Roger J Kerr

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Articles by Roger J Kerr

20 Apr 15, 2:44pm
Roger J Kerr says in 12 to 18 months lower rural incomes will start feeding through to the 'bubble sub-economies' of Auckland and Christchurch
20 Apr 15, 10:44am
Roger J Kerr argues the only monetary policy option left for the RBNZ is to force the NZ dollar's value down by intervening in the currency markets
13 Apr 15, 1:07pm
Roger J Kerr says low interest rates won't last forever and when they reverse the impact could be 'swift and severe'
13 Apr 15, 9:28am
Roger J Kerr says it is not acceptable to be caught with the consequences of a high NZD when there are hedging strategies and tools easily available
7 Apr 15, 8:28am
Cheaper money will be here for a long time says Roger J Kerr. That means investment hurdle rates can be lower. Now is the time to take advantage he says
7 Apr 15, 7:49am
Roger J Kerr says markets don't expect NZD-AUD parity is sustainable because income differentials can't support it and the AUD is due for a 'long overdue' correction higher
31 Mar 15, 6:32am
Inflation is not dead, it is heading for 5% says Roger J Kerr who has 'a thousand words' to support that in two short images
30 Mar 15, 12:26pm
Roger J Kerr assesses how the strong greenback and its upcoming positives will impact the NZD and finds much of the USD strength already priced in, and the RBNZ looking ahead
23 Mar 15, 9:04am
Roger J Kerr says local importers should be topping-up hedging levels with current NZD/USD rates near the top end of the range
23 Mar 15, 8:07am
Roger J Kerr sees US rate rises just 3 or 4 months away. He is also very sceptical on 'inflation expectation' surveys, even the RBNZ's one
16 Mar 15, 4:36pm
Roger J Kerr says the risk of medium to long term rates increasing is dependent upon US bond market movements, not the RBNZ or the NZ economy or our inflation
16 Mar 15, 2:37pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD-USD rate holding between 72 and 76 USc and sees the reasons in the US and Australia as much as local influences
10 Mar 15, 8:55am
Don't allow deflation doomsayers to dissuade you from prudent risk management of interest costs, says Roger J Kerr
9 Mar 15, 2:36pm
Roger J Kerr points out the strong relationship we have with rainfall and why the current dry sets the tone for the currency
2 Mar 15, 3:05pm
Roger J Kerr asks how sustainable the current totally “flat” NZ interest rate yield curve is
2 Mar 15, 10:15am
Roger J Kerr sees a number of balancing factors both positive and negative for the NZ dollar; meaning the currency is likely to stay in its current range
24 Feb 15, 9:45am
Roger J Kerr says you should 'sell the Kiwi against the AUD' when you see media reports predicting parity
23 Feb 15, 12:35pm
Roger J Kerr points out that there is likely a big jump coming in longer tenor swap rates and that creates opportunities for wholesale borrowers
16 Feb 15, 3:36pm
Adopting a 'heat map' approach, Roger J Kerr assesses whether the 'heat' is coming on for interest rate trends to reverse
16 Feb 15, 2:17pm
Roger J Kerr says rising dairy prices and the exit of speculators are among issues helping the value of the NZ currency - but there are still risks ahead
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