must, via the State, sacrifice my goals and aspirations to its welfare state, even though I have very few points of agreement with it, and I think a welfare state will always devolve down to a violent society.

Its interesting how you can dismiss entire sections of society

I'm not interested in the masses. The biggest atrocities in history have been on the justification of the masses. I am only concerned about my relationship with, and freedom from, the machinations of State. Any society based on the primacy of the individual, for whom the State is servant, cannot by definition fall victim to the such atrocities.

If the State has the power to control the banking sector, and thinks it is its place to do so, then I am not a free man from that State.

Do you not realise we have become beholden as a country to Corporate Bankers.

Not in a free market I'm not. Do you realise at the heart of your argument is that the Government should be 'controlling' the banking sector and keeping interest rates artificially low? Then what do you say to my retiree clients whose interest income has been halved over the last year?

As you say, you are a businessman, thus advocate the imposition of State to aid you: well what of those reliant for their living on interest income? Bit 'selfish' only wanting the State to be working for your interests isn't it?

This is precisely the problem when you invite the Big State into our lives Selwyn. Inequity and vested interest.

To me it's our right, to manage our country in the interests of our citizens. If something is not in the National Interest then why the hell would you do it.

As I've said on other threads, the 'common good' altar is a very bloodied one. I have no truck at all with patriotism, or any other form of tribalism - I am only interested in the freedom of the individual from the State. Achieve that with a written constitution enshrining the non-initiation of force, and we can finally leave behind all these barbaric archaisms such as 'the national interest'.

You're watching too many Cold War spy programs Selwyn ;)

Mark at least you have

Mark at least you have a sense of humor! We all chose to believe what we want to believe. I don't share your views and I can tell you I could care a less about interest rates personally (just for the record).

I care about a productive society where we create real jobs, build real value into the products and services we provide and get rewarded appropriately in global markets.

I don't believe the state should have a significant role to play in the banking industry but I also know that the free market as we have seen with Enron and others has it's own problems. The state is there to protect the extremes of behavior through whatever controls are appropriate for the time.

As I recall it this recession started in the US sub-prime market after 7 years of a Republican Government that believed in and practiced minimal government interference. Fat government is clearly bad but it didn't cause this recession. This recession was caused by excesses of the free market.

Anyway I'm off to watch another cold war spy movie.

<i>As I recall it this

As I recall it this recession started in the US sub-prime market after 7 years of a Republican Government that believed in and practiced minimal government interference.

Believed in, but most certainly never practiced. No government that believed in minimal government interference could have come up with Homeland Security .

Enjoy the movie!

another way to reduce the

another way to reduce the margin is to increase TD rates. Why does the govt not mention that????????? Do savers exist? Not for much longer it would appear after taking into account low rates and tax.

You win on that one.

You win on that one. I"ll just take a gift point on Bushes involvement in removing regulations that helped Enron. As I say extreams dont help.

Hm, Just pondering this issue

Hm,

Just pondering this issue of banks being 'nasty' to their customers...

Just ask someone who owes the banks large amounts with not much headroom to deal with financial setbacks, and they will tell you that they feel they are in a corner. That's because they are! And that situation you have no bargaining power whatsoever. As simple as that!

I can tell you from my own and some of my friends' experiences, when you have no debt, some assets and spare cash (a little more than a few thousand to get you through a month or two), then banks treat you rather nicely, and they also display typical competitive behavior you'd expect! I can only warmly recommend to most people to try it one day (and start planning for that day). You'll end up with smiles every time you walk out of your bank's branch or get off the phone ...

Mark - you're on top

Mark - you're on top form at the moment, keep up the good work.

Selewyn - Nobody is forced to use the services of the Aussie banks. I have my own business and I use TSB in Taranaki, so choice is available. How would you like it if a bunch of politicians told you what prices to charge for your goods/services and how much profit you should make?

I notice all the qualifications of the members of the Select Committee, Ph.D's, MBA's, LL.B's etc. and not one ounce of common sense. Let's face it all the politicians are trying to do is find someone to blame for the current problems, shame on them.

Our MPs are a joke.

Our MPs are a joke. What these twits don't realise (along with a large proportion of the NZ population) is that interest rates will have to either hit or rise above 10% in the next 3-5 years - regardless of what Bollard does, and even if the banks make ZERO MARGINS. Who will they blame then? Not the true culprits in all this mess (govts of course), that's for sure. They'll just keep borrowing and spending on black holes until it all literally disappears down one.

Finally some sane comments from

Finally some sane comments from our elected officials: Bill English says that Government can't control what banks charge, and anyone who doesn't like it can sort out their own arrangements:

http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/industries/banking-finance/2489491/Custo...

Elizabeth Warren, Congressional Oversight Panel

Elizabeth Warren, Congressional Oversight Panel chairman.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232/?video=1146549121&play=1

I think the Govn should

I think the Govn should stay out....banks are entitled to run a business as they see fit...and they are under pressure...its simply not fair IMHO for a bunch of incompetent pollies to blame the banks when it can be seen that the banks margins are under pressure and their losses are increasing. At least BE looks to be taking sense over this.....if a customer has options well they should exercise them....if the customer was silly enough to not keep options open well that was their choice....

regards

Steven, 'Banksters', et al -

Steven, 'Banksters', et al - I helped bale the banks out a few hours after the Lehmans collapse. I had no choice in the matter. It's because I'm part of the same community, I'm led to believe. I would like them to acknowledge that good fortune in how they treat others who face similar collapse, but for the cost of capital - a capital risk I have guranteed. What's wrong with this?

Should we have let them collapse?

What's the pay back?

A word like symbiotic kinda' spings to mind.

Or is it that simple?

Maybe our Government should bank

Maybe our Government should bank with Kiwi Bank rather than these off shore banks, Let Kiwi Bank profit and maybe than they may pass on these rates. Imagine every Government establishment ie, Parliment, IRD, Schools, Hospitals, Winz and the hundred or so more. Maybe Government makes the first step and other Kiwi's follow. That could make a difference and may make the banks become more competitive. Lets face it solutions come not with a bark but with fancy feet that walk the talk.

Kiley, that would be the

Kiley, that would be the KiwiBank that does all its business and FX banking via its experienced partner

- wait for it.....

Citigroup! The archetypal US zombie bank, shambling to oblivion, tubes with drip feeds connecting it directly to the veins of the US taxpayer. Or the nearest Greenback Printing Machine. Ferget which. Perhaps it's both?

Be careful what you wish for.....

Les - you ask why

Les - you ask why we dont see our government legislate to protect us. We should further expect such a thing to happen given that the privately owned central banking network have insisted that we have nothing to fear by leaving them in control of the credit creation mechanism because there is in place a separation of powers that allows the peoples representatives to control the conditions of credit, thus the private bankers would not be able to turn what should be a system of service into a system of servitude.
Any attempt by any peoples representatives to attempt to implement their right to control the conditions of credit are met with economic sanctions by international institutes controlled by the central bankers. I ask you is the nation state dead and the world government at the core of the borderless banking empire so confident that they have the game won they are now coming out into the open?

From The Report of the Royal Commission on Monetary, Banking, and Credit Systems 1956
Pages 105-6;
Creation of Money and the Public Interest
434. Apart from the historical and legal aspects outlined above, the next question to be considered is whether it is in the public interest that the power to create and destroy money or credit should be withdrawn from the trading banks and reserved to the state or to institutions owned by the state.

435. The burden of the contentions of those who sought to deprive the trading banks of the power to create or destroy money was that the trading banks for their own profit sometimes expanded the money supply to an undesirable extent and so cause inflation, and in other circumstances, such as in times of economic depression, cause an undesirable reduction in the money supply by reducing advances.

438. There is, of course the possibility of bringing about necessary expansion of the money supply entirely by financing government expenditure from Reserve Bank credit, and by at the same time preventing trading banks from expanding their lending through a rigid application of the reserve ratio. We consider that the needs of industry and commerce for additional credit can be more conveniently and efficiently met by expansions of trading bank credit than by expansions of Reserve Bank credit. The trading banks in close touch with the multitude of industrial, commercial, farming, and other businesses and they are in a position to give attention to the needs of individual businesses.

Conclusion pages 107-8
445. The essence of the nature of the matter is that insufficient or excessive credit creation can have important repercussions on the whole economy and, for that reason, control should be exercised by the government through the Reserve Bank and, if necessary through the Bank Of New Zealand. Such control can be issued under existing legislation. Furthermore, the government has itself adequate powers to create money through the Reserve Bank or through the ownership of the Bank Of New Zealand.

446. To concentrate the whole of the trading-bank activities or the whole business of credit creation in a government monopoly of banking would, in the opinion of the Commission, lead to an undue and unnecessary aggregation of power in the hands of the Government. It would remove the highly desirable element of competition and it could not be expected to provide as good a banking service as the commercial community now enjoys.
http://socialcreditorbust.blog.co.nz/royal%20commission%20report%20banki...

These people have waited until they thought society had sufficient lack of institutional memory to remember their manipulated boom bust bankruptcy cycles, but luckily some value their freedom enough to pay attention.

The period of record low

The period of record low fixed housing interest rates in New Zealand ended three months ago and is not coming back for many years. The chances are rates continue to creep higher in response to improving economic conditions here and offshore encouraging lenders to factor in central banks raising their cash rates next year.

http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/opinion/2485706/Low-fixed-mortgage-rates...

This is one of rare

This is one of rare moments when all politicians and relevant commentators agree, banks are making excessive profit. What's annoying is the way banks are trying to justify it, why they don't just say it: "we want more $$$", after all they are privately owned and driven solemnly by profit.
Iam puzzled why Kiwi bank is no longer competitive?

Here's my opinion piece on

Here's my opinion piece on this issue.
http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/06/10/opinion-why-par...

cheers
Bernard

How come mortage rates are

How come mortage rates are higher here then in Aussie, and their OCR is higher then ours?

Bernard - Allen makes an

Bernard - Allen makes an interesting observation, what's your take? Is it that they have a higher savings rate than us?

Selwyn/Les, Re: Kiwibank recapitalisation. We

Selwyn/Les,

Re: Kiwibank recapitalisation.

We put a proposal to Bill English along these lines (injecting new capital into Kiwibank) a few months ago.

We are still corresponding on the matter but it's fair to say that the government considers Kiwibank as an SOE and therefore independent operationally.

Of course we disagree with that statement.

Here is an article on the proposal by my colleague Lowell Manning

http://alt.economics.scoop.co.nz/?p=750

Lowell also has a paper due for presentation at the NZ Association of Economists conference in Wellington at the beginning of July.

In it a new debt model of the New Zealand economy will be revealed via a reworking of the Fischer Equation of Exchange.

http://www.nzae.org.nz/conferences/2009/programme.html

We hope that the paper will stimulate some serious debate about the construction and management of our debt economy.

Stay tuned. Maybe Bernard would like to cover it?

raf - thanks, keep up

raf - thanks, keep up the good work. The more thinking on this the better.

Iain - ditto, your stuff is heavy, but worth the time to read it, thanks.

Raf, Les and all. Here

Raf, Les and all. Here is something to consider wiith regard to Reserve Bank and Monetary Easing

What's the difference between printing money and allowing foreign banks to flood the economy with foreign capital???? In both cases you are causing inflation but there are significant differences. One of differences of course is, what's put in can be pulled out at any time as in foreign capital and that's good and bad. But if we had effective Monetary Policy instruments that we were confident would get the 'inflation genie' back in the bottle "“ then we have significant new opportunities available. I think they are available, and we've discussed them in various threads on this website.
Firstly I am not sure its commonly known just how much extra money flows into New Zealand every time the OCR is above the average spread of foreign interest rates. It's a tidal wave of capital (Ref Berl graphs on the subject) yet our policy makers say we are taking money out of circulation (through increased interest rates which of course flow to profits of foreign owned banks) to control inflation. But it simply does not work as the last few years testify as bank profiteering via carry trade destroys our monetary policy.

Bollard correctly says he can't control the volume of money only on the cost of it and frankly even that's only a true statement when it suits the banks i.e. on the upswing in interest.

Put simply our monetary policy increases the inflation, pushing up property prices, creates the wealth effect (leading to more inflation), lending with abandon (low or zero deposits on property loans from the banks) and finally progressively pushing up the exchange rate. We have done this with both farms and housing. Farm debt is up 23% a year for the last ten years or an extra 31 billion in new foreign debt. You might have seen the 23% extra new farms every year? No! Oh that's right that's what you get with price stability controls rampant asset inflation.

So what we have now is not working and that's very, very clear. Now what happens if we print money and deposit it into Kiwi Bank?

Well we de-value our dollar (right now that's a good thing) we potentially stimulate the economy (right now that's a great thing) but we create a potential monster (uncontrolled inflation - but that can be controlled if some swallow their pride) as the economy recovers.

So my simple example
What would happen if we printed 10% more money and recapitalized Kiwi Bank to act as a sort of modern day DFC (lending only to credit worthy businesses in the productive economy)

"¢I.e. expand job creating businesses that design and manufacture goods and services and sell them into the global economy

* For simplicity let's say it's used for buying plant and machinery (from foreign markets) to address our appalling productivity issues.

* That the loans to business were fixed at housing interest rates for ten years

Surely if the production of goods and services expands by the same degree (10%) then have we actually created any inflationary pressure to deal with down the road? I suspect not.

In the mean time.
1. we have lowered the exchange rate
2. linked business lending into a strategic goal of economic development
3. potentially prevented good businesses from failing due to bank lending rations by sector
4. told existing trading banks that the rules have changed in favor of New Zealand's national interest. - like it or lump it.
This sounds way too simple.

Selwyn, "What’s the difference between

Selwyn,

"What's the difference between printing money and allowing foreign banks to flood the economy with foreign capital???? In both cases you are causing inflation but there are significant differences."

There is a significant difference: we can print money at zero cost or borrow it from overseas at the prevailing rate of interest.

It is that simple. And it's that important an issue.

And yes it we print money here the exchange rate should fall. Here's an example:

Bank needs to rollover $1bln worth of funding. US bank wants the cash back or applies a punitive rate. RB creates NZ$1.5625bln and credits it to the bank.

The bank sells NZ$1.5625bln and buys the $ thus repaying the outstanding overseas loan.

The money supply remains the same but the debt has been converted in NZ$.

Now the RB may wish to charge the bank some interest, perhaps the 90day bill rate (close enough to the OCR). That interest becomes a profit for the RB and therefore the taxpayer.

Now imagine this being replicated on all our overseas bank borrowings?

- Our interest burden would fall hugely thus freeing up productive capital.
- Our currency would fall thus helping our export sector, the backbone of our economy and enable our overall debt to be paid down via a lowering of our embedded current account deficit.

I mentioned this briefly a couple of years ago when i suggested the RB should be buying as many $ as possible when the NZ$ was trading up at 0.80.

http://sustento.org.nz/currency-intervention-kiwis-dont-fly/

I should add that we have made a proposal along similar lines to the Finance Minister.

(Also just to make the point that inflation is not necessarily "caused" by this. Ceteris paribus an increase in the supply of money should tend to cause a rise in prices but in reality that is not always the case because financial assets are not valued purely on the back of the prevailing money supply but on perceived value.

It's important to differentiate between issuance of the money supply in terms of how it is created and the control of the money supply in terms of how it is expanded over time.)

raf, is this social credit

raf, is this social credit back from the grave stuff or what?

@ Raf: Doesn't this all

@ Raf: Doesn't this all boil down to your first assumption:"US bank wants the cash back " (I assume that your are being generic). Question: Why?
My bank will happily roll my loans if I am creditworthy; and if they are called, no amount of "playing the float" will ultimatley pay my debts.

Wally, No. It's about reducing

Wally,

No. It's about reducing the cost of our money and not being in hock to other nations which is our current predicament.

Janet,

Sure your credit can be rolled but you are paying a fortune for it. I'm just giving an example. That's why the Fed extended currency swap lines to all the major central banks back in late 2008.

I still can't help feeling

I still can't help feeling that you'd end up with a two tier currency system if your proposal is implimented, Raf.
1) Commercial Kiwi - for the 'land locked' RBNZ created currency - better get ready to bring back Exchange Control as well!, and
2) Financial Kiwi - for offshore NZDL created by export proceeds that stay offshore, that meet the needs of currency flows circumventing the afore mentioned Exchange Controls.
All sounds spookily familiar !!...

Selwyn, raf - there are

Selwyn, raf - there are several Key flaws in all this:

it's far too sensible.

it will tend to build NZ economic sovereignty.

it's not conservative enough to fit with the 'status quo' approach infused in NZ political thinking, to support..

NZ as an 'asset tax haven' meaning resultant lt lower inflation is not in asset holders interests.

Finally, pride needs to be swallowed:

English defies the evidence on monetary policy

at http://www.mea.org.nz/media/pressreleases.aspx

There are a variety of options that would work better than what we have now, it's not as though other choices are unavailable. Unless, some are willing to swallow their pride and lead that is.

The longer it takes to swallow the pride medicine, and we continue to maintain the 'status quo', the more sick we will ALL become.

Good stuff - please keep us posted on progress.

Janet, I wouldn't see that

Janet,

I wouldn't see that you would need a 2 tier system a la China.

Of course we have no way of knowing where the international consensus will come to stop in terms of global trade, rebalancing chronic deficits and creating new reserve, regional or even supra-national currencies.

I think the lessons of the last 30 years tell us that major imbalances in global trade and therefore consumption, funded by debt (issuing all kinds of paper) are not sustainable.

That doesn't mean we will see a new era of exchange controls as we had previously but we may see a new approach to accepting one countries debt in exchange for another countries goods.

"...major imbalances in global trade

"...major imbalances in global trade and therefore consumption, funded by debt are not sustainable."
One point we most certianly agree on, Raf. Cheers.

But raf, when you say

But raf, when you say "It's about reducing the cost of our money" Isn't it true to point out,the reduced cost of the money (which was not our money but other people's money) has been at the heart of the brainless scramble to borrow and splurge and drive this nuthouse into so much debt it will take fifty years to pay it off? Why the hell would you want to add fuel to that fire by making the cost of money any cheaper? Come on raf, own up mate, your a closet Keynesian arn't you?

Janet don’t buy into the

Janet don't buy into the fear of change when the real fear is staying where we are. We have been let down by politicians being politicians and we now need leadership. I could care a less what party is in if i was sure they were acting in the National interest. The problem is we have serious vested interest groups that align with the banks interests.

Boomers are very happy with high asset inflation and high interest rates. To hell with the National good or our grandchildren's future. "I'm okay Jack and I don't want it changed by a bunch of do gooders"

That's a big bubble in New Zealand politics / demographics and so politicians tread very carefully. Bollacks to them all, as we desperately need leadership.

Joe average is in his little boat still in quiet water saying what a great country we live in, unaware there's a 90 meter waterfall around the next bend.

I hope you don't misunderstand

I hope you don't misunderstand me, Selwyn. I'm all for change, and am not sure which of my comments gave you an alternative opnion of me. I've lived in a two-tier capital economy ( South Africa); a dictatorship ( Malawi); seen capital gains tax and negative gearing come and go ( Australia); worked in markets when exchange rates were floated; Lived in a welfare-state economy ( England) and I came to NZ 15 years ago because I truely believed it was the best place in the world to live. Things have slipped. The changes I want to see are those that make our economy productive, by realeasing our pent up capital from housing and putting it to use. The question I am often asked is" To what purpose?". That's what I wish I had the answer to! In the absence of that answer, I guess it's the status quo.

Wally, So today I've been

Wally,

So today I've been called a fuedalist, almost fascist, social creditor and now Kenyesian :-)

Actually I'm just looking for better ways to do things.

But it just shows what a fiendishly tricky subject this is and why it's so hard to get a decent debate on it.

Low interest rates aren't causing huge borrowing now are they? Why not? Because credit isn't avaliable which is why banks are constantly issuing new bonds in a variety of structures to keep their reserves up.

Basically there has been no control on borrowing in the last boom because interest rates were the omly tool being used to control it. I am suggesting we put limits on the money supply itself (ie instead of trying to control the mythical cpi number let's try and control the physical supply of money between certain parameters).

Ah well yes there is

Ah well yes there is the dream that one day the idiots in charge will see the light and actually shift their collective rear ends in the direction of structural economic reform with an eye to greater investment in productive export earning enterprises. It is but a dream. Easier to put some lipstick on the pig and flog it to the peasants as great leadership. Promise them what they want in exchange for a vote. Works every time.

"I am suggesting we put

"I am suggesting we put limits on the money supply itself (ie instead of trying to control the mythical cpi number let's try and control the physical supply of money between certain parameters)."

Is that not was wriiten on back notes once..."redeemable in gold" or words to that effect?

Steps, http://www.the-privateer.com/paper.html Or in NZ's

Steps,

http://www.the-privateer.com/paper.html

Or in NZ's case "redeemable in milk" :-)