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Special Report: Why fixing our broken tax system is so hard but must be done

Posted in News

Watch on our video page here

Watch on YouTube here

Bernard Hickey delivers a special report on how New Zealand's tax system was unbalanced and then broken by politicians tweaking rules, leaving it full of holes and ripe for avoidance.

The current government's reluctance to truly reform the system is likely to push the Inland Revenue Department further down the route of trying to fix these holes through the courts and legal precedent. This leaves an unfair, imbalanced and inefficient tax system that will handicap our economy.

Meanwhile, tax lawyers, accountants and lobbyists will employ thousands to continue both hunting for loopholes and trying to close them. We need less activism through the courts and more sensible lawmaking.

The problem is it is politically easier to ignore the problem and hope a beefed up IRD can use the courts to do the work some real reform would do much quicker, much more comprehensively and with much more certainty.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment in the box on the right or click on the "'Register" link at the bottom of the comments. Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making these comments.

65 Comments

You've posted the 90 @

You've posted the 90 @ 9 videos here , Bernard . ............. Ahhhhhh , fixed now . Tall skinny chappy , well done !

<b>Bernard</b> : As I have

Bernard : As I have been banging on about for yonks , here at " interest.co.nz " , we need to undo pretty much everything Cullen did 1999-2008 . Put all the tax settings back where they were . And start again from that point .

Call it how it is , Cullen screwed up a workable system to suit his ideologies ( Socialism ) , and his master's ( Helen Clark ) desire to rule the country for-ever . Hellen dreamed of a German style parliament where small parties rotated around a central large permanent socialist hub ( Labour ! ) .

Ergo they rooted the tax system and the country's fiscal balance purely for heir own ends .

You are harsh with JK & Wild Bill , Bernard , but nary a skerrick of condemnation for the Clark & Cullen Labour government which so badly failed us , 'cos it focused solely on them , and their future .

Fiddle and Tinker enjoy wearing

Fiddle and Tinker enjoy wearing Queen Helen's old red skirts. They see no reason to stop. Too many in the Party with too much to lose in the ponzi scheme. Onward and upward to greater debt and misery....and bugger the peasants.

Roger - too true. It

Roger - too true. It was the CCCP (Clark and Cullen Communist Party) that created all this mess. What a complete incompetent muppet Cullen was. During his reign, we had the best terms of trade and growth in our trading partners for decades and he blew it all. That will teach us for giving the reigns to someone who had never done a days work in the real world.
If we unwound all of Labour's changes to taxation, social welfare and their massive increase in non-productive public expendtiture we would be ok. Not perfect, but hey with a few minor changes we could have been coming out of the recession in good form. As it is we are an "Easter Egg" ecomony. We are completely hollow in the middle. Over the Communist years, our productive sector and productive people fled to Australia and boosted their GDP and tax coffers.
In some way I wish the CCCP had won the last election. Cullen would have completely lost it and would have to live with the mess he made.
Our ecomony will eventually face the meltdown to restore the balance (change is much easily when people have no options). However, I would prefer it to be a quick death, rather than a slow death by a 1,000 cuts. Its like taking a sticky paster off.
The sooner we crash, the sooner we can purge our society. Bring it on...

@RT: Some of Cullen's changed

@RT: Some of Cullen's changed might well make sense....so to my mind going back 10 years because you dont like Labour ideology isnt the answer...the TWG I think put out some good ideas....far better than going back a decade, or jumping to an equally broken National one (and we wont even mention ACT) we want to jump forward one decade.

"You are harsh with JK & Wild Bill , Bernard , but nary a skerrick of condemnation for the Clark & Cullen Labour government which so badly failed us"

Oh ye of short memory....go back 2 years and read forward....Bernard ripped into Labour often enough....now its the other equally failed ideology and pork barrel protection rackets turn, same cost on us, different beneficeries....

regards

@from the sidelines. CCCP, LOL.

@from the sidelines. CCCP, LOL. Brilliant!!

governments are just there to

governments are just there to fill their own pockets at the expense of everybody else.

From the sidelines - "The

From the sidelines - "The sooner we crash, the sooner we can purge our society. Bring it on"¦"

Hmm, the word purge sounds like something Mao, Hitler or Stalin would say. Labour and National are so close on basic policy you can barely separate them. Neither are socialist let alone communist. Even the Greens are a party of the centre. Talk of hoping for crashes in order to purge society sounds a bit dogmatic and totalitarian.

Our tax system is far

Our tax system is far from perfect and needs a bit of changing, but going for a big shakup all at once would probably cause more problems than it will solve.

If you go for something too extreme, National loses the next election, Labour get back in power and you are right back where you started when Labour put taxes back exactly like they had it.

Most of the big changes in the last 20-30 in NZ have just seemed to cause more problems than they've solved because they have been done too quickly.
If a lot of the changes had been more gradually implemented a lot more jobs and industries would have been saved.

I am defending JK's tax

I am defending JK's tax policies for now and reserve my final judgement until the budget.
The last thing i want is a tax to "discourage" or "encourage" any types of investment, the land tax is such that. JK's proposals will definitely remove any tax advantages that property has, so all investments will have a level playing field, is that what we all wanted?
Anyway, a land tax is like the "window tax" that coined the term "daylight robbery".

I would, however, like WFF removed, keep GST at current level, and cut government spending to make up the shortfall from reducing personal and company tax rates.

The default setting on the

The default setting on the NZ economy is socialist because we have so many working poor. Half of NZ families pay virtually no tax for petes sakes.
Theres your sociialist hub majority.
Just rotate labour or national in & out of the hub when the peasants get sick of their faces.

@Hard worker: What we have

@Hard worker: What we have right now is a tax system that does just that ie encourages housing gambling and dis-advantages real businesses....ie they lack investment..so we need a level playing field. A shocking statistic, in the 1980s 25% of debt was mortgage debt...now its over 90% so now businesses are squeezed out of the borrowing market because bankers want to lend to "safe" property....and wont lend for investment....if we want to make NZ richer its via the real economy and not paper speculation or to me gambling on an asset value increase and not on an actual income from that capital...

You may not want "a tax to "discourage" or "encourage" any types of investment" but the danger is if we dont correct this then we could end up in the poo big time.

I would happily see a land tax provided PAYE and business tax dropped to compensate...real workers and hard workers then get compensated fairly IMHO.

regards

The tax system is designed

The tax system is designed to fail the bulk of the population and enrich the pigs at the trough. It works very well. Why change a good system!

I quite like BH commentaries

I quite like BH commentaries BUT can someone please tell him to sit down take a deep breath and let go. BH has been going on and on about how broken our tax system is for the last 4 weeks... just like a scratched CD. Let it go man.... say something funny!

Not broken for some!

Not broken for some!

Steven do you know if

Steven do you know if anyone has done stats on how much lending secured over res property is actually to fund small business ?

<i>I quite like BH commentaries

I quite like BH commentaries BUT can someone please tell him to sit down take a deep breath and let go. BH has been going on and on about how broken our tax system is for the last 4 weeks"¦ just like a scratched CD. Let it go man"¦. say something funny!

It's worse than that. Bernard thinks you can fix the thieving distortions of taxation on a prosperous free market by simply instituting more thieving taxation distortions.

If he read Hayek he would realise where that leads once-free individuals: serfdom to an out of control state.

The only 'answer' for NZ/world is that the size of the state and state spending has to be ruthlessly slashed. No one is advocating it, English is merely talking about trying to contain it, and even while saying that he continues to fund its growth.

@Andrew: Nope.....but asking here might

@Andrew: Nope.....but asking here might well get you that stat, Bernard et al do that sort of thing...I am not sure what you are trying to say? I agree there will be some lending with the house as the asset at risk...but that should be productive...ie the business & home owner is generating an income which should service the debt, pay the bills and make a profit day to day....

@gingerbreadman: Its hammering at it because its so important...like I posted earlier if in the 1980s 25% of debt was mortgage then 75% was to businesses to invest....if today 90% is mortgages then only 10% is left for business....now the pie may indeed be bigger but using 90% gambling on the asset accumulating v an income from a business....I just cant see how that is good for NZ...

regards

@Wally: Indeed....that some though seems

@Wally: Indeed....that some though seems to be 1~5% of the population who are getting significantly richer while sucking the life blood off the rest....

regards

@steven. Not disagreeing with ya.

@steven. Not disagreeing with ya. Agree that current tax does favour property. But JK's proposals does look like those advantages will be removed and level the playing field.

@ Stevek Point taken -

@ Stevek
Point taken - the word "purge" did sound a bit extreme.
What I meant was that we have created an unsustainable ecomony whereby we have a very small and decreasing productive sector struggling to carry the burden a ever increasing state sector of beneficairies and beaucrates. And we have a neighbour who is more than happy to lure our remaining productive sector across the Tasman by rewarding them for their hard efforts.
Eventually we will have to retore the balance between the productive and unproductive sectors. Whether we do this by ourselves through reform or whether we have it forced upon us though collaspe remains to be seen. However, reform will be difficult, given where the majority of the population are in the non-productive sectors.

Any new system, be it

Any new system, be it tax or a computer program that is put in place needs the occasional tweak...
But if those patches are numerous, and those patches need re patching because another patch has caused issues elsewhere is a sure sign the original system is very poorly written and/or thought thru....and the patches themselves have not been thought ALL the way thru.

Our WHOLE tax system, top to bottom...and that not just means those who conceived it, but the law makers who wrote it up are incompetent and the system inherently flawed.

So a fix means one of 2 things
1/Return to a basic system, be it 10 or 40yrs ago
2/Completely scrap the system and start from scratch.

The latter is not a preferred option .....after all thats what happened with this system.
Therefore it is preferable to look at the basis of a system that has worked in the past and update for todays world....ie the wage earner doesnt get T1/2 or 2T anymore and the 40 hr working week doesnt exist either.

The BIG issue is that those who write up the laws and regulations no longer have the ability to think things ALL the way thru....which is the major cause of all the problems in modern society. Combine that with pollutions who cant think or plan ahead for a couple generations, I believe what ever happens it will be impossible to have what is intended to actually reach reality

Another classic example is what was intended with the concept with the RMA and the BS we have now. DoC is another example.

@Steven I think you will

@Steven

I think you will find people rather have 90% borrowed on their home and injecting liquidity into a small business, rather than borrowing less on the house, and paying for a business loan or the 20+% interest on a CC...

Also people chalk up debt onto the monkey - that is financial planning issues, not the cost of houses...

tax, tax, TAX, tax, GST and Tax, rates, tax on tax, tax on rates, Tax extra GST etc and once you've been taxed dry, before you spend anything, perhaps you would like to donate to a worthy cause, or pay from your taxes for a TWG to tell the big cheese what to do, before he ignores it totally for the good of the country. only surprise here is you were waiting for a surprise...

Give them a chance Steps..."those

Give them a chance Steps..."those who write up the laws and regulations"...are busy dealing with their bloated salaries and bonuses...can't expect too much time to be allocated to shuffling the paper.
You need to go with the flow Steps...bend with the breeze man....aint nothin gunna change in Noddyland.

Come on guys, get real...no

Come on guys, get real...no politician will change and do the "right" thing. Everyone will "change" only when it suit them and the polls says so....Remember Mr "Change we can believe in" ? Well it's "Change we can believe in" means "do nothing".

Get real and just concentrate on grooming your tax breaks and loopholes....start reading Tax lawbooks and the IRD manual word for word....it's worth it !!

Steven I guess the point

Steven I guess the point I was trying to make is that not all mortgage borrowing gets spent on houses.

I suspect a chunk goes to fund small business as even at an LVR of 50% on stock and debtors most banks still want the house, and if you are putting the house up as security you might as well borrow at mortgage based rates than business rates which are somewhat dearer.

As each day goes by it is becoming more apparent from where I sit there is no need to get too radical with property taxation (the BH approach).....the sector is showing every sign of retrenching all by itself.

A better idea kin is

A better idea kin is don't phone take take take if you wanna keepee keepee keepee.
Get with the Greek way of reducing govt splurging waste...avoid the taxes...grow your own....pull your own teeth....run a market stall...'flog it for cash' is the new way man.

Best one is the 'home

Best one is the 'home handiman'....Mr Fixit....works for cash...best deals in town...painting..gardening..lawns..leaky taps..interior renovations..cleaning drains..dropping trees.....heaps of ways to keep Take Take Take out of your pocket. Think of all the work being done for lower prices...all that extra cash finding a life in the marketplace and not stolen by wgtn.

The more indirect taxes are

The more indirect taxes are imposed/increased, the more the grey economy of evasion will flourish.

Just like Greece NA. You

Just like Greece NA. You manage your life to avoid the tax as much as you can. In the end the wgtn thieves find their flow of other peoples money is turned off and the splurging party comes to and end.

Gingerbreadman I'd like to, but

Gingerbreadman

I'd like to, but it's a hot topic and the government is making decisions every week on this. It's not going away.

Just like the gingerbreadman in Shrek. Eventually something will be broken.
cheers
Bernard

Wonder where the loot is

Wonder where the loot is coming from that the peasants use to pay the Mr Fixits!...they get it by avoiding tax on whatever they can...from growing their own grub...running the chooks...trapping the eels...shooting the wild pork...selling a few fish...sewing for cash...repairing the car...heaps and heaps and heaps of things going on that Take Take Take gets nothing from. See...the peasants aren't so thick afterall.

Has anyone done a cost

Has anyone done a cost benefit analysis on the health and pension system recently? i.e. what has the money we have spent on those services really done to improve the Country?

All I can really see is about half of the money in healthcare is spent in order to keep people alive for another year or so and that the money given to people in pensions has given rise to greypower as they have all this spare time on their hands.

Can not wait till they come back and ask for more when the BB get old and sick and want to sit at home or want to go to the town hall for a meeting to knock the system that they created.

I would rather give my money to a politician or civil servant I think ;)

Bernard said: <i>Eventually something will

Bernard said:

Eventually something will be broken.

The back of the taxpayer, and unfortunately on the recommendation of economists who think tax is the solution to not only anything, but everything.

Pretty appalling.

Haaaaaaaarhahaha...Zimmer Paul is pissed at

Haaaaaaaarhahaha...Zimmer Paul is pissed at paying for the old coots....gotta message for you paul....it's coming to you sooner than you might think.

@President of Property Says: February

@President of Property Says:
February 17th, 2010 at 9:55 am

"I think you will find people rather have 90% borrowed on their home and injecting liquidity into a small business, rather than borrowing less on the house, and paying for a business loan or the 20+% interest on a CC"¦"

By all means prove it....the comments from Bernard etc seem to suggest there is a lot of gambling on property going up in value as opposed to actually investing the money borrowed into a business, also we would need to separate out where this is genuine...as opposed to using housing as a "loss" for tax purposes...

John Key is astute enough

John Key is astute enough to realise the fragility of the economic situation looming, especially with the property sector - if he does what BH is suggesting it would put the whole economy into such a tailspin that would be problematic for everyone. It would be slash and unfortunately burn for all, and not just property investors. Idealogues never do see the unintended consequenes until it happens but then the damage is done.

Agreed Muzza. Housing market crash

Agreed Muzza.

Housing market crash = wallets put firmly into back pockets = not good for the productive sector everybody keeps banging on about.

Amazes me so many people consider collateral damage to be perfectly acceptable providing it brings the property market to heel.

Old Man Wally - I

Old Man Wally - I will hopefully grow old, some do not have the privilage. But I will not expect to hold the country to ransom and cause a legacy that my kids and grandkids will be hamstrung by? I plan to try and look after myself and my family without expecting all these so called "rights" that I would have "earned" over my life.

I hope that Doctors will learn to change their oath to not protecting life at all "cost".

I hope that the money that is not spent on me when I am old can be spent on my kids and grandkids [should I get any in many years to come] improving their lives and not just prolonging mine.

As has been said many times before on this site, your need to look after the productive sector..........

Don't think the builders will

Don't think the builders will be doing much "banging" Andrew! Amazes me so many people consider collateral damage to be perfectly acceptable providing it brings the property market greater profits.!!

A beefed up IRD? Last

A beefed up IRD? Last I heard they were cutting back at IRD. So much so that there simply isn't enough man power there to follow up on pushing through bankruptcies! Could this explain why the number of bankruptcies is down this year?

I'm not suggesting we hire more IRD staff, but rather simplify the tax system. ... Of course neither of these action seem likely to happen and time soon.

Well that's just great zimmer

Well that's just great zimmer paul...but are you collecting WFF right now?...did you pay for your education aged 5 to 17....we all suck on the state Paul. When you're an old coot with crap eyesight and creaking joints..your attitude will change..oh yes it bloody well will.

Wally there is a difference

Wally there is a difference between bringing the property market under control and inducing a crash.

In my view it would appear Keys intended changes will bring the former while Hickeys will bring the latter.

The builders will all be over in Oz.

talking about builders and property

talking about builders and property shortages

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/property/news/article.cfm?c_id=8&objectid=1062...

there is a lot at play...

Andrew, the longer the property

Andrew, the longer the property market is kept artificially inflated (due to excessive credit availability), the longer people are going to be paying 'excessive' amounts for housing. When people are spending more and more of their incomes on home loans, they have less and less money to spend on consumer items, and less and less to invest in business. This hardly seems to me like a good long term solution.

I heard it said that Americans have (traditionally, as in post WWII up until the about the 70s/80s) been so wealthy because food there is cheap (relative to income) and so are houses. The result, people have more spare cash to invest in stocks, blow on travel nice cars great lifestyles (eg. hiring maids) etc. It seems we in NZ are the opposite - expensive houses and expensive food. Less and less money for anything else.

@ Andrew : "....there is

@ Andrew : "....there is a difference between bringing the property market under control and inducing a crash." It will be inetersting to see if this is the case.

Old Man Wally – I

Old Man Wally "“ I will hopefully grow old, some do not have the privilage. But I will not expect to hold the country to ransom and cause a legacy that my kids and grandkids will be hamstrung by?

it's not right for people to collect state pensions for 20-30-40 years. We cannot afford it. the retirement aged should immediately moved to 70. Those unable to work till then should be on invalids benefits.

And the differnece between being

And the differnece between being the State Pension and Invalid Benefit is.....a matter of lettering? It's like saying our unemployment stats. are down; however, and coincidentaly, our sickness beneficiaries are up.

Wally Says: "Give them a

Wally Says:
"Give them a chance Steps"¦"those who write up the laws and regulations""¦

Wally Im not talking about the politicians here, the lawyers who are meant to 'translate; what the pollys want into legal terms...so that when it gets into the legal system, courts can then rule on what what was intended rather than what is written

And here in lays a lot of the problem.....
Same goes with Gov depts, IRD etc, dream up new patches..sry rules, and it off to the legal beavers to do the final draft..these are Jr lawyers fresh out of Uni and very little idea how accountants work and think...then it may get passed up to more snr bureaucrats who have little idea of the real world

Old Creeky Joints - Yes

Old Creeky Joints - Yes I did get an education from the age of 5-17. My family also had to pay topup fees and suppliment the education system through the variety mechanisms that schools use. However the country was investing in my productive future as it would be/is of benefit to the country. The country also supplimented 80% of my 5 years of university education while I paid the rest via my non-interest free student loan and part time jobs and summer holiday work. I also sucked on the welfare state having my appendix removed, however once again I was expected to be out in the productive sector for a "few more years" in order to help contribute to the country.

No I do not currently claim WFF, I did after my first child, but have not looked to claim it after the arrival of our second. I do not really need it. Am I rich....no, can I live without support, yes. Does mean that I can not drink flash wine or got out for meals other than to a cheap chinese smorgasbord.

My eyesight is crap and I have to pay for my glasses.

I really hope my attitude will not change when I become an old coot. I do not want to become an old coot. Old coots do not add anything to society except for their bitterness.

People talk about supporting the productive sector and clamping down on the unproductive, yet we have no increase in retirement age and no reduction in pension payments. Would be great if people took responsibility for their own lot in life instead of relying on me to provide it for them.

lol, well said Nicholas, maybe

lol, well said Nicholas, maybe we should be referring to them by that title.....haha

@Andrew: It maybe re-trenching now....or

@Andrew: It maybe re-trenching now....or it may not...if you only look at the short term. So if you are using that argument hey guys no need to fix it....lets forget about it its fixing itself, well it is nto really....so then of course it raises its ugly head next time....

regards

Paul id rather we sorted

Paul id rather we sorted out a few of the younger welfare recipients before we go after the oldies.

@muzza: we are over-reliant on

@muzza: we are over-reliant on property speculation, we have a huge bubble, making property assets hugely overvalued against their income. That's effecting the rest of the NZ economy...therefore that has to be removed to fix the economy overall...Would wallets snap shut? not sure, the assets are paper assets its only money you can spend when you sell so its not in your wallet in the first place. Swings and roundabouts....

Steven im not suggesting we

Steven im not suggesting we do nothing, but i dont think there is a need for the sledgehammer.

I would have thought removing the shelter provided by the top tax rate and disallowing depn, along with higher interest rates and more restrictive bank lending should do the trick.

Golly, Andrew! Looks like quite

Golly, Andrew! Looks like quite a sledge hammer of your own, you've got there! The only item that would turn it from a No 22 to a No 24 would be to ring fence losses.

fair enough Andrew, atleast the

fair enough Andrew, atleast the younger ones can get out and still be productive. The oldies are just.......old ....lol hahahehehoho

@Andrew: there seem to be

@Andrew: there seem to be two schools of thought, the one independent one that says JK's changes are in-adequate and need to go far further, and the ones who are "tainted" by their property links who say these are good enough....experience tells me to be wary of anyone such as the latter who would directly benefit from an outcome...

I agree with your earlier point I would like to see what % of house buying debt is for the single home to live in and what % of debt is to fund a small business, what % is the professional landlord making a day to day return and what % is purely the gamblers looking for an asset gain with no work involved...%s and sums of $...

Oh and Andrew which of those two schools of thought are you?

regards

Exactly Nicholas.....from what I can

Exactly Nicholas.....from what I can see the last 2 are going to happen regardless...and will probably be with us for some time into the future, so no need for JK to get too carried away.

Paul disregard my comments about the young beneficiaries - apparently BH is going to export them :-)

Steven Yes I own property,

Steven

Yes I own property, but I also invest in the "productive sector" so have a leg in both camps. Have held them for years and intend to hold them for plenty more, so a short term price hit isnt the end of the world for me. Im not a trader and am more focussed on the cashflow generated than the paper gain.

So on that basis one could argue I have a vested interest but in fairness I could be arguing "do nothing at all" which I am not.

However I can see for a lot of people a sudden substantial correction would cause a lot of pain, and im not convinced thats a good thing at this point in time. Irrespective of what the economists are saying there seems to still be plenty of hurt being felt out there.

If what Key is proposing isnt enough he can always turn up the pressure later, rather than the other way around.

Those camps are drfiting apart

Those camps are drfiting apart Andrew....better make your move before the pain kicks in!

Nah i'll ride it out

Nah i'll ride it out Wally. If BH becomes finance minister than i'll bail.

Yeah BN for PM! If

Yeah BN for PM!

If Peter Schiff can stand for the US Senate, why not BH for....um...NZF? United?

;]

regards

@Andrew: "However I can see

@Andrew: "However I can see for a lot of people a sudden substantial correction would cause a lot of pain" Possible, however when you do a "something" you have to consider that a risk is the Govn will change the Legislation...

"and im not convinced thats a good thing at this point in time." Swings and roundabouts...our housing debt, ie private debt is huge and un-productive while or productive sector is suffering...by say introducing a Land tax and reducing business and/or PAYE taxes that effect businesses (in particular exporters) that's giving relief where it is needed right now, urgently.

"Irrespective of what the economists are saying there seems to still be plenty of hurt being felt out there." The ones saying that I think are in cloud cuckoo land....just reading all the not even bad but terrible news on the state of so many countries it just does not add up that we are in recovery mode....

regards

John Key is proving to

John Key is proving to be a good prime minister, representing the face of NZ to the world.

BUT he is not a leader. The leadership we so definitely need will not come from John Key even though he has a virtual mandate to instigate big changes. He is totally focused on his future as PM and not the changes that may upset the vote.

I only see NZ being carefully managed for further decline. There is no inspiration, incentive, direction or get up and go. The popular changes so far are only around the periphery of what has to happen.

IE. less government, not more taxes, flat tax or at least only two low tiers, abolishing the crazy working for families and maybe replace with the old tax codes that give parents their money immediately at the work source. ( depending on number of children)That would immediately remove 400,000 off welfare. Spending cut backs as suggested by Don Brash are not radical. Just get on with it.

Where is the man we thought we were getting before the election.

AS for Bernard Hickey. We can be so thankful for considered and reasoned analysis of what has to happen. Could you team up with Muriel Newman, Bernard?