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Stats NZ says the volume of residential building work dropped 2% on a seasonally adjusted basis in the June quarter - but non-residential construction rose

Property / news
Stats NZ says the volume of residential building work dropped 2% on a seasonally adjusted basis in the June quarter - but non-residential construction rose

The volume of residential construction work has fallen for the third consecutive quarter, according to new data from Stats NZ.

However, at the same time, non-residential construction work has again risen.

The volume of residential building work was down 2% to $5.786 billion, while non-residential building work was up 3.7% to $3.147 billion over the same period.

These figures are seasonally-adjusted and also adjusted for inflation. These figures also measure the amount of work actually carried out - as opposed to the building consent figures that measure approvals for building work. The consent figures have been also showing a drop-off from high levels for residential developments.

In terms of the latest building work put in place figures released on Wednesday, Stats NZ's construction statistics manager Michael Heslop said the June 2023 quarter "marked the third quarter in a row where the volume of building work has fallen for residential buildings but risen for non-residential buildings".

"These contrasting movements led to overall building activity in the June 2023 quarter being relatively flat."

The seasonally adjusted volume of total building activity was $8.943 billion in the June 2023 quarter, down 0.1% compared with the March 2023 quarter. That result is very much in line with economists' forecasts.

And it follows a 1.7% drop in overall activity in the March quarter and a 0.6% drop in the December 2022 quarter.

In terms of the residential construction figures, the latest 2% fall followed a 4.3% fall in the March quarter and a 1.4% fall in the December 2022 quarter. On a seasonally adjusted and inflation adjusted basis the volume of residential work has dropped from $6.169 billion in December 2022 to $5.786 billion in June 2023.

As far as the non-residential building work is concerned, the latest 3.7% rise followed rises of 2.6% in March and 1.9% in December 2022.

The value of building work put in place was $37 billion in the year ended June 2023, up 22% compared with the year ended June 2022.

Value estimates of building work put in place (in contrast to volume estimates) include changes to building costs over time (such as material and labour costs).

In the past 12 months, residential construction costs increased by 7.8% and non-residential construction costs increased by 6.8%.

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16 Comments

This is really interesting. Better than I expected based on anecdotal evidence. I would have thought it would start to taper overall.

There does still seem to be a lot of work around, the big question is if it will be there in 4Q23 and CY24.

 

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It’s value of work completed. A lot of work was completed in that quarter, based on starts in the first half of 2022.

Starts have slumped. It will be another couple of quarters before we see that reflected in this data.

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They're experiencing what I went through starting October last year. My workload is really starting to pick up, so they'll be busy again, soon. Maybe not to the crazy levels we've recently experienced, but this is either a soft landing or we're starting a take-off roll.

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What work are you in?

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I wonder what ‘seasonally adjusted and inflation adjusted’ actually means??

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When land prices are so high who can afford to build and make money of it.

The result will be contraction in activities unless everyone gets a big pay rise and households can spend up large. 

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Or cheap money comes back when inflation abates.

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Talking with landlord of, commercial property and student accommodation,also various companies saying as of today he is stopping all projects and having a cuppa tea and a breather.Doing nothing.

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Sounds like me 3 years ago.

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Fantastic move we will have inflation under control in no time.

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New Zealand have so much land time to swamp the market as section costs are way over value.As it stands right now around 90% of people in Auckland would not be able to purchase the property they own from scratch with income and rates at this level.

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As it stands right now around 90% of people in Auckland would not be able to purchase the property they own from scratch with income and rates at this level

Bang on point. That's why overallocation of capital (especially borrowed capital to be serviced with a relatively low income) towards unproductive assets such as housing is detrimental to society and economic competitiveness.

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Agreed.

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The first people just had to turn up in a boat.

It only gets more expensive from there.

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Fantastic

Hopefully this will bring the greedy and cartels back in line.

What we have seen in the last 10 years is why we don't want the private sector and the banking industry to have control over the housing market they are way too greedy.

Let the reset begin.

Thank You for undoing the Ponzi Labour great job.

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Not sure what to make of it.
Based on the 'supply and demand' logic, If the volume of residential construction is falling at a time when the population is increasing, then it sets the conditions for even higher house prices (if they can be afforded).

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