Roger J Kerr

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Articles by Roger J Kerr

20 Apr 15, 2:44pm
Roger J Kerr says in 12 to 18 months lower rural incomes will start feeding through to the 'bubble sub-economies' of Auckland and Christchurch
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20 Apr 15, 10:44am
Roger J Kerr argues the only monetary policy option left for the RBNZ is to force the NZ dollar's value down by intervening in the currency markets
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13 Apr 15, 1:07pm
Roger J Kerr says low interest rates won't last forever and when they reverse the impact could be 'swift and severe'
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13 Apr 15, 9:28am
Roger J Kerr says it is not acceptable to be caught with the consequences of a high NZD when there are hedging strategies and tools easily available
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7 Apr 15, 8:28am
Cheaper money will be here for a long time says Roger J Kerr. That means investment hurdle rates can be lower. Now is the time to take advantage he says
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7 Apr 15, 7:49am
Roger J Kerr says markets don't expect NZD-AUD parity is sustainable because income differentials can't support it and the AUD is due for a 'long overdue' correction higher
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31 Mar 15, 6:32am
Inflation is not dead, it is heading for 5% says Roger J Kerr who has 'a thousand words' to support that in two short images
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30 Mar 15, 12:26pm
Roger J Kerr assesses how the strong greenback and its upcoming positives will impact the NZD and finds much of the USD strength already priced in, and the RBNZ looking ahead
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23 Mar 15, 9:04am
Roger J Kerr says local importers should be topping-up hedging levels with current NZD/USD rates near the top end of the range
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23 Mar 15, 8:07am
Roger J Kerr sees US rate rises just 3 or 4 months away. He is also very sceptical on 'inflation expectation' surveys, even the RBNZ's one
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16 Mar 15, 4:36pm
Roger J Kerr says the risk of medium to long term rates increasing is dependent upon US bond market movements, not the RBNZ or the NZ economy or our inflation
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16 Mar 15, 2:37pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD-USD rate holding between 72 and 76 USc and sees the reasons in the US and Australia as much as local influences
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10 Mar 15, 8:55am
Don't allow deflation doomsayers to dissuade you from prudent risk management of interest costs, says Roger J Kerr
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9 Mar 15, 2:36pm
Roger J Kerr points out the strong relationship we have with rainfall and why the current dry sets the tone for the currency
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2 Mar 15, 3:05pm
Roger J Kerr asks how sustainable the current totally “flat” NZ interest rate yield curve is
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2 Mar 15, 10:15am
Roger J Kerr sees a number of balancing factors both positive and negative for the NZ dollar; meaning the currency is likely to stay in its current range
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24 Feb 15, 9:45am
Roger J Kerr says you should 'sell the Kiwi against the AUD' when you see media reports predicting parity
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23 Feb 15, 12:35pm
Roger J Kerr points out that there is likely a big jump coming in longer tenor swap rates and that creates opportunities for wholesale borrowers
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16 Feb 15, 3:36pm
Adopting a 'heat map' approach, Roger J Kerr assesses whether the 'heat' is coming on for interest rate trends to reverse
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16 Feb 15, 2:17pm
Roger J Kerr says rising dairy prices and the exit of speculators are among issues helping the value of the NZ currency - but there are still risks ahead
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