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Dan Bell is the senior currency strategist at HiFX in Auckland. You can contact him here 

Articles by Dan Bell


Mixed Chinese data sees NZD bounce back

After the USD/NZD traded below 86 cents the NZD bounced back as market believes OCR will rise by 25 basis points next week

Europe down, US up

US inflation stronger than expected; dairy prices fall for fifth consecutive auction; eyes on NZ CPI and China GDP

US March retail better than expected

Gold, oil and equities all gain on better US data, as do risk currencies

ECB and BOJ talk stimulus

Despite strong US data, the USD didn't react as equities slid lead by tech stocks; risk aversion grows

NZDUSD gives up ground

Positive Aussie jobs data and poor Chinese trade data add to volatility

Dovish Fed minutes sends NZD/USD higher

NZD/USD screams higher to levels last seen in August 2011; US Fed minutes eased concerns they would raise interest rates once easing program ends

NZD/USD heads toward fresh highs

USD weaker across the board as tensions between Russia and US escalate; Yen strengthens on trimmed expectations of further easing by BOJ

Eyes on QSBO

Equities in biggest three-day drop in over two months, gold and oil drop

Lack of stellar NFP disappoints

Gold and oil up after US non-farm payroll data doesn't push the boundaries; Fed to continue taper

NZD feeling aftereffects

Dairy selloff implications still being absorbed; UK data weak; eyes on US employment

NZDUSD opens markedly lower

The NZDAUD plunged a 5-week low of 0.9250, despite worse than expected Australia building approvals data

Soft commodities soft

Dairy price drop has minimal impact on NZD; gold and oil prices fall

Partial troop withdrawal eases tensions

Yellen focus on 'considerable slack'; IMF endorses NZ monetary and fiscal policies; gold falls again

Chinese signal new stimulus

Cooling China concerns market but new stimulus now expected; reading the RBA's currency mood

NZ$/US$ approaching 87c

NZ Ttrade Balance exceeds expectations by a wide margin providing support for a higher NZ$/US$

Australian economy in transition

RBA Governor Stevens says early signs economy moving from mining-led demand growth to domestic consumption; A$ stronger against majors

Draghi downplays deflation fears

ECB policy makers not ruling out monetary easing, negative interest rates or non-standard measures to avoid deflation

Tight overnight ranges

Equities down; NZD trending down despite economy trending up

Waiting for China flash PMI

Europe mired in Ukraine and Syria risk; Asia subject to China risk; markets mixed

Rating outlook for Russia negative

S&P issues negative outlook on Russia (previously stable) while Obama and Merkel talk about further sanctions