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Have your say: Should we save the tax cuts or donate them to charity?

Posted in News

By Bernard Hickey Prime Minister John Key is reported to have told a conference for charities yesterday that he would prefer that tax cuts were donated to charity rather than saved.

"I'll be reminding people that if they can't bring themselves to spend their tax cuts, there are many organisations who could benefit."

Key also said he wanted to engender a culture of philanthropy similar to the one he'd seen in America.

Key would like to see New Zealanders become more like Americans, who give twice as much of their income to charity. When living in America he had admired its "culture of giving". This was partly because Americans earned more, but also because of a "culture of generosity and giving ingrained in them for generations. "That's the kind of attitude I want to foster here."

What I think It's hard to argue with a politician who is encouraging more philanthropy, which is obviously a good thing. But I have a problem with this assumption, which is very widely held at the moment, that saving is a bad thing to be avoided. The assumption is that money that is saved is stopped from circulating in the economy and therefore would trigger the so-called "Paradox of Thrift". This is where money is hoarded, which means it is not spent, which means employees are sacked, which means they earn less, which means less is spent, which means more people lose their jobs etc... In this video below I explain why I think this "Paradox of Thrift" idea is flawed. As long as the banks are still lending, money that is saved (and not just stuck under the mattress) will circulate through the economy as either investments by businesses or more spending by consumers borrowing against their homes or with their credit cards. The "Paradox of Thrift" idea has more justification in an economy where consumers hoard money rather than save it in a bank and where consumers are very, very heavy savers. New Zealanders put their money in the bank and we are still heavy borrowers as a nation. Our current deficit is still close to 10%. New Zealanders need to save more and rebalance the economy from being one based on foreign borrowing and consumption to one based on saving more and investing more in productive capacity to reduce our debts. I'm all for donating to charity rather than spending on consumption. But we should be saving more, not less, and saving is a good thing. If only the developed Western world had done more saving, we may not have created the imbalances and credit bubbles that has caused all this grief of the last year. Your view?

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

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34 Comments

I think this is simply

I think this is simply another example of where John Key says whatever his current audience wants to hear. He's getting quite a rep for being a mirror, another example would be his statements in WSJ cf his statements back here at home.

Nothing against the guy, or National. I just reakon he sings from whatever the current song book is. Lets see if he suggests donations rather than spending next time he addresses a retail sector audience.

At this point developing a

At this point developing a culture of intelligent leadership seems far more important.

Spot on Bernard. Saving rates

Spot on Bernard.

Saving rates in NZ are abysmal as we have gorged on an easy credit consumptive orgy.
As in - Like I really need that 40inch flat screen for the toilet. meh

Disclosure : Have no debt and save just over a third of net income since first job - trying my best to raise NZ's level of saving.

Others?

Bernard - agreed. You

Bernard - agreed.

You say:

"New Zealanders need to save more and rebalance the economy from being one based on foreign borrowing and consumption to one based on saving more and investing more in productive capacity to reduce our debts."

Also, agreed. Probably one of the most important economic challenges NZ has to face, still.

But how, specifically, practically?

What would incentivise "saving more"?

What would incentivise "investing in more productive capacity"?

Some ideas here:

http://www.interest.co.nz/news/new-zealand-could-go-bankrupt-within-next...

Anyone else?

I wonder how much John

I wonder how much John Key gave of his dealing-days bonus' to charity? At least his old American pal, Andy Krieger, gave 10% of his to charity.
Is it, now, a convenient case of "do as I say, not do as I do?"

Unfortunately Mr Key is probably

Unfortunately Mr Key is probably of the mindset detailed by this blogger:

http://www.wallstreetbear.com/board/view.php?topic=56209&post=184050

This news item highlights the

This news item highlights the ideological impediments that confront savers:

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,509584,00.html

Fancy a bit of social

Fancy a bit of social engineering - maybe we'll get ads soon encouraging charity

Mr. Key's idea is right

Mr. Key's idea is right though. The NZ economy suffers from inefficient use of resources. Charities can do with $0.50 what costs the government at least $1.50.

Charities also tend to invest money in safe investments (i.e. bank deposits) when they have surplus, rather than wasting it on flat-screens or overseas ponzi schemes. I know, because I'm an accountant.

Giving works; before you knock it, try it.

Also, the person who suggests John Key hasn't given much of his own fortune away would do well to find out the facts before they shoot.

you have to make over

you have to make over 45,00dollars to get 10 bucks minus the 6 bucks increase in the earners levy and we are into cup of coffee territory.maybe hone should get his nephews to give him another shake as he is still dreaming.

What a joke! For many

What a joke! For many of us who are now down to 9 day fortnights or 4 day weeks the tax cuts will go a very small way to making up the income deficit.

Bernard, you are right about

Bernard, you are right about saving of course. I think Key's point is more along the lines that Charity should be done by private individuals and not the State. Which currently seems to be the expectation of NZers. Just look at how many wanted the Govt to buy Ed Hillary's house....

Bernard, keep up that valuable

Bernard, keep up that valuable argument you are making against the "paradox of thrift". The whole world has gone mad. People, especially politicians, just love to believe what they want to believe. A few brave countries that go against the tide will reap the reward.

Ron Paul pointed out in 2004 that in 1983, debt in the USA had increased by $1.50 for every $1 of additional GDP; in 2003 debt was increasing by $7 for every $1 of additional GDP.

Debt-based spending is madness; the debt remains even if the spending did not net commensurate value or if assets drop in value. In fact, the "misinvestment" phenomenon is very real under this regime. Keeping it going will merely result in yet more misinvestment that will have to be painfully wound back.

Investment needs to proceed at the rate of savings of real income and production, and be carefully directed; splurging on the basis of debt is destructive all the way. Look at the evidence today. Are you going to believe Keynes or your lyin' eyes?

Of course Charity should be

Of course Charity should be done by private individuals and not the State. But we have dug ourselves in far too deep now. Charity, orphanages, shelters, the care of the needy at the level of the parish, the neighbourhood, and the family, are elements of an ancient belief system that would have recoiled in horror at the suggestion of the vast system of entitlements, supported by punitive levels of taxation, with the consequent disincentives to responsible and moral behaviour; that we have today. We have a tiger by the tail. We can't expect much from charity now that there is simply so little money left with private individuals with which to exercise charity, and so much draw on the money they pay in taxes.

Nevil Check out the English

Nevil

Check out the English charities that lent their money to UK based Icelandic banks for above market deposit interest rates.

Much talk ensued about the government bailing them (charities) out thereafter.

That fifty cents versus the $1.50 cost ratio has to be re-evaluated over the long run.

Hope he is not including

Hope he is not including one of the charities for children,where it was revealed that one of the directors was caught travelling in business class on an airline whilst the bulk of givers where on the same plane,IN CATTLE CLASS?? OH! OH!

All I can say is

All I can say is Key can take a running jump, any take break I get next month goes on paying down the mortgage that bit faster...or into my food bill which has grown 8.8% anually...Its easy for him to say, he's worth what 50million? I dont think he has any concept of how most NZers get by.....

regards

So, enlighten me, Nevil !

So, enlighten me, Nevil !
"Also, the person who suggests John Key hasn't given much of his own fortune away would do well to find out the facts before they shoot."
But as 'an accountant', I'll bet you'll know there was a good tax advantage to it......

For 9 years we endured

For 9 years we endured a corrupt socialist government. They micro-managed every aspect of our lives. They took the greatest commodity boom we have ever enjoyed, and wasted it all. They ate the economy ! Government grew itself by 50 % over that period. They remorselessly raised taxes and excise duties, until the last election. And now the Tories dare to tell us to give away our few crumbs of tax relief ? Nick off, Key, stop making a pratt of yourself !!!

Nicely put Roger.

Nicely put Roger.

What tax relief ! The

What tax relief !

The short term will be overwhelmed by the government's ongoing bulging interest cost demands.

Just today the NZDMO raised NZD 150.00 miillion in addition to the NZD 500.00 million it raised on Tuesday.

And it's been that way for a while.

Check out my data base here:

http://www.omo.co.nz/NZDMO%20Tender%2011_12_2008.xls

I am thinking of changing

I am thinking of changing my name to Charity. But I'm sure I will have to get it changed to 'The National Political Party' before the next round of elections, as I'm sure that will become the more worthly/pushed for cause when hunting season starts up again.

Any money in is best spent reducing debt - what does smarmy think he's saying? the correct words out of his mouth should be reminding people that we need to reduce the debt first, increase cash flow, then we can freely give it away as it continues to flow when it is not consumed by debt...

Unless you get a urge to give - that is the power of Love - so let's keep the politics out of it...

JonKey is telling people to

JonKey is telling people to spend or donate, but how many millions of dollars does he have saved and invested in things, such as his muiltimillion dollar house. He says one thing but does something else. Sure he may donate much of what he earns from being PM, but that is just a drop in the bucket compared to how much he has got hoarded away.

Fair suck of the sav,

Fair suck of the sav, Rob!
I think JK, like Helen, only has 7 houses. I wonder if he'll forgo any benefits of negative gearing on the rentals, by donating that amount to charity. Isn't that a taxpayer subsidy, after all?

What a pity to read

What a pity to read the blogs highlighting the politics of ENVY,i would have thought that everyone of us could make it happen like JK or would we rather suffer with self pity,and feel the world owes us a living.

If his comments lead to

If his comments lead to an increase in giving to charity then great what is everybody moaning about. Not everybody is in debt some people will have money left over to help others who don't what is wrong with encouraging that!! I say good on him.

Maybe fine to save but

Maybe fine to save but a decent return via interest rates would be nice Mr Bollard, does he not realise that by giving the people with high mortgages an interest cut to help them out with the other hand he is reducing spending power of those that rely on investments ie pensioners and those with investment income, those people have worked hard and spents years saving and didn't make dumb choices when it come to borrowing money. So effectively he is shifting the spending power from one group (the savers) to another (the over comitted), let alone the tax take the govt is now losing out on, I'm confused sounds like a welfare state.

We are all going to

We are all going to donate it back to goverment, in fact we are already doing it. Car registration cost is going up by 25%, local body rates up by almost 10%, state owned power companies increase prices 7% on average, and at least another 5-10% later this year to meet goverment demand...

Allen - hadn't thought of

Allen - hadn't thought of that angle on JK's comments. But I think you are Spot On...

I enjoy the benefits of our society, aside from the benefits draining the society. maybe all those projected governance costs can be reduced so we can give even more in other areas - like to the banks...

Bernard you say the 'paradox

Bernard you say the 'paradox of thrift' is flawed and it would be better if we put our money in the bank instead but then you say this only applies if banks are still lending, businesses are still investing and consumers still spending with credit. Incase you haven't noticed none of these things are happening. Money in the bank just gets sucked up in the deleveraging process. Money given to charity or spent locally goes directly towards helping the economy and employment. Say I spend $100 dollars buying my daughters some clothes at pumpkin patch I am increasing the sales and profits for this business, if the same is done by 100 other people then they could buy more stock and stop laying staff off and in turn have more money to spend on other businesses etc.... If that money were put in the bank it would just sit there and do nothing for the economy.

Saving is good if it goes into business investment and production but for decades our savings and lending has gone into property investment and pumping up house prices. Nothing has been done to fix that yet.

Spot on Bernard! In a

Spot on Bernard!

In a country, like Japan, with massive savings there is only a benefit to stimulus if it is consumed. However, in a country with a massive household savings deficit i.e. NZ, the use of stimulus to reduce debt is a positive outcome - both in terms of the 'savers' financial robustness and confidence going forward, but also in reducing our banks reliance on wholesale offshore funds and giving them room to lend going forward.

BH yes basic common sense..the

BH yes basic common sense..the "Paradox of Thrift" was as far as I can establish based on money under the mattress rather than money in the bank...At the time banks , particularily in other parts of the world where going under, runs and even with Governments having a "bank Holiday"...hence the mattress.
Somewhere along the line "Paradox of Thrift" has become incorrectly synonymous with bank deposits..
Traditionally banks used to work on about a 33% ratio of despots to lending, Even RB s and the like used to have a tool to adjust this ratio...then the "free market" concept came along with no regard to traditional safe practices...open season on short term greed, history repeats and we are now in the same situation of the 1873 international crisis of All debit no ownership and an over inflated market that has to correct.
The essential core issue is to get the lending institutions back to there 33% ratio, and that cant be done with spending or "under the mattress" but deposits.
The correction cant be stopped, but can be slowed.
Like apple falling from a tree, we can put a parachute on it to stop a bit of bruising , but regardless it will at some time get to ground level....and we can build a bit of infrastructure ..a rubber mat on the ground to stop bruising and increase the quality of the crop when it finally gets to the bottom.

And as to donating tax cuts...I think Key is more leaning to a Principle that in tough times , comunity spririt, neigbour lost his job, throw a few surplus veggies from the garden over the fence....The guy who has lost his job, chop the neighbours firewood.

Read the "donate tax cuts" out of context and sounds stupid, use a small bit of intergence and add "... also because of a "culture of generosity and giving ingrained in them for generations."That's the kind of attitude I want to foster here."
Something that has been lost from the Kiwi culture in the last couple generations, a culture of 'me' and 'I'

INTERESTING THAT IT IS NOT

INTERESTING THAT IT IS NOT COMPULSORY TO GIVE TO CHARITY ,SO WHY ALL THE MOANING AND BLEATING?.