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Eric Frykberg looks at how & why the number of luxury cars on NZ roads has boomed over the past two decades

Personal Finance / analysis
Eric Frykberg looks at how & why the number of luxury cars on NZ roads has boomed over the past two decades
Lamborghini

Official figures show a surge in the number of luxury cars on New Zealand streets in the last two decades.

There are more than eight times as many cars of five luxury marques registered by Waka Kotahi now than there were in the year 2000.

The fast-rising value of investment property over most of that time is being credited for funding this opulent expenditure.

Interest.co.nz sought hard numbers from Waka Kotahi to verify anecdotal suggestions that bigger numbers of extravagant cars are cruising New Zealand streets these days than previously.

We chose five famous makes: the Ferrari, the Lamborghini, the Aston Martin, the McLaren and the Maserati.

The figures provided by Waka Kotahi show that across all five marques, the total number of registrations showed a gigantic increase from just 453 in December 2000 to 3,744 in March 2023.    

To left wing critics, this is more proof of just how rotten New Zealand has become. The rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer, they say.  And the rich are flaunting their wealth, parking their glittering vehicles amid homeless people sleeping rough, creating a Dickensian world when seen in a wide shot.

But there might be more to it than that. The figures do not prove that the poor are getting poorer, just that the rich are definitely getting richer.  And they are getting richer mainly due to property prices sprinting in the fast lane for most of the past two decades, running shoulder-to-shoulder with an equally athletic stock market. 

                        Source:   Waka Kotahi

Lamborghini leads the way

Looking at the actual car numbers, the fastest riser of the five marques was the Lamborghini, with registrations growing from 25 in 2000 to 340 this year. Aston Martins rose from 92 in 2000 to 961. Ferraris went from 256 to 978, and Maseratis from 79 to 1226. 

There are now 239 McLarens in NZ ownership, up from just one in 2000. To be fair, that number is distorted by the fact that McLaren had just one road car available for years, the F1. It was one of these vehicles that was famously crashed twice by the English comedian Rowan Atkinson, leading to a reported record insurance payout for a road smash worth $NZ1.88 million. At any rate, just over a decade ago, McLaren began producing a wider range of cars, which helped boost total sales numbers.

Complicating the raw statistics is the fact that most prestige car makers have moved beyond producing sports cars for the Monte Carlo set. They now make other cars including SUVs. These are also expensive, but they dilute the impact of raw numbers of luxury car purchases.  

“The growth in sales is largely down to the commensurate increase in model ranges,” says a senior manager at the Giltrap Group, Shaun Summerfield.  

“Today, not only does every brand have a variety of models, but most have an SUV as well.

“The SUV has changed the landscape.”

But this tells only part of the story. A Lamborghini SUV, the Urus, still costs $395,000 and more, which completely eclipses the price of most SUVs. 

Who is buying?

So, who is paying this sort of money for these sorts of cars?  Almost universally, they are self- employed, dealers say. There are also a large number of property developers. But beyond those parameters, buyers of luxury cars cover the full gamut, from old families with large farms to brash young entrepreneurs.  But there seem to be few bucket-list types, who turn 50 and buy a Ferrari because life is passing them by. 

One thing is sure, there appears to be no shortage of people turning up on the forecourt wanting to buy a car costing six or more times the average annual income.

“The car we sell the most of would be the Mercedes Benz G-Wagen,” says a senior Wellington luxury car dealer, Oliver Gazley. 

“When they come up second hand, they sell really quickly…….and the price can range from the mid to the late 300-thousand-dollar mark,” he says. 

“At one stage there was a year-and-a-half waiting list for one of these cars.”

Where are people getting the money to buy these sorts of cars? Gazley doesn’t know and won’t ask, because he says the finances of his clients are their own private business.  And sometimes, his sales are done remote, and he doesn’t even get to meet his clients. 

Summerfield is a bit more forthcoming, pointing out that 40 years ago, a Ferrari cost more than a house but now it is the other way around. And he suggests that steady increases in property values are pushing luxury cars within the range of people who could never afford them on their monthly salary. 

“Property values have grown four times faster than most high-end cars over the past few decades and that, combined with removing import restrictions has increased sales,” he says.

Summerfield’s comments are given some supporting evidence by official statistics. According to the Property Investors Federation, there are 600 thousand rental properties in New Zealand. The vast majority of those are owned by mum and dad investors who in most cases own one to three rental houses. 

According to the Real Estate Institute, the median price of a house is $780,000, which would give two-rental investors over $1.5 million in property, according to nominal values. If they had bought those properties at the start of this period, in the year 2000, they would now hold most of that value in equity, perhaps $1 million.   

And property people using geared investment techniques, which involve employing borrowed money to gallop ahead of inflation, could have pushed their wealth still higher, to $1.5 million, or more. That sort of money could snap up a Ferrari and still have change left over. 

Source:   Stats NZ

Figures from Statistics NZ make all this official, on the record. They show a big increase in property values since 2000, which dwarf the rise in general prices. The figures show the Consumers Price Index (CPI) rose from a statistical figure of 687 in 2000 to 1218  in  2023. House prices rose from an index number of 463 to 1497. In other words, while general prices didn’t quite double, house prices more than tripled.

And shrewd people have noted these trends and made the most of them. They have taken the money and, not run, but driven off in a flash car.  An analogy would have surfers seeing a large wave with a perfect curl rising behind them, who then ride it for all it is worth, rather than choosing that moment to paddle to shore.

But where did that wave come from? Why have house prices risen so fast? There could be many reasons, such as a rising global pool of investment money, with some of it finding its way to New Zealand. Donald Trump’s tax cuts would have helped to do this, since they transferred wealth from US Federal Government finances to private investment accounts. Barack Obama’s Quantitative Easing would have had a similar impact. 

What about homegrown influences?   A common drumbeat of criticism says central and local Government in New Zealand have made housing expensive by restricting the supply of land for building homes on and burdening the people who build them with expensive layers of red tape. 

According to this theory, government rule-makers have inadvertently gifted wealth to speculators, who resemble roaming cats discovering a random bowl of cream, which was left there by accident. 

The falling interest rate & leverage effect

The independent economist Tony Alexander says government red tape certainly plays a part in causing housing inflation. But he says there have been bigger factors that have pushed house prices so fast and so high.

“One of the key ones was that interest rates have been falling – until recently they have been falling for decades.  And as mortgage rates have been falling, housing affordability, from a debt servicing point of view, has been getting better.     

“People could afford to borrow more money and they did borrow more money, so they could pay a higher price at auction.”

Alexander adds houses have also been going up in price because they are getting bigger, and better, with more rooms and more facilities such as better insulation. The cost of construction is also rising, pushing up the cost of a completed home. And he says a rising population is also pushing up the price of a house by increasing demand for homes. 

There could be other factors. One of them puts the Reserve Bank in the frame. This theory says the bank acted too slowly in raising the Official Cash Rate during the 2003-08 housing boom and again in the aftermath of the Covid crisis.  According to this theory, procrastination by the central bank gave investors cheap money for far too long, and they made the most of it, bidding competitively for houses and pushing up the price. 

An extremely erudite document issued by Treasury in March last year gave some support to this theory, with the following comment: “There is some evidence to suggest that expansionary monetary policy has worsened the wealth inequality in advanced countries by its impact on asset prices.”  

Whatever the cause, the historical evidence is undeniable. Large sums of money have built up in people’s accounts, and some of them used it to satisfy a passionate, if expensive hobby.  

“Some people collect art, I collect cars,” says one avid car enthusiast, who used the profits from his property investment business to acquire around 40 cars, including four Ferraris and seven Porsches.

“It is in the blood”, he says. “Some people love aircraft, others might buy a motor yacht, others adorn their home with fine art. But there is a growing number of people who just enjoy fine motor vehicles."

”You work hard, you play hard, and you have got to do something with your money when you make it so you might as well do something that you enjoy.”

Other people have discovered an extra factor:  some luxury cars appreciate in value over time, and can even rise faster than the share market. 

“If you had bought a mid-1980s Ferrari, of the right model, you could have quadrupled your money," says one man. 

All this can mean that buying a luxury car is not just fun, it is a smart economic move, which provides some contrast with another property deal. 

Dealers say in most cases, owners keep their cars locked in a garage, and bring them out only for special occasions.  They use a relatively average vehicle for daily chores, since they don’t want to ding the Ferrari in a supermarket carpark, or get the kids’ sticky sweet wrappers or hair from the family dog all over the upholstery. 

The Covid effect

Dealers add that Covid-19 actually helped sales of luxury cars because the lockdown stopped rich people from spending their money on expensive overseas holidays. 

So, what about the argument that these luxury cars are flamboyant and showy, and do not represent the sort of country that New Zealand used to be?

One owner says this view sometimes leads to insults from other drivers. 

“You do get some detrimental comments which come back to the tall poppy syndrome,” he says.

“I find this a bit frustrating but it seems to be part of the New Zealand psyche. It doesn't really bother me too much.”

According to Gazley, sales of luxury cars were booming six to eight months ago, but have slowed down recently, possibly matching New Zealand’s current minor recession. 

But this might not last, due to global influences.  A report last month by the Boston consultants, Bain and Co, said the luxury goods market across all sectors was booming internationally, and would continue to grow.  

*This article was first published in our email for paying subscribers on Thursday. See here for more details and how to subscribe.

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64 Comments

Hey ChatGPT, write an article that'll aggravate as many users as possible.

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17

Nah its satire 

Bucketlist types over 50 buying because life is passing them by

Has a ring of truth. Short poppy mentality trying to keep up 

Search TM for "Lamborghini" or "Ferrari" you get almost every other car but lambo and Ferrari, as these keywords are dropped into car ads 

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Well its an actual fact that todays hot hatches are going round the Nurburgring faster than supercars like these were over 10 years ago. You can get the speed and reliability these days, would never even think about buying a Ferrari even if I had the money.

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"Bucket list times with life passing them by". Lol, it actually doesn't have any "ring of truth". In fact, it is possibly one of the more stupid comments in an article that i have seen. I doubt that anyone who buys a super car have life passing them by. I'd say the complete opposite. They are living it to the full. The comment has clearly been made by a person who is in no position to afford a Lambo, or Ferrari, or Maserati. 

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Your comment made my day.

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A whole lot of "reckons" in this opinion, conflated with hearsay and anecdotal comments. 

The same case of flimsy speculation could probably be made for drug dealers, gang members and Treaty settlements.

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19

The article is garbage. A discredit to the site.

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9

Why do you say this article is garbage ? 

Do you not agree that sales of luxury vehicles have increased markedly?

If you do agree, do you not think that they could be fuelled by fast rising house prices?

If you do agree with the above, do you not think the reason could be because of dropping interest rates and government spending?

What do you not agree with ?

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It could be, but you actually have to lay out a case for it, not just write a rambling screed of speculation.

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What HM said below. Anecdotes and hearsay. It ‘may’ be the cause but extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. This is devoid of the latter.

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Tall Poppy Syndrome is a serious problem in this country. I have thought about a Porsche but seriously you wouldn't even be able to leave it parked here. It would be a Sunday drive car, garage to garage non stop so what the point, better to have a performance car like a hatchback that just blends in.

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The words like "could", and "may" are used far to often to justify almost anything. The moon landing COULD have been faked, and its core MAY be contain of highly dense green cheese, however highly unlikely it is.

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I agree. Total rubbish. 
No evidence linking wealth from property investment or development with proliferation of luxury cars. Just lots of unsubstantiated’reckons’.

Correlation does not equal causation.

How about immigration of high net worth individuals? (For example)

(note - growing wealth from property investment probably has been a factor)

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Yip I have personally benefitted from the escalation of house prices. I thought Labour would look after their traditional base but they will do and say what's required to get reelected.

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3

Historically, house prices rise most, under a Labour government.

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9

Summerfield is a bit more forthcoming, pointing out that 40 years ago, a Ferrari cost more than a house but now it is the other way around. And he suggests that steady increases in property values are pushing luxury cars within the range of people who could never afford them on their monthly salary. 

Current account collateral damage funded by?

Banks have migrated away from lending to productive business enterprises because the risk weights can be as high as 150%. Thus around 60% of NZ bank lending is dedicated to residential property mortgages owed by one third of already wealthy households, at risk weight around 35%.

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“Ultimately there’s no natural income streams to be able to service and repay loans. What you have is capital gains which are contingent on the game continuing. So it’s a Ponzi scheme. says Werner. - https://wire.insiderfinance.io/richard-werner-qe-infinity-707e2c627e03

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20

Over the last 30 odd years I've seen successive Govts both Labour and National raising the goalposts & tilting the playing field to kneecap productive business enterprises, all the while increasing the risk factors (particularly in employing humans).

Hence the public sector is 40% of GDP & property is everyone else's hobby.

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13

Lots to unpack here but first the correlation between house price growth and luxury car sales has a very strong fit in Australia. This is a little dated (2020) but it is illustrated here. 

According to CommSec Chief Economist Craig James, the rise in luxury car sales exactly matches the gains in house prices. 

"The wealth effect of higher home prices, the cuts in interest rates and the rise in household asset values has allowed top end buyers to update their rides," Mr James said.

https://shorturl.at/cjvB9

 

 

 

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5

That graph, if the data is genuine, is hilarious.  

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Craig James is not a fraud. Not sure why you would think he would 'make it up.' Plenty of literature in Aussie surrounding these correlations. 

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Settle petal.  I have no idea who he is.  A quick google suggests he's an economist.  Con is literally in the job title.  

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This is all about the wealth effect and why property bubbles are tolerated and promoted by successive govts and the FIRE industries. The problem is that when the bubble becomes the be-all-and-end-all driver of your economy, all kinds of different issues arise. I'm very interested in this. What's particularly interesting is to compare the mother of bubbles (Japan) with that of NZ. Now, you can argue that the Japan bubble was more encompassing because it included the stock market. However, what I think is interesting about this comparison is the following:

- Japanese h'hold debt to GDP has barely changed since the end of the bubble. OTOH, if you look at NZ, the ratio has ballooned 3/4x since the early 90s (when the Japan bubble burst and when the Anglosphere liberalized the banking sector and started the property ponzi).

- Even during the epic Japan bubble, total housing stock value to GDP never got as high as a factor of 3, even though the amazing stories of the Imperial Palace grounds being worth more than the state of California. In NZ, that ratio has been as high as 5. 

- When the Japan bubble burst, the wealth effect subsided meaning the rise of used luxury goods sales. It grew to the extent that it became an industry. Same phenomenon is happening in China now. But Japan was able to build businesses that catered to lower purchasing power of h'hold wallets. 

Bubble economies like NZ and Australia have no back-up plan and capacity to make any transition whatsoever. So the bubble is trying to be managed accordingly with no plan B.       

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They will just keep importing more people, especially National. You can see in Sydney now with interest rates causing massive pain yet house prices are going up because the are just packing in the people. Japan is pretty doomed because of their very low birth rate and anti immigration stance. Birth rates in NZ and Australia are going to fall much further too but there seems to be an unlimited tap of potential immigrants so it's not seen as a problem. 

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5

You haven't really unpacked anything I've expressed here. Japan's future has nothing to do with their prior bubble. 

F'more, the idea that the Australasian bubble can be preserved simply by opening the gates to more migrants is reactionary at best. It's a shallow response from the ruling elite. If you simply import people without a requisite investment in infrastructure, the quality of life deteriorates for everyone, except if you live in a Dotcom mansion and can afford to bypass the crowds by using the helicopter.  

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The uber-rich do not live like you or me and think they are immune to our living struggles, until the pickforks rise up.

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'Struggles'?

I'm not saying life isn't hard at times, but many make it hard for themselves. Bad investment decisions, breeding like flies, using debt to buy  depreciating assets like cars and household appliances, refusing to improve themselves, maltreating their vehicles, expensive habits like smoking etc. 

There's a lot of people out there that are destined to be poor no matter how much they earn. One of the very first big lotto winners was asked what he did with his money. He replied that he'd given it away,  spent it all on cars, travel and high living. The reason - because he wouldn't be eligible for the dole if he saved it. 

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J.C., We both know what the plan is 

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The independent economist Tony Alexander says government red tape certainly plays a part in causing housing inflation.

Afraid to say TA is smarmy and relies on an audience who lack any kind of robust thought. If there is any institutional celebrity / bubble apologist in NZ that is worse that Tony, please enlighten me.     

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11

Tony is actually a pretty decent economist when he is acting impartially.  Unfortunately,  he is a whore to the property over lords and adjusts his predictions to suit.  He's a massive sell out and should really fall on his sword after the last 2 years. It's been an embarrassing circus for him. 

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Tony is actually a pretty decent economist when he is acting impartially.

How do you define 'pretty decent'? The ability to spin a narrative or describe current economic reality using broad macro and targeted micro data?

I'm sure Tony understands economics very well, but so do many other people, with or without advanced education in economics. 

Now Tony's latest narrative about the "permanently high plateau" of the NZ housing market and its prices may be correct, but given his track record, it all seems like something that sounds good to his audience. It doesn't feel like a well thought out description of reality and the future.  

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By pretty decent...  he's an effective communicator. He's great at explaining flow on effects, and breaking down wanky bank talk into something a bit more human. It would be good to talk to him once he retires I reckon. ... get to the real Tony. 

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Gotcha. Communications is partly about populism and representing others' interests. 

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Envy is a horrible trait. Vroom vroom 

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No one is envious of anyone with an extreme amount of debt. Most people don't want to be part of the problem either 

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12

No-one is talking about debt, not the article, not the commenters.  Of course no one is envious of anyone with debt, Rampart was alluding (not so subtly) of being envious of owning luxury cars, which IS the topic of this article.

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Rampart was alluding (not so subtly) of being envious of owning luxury cars, which IS the topic of this article.

Nonsense. The article is quite clearly about describing the wealth effect through the example of luxury cars. 

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"Nonsense. The article is quite clearly about describing the wealth effect through the example of luxury cars"

Please re-read my post, I think you misunderstood it

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The thing is the wealth has been "created" by asset speculation, debt was used to create the asset bubbles. And more debt was issued against these over inflated assets to purchase many vehicles. What will happen to those who thought they were asset rich and borrowed against, they've taken a huge step backwards.

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I think the accomodation supplement (Landlording Subsidy) plays a big part in housing inflation. As for tax deductibility and capital gains tax go I think maybe one or the other would be acceptable. A business would get deductions but then increased capital is taxable. Having all three has made land valuations unrealistic 

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6

Add in Working for Families (Employers salary/wage subsidy)

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I think the 2 main drivers for housing inflation are the belief that house prices will in general never fall, and low interest rates that allow people to speculate in it. The rest is just icing on the cake.

All you really need is belief look at the "tulip bubble", and more recently NFTs (ownership with no legal ownership rights, to links on website you have no control over) and bitcoin, the produce nothing, yet people pay insane prices for them.

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When a business can buy a high end car, then save on GST and also income tax for next few years. What do you expect will happen? 

This is a rotten tax system which favours the rich. There is no support for the PAYE because we are treated slaves to support the royalty. 

Yes the slavery continues in one form or another. 

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Fair points nguturoa.  Out of curiosity, what will you do when/if you get rich?

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Who said I am not rich? But not by putting my foot on others neck.

And I know the difference between fair and wrong. 

Even if law allows but there are somethings are wrong and never right. 

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And they are getting richer mainly due to property prices sprinting in the fast lane for most of the past two decades, running shoulder-to-shoulder with an equally athletic stock market. 

GDP per capita shows as a country we have produced more particularly since 2000 and you would expect that those at the top have benefited most.  People buy what they can afford, that includes houses, overseas trips, latest phone/tv/dish washer.  Prices go up where there is more demand than supply.

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GDP per capita shows as a country we have produced more particularly since 2000 and you would expect that those at the top have benefited most. 

Since the early 90s, GDP per capita has increased by a factor of 3. H'hold debt to GDP has also increased by a factor of 3.

Just saying.

https://tradingeconomics.com/new-zealand/households-debt-to-income 

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High end super cars have turned into a decent investment.  I can definitely see the appeal. Particularly as you get to enjoy the investment. The maintenance would frighten me though.... I'd be curious to see the numbers from owning a Ferrari for 20 years, would it actually make you money after costs?? 

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4

And imagine the repair cost if you crashed a carbon fibre car. It would probably have to be completely dismantled. Possibly baked while curing, certified and then reassembled...

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That's what insurance is for.

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Some of them are horrendous if you actually drive them.   I think it's the Veyron, $25k for  changing all the fluids, and $42k for a full set of tyres fitted.   And every third set of tyres also requires new wheels for $100k (if they didn't fail their inspection at the second set). 

Oh, that's USD btw. 

I've watched a few videos of a guy that restos and flips high end exotics and if you are saavy it's not so bad, lambo aircon control panel, $1800, or Google the part number stamped on it and its the same part as a 10yo VW golf so costs $230 type thing. 

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Other factors may be that with inflation rampant, some looked to buy now.

And of course there is the Jacinda fee on petrol cars which probably brought some forward although it is probably chicken feed when talking about luxury car purchases. But I'm sure that some would have jumped to avoid paying it on principal.

The developers next door went from a driving a Bentley SUV to an Aston Martin SUV. Just how inadequate a Bentley would be would be a mystery to me. Maybe one friend got a Bentley as well so they needed to trump it.

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Why wouldn't anyone take advantage of it?  I bought my wife a new electric Lexus, not because I'm a greeny, but because I got something like $9,000 off the price. 

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The same could be said for the size and expense of boats at Westhaven.

Last two decades have also correlated with very high immigration rates and a fair few of the immigrants (and their offspring) are absolutely loaded and love driving the latest fancy marques.  Another "I reckon" of course.

 

 

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All this can mean that buying a luxury car is not just fun, it is a smart economic move

- quote from someone selling a car, and no one else

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Mass tax free capital gains. Gotta spend it on something. 

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"...he suggests that steady increases in property values are pushing luxury cars within the range of people who could never afford them on their monthly salary. "

That's how the wealth effect works. We then supercharged that with tax exemptions. However the future will not look like the past.

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Kind of an interesting article, but hasn't the general standard and cost of the cars on out roads increased anyway over the years ? Just came back from a few days in Auckland and gave up counting the number of Teslas on the road and did see a nice Gold coloured McLaren on the road. Back in the day cars blowing blue smoke were a regular sight, now hardly anyone drives a banger anymore.

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I'm not a veteran on the comment section of this site yet, but are reply notifications a thing? So far, I revisit articles to see replies to my own comments. 

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Good to see the first two comments on this article point out what a steaming pile of **** it is. 

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In Italy tax avoidance was rife.  Two consequences were that a lot of people had very expensive super cars and the government could not afford to maintain the roads.  Hilariously funny complimentary consequences.  The tax dodgers could afford the great cars but could not enjoy driving them.  The government finally finally got the police to stop the super cars and record the owners details.  The tax department then did a deep dive into the finances of these individuals.  Lots of lessons there.

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Dodgy article this.  It doesn’t prove that the rich have got richer, just more showy and ostentatious.  The choice of brands selected is also poor - McLaren wasn’t even a manufacturer of road cars in 2000; and AM, Maserati and Lamborghini had all spent the previous 20 years barely alive and producing only tiny volumes of not very good cars.  

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Lot of moaning but I think it is a fair stab at trying to understand why a McLaren or Ferrari now regularly rumbles along the streets of Wellington. I left the city in 2010 and a supercar would have stopped traffic. I returned in 2020 and people barely lift their eyes. Given that decade was a property market with an economy tagged on, I think investigating a link is pretty good journalism

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In many of these articles there's references to the 'rich'. Who are the rich, I mean what's the definition, how much money do you need to be 'rich'?

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