Roger J Kerr

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Articles by Roger J Kerr

26 Jun 17, 11:17am
Roger J Kerr says political opinion polls will be as important as economic indicators in setting the direction of the Kiwi dollar in coming months
26 Jun 17, 10:18am
Roger J Kerr says recent sharp drops in oil prices support the Reserve Bank's view that inflation will ease again; current high value of NZ dollar has monetary conditions too tight
19 Jun 17, 1:12pm
Roger J Kerr says the only thing that will drive the NZ currency back below US70 now would be a resurging American dollar
19 Jun 17, 12:51pm
Roger J Kerr believes markets will be forced to change their current stance and move future pricing of interest rates to higher levels
12 Jun 17, 11:07am
Roger J Kerr says with all the good news for the NZ economy already out, it's questionable how much better things can get for the NZ dollar
12 Jun 17, 10:46am
Roger J Kerr says a resurgence of new issues of corporate bonds is to be expected, with the current levels of supply not meeting strong investor demand
6 Jun 17, 2:22pm
Roger J Kerr looks at the choices large bond fund managers are facing, wondering how these will impact our long term interest rates
6 Jun 17, 2:04pm
If the NZD was a share price for our economy, it would be a firm 'buy' or 'hold' recommendation. But the question is, are all the gains now priced in, asks Roger J Kerr
29 May 17, 12:12pm
Roger J Kerr sees an opportunity now to lock in low borrowing rates ahead of a period when public policy actions are likely to take rates higher
29 May 17, 11:26am
Roger J Kerr says the respective AU and NZ government budgets during May highlight the contrasts between the two economies, and currency markets are marking New Zealand as the clear winner
22 May 17, 9:27am
Roger J Kerr says international FX markets have reduced their US dollar exposures as the post election 'Trump rally' unwinds
22 May 17, 9:11am
Roger J Kerr doesn't see any new collapse in oil prices and therefore wonders where the price falls the RBNZ is predicting over the next 12 months will come from
15 May 17, 1:33pm
Roger J Kerr doesn't expect the current divergence between the rising value of our commodity export prices and the value of the Kiwi dollar to continue for long
15 May 17, 12:50pm
Roger J Kerr disagrees with the Reserve Bank's benign view of inflation and believes the recent jump up in tradable inflation is not a temporary one-off that will rapidly reverse
8 May 17, 1:08pm
Roger J Kerr says several factors are holding back the NZ dollar at the moment, but he does see it rising back over US70c eventually
8 May 17, 11:44am
Roger J Kerr wants to know why the RBNZ gives so much credence to its survey of inflationary expectations
1 May 17, 12:44pm
Roger J Kerr says the risk of increased global trade barriers was seen as more of a medium to longer term downside risk to the NZ dollar, however the impact has come about much sooner than expected with the US lumber and dairy tariffs
1 May 17, 11:33am
Roger J Kerr believes that both tradable and non-tradable inflation will move higher still during the remainder of this year
24 Apr 17, 12:02pm
Roger J Kerr says higher commodity prices and inflation are positive for the Kiwi dollar
24 Apr 17, 10:36am
Roger J Kerr thinks we need to be watching 'the three Cs'; says nobody believes interest rates are going to stay low now - the only question is how much they will rise by
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