Economy
Roger J. Kerr takes an experienced look behind the headlines of recent economic data to distill what the essential trends are telling him
22nd Apr 24, 8:15am
1
Roger J. Kerr takes an experienced look behind the headlines of recent economic data to distill what the essential trends are telling him
Roger J. Kerr sees another bout of US dollar strength as markets re-price Fed interest rate cuts. But will the higher US inflation continue?, he asks
15th Apr 24, 7:43am
2
Roger J. Kerr sees another bout of US dollar strength as markets re-price Fed interest rate cuts. But will the higher US inflation continue?, he asks
interest.co.nz is a free service for all - help us stay that way. If you know us, trust us, and value what we do, can we ask you to support us? And supporters can go ad-free
9th Apr 24, 11:31am
34
interest.co.nz is a free service for all - help us stay that way. If you know us, trust us, and value what we do, can we ask you to support us? And supporters can go ad-free
Roger J Kerr notes another blockbuster US jobs rise. And looks at what is driving the rise of the USD. He also wonders if the RBNZ will push-back against market interest rate pricing
8th Apr 24, 9:18am
3
Roger J Kerr notes another blockbuster US jobs rise. And looks at what is driving the rise of the USD. He also wonders if the RBNZ will push-back against market interest rate pricing
Roger J Kerr says US bond market worries about inflation should start to abate as they become more comfortable that the decline in inflation is not stalling and the Fed will be cutting interest rates in June. He also looks at US job data
1st Apr 24, 9:00am
3
Roger J Kerr says US bond market worries about inflation should start to abate as they become more comfortable that the decline in inflation is not stalling and the Fed will be cutting interest rates in June. He also looks at US job data
ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence survey shows a sharp fall with sentiment 'likely affected by recession headlines'
28th Mar 24, 10:46am
23
ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence survey shows a sharp fall with sentiment 'likely affected by recession headlines'
David Hargreaves suggests it's time we looked purely at the number of migrant arrivals - rather than 'netting off' the figures against departures
27th Mar 24, 7:41am
122
David Hargreaves suggests it's time we looked purely at the number of migrant arrivals - rather than 'netting off' the figures against departures
Independent economist Brian Easton wonders if Nicola Willis is hinting that the Coalition Government will have to back down on key promises it made in Opposition
25th Mar 24, 8:31am
30
Independent economist Brian Easton wonders if Nicola Willis is hinting that the Coalition Government will have to back down on key promises it made in Opposition
Roger J Kerr says the root cause of the current economic downturn has to be sheeted home to just bad management – particularly Government fiscal policy management and RBNZ monetary policy management in response to the Covid pandemic
25th Mar 24, 8:17am
3
Roger J Kerr says the root cause of the current economic downturn has to be sheeted home to just bad management – particularly Government fiscal policy management and RBNZ monetary policy management in response to the Covid pandemic
NZ is in recession – so far there are few signs the government has a plan to stimulate and grow the economy
22nd Mar 24, 1:27pm
46
NZ is in recession – so far there are few signs the government has a plan to stimulate and grow the economy
Dairy giant Fonterra has paid its shareholder farmers a 15c interim dividend and now narrowed its forecast milk price range - although the 'midpoint' for this is still $7.80
21st Mar 24, 9:44am
5
Dairy giant Fonterra has paid its shareholder farmers a 15c interim dividend and now narrowed its forecast milk price range - although the 'midpoint' for this is still $7.80
Roger J Kerr says the Fed will not be changing their view or stance due to recent oil price-induced increases in wholesale prices
18th Mar 24, 9:11am
3
Roger J Kerr says the Fed will not be changing their view or stance due to recent oil price-induced increases in wholesale prices
GDP figures out in the coming week might be, in the words of one economist, 'as flat as a pancake', - but this of course is in a country that grew its population by 2.8% last year, meaning many more hands are producing only exactly the same outcome
17th Mar 24, 6:01am
59
GDP figures out in the coming week might be, in the words of one economist, 'as flat as a pancake', - but this of course is in a country that grew its population by 2.8% last year, meaning many more hands are producing only exactly the same outcome
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
13th Mar 24, 9:34am
46
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
Stats NZ figures show that retail card spending fell a seasonally-adjusted 1.8% in February after a bounce in activity in January
12th Mar 24, 11:49am
86
Stats NZ figures show that retail card spending fell a seasonally-adjusted 1.8% in February after a bounce in activity in January
Roger J Kerr says US rate cuts are going to happen and that confirms continuing USD depreciation as the Feds cuts well ahead of all other central banks
11th Mar 24, 8:14am
2
Roger J Kerr says US rate cuts are going to happen and that confirms continuing USD depreciation as the Feds cuts well ahead of all other central banks
Tell us what you think as we seek feedback on our Of Interest Podcast
Stats NZ says the volume of residential building work dropped 2.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis in the December quarter - but non-residential construction rose 4.6%
6th Mar 24, 11:19am
15
Stats NZ says the volume of residential building work dropped 2.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis in the December quarter - but non-residential construction rose 4.6%
Household spending data shows that - not unsurprisingly - food has been a big contributor to increased costs, while we've been trying to save with decreased spending on communication and recreation
5th Mar 24, 2:19pm
10
Household spending data shows that - not unsurprisingly - food has been a big contributor to increased costs, while we've been trying to save with decreased spending on communication and recreation
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
4th Mar 24, 11:41am
23
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
Roger J Kerr says from past performances we all should have known that Governor Orr would take the opportunity to, yet again, wrong-foot the markets
4th Mar 24, 8:51am
4
Roger J Kerr says from past performances we all should have known that Governor Orr would take the opportunity to, yet again, wrong-foot the markets
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
28th Feb 24, 2:13pm
104
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
Westpac says its customers are spending just 3.4% more than a year ago, while the population has grown 2.8% and retail prices have increased about 4%; customers with mortgages particularly spending less
27th Feb 24, 11:45am
5
Westpac says its customers are spending just 3.4% more than a year ago, while the population has grown 2.8% and retail prices have increased about 4%; customers with mortgages particularly spending less
Roger J Kerr says the Australia-US exchange rate is likely to surge higher faster and further than the NZ dollar-US dollar rate over coming months
26th Feb 24, 8:08am
3
Roger J Kerr says the Australia-US exchange rate is likely to surge higher faster and further than the NZ dollar-US dollar rate over coming months
As US Modern Monetary Theory advocates make their case in Australia, Gareth Vaughan explains the world through their lens and how it might go down in New Zealand
24th Feb 24, 9:50am
79
As US Modern Monetary Theory advocates make their case in Australia, Gareth Vaughan explains the world through their lens and how it might go down in New Zealand