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Fonterra lifts payout forecast to NZ$5.20 in unscheduled announcement

Posted in News

Fonterra today lifted its payout forecast for the 2008/09 season by 10 cents to NZ$5.20 in an unscheduled announcement. The increase in the payout forecast will mean farmers will get an extra 10 cents per kilogram of milk solids (kgMS) in their advance payments from June, up to NZ$4.15/kgMS, Fonterra said.

The advance payments are monthly payments from Fonterra to farmers throughout the year and are made up to the final payout at the end of October. The monthly advance rate rises progressively through the season.

At the revised payout forecast of NZ$5.20, advance payments would rise to NZ$4.75 by October, plus a 45 cent value return component made in the final payout. The remainder of the payout figure is paid retrospectively for each month, based on farmers' milk solids production.

Fonterra chairman Henry van der Hayden said that the Fonterra board was conscious of farmers' cash flows and wanted to make the announcement as soon as possible.

Fonterra usually only makes unscheduled announcements on payout forecast revisions when the forecast moves by more than 30 cents. The next scheduled payout review is in May, which is also when the company will announce its initial payout forecast for the 2009/10 season.

"(T)he move reflected the Board's desire to do what it could to assist farmer-shareholders during a very difficult year of sharply lower commodity prices," van der Heyden said.

"Although international dairy markets remain uncertain and volatile, some encouraging signs of more stability have been emerging in recent months," he said.

"Powder prices on our globalDairyTrade platform have increased and our global sales team has made good progress in selling product at these improved prices. As a result, we now have the cautious optimism necessary to signal a modest but welcome increase in payout."

However, van der Hayden said that if the eventual payout were to be higher than NZ$5.20, farmers should expect some level of retentions by the dairy co-operative.

"We need to tread a fine line between maximising payout to our farmers and strengthening the Co-op's balance sheet in these uncertain and challenging financial times. We have decided to put an extra 10 cents per kgMS in the pockets of farmers as soon as we can, while at the same time noting that retentions will be considered if the eventual payout is higher," he said.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

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Now we know what they

Now we know what they did with some of that money they raised with bonds, LOL.

What they dont tell you,

What they dont tell you,

POWDER MARKET COMMENTS: DMN lowered its reading of the "tone" of the market for nonfat dry milk
to "steady," following several weeks where demand pulled prices up by a total of $.02 per lb. Prices this week
were unchanged. Sales to the CCC by California plants continue, although those volumes are trending
downward. There are a number of things happening to suggest that the market for nonfat dry milk should
continue to improve. (1), prices for dry buttermilk are strong, and the supply apparently has fallen behind
demand; (2), a report this week that New Zealand recently reduced its heavy inventory of dry milks by shipping a
vast amount to China; (3), Australia's milk production appears to be heading to a level only 1% higher than last
year's output (which itself was 7% below normal levels); (4), sixteen carloads of grade A powder was purchased
on the CME this week, resulting in a $.015 per lb increase (to $.865 per lb) for the week.

This took some clout, I wondered why Van der whats his name was beside Key on his China Visit. Got introduced , got down to business, looks like Key is lending Fonterra a hand, What was the real cost?????????? This diplomacy at its best?

Bernard if you read my

Bernard
if you read my comments? you have that piece of news FIRST!

Andrewj Many thanks. This might

Andrewj
Many thanks. This might be the report referred to from Andrew Janes on April 21. I missed it at the time.

http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/industries/agribusiness/2348538/Fonterra...

cheers
Bernard

Bernard I missed it too.My

Bernard
I missed it too.My satellite is on the blink. I actually think that Keys did a good job. Looks like Fonterra was running into big trouble finding a way to dispose of its stockpile. I take it this takes away the problem. i wonder what the trade off was. Also they are making small adjustments like this 10c which looks like a confidence game. They still are focusing on payouts instead of their debt mountain which is bigger than the milk powder mountain. banks are changing there tune with farmers 10c wont make any difference. Also its strange to make now when final payout appears to depend on share take up by contract suppliers, which banks appear to be hinting is a bad investment. Its all conjecture we need Peter R to comment.
The drought on the east coast must be one of the worst on record, capital stock is being sent to the works, its going to take a few years to recover from.
It appears that farmers with debt are running into equity problems,which is focusing their minds as much as the drop in income.

Somebodies panicking. Time for the

Somebodies panicking. Time for the good old fire sale. If anyone didnt believe that this companies debts were to high look at this, more to come no doubt.

http://business.scoop.co.nz/2009/04/29/fonterra-to-sell-australian-ice-c...

http://business.scoop.co.nz/2009/04/28/fonterra-exits-joint-venture-in-i...