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Who do you think should be appointed Reserve Bank Governor to replace Alan Bollard when he retires in September?

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Friday's Top 10 at 10 with NZ Mint: Aussie banks tell foreign house price doubters to rack off; The United States of Inequality; Old Father Hubbard; Dilbert

Posted in Opinion

Here are my Top 10 links from around the Internet at 10 to 1 pm, brought to you in association with New Zealand Mint for your reading pleasure.

I welcome your additions and comments below, or please send suggestions for Monday's Top 10 at 10 via email to bernard.hickey@interest.co.nz. Remember that registered commenters can more easily include links out in their comments. Use the box in the right hand column to register. We're turning off unregistered comments from this Sunday September 12.

I'll pop any surplus suggestions I get into the comment stream under the Top 10.

1. 'Methinks thou doest protest too much' - Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Guy Debelle said yesterday that international investors and creditors were increasingly asking whether Australia's housing market was set for a big fall that woud damage its banks. This followed comments by GMO's Jeremy Grantham and others that Australia's housing bubble was about to pop.

Now the biggest home lender, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, has come out with a detailed rebuttal of the housing bust fears. It prepared a powerpoint presentation for a road show it is taking to investors globally to respond to these fears. No wucking furries mate.

It included NZ stats alongside the Australian ones. Our numbers are just as bad good.

Our housing markets are not in bubble territory.

Related Topics

No way.

Absolutely not.

Please look the other way.

Please.

Here's what CBA said:

Concerns of a potential residential housing price bubble in Australia are often based on a superficial/incomplete analysis of the Australian market. Taking into account geographic differences, the ratio of house prices to income in Australia is not that much different to most other comparable countries.

Population growth and excess demand relative to supply has been a key driver of Australian house price appreciation –these factors are unlikely to reverse in the near term. Other factors driving house price appreciation are structural, rather than cyclical, in nature, including the broader accessibility of credit and larger average house sizes.

The household debt ratio in Australia is similar to many other developed countries, and debt increases have largely been taken up by customers in the strongest position to service it. The strong fundamentals of the Australian economy provide a firm underpinning to the housing market, reducing the risk of a sudden and dramatic collapse in house prices.

Historically, home loan losses have been very low notwithstanding house price movements, reflecting strong portfolio credit quality. Given the high quality of the CBA mortgage book, even under the most highly stressed scenario, potential losses would be modest (~0.2% of total home loan balances).  

2. 'No worries then' - The Basel III global banking capital reforms have been watered down so broken US and European banks don't have to raise as much fresh capital and so the Northern Hemisphere can continue to extend and pretend. Under these new watered down capital reforms the Australian banks are also ok, David Walker writes at Banking Day.

Australian banks are unlikely to face any problems meeting Basel III capital hurdles after several key capital ratios were eased in Tuesday’s meeting of the Basel Committee.A proposal taken to the committee on Tuesday was reported to have set a minimum level of 6.0 per cent of risk-weighted assets for banks’ Tier 1 capital.

However, Banking Day understands that the meeting compromised on a lower figure of 5.5 per cent, under pressure from nations including Germany, France, Italy and Japan. Those countries all want to reduce the pressure on their troubled banks.

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority said this week that Australian banks had reported an average tier one ratio of 9.2 per cent in their 2009 financial statements. Under the new rules that ratio would fall to 8.6 per cent, comfortably above the 8.0 per cent set to be required by the new Basel III rules.

For Australian banks, the sole remaining issue in the Basel III discussions is how the planned liquidity ratios will be dealt with in Australia and other countries (Singapore, Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia among them) whose low debt limits the likely future supply of government bonds.

3. The United States of Inequality - Timothy Noah writes with authority at Slate about the great divergence in America's society between rich and poor. He points out that America is now more unequal than it was at the beginning of the 1900s when many worried about a communist style revolution.

Where have all the Marxists gone? The chart below says it all. Here's a useful series of slide shows too.

Noah writes how at the beginning of the 1900s around 18% of the nation's income was concentrated in the hands of the richest 1%. HT Eric via twitter.

This was the era in which the accumulated wealth of America's richest families—the Rockefellers, the Vanderbilts, the Carnegies—helped prompt creation of the modern income tax, lest disparities in wealth turn the United States into a European-style aristocracy. The socialist movement was at its historic peak, a wave of anarchist bombings was terrorizing the nation's industrialists, and President Woodrow Wilson's attorney general, Alexander Palmer, would soon stage brutal raids on radicals of every stripe.

In American history, there has never been a time when class warfare seemed more imminent. That was when the richest 1 percent accounted for 18 percent of the nation's income. Today, the richest 1 percent account for 24 percent of the nation's income.  

Noah has a series of articles looking for the causes of this inequality. He concludes firstly it's not because of the change of the role of women or racism, or because of the growth of immigration. or because of the rise of the computer.

4.. A poem about Allan Hubbard - This came in from a reader. HT Garry via email.

Allan Hubbard went to the cupboard

down there in Timaru

but the cupboard was bare

there was nothing there

and the taxpayers are in the pooh.

 

Poor Hubbard in the cupboard

is now starting to blub

"its not funny

I have no money

all that's left is my old VDub".

 

But JK also has plenty to say

from the PM's podium

"there was no other way

but the depositors to pay

to avoid voter odium "

 

Hubbard in the cupboard

was asleep at the wheel

he is on dialysis

for financial paralysis

with no chance of an appeal.

 

SCF Finance has no chance

of a Resurrection

Hubbard is broke

was a pig in a poke

No chance for re-election.

5. 'Please don't buy our stuff' - Japan is now begging China to stop buying its bonds so the Yen will stop rising and killing its exporters, Bloomberg reports. This is the problem with China's massive trade surpluses and underconsumption. It can move it around the world, but wherever it turns it causes damage. Let's hope the Chinese don't try to buy our bonds.

China said its purchases of foreign bonds including those of Japan are based on its needs at any given time. “Our management always adheres to security, liquidity and good value,” Jiang Yu, a spokeswoman at the Foreign Ministry, told reporters in Beijing today.

“We will decide whether or not to buy one country’s bonds according to our own needs.” While Japan has sought to boost foreign purchases of its government bonds, such a shift would erode its advantage over countries such as Greece, which have seen bond yields soar as external investors fled. Less than 10 percent of Japanese debt is held by foreigners.

6. The risks in China - China's main bank regulator, Liu Mingkang, has warned of serious risks inside China's banking system, the FT reported.

The banks mostly dismissed concerns about risks building up on their balance sheets following an unprecedented credit boom over the last two years. Mr Liu said financial institutions needed to improve the design, implementation and application of "stress tests" conducted recently to assess how vulnerable they are to a downturn in the economy or a crash in the property market

"The risk management system in the Chinese banking sector still has many weaknesses," Mr Liu said in comments published Wednesday. "We must not ignore the hidden systemic risks and dangers."

7. 'About to throw up' - The bond market is nearing the end of the party, Mark Gilbert at Bloomberg writes persuasively.

Like a drunk at a party, the bond market is starting to bump into tables, telling off-color jokes, talking too loudly and spilling drinks. The smart guests will steer clear before he starts screaming at his shoes and wanders off to pray to the porcelain.

Next week, it will be the two-year anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Sadly, the bond market suggests the investment community has learned none of the lessons of the misguided adventures of recent years that prompted the biggest bankruptcy in history.

The problem with hangovers is that once they fade, the prospect of getting drunk all over again starts to seem like a great idea. This fixed-income party will end badly.

8. A Vulcan death grip - Albert Edwards from Societe Generale reckons global stock markets are in denial about the economic pain still to come. Zerohedge as the full version. V.entertaining.

"The current situation reminds me of mid 2007. Investors then were content to stick their heads into very deep sand and ignore the fact that The Great Unwind had clearly begun. But in August and September 2007, even though the wheels were clearly falling off the global economy, the S&P still managed to rally 15%!

The recent reaction to data suggests the market is in a similar deluded state of mind. Yet again, equity investors refuse to accept they are now locked in a Vulcan death grip and are about to fall unconscious."  

9. Totally irrelevant video - Wile E Coyote gets his man. Finally. But then what?

10. Totally irrelevant video - There's a whole lotta rockin' and rollin' goin on this Pacific Sun Cruise liner on its way to Auckland.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment in the box on the right or click on the "'Register" link at the bottom of the comments. Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making these comments.

57 Comments

Interesting CBA report.  I do

Interesting CBA report.  I do think however that it makes some valid points - and rather than mindlessly bleating on about certain ratios as if they were trump cards it is also important to consider that the fact is the Australian market has not reacted the same way as it has in other parts of the world, and there are reasons for that.  I think most users in this forum lack the technical capability to understand that.
 

It's not about "certain

It's not about "certain ratios" so much as it's about markets pricing themselves into oblivion.

 "Australia's housing bubble

 "Australia's housing bubble was about to pop"....nothing to see here...move along please..........piss off Ok!

On a slightly different

On a slightly different thread...how much taxpayer dosh has Stephen 'walter mitty' Wilce, been collecting for work he clearly is incapable of doing and who are the idiots that employed him?

Another question, is he going

Another question, is he going to pay back the benefits he gained through deception,

i.e... "Mr Wilce has spent most of this year in London studying at taxpayer expense at the Royal College of Defence Studies. "

Australia has massively more

Australia has massively more net migration than New Zealand.  It has record low unemployment.  Also, the houses are larger - it would be instructive to compared median price per square metre.

eerrrr... no.   You need to

eerrrr... no.

 

You need to compare average house price to the ability of the households to PAY for said houses. 

I look forward to somebody

I look forward to somebody doing that.

Interesting yarn here about

Interesting yarn here about the poker mad owner of the Kabul Bank who is a buddie of Shane Warne's - http://www.businessday.com.au/business/dont-bet-on-kabul-bank-20100909-1...

God I love that

God I love that  Coyote......should have been the mascot for the Democrats since the get go.

Never short on ideas....but just can't seem to nail the bird...(.Clinton aside)

I see Chris Lee is $80K

I see Chris Lee is $80K lighter as of today

http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/4116449/Bob-Jones-to-get-80-000-in-defamation-case

Its a wonder some of his clients dont also take him to the cleaners for putting them in now failed Finance companies.........

It seems incredible the guy is still in business.

i've never met bob jones but

i've never met bob jones but going on some of his expolits - running against muldoon, punching that journalist, sueing the stockbroker - he's certainly one of the more entertaining tycoons our wee country has produced

is that you Bob...?

is that you Bob...?

christov you cynical old

christov you cynical old buzzard. or should i say, i that you chris?

Tee Hee....

Tee Hee....

Bernard ........Bernard

Bernard ........Bernard ,,,,,,,,,that poem was appalling.......I know I should probably not critique,

but you chose to offend my eyeballs with it .........

and if Garry dances with anything like the rhythm  that he composes ........well it's gonna  

get ugly out there is all..

Well I thought it was

Well I thought it was good..Showed a creative flair..now you do one and no cheating.

Ok  ok it's

Ok  ok it's Friday.........yay...!

 

Old Father hubbard went to the cupboard

 

to get a cookie.................. from the Jar

 

the SFO who  were in the know

 

said ..got you now ..............you Bar...........

 ............................................................stard. 

Bernard, your arrogance knows

Bernard, your arrogance knows no bounds. I would think by now you would learn to practice some modesty, considering we're all still waiting on those 40% property value drops you were so sure were inevitable.

I think DDay was March 2010

I think DDay was March 2010 for the 30% prediction.

@ # 3 and income

@ # 3 and income inequality.

Its a really interesting issue.....there has to be some income disparity to encourage hard work and innovation, but at what point does it become counterproductive?

There is real data out there to indicate that we have gone too far in the last few decades but I'm starting to think that it's going to take some really massive social disruption to get us to shift our thinking or even have a real discussion about it. maybe things like what Noah writes there and that Spirit level book are a sign that the discussion is starting....

I think, all these bloody

I think, all these bloody “Gloom & Doom Bloggers” fantasising reality should be banned for a while.

How go the preparations for

How go the preparations for my instalment...Nov 26....my dear Kunst.......Norman the flag-bearer has cancelled.... said he had something else on...typical Greens ...turn yellow in the light....G.B.H. is having problems with the fire-starting thing...wet matches from the pool or some such.

Ah well just us then               Viva the Revolution

                                                              El Presidente'

P.S. any sign of that donation from MattS yet...? I'm a little light on cash and there a nice little one piece zip up camouflage I put on the lay by at the A.S.

If you're going to post

If you're going to post poetry, please find some better stuff than that!  For example:

A Woman's Poem

I want a man who's handsome, smart and strong,
One who loves to listen long.
One who thinks before he speaks
One who'll call, not wait for weeks.
I want him to be gainfully employed,
When I spend his cash, be not annoyed.
Pulls out my chair and opens my door,
massages my back and begs to do more.
Oh! For a man who makes love to my mind
And knows how to answer "how big is my behind?"
I want this man to love me to no end,
And always be my very best friend.

A Man's Poem

I want a deaf-mute nymphomaniac with huge boobs who owns a liquor store and a fishing boat. I know this doesn't rhyme and I don't give a rats ass.

 

The Man's poem made me

The Man's poem made me cry....so touching and sensitive....truly this was written by a person who understands my very being.

The woman's one was a bit ho hum and in character went on a bit.

But a big thank you...!

Women don't actually ask much

Women don't actually ask much in a man.  Just someone who is sensitive and understanding, and knows how to listen.  A man who isn't afraid to show emotion and even cry.  A man who is attentive to your needs.  A man who can relate to children, and pay them proper attention.  Plus perhaps someone who will share the cooking, and looks as tho he enjoys it.  Someone who will do his share of the flower gardening.  And enjoys good theatre and music.  Is that too much to ask??

The problem is, all the men like that already have boyfriends.

Cheers to all.

"5. 'Please don't buy our

"5. 'Please don't buy our stuff' - Japan is now begging China to stop buying its bonds so the Yen will stop rising and killing its exporters". The Chinese have not forgotten the Rape of Nanking and the other atrocities commited by the Japanese against the Chinese before and during World War 2. Trade battles are war- and a chance to settle old scores. My guess is that China will bring the Japanese to their knees, and eventually incorporate Japan into China- as a satelite or province. They will do it with their massive foreign exchange holdings- just the way any massively rich person can manipulate the world to their liking. Why rape when a few hundred dollars will do the trick?

 

When you are in debt, you are a slave or potential slave. China is just looking after its own national interests. New Zealand should be focused on our national interests and the interests of our citizens. We need to protect our boarders, protect our markets, protect our dollar, protect our farms, protect our industry, protect our intellecrtual property. I am a protectionist

Will you still charge them

Will you still charge them rent LTSD? ( sorry, but it's Friday...)

"protect our boarders". 

"protect our boarders".  True, the way things are going, all property will soon be owned by a few, and the rest will be boarders in their own country.  Even JK was concerned about it.  I appreciate your altruism.

So true ! They pay good munny

So true ! They pay good munny to come and study in NZ . The very least we can do is to take better care of foreign students .

Protect our boarders ........... So very true .

If you let the Chinese in

If you let the Chinese in they will prop up your currency because they are looking for a good deal on their investment... If you let them out they could still "punish" you buying your currency pricing you out of everything like Japan.

Wow ......lose..... lose with

Wow ......lose..... lose with a bit of spite to boot.

In other words you want any

In other words you want any and all restrictions on Chinese immigration and/or land and land ownership removed because you have property you wish to sell and nobody else is buying. 

Some people think the Aussie

Some people think the Aussie commodities boom is overprices

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/top-global-investor-warns-on-mi...

HT Chris

Cheers

Bernard

Hi Bernard: The pricing of

Hi Bernard: The pricing of everything is determined by the market, but in the case of BHP,Rio Tinto and Valle do Rio Dolce they decided at closed doors meeting to hike the price of iron ore to the clouds, the Chinese  found out about this in the press once it was a done deal. They agreed to pay because I don't think they had an alternative. But now they have a "green" posture and are threating with no more  iron ore purchases while the government is cuting power suply to the smelters and mills untill they decide to purchase again, is this the answer to that closed door meeting  ?.

Almost three-quarters of the

Almost three-quarters of the Irish public believe Anglo Irish Bank will bankrupt the country and bring down the Government, according to a Sunday Independent/Quantum Research poll.

http://www.independent.ie/national-news/anglo-will-bankrupt-country-says...

HT Andrew via email

cheers

Bernard

Yeah but which three quarters

Yeah but which three quarters would that be paddy...?

And what do the other half

And what do the other half reckon

Re. #5 - Japan has created

Re. #5 - Japan has created this problem itself.  It can be easily solved, Japan just has to stop selling bonds - voila!

This is from the Micael Lewis

This is from the Micael Lewis article which cracked me up!

 

"After about two hours I work up the nerve to ask him. To my surprise he takes me seriously. He points to a sign he has tacked up on one of his cabinets, and translates it from the Greek: the smart person accepts. the idiot insists.

He got it, he says, on one of his business trips to the Ministry of Tourism. “This is the secret of success for anywhere in the world, not just the monastery,” he says, and then goes on to describe pretty much word for word the first rule of improvisational comedy, or for that matter any successful collaborative enterprise. Take whatever is thrown at you and build upon it. “Yes … and” rather than “No … but.” “The idiot is bound by his pride,” he says. “It always has to be his way. This is also true of the person who is deceptive or doing things wrong: he always tries to justify himself. A person who is bright in regard to his spiritual life is humble. He accepts what others tell him—criticism, ideas—and he works with them.”

Read More http://www.vanityfair.com/business/features/2010/10/greeks-bearing-bonds-201010?printable=true#ixzz0z6FyYr6k

NUPLEX is considering

NUPLEX is considering relocating it's HQ to Austrailer . This is sad . Another stellar Kiwi company clearing  off .

Under Mark Weldon's watch the NZX has continued to lose companies of long-standing . Replaced  only by candle makers and ex-finance company re-constructions . 

Local shareholders of Nuplex ( NZX : NPX )  will not receive dividends which are fully imputed , if the shift occurs .

Bugger !

Have any of these listed

Have any of these listed public companies that have moved to Australia actually done any good? Off the top of my head I can't think of any. In fact the reverse seems to be the case.

I remember Goodman Wattie (and Goodmans before that), once an outstanding and consistent performer on the NZ stock exchange in the 1980s. Merged with Feilders, an Aussie crowd became Goodman Feilder, headquarters moved to Oz and it’s been a baying donkey (in terms of its share price performance) ever since!

I think that you are right ,

I think that you are right , David . But my initial grief is with the ongoing loss of good quality companies from the NZX . Our's is a thin sharemarket . Still half the number of companies listed than in 1987 . What other country has such an appalling loss of publicly listed firms ?

This suggests to me some deep seated problems in the Kiwi financial markets . Why do so few companies choose to list  on the NZX ?

When will Weldon be biffed out !

Re.#1...............Aust

Re.#1...............Aust banks CBA

power point pressentation:

5] "Other drivers of house price appreciation are structural, rather than cyclical in nature.
Australia's low inflation/low interest rate environment has dramatically increased the demand for, and accessibility of credit." p6.

Okay, but as a bank you should know that although low inflation (hence interest rates) makes people able to afford larger loans initially, the 'mortgage tilt' effect means that in the fullness of time these larger loans are not more affordable. But beyond the "demand for" and "accessibility" of credit this provided, what about the roles of the banks?

In the last 10 to 15 years you have dramatically increased the amount of credit you will lend against an asset that is unchanged (an effective reduction in collateral demanded of mortgagors). You have slashed the amount of 'skin in the game' demanded of your mortgagors. You have boosted the amount of credit you are willing to provide to a mortgagor of given income by as much as double - or more.

And the best of your points,

And the best of your points, Billy C. : "..you have dramatically increased the amount of credit you will lend against an asset that is unchanged.."

unchanged.........dont make

unchanged.........dont make me laugh!

Example: 10 acres subdivided

Example: 10 acres subdivided Rangiora 1998 - primary sales at $75k; secondary sales 2003 $126k;  last holder I know of (2005)  paid $395k . Land never touched in any development way. So the banks have lent against an unchanged asset at 5 times it's original cost.

O.. there you are!......where

O.. there you are!......where is our Dean Leftus P/T (property tossers) joke?...

The irony about the banks position on this structural change in credit is the very reason for this ASX release and presentation from CBA is funds are getting harder to source at the right price. This is the very thing that puts the Australian housing market on a knifes edge and off they go to convince investors all is well as long as you all keep on feeding the ponzi.

I would love to be in the room and stand up and say, hang on if the changes are structural and you now have easy and abundant credit what are you doing here trying to convince us? What happens if we are convinced today and not tomorrow? What happens to our investment then? It sounds to me like you had a structural change to credit availability hence a housing bubble but you are here now fighting against a trend for tightening credit availability and yet you say your housing market has increased due to structural changes in credit availability rather than as we know it here in the US easy credit. Interesting that at the CBA you call this a "structural change in credit availability".

I wonder too are bond traders stupid enough to go for this? Will there be free beer at the presentation?...........

I would love to be in the

I would love to be in the room and stand up and say, hang on if the changes are structural and you now have easy and abundant credit what are you doing here trying to convince us?..

That is so funny Mary because its so true!

"Because the alternative was to come here and say 'Hey, if you don't lend us more money you're going to lose the hundreds of billions you've already lent us' and we weren't sure you were ready for that kind of honesty."........LOL

Hey,.....

      about the Dean Leftus, P/T (property tossers)...yes yes I know they talked about you awfully and horribly.....but hey they are a monstrous people over there at the best of times.The jokes are coming we just need the mods to snooze off.........

 

Hello everybody!.....just

Hello everybody!.....just felt moved to share this with you all.

It became obvious to us all throughout the week that Donna & Mark have been letting Dean Leftus post under different names.It all bacame so easy to notice a total retard could see what was happening!.....no doubt Perry moved in (the only one there with any brians) and deleted the whole thread.....befor Dean became found out about!

But ... but ... Dean Leftus

But ... but ... Dean Leftus has made a career of fooling total retards.  You'd think he'd be better at it.

check out this exposure of

check out this exposure of CBA's bogus figures - they deliberately used one source (UBS) for Aus cities and another source (demographia) for other countries .... how dumb do they think overseas investors are (I guess they are used to hoodwinking their own govt and RBA with bogus arguments that this everyone will fall for them). Anyway, have a read, great article.

http://www.moneymorning.com.au/20100910/has-commonwealth-bank-deliberately-misled-investors.html

more numbnutish behaviour by

more numbnutish behaviour by a r/e [agent?]i would have thought proof of ownership would be 1st cab off the rank---or maybe signs of desperation  on the agents part---get the sale at any cost

thttp://news.ninemsn.com.au/national/7959910/scammer-sells-house-in-perth

jimmy.....great

jimmy.....great link!....

Kris Sayce article methinks will be..... Uh oh! and should have them all talking this coming week in oz.

I liked this bit.

Let me show you the data in question and see if you can figure out the deliberate fudging of numbers by the Commonwealth Bank:

Comparing apples with rabbits

Here’s a clue. You’ll notice that the CBA has referenced Demographia and UBS.

Have you figured it out yet?

Here’s some further help. Click here for a link to the 6th Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey: 2010.

Once you’ve downloaded it, scroll down to page 14 and then compare the numbers in the survey to the numbers the CBA have published. I’ll wait for you to do that…

Amazing isn’t it?

In order to make their point, the CBA have used the Demographia numbers as a reference point for all the non-Australian cities, yet they’ve used the UBS numbers for the Australian cities.

Why on earth would the bank do that?

Simply because if they’d used the Demographia numbers it would draw exactly the opposite conclusion to the argument they’re trying to make. The fact is, they’ve conveniently grabbed the bunch of numbers that fits their argument and discarded the ones that don’t........

http://www.moneymorn...-investors.html

Time to make sure this gets out, especially to our high-profile Bernard Hickey economist friend..

Nothing new really, but

Nothing new really, but talking about it overseas.

 

A report published by leading independent research firm CreditSights, shows how despite a fall in business lending over the last year, Australia's banks exposure to housing loans has increased to almost 60pc of the total outstanding credit.

From 43pc of total credit in 1999, housing loans now make up 58pc of the Australian banking systems lending, helping fuel a continued boom in house prices, which have doubled since 2002.

To fund this lending, Australian banks have come to depend increasingly on the international capital markets.

http://www.telegraph...ks-at-risk.html

5 France Telecom employers

5 France Telecom employers took their lives over last 2 weeks. Company is in problems and trying to cut costs. However, government is part owner and as a such no redundancies are possible.  Work harassment is way to force staff to leave and more than 50 (!)  people committed suicide since 2008 

Christopher Joye ( Rismark

Christopher Joye ( Rismark Int'l ) has a shot at " legendary " US investor Jeremy Grantham's claim that the Ozzie house market is the mother of all bubbles , about to implode , due to its' 7.5 times the value of household incomes . Joye argues that home price to disposable income ratio is only 4.6 times , as at June 2010 . And as such , is in line with long term trends .

Based on Grantham's prognostications , hedge funds have been shorting the Ozzie banks .............. So much so , if they get it wrong , it'll be a crowded exit when they all try to bail . POP ! Up go the stock prices of the NAB/ ANZ/ Westpac /CBA .