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Bernard Hickey talks on TV1's Breakfast about the awful budget situation

Posted in News

Bernard Hickey talks to TV1 Breakfast's Pippa Wetzell about New Zealand's awful budget situation.

For more on the government's books for the year to June 30, 2009, see here.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment in the box on the right or click on the "'Register" link at the bottom of the comments. Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making these comments.

96 Comments

Changes of the tax system,

Changes of the tax system, making property speculations difficult and introduce fairer conditions for producers and exporters to encourage manufacturing and production "“ such actions are a great start for a better NZ and future for our younger generation.

As much as reforms are necessary for deeper and long lasting economic success, profound actions for culture changes need to be taken also.
Our nation is literally badly shaped, because we live in a daily environment dominated by consumption. A shift to a more balanced style of life is essential. The media should play a major rule to educate the public in developing a manufacturing culture, so we can learn again to create and make all sorts of products for us and for others (Export). As a nation, this is an important step to keep our living- standards.

A blogger ask:
"Do we really think that building widgets here in New Zealand at a higher price than we can import them is the solution?"

Yes "“ AS A NATION WE MUST "“ with clever planning form the private sector, other international companies and the government.

WE MUST ADD NEW SEGMENTS TO OUR ECONOMY

Here only 10 important advantage points:

1) It creates jobs.
2) It lifts the quality level/ selection of jobs/ education.
3) It allows us to keep skilled/ educated people in NZ.
4) It encourages/ supports academic Research & Tech. Developments.
5) It makes us more in depended from other countries/ companies.
6) It makes existence easier for other companies/ businesses.
7) Manufacturing becomes more competitive.
Of security reasons.
9) It creates wealth & prosperity.
10) It makes us proud.

Cheers Walter

Bernard---as a sheep and cattle

Bernard---as a sheep and cattle farmer for 55years and developing the property out of income taxation was not our overiding problem. For many of us our main concern is to leave the land and stock in better condition and several times more productive knowing that we, as a team effort helped provide employment and living standards for a great many people.

The present chaos in NZ's and the Worlds affairs tends to make one wonder if life is a mirage.

Tired Farmer, Many thanks. Have

Tired Farmer,

Many thanks. Have you made profits cumulatively over time and has that exceeded say a 5% return on equity and debt? If not, how did you justify the investment?

cheers
Bernard

Bernard, more user-pay in education,

Bernard, more user-pay in education, more user-pay in health and higher taxes as well?

What, are you working for the IMF?

National appear obsessed by the

National appear obsessed by the warm glow of their massive approval rating . Do we really think that JK is going to allow Wild Bill to give us the bitter medicine that we need ? I can think of a parallel with Malcolm Fraser , in Australia , 25 years ago . The people gave him the mandate to make reform to the Government and the wider economy . He had full control of both the lower house and the senate . And he sat , and sat , alike a bunny transfixed by the headlights of an oncoming vehicle . Luckily for Oz , they had Bob Hawke and Paul Keating in opposition . And when the electorate's patience with Fraser wore off , Hawkie and Big Paul gleefully took over , and set about the hard work that the Tories had neglected . But the parallel with NZ today , ends abruptly there . 'Cos our opposition are still stacked with the same tired old pollies , who in 9 years , led us into the financial wilderness . They needed more than just # 1 and # 2 to clear off . Goffy , King , Cosgrove , Carter , Parker , Mallard ... the whole kit and caboodle of them need to exit now ! Until they do , the Nats will ride high in the polls , understandedly . And we risk JK doing to us exactly that which Fraser did to Australia .......Bloody nothing !

Roger, Tis not one, but

Roger,

Tis not one, but all that need to leave.

As a solution I can afford a PLANE ticket for each Polititco ...but it would only be one way.

May just be worth it...Though the Cheap TICKET rort would only bring em back.

Back to the drawing board.

Samoa may be the place to send em...help with the clean-up...They have all really cleaned up here...

Did you catch the Blog about the KING of SAMOA on his travels. Didn't even blink when the TSUNAMI struck...just kept Snorting & Snuffling around the world first class....Which he ain't..

Now there is a real Snout in the TROUGH....and as usual...we NZ TAXPAYERS are paying.

Ho HUM...

20 Billion down the tubes

20 Billion down the tubes in 6 months. There was a spending spree over the last 10 years of Labour - in fact ever since Ruth in '91 - not just the last two years. We don't have to make hard decisions in 10 years time - we have to make them now

The decisions are clear: we absolutely cannot increase taxes or broaden the base. We must cut out clothes to fit the cloth. We all know what need to be done:
* repeal Employment law, Union laws & minimum wage to get people working.
* greatly lower or ideally eliminate the pensions and benefits
* stop ACC
* privatise schools and hospitals.
* eliminate TVNZ & RadioNZ
* get rid of all the SOEs

Key's got at least two years. He's on 55%. He's got the support he needs NOW to put the next election off say til 2015 - more than enough time to do the work that is required.

Bernard this is the sort

Bernard

this is the sort of common sense stuff that I heard you saying on National Radio a couple of years ago and which turned me into a disciple.
Keep it up - no-one else is saying it.

PS Cool tie ;-)

But you're right on one

But you're right on one count, though - I retired and went right into hospital
http://youmustbefromaway.blogspot.com/2008/04/before-and-after.html

Useful interview. Some attention to

Useful interview. Some attention to the bottom-line is indeed required, however, if you want to listen to something with more of a top-line focus and with more specific solutions listen to this radio interview that Selwyn Pellet of PEC gave on an Auckland based community radio. His slot starts around the 18th minute:

http://www.planetaudio.org.nz/program_search.php?languageid=14&programid...

Walter - you say; A blogger ask: "Do we really think that building widgets here in New Zealand at a higher price than we can import them is the solution?"

That blogger was Bernard, on a thread far, far away, see this link and drill through:

http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/10/10/opinion-how-res...

Having now seen the interview, Bernard made some good points but did not actually appear to be promoting the emphasis you've inferred(?) an he said nothing about our ineffective monetary policy - contrast that with what Selwyn says in his interview.

Cheers, Les.

Someone Please suggest stopping subsidies

Someone Please suggest stopping subsidies on borrowing. Please!

"Many thanks. Have you made

"Many thanks. Have you made profits cumulatively over time and has that exceeded say a 5% return on equity and debt? If not, how did you justify the investment?
"

Bernard, while I don't presume to talk for tired farmer, I would assume that for some people, feeling like they have left the world a better place and had a good (but hard) life has a higher value than a return on cash.

Brodie, I give Tired Farmer

Brodie,

I give Tired Farmer some credit for being financially astute. I'm sure he was a good farmer, but I suspect, like many farmers, the end game is to build up the asset into something valuable to either sell (tax free) or pass on to the next generation (tax free).
This distorts investment decisions and collectively reduces the performance of the country.

cheers
Bernard

in response to sinner: Get

in response to sinner:

Get rid of SOE?

please justify this answer with the last 20 years of history in nz economics?

Hi Bernard, Concurrent to Brodie

Hi Bernard,

Concurrent to Brodie Davis' remarks (concerning "Tired Farmer"), I would suggest that your view with respect to "investment decisions" is somewhat wide of the mark.

It seems to me that your perspective on the criteria as to what constitutes an incentive to make an investment decision may be too narrow. I am the 5th generation in my family to be involved in farming, and the third generation to be involved in farming our "current" family farm. My primary income is not from the farm (I work full-time off the farm), and at present I lease out our pasture / cropland to a neighbour. Since I currently work off the farm, I have used my off-farm income to buy the farm next door to ensure that our current operation remains viable over the next 30 or so years. The reason for the purchase of additional land is this: I have three boys that I want to have the OPPORTUNITY to farm if that is indeed what they decide they want to do.

Even if I may not at present be a "primary income" farmer, I recognize that the opportunity to purchase land next door that can be efficiently farmed by us (either now or in the future) does not happen often. Consequently you do it when you can. In terms of "efficiently" farming of what we have, I am very happy with our leasee and the sustainable, efficient production that he has been able to generate and profit from.

Lastly, I would suggest that "the end game" in making a sound investment decisions relating to farming involves more than dollars and cents. For some of what I would call forward-looking operations, it's a recognition that to be "efficient" sometimes goes beyond what you may hope to achieve in one, single generation. Additionally, it involves decisions relating to cultural and social values that come from living and making your living off the land. I am not saying values derived from raising a family or growing in this environment are any better than any other experience, but I want to re-emphasize that economic decisions are about more than simple dollars and cents, and deciding what to do and how to conduct your life is, in fact, an economic decision! So to conclude, I would argue multi-generational decisions relating to family farms, on a macro scale, will in the long term INCREASE the collective performance of the country, as the investment decisions being made are still looking towards efficiency, productivity and sustainability, but also recognizing that increased efficiency and productivity may take more than one generation to achieve.

I greatly appreciate your website and the opportunity to comment on an interesting subject.

Les, what sense does it

Les, what sense does it make to ride the wave, who the blogger was ? You better join and comment on people's articles. Do you have some NEW or ADDITIONAL ideas of how our production (manfacturing) can be increased ? How important is a culture change for you guys ?
Cheers Walter

..and why is so important

..and why is so important to extend the manufactring sector adding new segments to the economy. I think there are questions to answer from professionals in that field - most bankers, economists, politicians and the public have not a clue of.
Cheers Walter

Walter , sometimes it is

Walter , sometimes it is too hard to achieve a culture change . I think I understand your sentiment . But Kiwi is a stubborn wee birdie , it doesn't like change . For me , easier to go to a culture of work / thrift / freedom , than to attempt to establish those values here ......... $ 275 for one way ticket to Australia !

Bernard Your comments to Tired

Bernard

Your comments to Tired Farmer:

"Many thanks. Have you made profits cumulatively over time and has that exceeded say a 5% return on equity and debt? If not, how did you justify the investment?"

show that you just don't understand the difference between land asset based businesses and other forms of business.

The return on the current market value of the assets (debt plus equity) is just not a relevant consideration.

Market values fluctuate and there can also be potential to grow incomes within the existing assets. Asset disposal costs mean that market value will not likely be achieved anyway.

Land assets produce income streams that can generally repay debt in a relatively short time frame - for me I look at an under 10 year horizon. Some passive property investors may negatively gear themselves for too long but these investors generally have a much longer horizon maybe 20 or 25 years. But under either strategy the end goal is a debt free income stream.

Here's an example:
A house I bought 7 years ago for $70k in north central ChCh, is rented at $240pw, but now worth $375k+. In your view it's a terrible investment because it returns 3.3% on current market value, however it returns me 18% on the original purchase price which I'm happy with. Moreover the house (large villa) if renovated would rent at $450pw plus there is room to build up to 4 apartments in the back yard - producing a potential $1800pw once the extra money is spent.

So I see owning that property as a good thing even though on paper the return might be rubbish. (BTW It also allows me to save an historic villa from demolition which something I like to do).

Compare this to a manufacturer who uses debt to buy machinery. In 10 years when the debt is repaid the machinery is outdated and worthless and gets hocked off at auction for nearly nothing. A land owner has an asset paid off which (if he or she has chosen wisely) is in a location that has improved in value and can produce a debt free income stream indefinitely.

There's just no comparison between the returns that the two types of businesses should expect. It's this way, that land businesses can justify what seem like unrealistically low returns.

PS I've bought properties as little recent as 2006 on returns around 7.5% which with minor improvements and reletting already achieve 13.5%PA - with my 5 year fixed at 6%, I've already put those properties in the "job done" category.

Chris_J, Current "value" is not

Chris_J,

Current "value" is not a futuristic concept ie you should not behappy to buy a property with 3% yeilds because in 15 years time rents will have caught up to make it cash positive.

WHY?? Because while you are waiting for the income to catch up you are

a) accumulating losses over 15 years (even if the govt is stupidly giving you tax credits)
b) unlikely to be getting big enough gains to compensate the heavy loss because that implies someone else in the market is prepared to get even worse yields.

So you end up with an asset that will lose you money ie someone who rolls up in 15 years who put the equivalent cash losses and deposit into higher yielding investments will likely be in a much better position. What you (and most investors) forget is that rental YIELD is paramount to property because that is the ONLY income it generates. The gains over the last 10 year have come at the expense of yields and are why yields are so low. Once strecthed too far then they will tend to come back in line because people arent prepared to hold on to a loss making asset that is not making big gains.

Quite simple really.

Chris_j, And as for your

Chris_j,

And as for your investments. Good on you if you can find 7.5% yields and properties that quintruple in 7 years. If you have found a 7.5% yielding property then I agree with you, that particular house is not overpriced assuming the yield is realistic long term. But remember, these must surely be exceptions to the general rule???? I can only take your word for it but we all know from your "analysis" of housing stats in a previous blog that perhaps you bend the truth a little. If you are telling the truth then whats your number - I need a good buyer's agent.

Bill should sack John over

Bill should sack John over the weekend.

Chris J Many thanks. Interesting

Chris J
Many thanks. Interesting comments.
Particularly this one:

"So I see owning that property as a good thing even though on paper the return might be rubbish."

Would your financial justification be the same if there was a land tax or/and a capital gains tax?

cheers
Bernard
PS BTW Well done on the 7.5% yield. That's pretty good for any investor.

Nice interview Bernhard :-)

Nice interview Bernhard :-)

Where do I start...ChrisJ. May

Where do I start...ChrisJ.

May I just point out that ANYONE who did this 7 years ago will be able to SKITE, some more than others.

However, the next 7 years for most people will be more TELLING.

Especially those jumping into highly leveraged debt borrowings today to do the SAME.

The debt explosion has not gone away folks.

It is only being MICRO-MANAGED....and piling up FAST....just ask BILL....as he has to PAY the BILLS...and the PIPER who may want their money back, but not DEVALUED.

You do not want to PISS orf the CHINESE particularly...they got GUNS...BIG-uns. and I do not mean the packet ones.

Seems RODNEY is objecting to some HIKES in taxes...

In fact he mentioned that SOME are PISSED off at the prospect of PAYING.

(RUDE RODNEY...but CORRECT.....if you can use that word..so can I)

Your commitment to paying SOMEONE else's debt is an on-going SAGA

You and your RENTERS do it Daily...long may they have jobs and income and TAXES.

It unwinds pretty fast, when it starts unravelling..just ask the YANK and the BRITS.

I hope the tax-man comes calling too...soon, very very soon.

John & Bill are you LISTENING....cos it..... is Long, Long Overdue.

There is a TIDY SUM to fill the COFFERS if you do it right.

(But I suppose you are not listening but GALLIVANTING...looking for more CHINESE DOUGH instead)

By the way. ...The yield is immaterial and miniscule, when weighed against what you could have achieved elsewhere and realised

And that not aided by more IDIOTS piling in behind and BOLLARDS managing your OUTLAY interest downwards.......till now........... aided and abetted by the previous Governments.

That is what we in the know actually call a BUBBLE...and WRAPPED is not what NZ as a HOLE...should be.

Nor all the other HOLES around the WORLD.

Personally I applaud your ilks efforts on my behalf.

Not all investors look to the SHORT-TERM, nor are we all motivated by BLIND greed.

You have had a good run.

Now I and a lot of New Zealanders want the IRD to come to the PARTY.

BOLLARDS and KEY please NOTE...read my lips.

ENUFF ALREADY.

Then can we start on the other TAKERS and things that really need fixing.

I will start the list...Maybe you readers can ADD to it.

Maybe we could start a PETITION .......BERNARD.

GANGS,
LACs,
DPB,
WFF,
Govt Pensions,
Number of MPs.
Number of Civil SERPENTS.
PRISONS,
ACC
INFRASTRUCTURE miss-management. (Toll roads..yeah right).

Have to Go......Her...in ...DOORS wants to go SHOPPING.

TV1 & Maori tv competing

TV1 & Maori tv competing with SKY for rugby 2011 coverage , a private sporting event.
ACC for "P" lab fools who blow their faces off .
Government funding for yacht races .
Annual " aid " to the Royal Family of Tonga .
Partners' free trips with MPs overseas .
ACC for prisoners , or anyone in the act of a crime .

Roger, I'm sure John may

Roger, I'm sure John may consider your proposals - smiling.

Bill should sack John over the weekend.

Jimmy - It's return on

Jimmy - It's return on equity that matters not return on purchase price. My brother owns a property in Hamilton - 3 bedroom house with 2 minor dwellings (relocatables that he added). Purchase and construction cost was $380K in March 07. Rent is $40K. Outgoings (ex depreciation are $35K). He has 100% mortgage. How do you measure the return on equity? $5000/0 = ???. He makes a loss of about $8K after depreciation so gets a refund of $2-$3k. So that's $8K cashflow from $0 equity.

Walter : Biff 'em both

Walter : Biff 'em both out . Am 100 % sure that Bernard and Mark Hubbard could take over . Do a far better job . And be cheaper into the bargain ( old one latte a week Hickey ain't gonna waste tax-payers dosh ! )

Bring out a property gains

Bring out a property gains tax.......oh wait it's too late for that!!!

Bernard---many thanks for providing a

Bernard---many thanks for providing a forum on which to read your thoughts and share ideas amongst the wider community.

Brodie Davis, Farmer Bob and Chris J----they have expanded my thoughts cohesivly and to them I am grateful.

Back in the early 1980's we were advised to broaden our investment base off farm.

Let us just say the timing was wrong. In later years when many of my farming friends were either cashing up voluntarily or other wise ,I felt we were the lucky ones able to survive and carry on farming( due, as in many cases i am sure) to the repertoire of skills my wife was able to inject into the partnership .

A farming friend who has developed a much larger property than ours sums up the situation saying a farm is like a sponge, the more you pour in the more it soaks up, slurp,slurp, slurp .

Tired Farmer I am guilty

Tired Farmer
I am guilty too. I continue to expand into the wine industry especially so in the near future as the credit crisis and poor returns really start to bite. My returns have always been low but i enjoy the security and the view. I am also guilty of looking into the sheep and beef industry lately, however i believe their woes to be more serious. In the future I wish to spread my risk and invest globally but this is seriously dangerous as NZFSU found out, I did tell them that it was a minefield maybe I should have been more forceful. I sat in an ASB meeting were the area manager after a whirlwind trip to Uruguay (paid for by NZFSU) advised clients to borrow against their assets in NZ and go for it,a once in a lifetime chance, we the bank will help you, I doubt they are helping much at present except to advise on some austere budget constraints. Uruguay is fairly corrupt and dangerous i would keep clear at all costs. You must have local partners in Sth America and prepare for strange events. I am lucky with family in South America fortunately a large catholic one this gives me a huge edge.
My grandfather taught me that a profit is the gap between expenses and income, I hate expenses,it my Scottish inheritance.

AndrewJ Maybe. But's that's the

AndrewJ

Maybe. But's that's the cost of profligacy. We deserve it. All we can do is make the best of an awkward situation.
It's too late now to do otherwise, and we're in fine company. The Chinese are buying up Australia, although, to be fair, the Australian government is pushing back hard.
We don't have that choice.

cheers
Bernard

Better to embrace this inevitable

Better to embrace this inevitable economic linkage with China , than to act with xenophobic hysteria , as Australia has done . And if we can feed them up on our diet of fish / chips / pies / and cheese , we may slow them down enough such that we can successfully compete in some industrys .

Shorty, I'm starting to seriously

Shorty,

I'm starting to seriously doubt your veracity as well. Who the hell would pay 800 per week to live in a 380k house in the 'Tron'???? Again, as per the 7.5% yield, a >10% yield is even better. I just doubt opportunities like that exist, if they do they are hidden from me. Maybe your brother and Chris_J should set up a buyers advocate agency together.

Bernard, i read your piece

Bernard,

i read your piece - "To that end, New Zealand should open up the immigration taps from China and encourage Chinese investors to come here. "

I thought you wanted to dampen down the housing market. The less asset inflating foreigners the better.

Bernard in most cases equity

Bernard
in most cases equity will already have been well and truly destroyed, the only ones being bailed out are the Australian banks.
As for serfdom everyone else first please.

The water is still too

The water is still too cold down here , for serfdom , unless you have a wet-suit .

Rude Oil ! - $

Rude Oil ! - $ 78.06

What's rude about it ,

What's rude about it , Walter ? Is this the price for raw oil , or naked crude ?

Rogi, we all going to

Rogi, we all going to be shocked how rude oil can be on our wallets - soon - I'm afraid. It doesn't matter if naked, raw or badly dressed.

Bill should sack John over the weekend.

No point in Wild Bill

No point in Wild Bill trying to usurp the Marshal of Tumble-debt Gulch . He's as bigga fool as JK is , so no gain there . Where's a " Paul Keating " when ya need him !

Oil won't hold these levels . Demand side of equation will bring it down . And OPEC have 5 million barrels / day of excess capacity .

"Maybe. But’s that’s the cost

"Maybe. But's that's the cost of profligacy. We deserve it. All we can do is make the best of an awkward situation.
It's too late now to do otherwise, and we're in fine company."

Jeez Bernard this blogging business is turning you into a real defeatist. Trying thinking outside the square and maybe, just MAYBE consider something other than orthodox monetarism. Once you've got to that stage all sorts of things become possible and if a bit of VISION is what you're after this ppt effort from Selwyn at PEC is a great starting point.

http://www.pec.org.nz/2009/09/growing-up-to-business/

neil c - indeed, have

neil c - indeed, have a listen from 18th minute, back on this thread at October 16th, 2009 at 6:54 am. Cheers, Les.

RT - "OPEC have 5

RT - "OPEC have 5 million barrels / day of excess capacity ." ... Personally, I would'nt bet the farm on that...>

http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/5870#more

Saudi's official OPEC reserve numbers that dictate the % supply targets for each OPEC country...were audited for authencity by... you guessed it the Saudi's.

The way forward is becoming

The way forward is becoming more and more evident. We just need to have the goolies to go ahead and do it.

"The private banking system is in systemic failure, and the public is waking up to the fact. We have been fleeced by Wall Street, the banks are not providing loans, and our savings are no longer secure. The publicly-owned Bank of North Dakota has provided an alternative model that has worked remarkably well for nearly a century."

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article14253.html

Bernard, 'Profits over time' (as

Bernard, 'Profits over time' (as I keel over in hilarity), Return on capital or profits hah what a joke. Damn lucky enough to keep the improvements up to scratch. ie house repainted, tracks metalled, water reticulation etc going. As one farmer said before me, farms just slurp slurp slurp.
Last week I remetalled a small area, and I mean SMALL. Bye bye $1000. How much profit or return on capital can so depend on what you do or dont put back in. However I dont think a lot of us care. There are simple things like chopping down a tree if I feel the urge. No resource consent required here. Waking up in the morning and listening to bellbirds and tuis. Kaka flying over at dusk. Knowing if the shit hits the fan, there is always meat to eat, a cow can be milked, veges grown. Theres a lot more to owning and running a farm than money. I dont think that is exactly what you were getting at, but I think you have asked the wrong bunch of farmers to get the reply you are after.

A little farming Humour. A

A little farming Humour.

A Farmer won 4 million on LOTTO. Spent 2 million on the kids, bought em both new houses, cars etc and a holiday.

His townie cousin asked him what he was going to do with the other2 MILLION.

His reply......keep on farming till it is all gone.

Bernard says we need to

Bernard says we need to cut back on health, education. I have a better idea why dont we take back our economic sovereignty and cut back on the fast rising 39 billion that leaves this nation as rent on our foreign supplied created credit money.

Another great article has just come out from Ellen Brown explaining that one state of America has been using its public credit facilities for a longtime and remains one of the most stable of them all, now several others are investigating the option. It is just what we need to be doing with RBNZ and Kiwibank.

"The primary deposit base of the BND is the State of North Dakota. All state funds and funds of state institutions are deposited with the bank as required by law. . . . Use of the banks' earnings are at the discretion of the state legislature. As an agent of the state it can make subsidized loans to spur development . . . . [It] underwrites municipal bonds for all of the political units in the state, and has been one of the leading banks in the nation in the number of student loans issued. The bank also serves as the state's "˜Mini Fed' . . . . As a result of the banks' services, it enjoys widespread support among the public and the independent banking community."
http://www.webofdebt.com/articles/publicly-owned.php

The Taranaki Savings Bank was unto Kiwibank the only NZ owned bank left, it does a very good job of redistributing the central banks created credit through its veins and offering plain vanilla banking and returning great dividends to the community of Taranaki who owns it in trust. If we are not to completely reform our monetary system and have the RBNZ become our FED, BOE etc, the next best thing is quite obviously to have Kiwibank become to the NZ community what TSB is to the Taranaki community.

The question quite simply is, are we still an independent nation or are we governed by international law, that is in turn governed by the private owners of the International Financial Institutions?
We can't keep putting our heads in the sand and hope it will all go away, because there aint no action without reaction, as sure as you cant do what you dont know.

Bernard, The control and timbre

Bernard,
The control and timbre of your delivery was professional and spoken by someone who understands the watershed importance of taking control of the situation now - or spend the next generation (.... at least) sticking fingers in an eroding dam, as the water rises above our heads.
We were the Cinderella, made over like a princess, and delivered in a gilded carriage, to parties held in financial ballrooms all around the world. But the clock is fast approaching Midnight and our carriage is about to turn back into a pumpkin. The greater fantasy has been that somehow our nation could achieve sustainable prosperity through the synergy of real estate transactions, consumerism, and debt.
In truth, the wealth of this country has simply been shifted from the foundations of working people, to power elites whose primary interest is themselves. When the Titanic was sinking; those on the upper decks had first crack at the limited number of lifeboats. The majority of those who drowned occupied the lower berths.
Certainly there are other nations at greater risk than New Zealand. Japan, the United States and UK have become "Too Big To Fail" much the same as AIG, Citigroup, and Bank of America. TBTF has become the cowardly mantra of those without the courage to draw back the curtain to reveal truth.
So good on you Bernard for the courage to stand and be counted among those of us who despair of the world our grandchildren will inherit.

FYI here's my views on

FYI here's my views on the budget and the clash of the generations on BFM in audio form

http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0910/S00157.htm

cheers
Bernard

Bernard - re. your invitation

Bernard - re. your invitation to folk who are leaving to write John Key a note with the line, "I left because you did nothing." Good line and many exporters giving up, or who have given up have said the same, to him and Clark before him. But still no change. What is it going to take?

To the lady (I've forgot your name sorry) who shared this link last week sometime:

http://www.chrismartenson.com/crashcourse

Thanks, very useful.

Tip - if you are going to watch this 'Crash Course' on the same days as listening to Bernard's interview lnked above - remove all razor blades from the house first.

The notion that the baby

The notion that the baby boomers are the principle cause of our unaffordable housing - I just don't think so.

Take this redundant, now self-employed, 36 year old;
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/employment/news/article.cfm?c_id=11&objectid=1...

"Along the way he acquired five investment properties, four still with mortgages when his job evaporated".

IMO it's quite typical of the <40yo 'yuppies' who were on good salaries and therefore considered a good risk by the lenders. Granted, the first house might have used Mum and Dad's equity to get them started - but once they got started, a number of them (like this chap) really decided to go to town!

jimmy Did I read you

jimmy

Did I read you correctly at 12.05pm:

"I need a good buyer's agent."

Your not thinking of buying property are you? Surely I must be mistaken!

On your comment about Shorty's brother's property I think that you missed the point that there were 3 rental incomes earning the $800pw not just one house.

I'm not sure why Bernard, jimmy etc are impressed by a 7.5% yield. I only buy a straight investment at that level if the rents are below market. 1998-2003, 15% yield was my minimum standard and in some markets (Dunedin etc) 25 or even 40% yields were possible. I declined a block of flats in a top Mt Eden street at 11% in 2002 on low rents (that was a mistake!). Yes yields are lower now, but 6-12 months ago some very good freehold residential properties sold in Chch and Dunedin at 10-12% yields (I bought some of them) others with angles to them have been able to return even more to an active investor (closer to 20%, I picked up a couple of these too), even this week a small currently vacant freehold Chch CBD commercial property sold at what could be 12% on fair rents (less than half of GV).

I think many of you that don't like property tend to use the low yields on desirable family homes as an excuse for property being a bad investment. The 3% yield on current market value (that I mentioned at the top of this page) for a property I've owned a long time, is only 3% because it's let below market and is on a large subdivisible section. A similar house in good order on a smaller site (suitable for straight investment) would be at the 7-8% level.

Bernard should remember though that yield isn't the be all and end all of property valuation otherwise all vacant land would have to be worthless wouldn't it! (And even then it'd still produce a negative net yield!!) Other factors do determine market value!

It's interesting to note that

It's interesting to note that the government books would be $5b better off if the tax cuts implemented by National after the election not not occured;

"While the scheduled tax cuts have been deferred, it should be borne in mind that the 1 October 2008 and 1 April 2009 tax cuts delivered the lion's share of the cuts in dollar terms "“ the total cost of the package as enacted was in the region of $5 billion per annum and the tax cuts already in effect have delivered approximately $4 billion of that amount."
http://www.bdospicers.com/content/our-services/Budget2009.aspx

Seems ironic - that having delivered on this cut - they promptly established a Tax Working Group to look at ways to broaden the tax base - which is just a nice way of saying, to look at ways to increase the tax take.

The worrying thing is - tax isn't really so much the big issue for NZ - growing the economy is. And as far as I can see this government isn't giving that very much thought at all.

I had a post put

I had a post put in moderation about lunch time on this thread
http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/10/16/top-10-at-10-rb...

just testing to if I can participate in any other thread?

Yes I can, so come

Yes I can, so come interest.co gents, I know it contains a big number of links, but I believe all are relevent and many here would have found it very interesting reading this afternoon.
When it comes through it is here
http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/10/16/top-10-at-10-rb...

Kate - I and others

Kate - I and others I think, empathise with your frustration about the TWG project if it is simply about deriving more revenue by casting the net further, rather than doing the latter but to sensibly reduce income and corp. tax. Reducing these would help grow the economy, among other things, that we have discussed in the past, and things that gov. are quite aware of, eg. reinstate the R&D tax credit, plus initiate other pluralistic 'winning behaviour' incentives. However, on the 'grow economy' score, perhaps it's time Bernard asked for a progress update from the PWG, please? Also Bernard, do you know what has, or is to become of Labour's banking inquiry please?

The comment is is in

The comment is is in reply to this
http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/10/16/top-10-at-10-rb...

from Lew Burton head of derivatives at Goldman Sachs JBWere in New Zealand and
a former Chicago hedge funds trader, now lives in New Zealand and is an investment adviser. He was defending but not defending Larry Summers. I half expected him to show up in this article re Goldmans influences on the Whitehouse:

"Larry Summers is the man directly responsible for the mess. As Clinton Treasury Secretary from 1999-January 2001 he shaped and pushed the financial deregulation that unleashed the present crisis. He was Treasury Secretary after July 1999 when his boss, Robert Rubin left to become Vice Chairman of Citigroup, where Rubin went on to advance the colossal agenda of deregulated finance directly.

As Treasury Secretary in 1999 Summers played a decisive role in pushing through the repeal of the Glass Steagall Act of 1933 that was instituted to guard against just the kind of banking abuses taxpayers now are having to bail out. Not only Glass-Steagall repeal. In 2000 Summers backed the Commodity Futures Modernization Act that incredibly mandated that financial derivatives, including in energy, could be traded between financial institutions completely without government oversight, "˜Over-the-Counter' as in where the taxpayer is now being dragged. Credit default Swaps, at the center of the current storm, would not have been possible without Larry Summers and the Commodity Modernization Act of 2000. He is now the White House Economic Council chairman, mandated to find a solution to the crisis he helped make along with Tim Geithner, his friend who is Treasury chief. Foxes should never be asked to guard the henhouse."
http://www.financialsense.com/editorials/engdahl/2009/0318.html

I will be away for

I will be away for a week with very little computer access, but I really wish to inform the participants of this site that we have a new financial sector insider amongst us in one Lew Burton. So I am going to attempt to post in two parts, halving the number of supporting links, the comment that was caught up in moderation at 12:58pm:

part 1
Lew Burton, you being a former Chicago hedge funds trader, now lives in New Zealand and is an investment adviser, now head of derivatives at Goldman Sachs JBWere in New Zealand, I give you some credit for at least using your own name and allowing an open stand up debate with such an insider, I look forward to it as debate with such a worthy opponent can lift the financial literacy of all listening in.
Lew, I may be a truck driver in the Real Sector of the economy but I am not a dimwitted fool. You trying to put forward a few cheap speech fee's to infer that Summers made no more than that from other personal party loans and friendly investments into companies he is associated with, is amateurish, John Key would be most disapointed. He will be hoping his latest recruit David Mayhew, to take up the role of commissioner for financial advisers (http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/2975276/The-return-of-the-regulator )

Lew, I can see why you would not like the reputable collection of journalist that contribute to http://www.globalresearch.ca/ especially http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=theme&themeId=2 as they give the common folk far to much institutional memory than you would be comfortable with.

The financial sector, International Financial Institutions, have gotten all to greedy and cooked their goose a little at present, the Real Sector have become all to aware of their unscrupulous hideouts in the Caymen Islands etc, thus creating their next dirty money laundering hideout in a nation that is seen as one of the most transparent and least corrupt democracies in the world would be very beneficial, hence the wave of heavy hitting corporate raiders upon our shores.

Those that want to know just who Lew Burton is, and what he is about:

"In New York, where I grew up, it is common to give companies tax breaks for remaining in the city. In other places the local government will give away land or natural resources. New Zealand is a great place to live. It should take a small economic nudge to get companies interested in moving headquarters here. Tax breaks work, and it costs nothing if the companies demand little in the way of unique infrastructure"¦"¦New Zealand is small and resourceful; we can use tactics and smarts to outmanoeuvre the world. In the future we won't need to measure our success by GDP or employment statistics but by the length of the line to get New Zealand residency."
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/opinion/news/article.cfm?c_id=466&objectid=105...

"Lew Burton, executive director of equity derivatives at Goldman Sachs JBWere, sees this as the real problem. "Their leverage is huge. They're so leveraged that a pretty standard amount of defaults would bankrupt them."
http://www.stuff.co.nz/sunday-star-times/business/238063/Why-the-sharema...

part 2 If you want

part 2
If you want see what he looks like and what this good old New Yorker sounds like:
http://tvnz.co.nz/business-news/summit-must-more-than-talk-attendees-250...

Peoples, I would personally put this man in the category of an upgraded Roger Kerr of the Business Roundtable. John Key the central banker on sabatical is bringing in the hard hitters now. And, many investment bankers are heading this way, such as:
"Justin founded Murray & Company in 2004 upon returning to NZ after 9½ years as an investment banker in London."
http://www.murraycapital.co.nz/people/justin-murray.htm

"The US$30m was raised in the form of convertible bonds. Christchurch-based boutique investment bank Murray & Company was Lead Manager and Arranger of the convertible issue. Murray & Company placed the bonds with a Singapore-based investment fund. "
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/BU0801/S00123.htm

""This bond issue, the first by a New Zealand tertiary institution, aims to secure additional resources for the world-class teaching and research facilities that will enable the acceleration of the current investment plan."
Of the $500 million capital development planned by the university, it could fund $350 million from its operating profit.
The bond issue could raise another $100 million.
That would take the university's debt to equity ratio from zero to 12%"¦"¦"¦.
Murray and Company and First New Zealand Capital are the joint lead managers.
Dr Carr said the bond met all security requirements and should appeal not only to New Zealanders but to overseas investors who could follow their money into New Zealand."
http://www.odt.co.nz/news/business/77281/university-launches-bond-issue

And just what is Mr Carrs' background, have a quess I dare you:
Dr. Rod Carr is the Vice-Chancellor at the University of Canterbury.

Previously Rod had been the Managing Director of Jade Software Corporation Ltd. Rod joined Jade in 2003 after a distinguished career in the banking sector, most recently as the Acting Governor of New Zealand's central bank, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. During a five-year career at the Reserve Bank, he played a key management role as a Director and Deputy Governor, including five months as Acting Governor.

Prior to this, Rod was a senior executive at the National Australia Bank in Melbourne, Australia. During his 11-year career in commercial banking, he worked in senior executive and management roles spanning many aspects of the business."
http://www.cecc.org.nz/main/rod_carr/

Wake up people, if the good old Kiwi truckdriver can find all of this in one hour on a hazy Sundy morning, their are many so called commentators in this nation who can only be labeled fools or liars.

Enjoy next weeks announcement of

Enjoy next weeks announcement of partial privitisation of the more attractive ACC accounts by corporate raiders, after the ACT - National good cop bad cop routine.

Les, with all due respect to a fellow decent battler, it doesn't matter which system tried in any country over the last 4000 odd years, especially the last 300 years, equal opportunity to wealth has been undermined by the monopolisers of the credit money supply and its userous compounding interest. History shows that when the debt based monetary system has been overcome taking into account the boudaries of finite resources, the society that overcame it was the better for it, thus until it is once again changed all the talk of change round the fringes is fruitless bunkum.

Chris_J, median rent on a

Chris_J,

median rent on a 3 bedroom property in NZ is 310 per week roughly. This includes all type of houses. So if we are to assume helf decent yields of 7.5%, we should be looking at a median 3 bedroom property of around 200,000 to justify that rent.

Is the median house price in NZ 200,000???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

Jimy There must be some

Jimy
There must be some alternate property universe happening in christchurch for Chris J!!!!!
As I've said here before you are very lucky if you can get rental yields over 5% in Akld.
There is the occasional crappy shoebox in the city that may return 7-8%, but those places are likely to attract bugger all capital gain

In addition to my first

In addition to my first article on top of that blog:

WE MUST ADD NEW SEGMENTS TO OUR ECONOMY.

Our economy should not only concentrate in making profit with productivity exporting, but also higher and useful production inside our country. From the private sectors/ government steps need to be taken, making us less depended of foreign countries, their products, knowledge and companies. The introduction of strong "Green industry" - segments has enormous potential and long term saves Billions for national economy (among less imports)/ our health and our environment.

Have a good week Iain.

Have a good week Iain.

Iain - useful, interesting posts,

Iain - useful, interesting posts, as usual. Having listened to Bernard's radio interview and gone through Chris Martenson's 'Crash Course' over the weekend, I'm not sure if there's much point to battling on without some strong will to change, However am just listening to the breakfast news as I write this and they report gov. is enjoying a popularity rating of 59% - so why should they change? After all it's being popular that counts. Plus the survey still had HC as preferred PM over Phil Goff - you see no one is really awake yet and by the time they are we'll all be further down the road to serfdom.

Have a good break. Cheers, Les.

Les, Thats probabaly why we

Les,

Thats probabaly why we are stuffed, we have had successive governments that are more interested in being popular (and the opposition who religiously go against whatever the current government is pushing) than doing whats needed.

What we really need is proper bi-partisan (supported by both National & Labour) policies that will go forward to reform the country, and not get reversed or cancelled after the next election. We also need those policies now and not as election bait as well. As the economy is heading towards a cliff, and they don't even seem to be lining up a ambo at the bottom.

I would love to see some form of study that shows if there has been any financial harm to our economy due to the majority of peoples incomes going to servicing debt, and how that has most companies competing for a smaller and smaller pool of money. It's pretty much the race to the bottom.

I can't see how selling assets, or opening up the National parks for mining is anything but stealing from our descendants.

Bait and SWITCH. Slight of

Bait and SWITCH.

Slight of HAND.

The MAGIC touch.

The Grand National, after LABOUR...is not WORKING....except for those with their Snouts in the Trough, miss managing the systems.

HELL-EN still has her followers.

(yes...5%.. still...no wonder....we are in TROUBLE boys.)

Goff is a Go-ffer not a leader.

Key is not turning the locks on....just opening the flood gates to overseas interests.

ENGLISH is playing with words.

SHARPLES...well not to SHARP.....this morning...eh.....NOT a PATCH.

NONE of these had any real......BUSINESS experience.

That is why they cannot manage the OVERHEADS, the problems, social, criminal, monetary...the whole gamut.

Just steal from the TILL...to line their own pockets.

National PARTY, Labour Party, MAORI PARTY....just one big party at your expense.

Wakey Wakey..... NZ.

Again and again ! Most

Again and again !
Most articles this morning are about calculators and numbers in stead of what to do shovels and brains - the real economy.
How much longer can this country afford to have a situation where the government and the private sectors banging their heads together - crazy !
Obviously the severity and consequences of this recession is still not understood.

Why not use some overseas successful economic models.
It seems the introduction of strong "Green industry" "“ segments has enormous potential and long term saves Billions for national economy (among less imports)/ health and environment - exactly what we need to do in NZ.

Our economic history tells a

Our economic history tells a story of small businesses creation over years "“ only a few mostly in the agriculture sector are successfully growing and exporting "“ the rest of the secondary economy is a struggling "Patchwork - economy". We must realise our economy doesn't have a structure or culture, is not very good organised and no wonder unbalanced, with a giant Real Estate industry, which doesn't make us wealthier, but poorer.
Forget about old economic patterns "“ the world changed for ever: Only united approach and leadership from privates sectors AND government setting up new, dynamic such as sustainable "Green Industries" have a future for financial improvement of our nation.
We urgently need leadership with an understanding of living within our means and a good sense of morality.

Rogie: You are right -

Rogie: You are right - yes Les.

Hey Lew, you've got mail.

Hey Lew, you've got mail.

:-)

This is my last article

This is my last article for a longer time. I need a break from that side. Have good time juggling figures and numbers and how you can make another deal - against "your" children.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NH4SOpzbTMY

Selwyn, Les, John and others,

Selwyn, Les, John and others,
It seems the management of business/ industry sectors, government, councils etc, planers & architects of our country still haven't realised the situation. New Zealand, like so many other countries are financially, economically, socially and environmentally in a stage of emergency or moving that way.
Please, change your patterns of thinking - the world has changed for ever. The situation is now so desperate, we rather have to shrink for a while then expand.
Create an economy, which not only makes profit, but SAVES THE NATION MONEY "“ by introducing a high potential and sustainable "Green economy" on all fronts.
I think we have to ask new questions, to get answers for a better future of New Zealand - but certainly away from greedy and megalomaniac behaviours.

http://www.accaglobal.com/pubs/general/activities/library/sustainability...

Walter

New Zealand is a young

New Zealand is a young country, is not like Europe with a long history in economics. There is a fundamental difference between the two. In many European countries the process of manufacturing started because people needed tools, equipment and machinery - building their houses and farm their land. They needed transport on land, sea, lakes and rivers. They needed power and communication. Many big companies today started with a "Two men band" (ABB) and manufactured for the public, entirely "Homemade". The situation created jobs and highly skilled people "“ and yes over time it provides prosperity and wealth because it was and sill is, next to the export business "Homemade".

Let's have a look what happen here in New Zealand with a few, but important example. Do we manufacture tractors or any other machinery for our agriculture industry ?
Do we manufacture any rolling stock for transport apart from buses ?
Do we manufacture rolling stock for public transportation ?
Do we manufacture any equipment for the power industry ?
Do we manufacture equipment for communication ?
Do we manufacture any equipment for our national security, safety ?
Do we manufacture any equipment for the service and building industry ?
Do we manufacture any equipment/ machinery to build our road system ?

Mostly bloody imported !!

As I mentioned above usually strong segments in a successful nation's economy such as "Light Industry" are here in NZ missing. That is the most important reason why our economy as a whole is unbalanced and heavily indebted. We live in a consumption culture with too much emphasis on the Real Estate industry. We don't have a manufacturing culture. Tax and other problems described by others are only the symptoms but not the real cause for the dilemma.

I think we must fundamentally change our economic path. The architects and brains of this country need to address this problem with a new strategy. A nation cannot work day in day out, long hours and literally spend their salaries/ wages back into foreign bank accounts.
A good start:
Creating and implementing policies to introduce and support a "Green Light Industrial economy" in the current climate are essential. This provides economic potential, it makes us as a nation less depended, creates skilled jobs etc. It also makes the job for already existing manufacturers much easier (supply, research etc.)
Please read my first and other articles on that blog:

Good info:
http://www.scenta.co.uk/eco/eco%20careers/cit/1730840/uk-industry-govern...

But then many Kiwis would not like do have a high standard of living, but a happy one. Are we prepared to live with less, less services, less consumption
less healthcare, less education "“ obviously money has to come from somewhere.

..and before any speculation -

..and before any speculation - my article above is fee free.
..and unbelievable what politicians are thinking of them selves and how important they are - Rodney Hide a joke - no wonder he's bald heated ! :-)

A trough is a depression

A trough is a depression caused by too much wind. I have never paid knowingly to be depressed.

The reason why I come

The reason why I come back to this blog is to be consistence what I'm saying, so people can connect my thoughts and ideas - otherwise we are all over the place.

As I stated earlier New Zealand is wasting an enormous amount of money importing goods - money which goes into foreigner's bank account. We only make them richer but not us.

Les, please answer me three questions:
Considering the massive agriculture sector and it's relatively long history, why do we still have to import tractors ?
The possibility is growing that petrol prices are massive rising in the near future. What are the plans to avoid high numbers of commuters spending half their wages on petrol ?
What are the plans to make sure power supply in this country is sufficient ?

Cheers Walter

Because our agriculture has an

Because our agriculture has an industrial background, unlike most of the countries we like to compare ourselves to. Industrial economies are focused on efficiently producing goods for sale, not at being self-sufficient. Anything else is directed by what society wants/ will tolerate.

Megan your comment doesn't help

Megan your comment doesn't help the problem we have in our economy - you only undersign it. You are excluding my proposed plans/ actions to manufacture here in NZ to make production more efficiently. My thoughts about our struggling economy have not so much to do with self- sufficient, but to make our economy less depended on foreign capital.
A number of countries only now are learning to understand how important the manufacturing sector is to serve other parts of the economy.

Walter : Why don't you

Walter : Why don't you contact Gareth Morgan . I have been to one of his seminars , and he marvels that anything substantive is manufactured in NZ at all . Am sure he will give you a robust response . Top fellow , Gareth .

Walter for goodness sake..get with

Walter for goodness sake..get with the plan....this is a property speculators paradise with full govt support and 100% political involvement in the drive for greater wealth through taxfree capital gains. The name of the game Walter !!!! join the Nats and get the snout in the trough...they promise early warning of any abrupt change in policy so you can slip the noose and shove it on some poor peasants neck, leaving them to deal with the collapse. Get in there Walter and make hay while the Nats are in charge.

Hi Rogie I'm busy "manufacturing"

Hi Rogie
I'm busy "manufacturing" paintings and sculptures in beween reading/ writing articles here. So no time for more seminars or government bla bla - actions.

I guess Bernhard has a better link to the all important media then Gareth

Maybe Gareth should sack Bill & John - in case Hell.en doesn't. By the way: Are the Top Nats still a team - I think they are widely spaced- cchhhrrrrrr!

Walter - yes, am happy

Walter - yes, am happy to consolidate here, where maybe you can respond to my comments, that I guess you have missed, made on these threads:

http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/10/21/opinion-kiwi-dr...

http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/10/19/have-your-say-b...

Am happy to try answering your questions, when I get a mo and when I see some reponses from you about what I've said in the links above.

Cheers, Les.

Wally you are right, but

Wally you are right, but I'm even not capable for local politics - too much of a futurologe and not enough patience - bad mix in politics. :-)

Look Les this is all

Look Les this is all déjà vu - you guys are scraping the surface of the problems !

I made my contribution and expressed my views about the economic and financial problem of New Zealand. The media, your organisation and the "brains" can use my information's and learn or just leave it.
Walter

Agriculture manufacturing and exporting ,

Agriculture manufacturing and exporting , during the 1980s and 90s was all the go, mostly driven by talented No 8 wire engineers etc thoughout NZ , however it also was hard physical work, under appreciated and took a lot of R & D dollars, also now has to be certified and certified again and every government department get their whack.......Was much easier to sell , or renovate, lease your owned workshop buildings to Government departments , overseas companies, and buy renovate and sell house property....then retire.....shame really...

Davi0 ..mostly driven by talented

Davi0 ..mostly driven by talented No 8 wire engineers etc thoughout NZ

I agree all gone - not because of a better life style, but to countries where job opportunities are far more interesting and financial situations are better, then here in NZ.

Les, I'm not saying you

Les,
I'm not saying you are wrong, of course government policy as far as Export/ Manufacturing concern should/ must, even has an obligation to introduce better market conditions.
Revenues are shrinking and so the government should - unnecessary spending has to stop. I personally hope the general public plus the media of NZ is beginning to be political motivated, peacefully legislate for changes- and hopefully not only when it is too late turning into riots.

Walter - noted. I'm not

Walter - noted. I'm not dogmatically agin central planning, if applied appropriately for context. Plus I'm keen to see culture change. Anyway, I'm going to give your list of questions some more thought and respond in a wee while. Cheers, Les.

Just when I thought New

Just when I thought New Zealand's politicians and the majority of the public will never pick up and understand my thoughts this is happening:
Please listen:

http://www.greens.org.nz/speeches/keep-manufacturing-nz-more-good-econom...

Les and others, In the

Les and others,
In the last few days I did some research how other countries are dealing with the issue manufacturing. Obviously in many countries going back to stronger manufacturing activities is now fact. Because of massive deficits they are now realising the mistake of outsourcing and even shifting entire factories to foreign countries.

http://www.themanufacturer.com/uk/content/9667/UK_manufacturing_still_im...

As we cannot and should not compete with products from low wage countries such as China, NZ should concentrate starting up manufacturing widgets to reduce imports and cut expenses. This change will lead to many more positive results for the country.

Please read: http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/10/15/bernard-hickey-...

I think the government and private sectors should build on stronger economic relationship with international companies already presented here in New Zealand. "Model countries" such as Singapore/ Switzerland/ Australia should be considered also. This includes exchanges on the bases of diplomatic, industrial "know- how" and co- operation between the parties.
Cheers Walter

Bernhard, Surrounded by academics, certainly

Bernhard,
Surrounded by academics, certainly a more practical approach will help rather then hearing the same drum again and again:

http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/10/15/bernard-hickey-...

http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/11/11/rbnz%e2%80%99s-...

Walter

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