HOT TOPICS:   Gold   |   Unitary Plan  |    Mortgage rates

The comment stream

Recent comments

Judging by your reply I can see I misplaced my question. I doubts anybody in Texas cares about what happens...
Hevi Groswaite Auckland's Unitary Plan will make housing less affordable
It's quite plain to me that Solid Energy's mess is a direct result of Government direction - given by...
Kate 90 seconds at 9 am: Reality checks
What is the role of the Insurance Council of New Zealand in all this shemozzle? They have been totally...
iconoclast Quake claimants win in court
That was one of the most confused comments I've ever seen here.   I presume you mean 'the market...
powerdownkiwi Special housing legislation flawed
Yes it can. I don't think government need be more or less efficient than private business. Or that...
Roger Witherspoon 'Be brave & tackle home ownership tax status'
No comments yet on the interrelationship between energy and money.   Which is the key bootstrap problem...
powerdownkiwi 90 seconds at 9 am: Reality checks
The Courts have stepped up and streamlined the processes to resolve these disputes, and people need to know...
Stephen Hulme Quake claimants win in court
This Bill looks like a pretty good step in the right direction.  I disagree with David Hargreaves...
notaneconomist Special housing legislation flawed
fat finger
Wolly S&P reduces Kiwibank's rating outlook
"...as NZs economic risks rise..".....wow...does Bill English know about this....why would risks...
Wolly S&P reduces Kiwibank's rating outlook

See more

Reader poll

How many new houses will the Government-Auckland Council accord produce in Auckland over the next three years?

Choices
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.
7 + 0 =
Solve this simple math problem and enter the result. E.g. for 1+3, enter 4.

User profile

Roger J Kerr's picture
Roger J Kerr

Roger is a partner at PwC. He specialises in fixed interest securities and is a commentator on economics and markets. More can be found at rogeradvice.com.
Email Roger

Articles by Roger J Kerr
Subscribe to articles by Roger J Kerr

Articles by Roger J Kerr


NZ swap rates to rise next ?

06 May 13, 9:31am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says reversing US bond yields will push our long-term interest rates up. Your view?

Clouds gathering around the Aussie dollar

06 May 13, 7:47am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr shows why the NZD has been outperforming the AUD and may continue to do that. Your view?

Mortgage rate rises may follow opposition power policy

29 Apr 13, 11:07am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says Transpower & the highly regulated lines companies are causing power price inflation & Labour/Greens policy could see higher mortgage interest costs & rents. Your view?

Potential NZD negatives looming on the horizon

29 Apr 13, 10:05am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr explains why he still thinks the NZD has got 'too far ahead of itself' and is due a correction. Your view?

RBNZ Governor’s dilemma even more acute

23 Apr 13, 9:30am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler will be criticised no matter what he decides, but the high currency is doing more damage than inflation. Your view?

Kiwi vulnerable to a major A$ sell-off

23 Apr 13, 8:40am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr explains what is holding the NZ$ up and why it will fall when the A$ goes. Your view?

RBNZ dilemma becoming acute

15 Apr 13, 9:45am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says both the housing and currency bubbles need to be deflated - but he wonders if the RBNZ knows how to do this. Your view?

Is the RBNZ brave enough?

15 Apr 13, 8:41am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says the economy cannot sustain a major drought and persistent currency over-valuation and calls on the RBNZ to intervene. Your view?

Lower US bond yields unlikely to be sustained

09 Apr 13, 9:35am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr sees the decrease in US bond yields as short-lived and upcoming US data to be better than expected, raising long-term interest rates. Your view?

Lower gold prices, higher USD to weigh on Kiwi dollar

09 Apr 13, 8:53am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says the divergence of our TWI from the USD is not sustainable and he is expecting a correction. Your view?

Exchange rate forum misses the point

02 Apr 13, 8:30am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr was frustrated the recent currency forum discussion ignored dealing with biggest forces setting our exchange rates. Your view?

Planning the timing of OCR increases

25 Mar 13, 3:28pm, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler will face many variables and conditions, and he will be watching Canada first. You agree?

Rebound to above US$0.83 likely to be short-lived

25 Mar 13, 2:52pm, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says watch the February overseas trade data tomorrow for a pullback on the Kiwi. Your view?

Watch US data to find NZ interest rate direction: Kerr

19 Mar 13, 9:09am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says our long-term interest rates are likely to be pulled up by US property, retail and jobs markets no matter what we do. You agree?

Kiwi dollar to test downside support

19 Mar 13, 8:14am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr expects short term currency volatility as the BOP and GDP data is released. But then he sees a general pullback for the Kiwi. Your view?

Steeper yield curve points to the inevitable

11 Mar 13, 1:02pm, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says a steepening yield curve shows interest rates will rise as borrowers re-centre their 'paying fixed' demand to the shorter end of the curve and investors hold cash waiting for the rise. You agree?

'Big' dollar on the comeback trail

11 Mar 13, 10:37am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says our export sector badly needs a stronger US dollar to send the NZ dollar back below US80c. Your view?

Interest rate market pricing reflects new uncertainties on NZ economic outlook

05 Mar 13, 8:16am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says borrowers who missed the bottom in swap rates just before Christmas have another opportunity to fix on this pull-back in market rates. You agree?

Global forces overpower domestic data and send the Kiwi lower

05 Mar 13, 7:28am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says currency markets are recognising that it is not going to be plain sailing for the NZ economy this year. Your view?

Only NZD currency depreciation can push short-term interest rates higher

26 Feb 13, 8:45am, Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr sees the exchange rate as the main determinant of future inflation and growth, and therefore our interest rates. You agree?