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Crafar Farms put into receivership owing NZ$200 mln (Update 3)

Posted in News

By Bernard Hickey

New Zealand's largest family owned dairy business, Crafar Farms, has been put into receivership by its banks Westpac, Rabobank and PGG Wrightson Finance. (Update 1 adds more detail from Korda Mentha and background/Update 2 includes details and quotes from KordaMentha news conference/Update 3 includes Minister's comment)

The banks are owed around NZ$200 million and put KordaMentha partners Michael Stiassny and Brendon Gibson in as receivers early on Monday afternoon after Crafar Farms breached covenants on its loans.

The group owns 22 farms with 20,000 cows across the North Island's Central Plateau, the Manawatu and the Waikato. Crafar Farms (CraFarms) has around 200 workers and is supplying tens of thousands of litres of milk each day to Fonterra.

CraFarms' banks have been working for almost a week with the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, Federated Farmers and Fonterra to ease the Crafars out of their business. This follows multiple convictions for environmental lapses and animal neglect in recent years and the revelation last Monday from interest.co.nz of animal neglect on one of its large farms in the King Country near Benneydale. Agriculture Minister David Carter ordered an inquiry into animal neglect into CraFarms last week and said the Crafar family, including its leader Allan Crafar, needed to be out of the industry. The revelations about animal neglect have shocked the dairy industry and raised questions about the sustainability of large herd dairying in the wake of the explosive debt-funded growth of the last decade. See my call here for an inquiry.

Korda Mentha's Stiassny said the initial priority was working with existing management to assess the situation and address the financial and operational problems.

Stiassny told a news teleconference from Allan Crafar's farm at Reporoa that the immediate priority was ensuring the safety of animal and staff over the next 24 hours, particularly as much of the North Island central plateau was now covered in snow. Getting feed and shelter for animals was a big issue.

Stiassny said the receivers would also work closely with the ongoing investigation of animal welfare on CraFarms' properties.

"We will be working with MAF to ensure this investigation is completed as soon as possible. If any issues are identified then we will look to address them to ensure full compliance with responsible farming practises," said Stiassny.

"We will be doing our best to ensure it is business as usual for the farms as we work to assess the situation," he said.

A spokeswoman for Carter said the government was working through MAF, the receivers and others to ensure the investigation into animal welfare was completed within a few days.

Crafar Farms was trying to sell its properties as a single group and owner Allan Crafar has said it is unlikely his family will be left with anything after the sale. Chinese interests were thought to be potential buyers of the group, interest.co.nz reported last month.

Stiassny said there were other unsecured creditors, including vets and feed suppliers, who were owed money by CraFarms. He said no decision had been made yet on whether CraFarms would be sold as one group or broken up and sold in bits, "but there is no fire sale."

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment in the box on the right or click on the "'Register" link at the bottom of the comments. Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making these comments.

107 Comments

Out of interest, does anyone

Out of interest, does anyone know the respective debt levels owed to each of PGG Wrightson, Rabobank and Westpac?

anyone know what the amount

anyone know what the amount of the unsecured creditors is?

Is this the biggest farm

Is this the biggest farm group in NZ, if so, what's the implication to the dairy export industry? how many jobs are lost? any idea?

Mark to market on other

Mark to market on other banks lending to Dairy/rural sector?

Ludwig, I understand that PGG

Ludwig, I understand that PGG Wrightson have approx 25mil and the banks share the balance

Get with it Grandy -

Get with it Grandy - There is no real impact on dairying in NZ. His farms will be sold to other farmers and continue to be farms and employ people.

Grandy, the impact this season

Grandy, the impact this season will be minimal. Korda Mentha will be learning that to milk all those cows, which will continue through to next Autumn. The farm production maybe allowed to drop but the majority of milk will end up at Fonterra plants. It is unlikely these farms will be sold mid season, as most dairy farms change hands on 30th June when milking is finished. So the banks will want the cash flow....
Biggest issue is that this number of farms and cows going on the market next year will depress the market somewhat, but I expect they will sell.
Crafar's have been poor Directors for this scale of farming, so have only themselves and the banks to blame. In fact that is farmings biggest problem, we have poor business leaders at farm and the Agri Business level which the country needs. We need some smart brains in this business to secure all the market opportunities, Alan Crafar's business acumen is an example of what was not needed. Thank you Bernard for exposing this sorry story.

Grandy, don't be silly. No

Grandy, don't be silly. No jobs are lost. The cows keep getting milked as the receivers replace incompetent managers and staff with those of better quality.

There must be something radically wrong if a 30,000 cow operation has fallen over with 'only' $200 mil of debt. Ex RB has asked the right question. What's the betting there's another $100mil of unsecured debt?

Farms and shares are probably worth $300mil at $40/kg production. Sounds about right.

Backup the receiver truck. Adolf

Backup the receiver truck.
Adolf if there are 30000 cows involved and they would produce 400kg each(we are being positive today) that would mean total of 12000000 solids x $40=480000000 in farmvalue.
So whatever the correct figures are they will not be good.
For the banks to step in it must be realy bad, otherwise they would have just kept pumping the money in.

And so the whole sorry

And so the whole sorry tale of the debt bloated dairying binge and its awful nasty dirty secrets will be swept under a sea of effluent and consigned to history. Bring on the advertising.

Wasn't there talk on this

Wasn't there talk on this website of the Crafars renting their cows; how does this affect the receivership? Are the cows still in there until the term of lease is up, or do the owners take them home? I'm guessing that a bank or finance co owns the stock, not other farmers.

but doesnt this really mean

but doesnt this really mean dairy is unprofitable
i mean all this debt and growing and you all think this ends at the crafers lol

got wrong thread trying again

got wrong thread trying again sorry,

Elworthy summed it up,

http://www.stuff.co.nz/timaru-herald/news/2927502/Elworthy-to-invest-11m...

Mr Elworthy's newsletter expressed concerns that dairy could become the "subprime of the South Pacific", as too many farmers were over-leveraged. "If the New Zealand dollar continues to be strong then a number of NZ dairy farmers who purchased at high land prices will be insolvent," he said.

I wonder how many others

I wonder how many others are not far behind Crafars, there are a number that come to mind have you heard of them Bernard ?

You what?! *!$ 200 million....

You what?! *!$ 200 million.... The photo (on this website of the Crafer family) and Allan on the TV the other night (trying to cry) I wouldn't lend this outfit a cent from my daughters piggy bank, even if I was promised a 1000% return... I guess NZ is really screwed if NZ banks have loaned a lot of money to these outfits!! :-(

$200m is only $6,700 per

$200m is only $6,700 per cow plus the value of the land. Maybe this will all work out fine if the farms are sold separately. How many farms are there in the Crafar portfolio?

What's an average size dairy

What's an average size dairy farm worth?

I know of two examples

I know of two examples in 2007 where banks were encourageing D farmers to make off farm" investments". One bought a $360,000 section in a new subdivision(borrowed). One was asked if they had a beach house and did they want one (borrowed). I also know of a D farmer who sold his cows to his share milker and bought a beachfront house even though they had $800,000 property on the other side of the road which they subsequently sold for a $70,000ish loss. Their own farm loan was in the millions. When you have this yee haa attitude on both sides of the bank manager's deck what hope do we have. But this is echoed in western govt's attitude to solve our current finaincial problems. They print money to buy bank bonds (and others)to encourage banks to lend more money to all and sundry to supposedly fix all our problems. hhmmmmmmmmmmmmmm....... WE ARE SCREWED

Gunman running around milk farms

Gunman running around milk farms in Southern Hawkes Bay- you don't think it is do you??? Perhaps he is looking for BH....

If dairy farms implode in

If dairy farms implode in price , and get back to fair value ( a reasonable return on equity ) , some decent managers and recent Dip.Ag graduates may be able to get a leg into the industry . Not before time that the cowboys were flushed from the system . ( Pity that the USA didn't adopt a similar cure to their banking crisis . )

Better get a bullet proof vest , BH , Bryan proved that you guys aren't too quick at knowing when to duck .

The Bank Manager - "$200m

The Bank Manager - "$200m is only $6,700 per cow plus the value of the land." ... I think this analogy leads to an incorrect over valuation.

That, that they are currently running, is not what can sustainably be run...

but according to you guys

but according to you guys Fonterras in as deep so who is the recievers going to sell to retired sheep farmers?

400 kgs of milksolids per

400 kgs of milksolids per cow from the Crafer operation? I would suggest 250kgs may be nearer the mark. This operation has a history of buying the cheapest stock and conversely selling the same in the market. They buy budget (glorified culls), farm poorly and under produce.

Dairy farm settlements are normally transacted on the 1st of June in any given year.

Have we returned to the days of the oligarch? This situation of the coalescence and amalgamations of vast tracts of rural properties last existed in the 1800's. Properties and operations of such a nature were found to be inefficient in those times, what has changed? Is it perhaps time for the 'Closer Settlement Act 1891' (approximately) to be revisited and these mournful and burgeoning estates 'burst'?

Irrespective of all other factors claimed, the driving force behind all such locomotives is greed and the stoker of the boiler is generally a greedy banker. Such situations often lead to derailment.

Amendment as per above: replace

Amendment as per above: replace 'Closer Settlement Act 1891' with 'Land and Income Assessment Act 1891' (McKenzie)

An accurate summation, King Dick.

An accurate summation, King Dick.

But still leaves the future a tad murky, does it not?

The largest group of dairy farms in NZ going into receivership will have major repurcussions.....

Interesting link: http://www.foodsci.uoguelph.ca/dairyedu/intro.

Interesting link:
http://www.foodsci.uoguelph.ca/dairyedu/intro.html

In comparison to milk production/ other countries, why does NZ not export more butter etc. but particularly cheese ?

Chair up guys life goes

Chair up guys life goes on....They are less than a percent of Fonterra supply. The government supply Fonterra more milk through Landcorp!

Adolf and EKS Re:Crafers. It

Adolf and EKS
Re:Crafers. It is 20 000 cows in milk and replacements under poor or fair mgmt.
Say only 300 kgs MS/ cow at $30/ kg and life gets interesting for the banks,
before considering the unsecured creds.
Dairy is a "sub-prime" toxic homegrown monster
Hopefully the farms are methodically and progressively realised as entities within the ability of young NZ farmers and their families
Sale to o/seas corporates might please bill english at the expense of the possible ownership and control by our NZers first, like how the crafers started!!

"Chair up "??

"Chair up "??

Hey Trev, do you think

Hey Trev, do you think we will hear any noise about freezing the pay of the state sector fat cats in Noddyland? I'll bet this is one Pommy trick the beaurocrats here refuse to copycat in their usual manner.

More chance of removing the

More chance of removing the housing allowance..... with a salary increase to compensate.

We can all chair up now that the recession is over!!

French Farmer - you'd be

French Farmer - you'd be a keen man to pay $30/kg and expect these cows to produce 300 kgms/cow. Most of these farms need a large amount of capex spent to bring them in line with normal farm standards. Remember most of these cows are cull budget cows they will be riddled with mastitis and every other problem you can think of. Everybody will be sweating on this one, not only the banks but the poor soles that are unsecured creditors which I hear comes to a huge amount alone! There will be a massive hole left behind which will have huge long term implications for the industry overall.

Who's for a burst of

Who's for a burst of Fonterra advertising to wash away the effluent with a wave of milk and restore public belief in "old macdonald with his farm...."

Looks like we will all

Looks like we will all still be supporting the CRAFARS...though now on Social Welfare, not via the BANKS....

Helen and Michael must be relishing the thought.

True Social Democracy at work.

Unfortunately we may all be in the same boat shortly. (Except Michael and Helen).

I was WONDERING again....

Is Helen paid in AMERICAN DOLLARS....if so...THERE MAY BE SOME JUSTICE...YET.

W Kunz: In comparison to

W Kunz: In comparison to milk production/ other countries, why does NZ not export more butter etc. but particularly cheese ?

have you eaten nz cheese? soft, slimey coloured rubber. You would be forgiven for thinking it was an oil by-product, not a milk-based product.
Sure, the smaller producers make a lot of good stuff, but its sold in the supermarkets at sky-high prices. compare to 500g of camembert for under a euro in france and you can see why they eat 3 times as much cheese as us.
even the english mock our mainstream cheese...

French Farmer and ex Rural

French Farmer and ex Rural Banker.
With the figures I used I just wanted to show that when you do not know the exact figures involved you come up with wildly different outcomes.
The only thing we do know is that it must be bad, because the banks have spent hundreds of milions over the last months to try and avoid these headlines.
Lets just hope that the land goes back to the farmer, where it belongs.

I support the comments above

I support the comments above by Roger Thompson, and R J Sneddon. May I expand? In the majority of case owner operated farms are more efficient than large scale absentee owned farms. I would argue large scale farming is competitive, as long as the owner is hands on, and not spread too thinly over multiple farms, to ensure the optimal operation of a complex and challenging business. The challenge is to balance growth with greed, and many don't let the thought of responsible farm management (from the owner, not the overburdened employed manager) get in the way. However these operators are ingrained in the dairy industry often letting their egos sidetrack them into industry politics, arguably for the benefit of themselves ahead of the industry. An example is Allan Crafer as a member of the Fonterra Shareholders Council, and there are other current examples, however it must be said dairy farmers voted such people into such positions. Furthermore as a dairy farmer I find it frustrating when apparent successful large scale operators feel it's their duty to offer advice via industry publications or events. It's almost embarrassing, as these people haven't got their hands dirty, for years.
Granted some of the advice is sound, if not overly simple, such as concentrate on profit, and avoid investing in depreciating high maintenance assets. A gem often offered by a current industry heavyweight, is to "˜harvest 10% more pasture without increasing costs. While I agree with the concept I would argue it takes sound management if you are to avoid animal welfare and environmental issues not to mention financial. It grates when this advice is offered to people who aspire to farm ownership, as the large scale corporates are the very people who drive land prices beyond productive value, therefore denying progression for others. The Crafers practised this philosophy, with visible results. To maximise profit they aim to convert maximum amount of grass into milk. To do this they increase stocking rates, in excess of what would be considered sustainable, for example where most farmers may have 2.7 cows/ha, they would have 4 cows/ha, therefore ensuring that maximum amount of grass is harvested and turned into milk. This high stocking rate significantly reduces the risk of getting crucial pasture management decisions wrong, which is the crux of successful sustainable pasture based dairy farming, as it reduces the need for thinking or active decision making. The cows harvest all grass available, and the flip side is starve in the process, as there isn't enough grass for them to maintain themselves and produce the milk that they have been genetically programmed to produce. If investment in stock was minimised, such as only buying budget cows, then losses relative to income are minimised. This model of farming takes the risk out of being able to successfully harvest grass and convert it to milk, a process crucial to productivity and profit of the NZ dairy industry, and the economic welfare of NZ. Disagreeable as it may seem to some precious people not directly involved in farming, NZs standard of living is inextricable linked to this process.
Given that production on Crafer properties would be 250 kg/ms/cow, max, however due to the high stocking rate it would stack up well per hectare (available land area), likewise on other large scale farms who operate under a similar model. A question regarding the receivership of the Crafer farms is could new management decrease stocking rate to 2.5 cows and increase production to 300kg/ms/cow? Given poor infrastructure, and I suspect fertility, I doubt it. Therefore what value are the properties going to be marketed on, Crafers unsustainable values, or a realistic productive value?

Personally I believe large farms

Personally I believe large farms are no less sustainable than smaller farms. When comparing a large farm with the equivalent number of small farms, both scenarios will require:
"¢ The same level of debt servicing
"¢ The same amount of effluent processing
"¢ The same amount of animal health care
"¢ The same amount of feed

I'm assuming the same density (head count / area) for both scenarios. If we are saying large scale farming is not sustainable, then we are saying farming is not sustainable.

The biggest issue I have with large farms is the individual heard sizes, large herds mean more grass eaten, which means distance between paddock and cowshed can be large (which can be tough on their feet from walking and long wait times for milking). Clearly this needs to be considered, good farm races, good management by sorting out lame cows, splitting herds, etc. can all help to address this problem. i.e. Need to ensure large farms do not introduce more stress on the animals.

Not sure whether to put this or not as I haven't done my research on this a (so disclaimer "“ don't believe everything you see on TV). Anyway, I was watching "Dirty Jobs with Mike Rowe" on Sky and he was on a large US farm, two key thinks struck me:
1. Dedicated qualified veterinary staff as part of the staff.
2. Specialised effluent processing (which captured the methane to generate power).

If large scale farming is to be considered, then NZ business needs to provide quality solutions (like effluent processing), otherwise these solutions need to be brought in from overseas.

Needless to say the right staff and management is also critical.

No prospectuses yet ? I

No prospectuses yet ? I thought that Allan Crafar's farms would be securitized by now , bundled together , carved up into 100 million two dollar units , and flipped off to the blue-rinse and silver-fox brigade in the better parts of Auckland . Don't tell me that securitization is dead !

Nice calculations trying to establish

Nice calculations trying to establish the value(liability) of Crafers and the effect on dairy farm prices. Problem is no dairy farms sold in the last month and very few all year. So dump 22 big ones on a non active market and see the ripple/ tidal wave. Makes it pretty hard for the banks to mark to market. Lead balloons anyone.
No point worrying for the unsecured suppliers etc, the banks are going to struggle on this and the follow on effects. Whole new level of sub prime lending and to NZ's major industry, not just a bunch of US ninja's.

Bet the advertising liars are

Bet the advertising liars are busy as churning out the new Fonterra BS adverts. Should hit the fan in Oct. Expect happy country scenes with lush green grass and singing cows.....

Wally: <blockquote> Bet the advertising

Wally:

Bet the advertising liars are busy as churning out the new Fonterra BS adverts. Should hit the fan in Oct. Expect happy country scenes with lush green grass and singing cows"¦..

I would expect the communication to be more targetted (only shareholders get to vote and buy additional shares) and based on the TINA principle. There Is No (viable) Alternative.

BS - certainly. There are better descriptors than BS, and viable alternatives - but a lack of leadership, analysis, understanding, etc.

Wally : I picture your

Wally : I picture your scene , Fonterrible Inc : Lush grassy hills , cows mooing softly , a block of cheese comes ka-thunk of of the sky onto the foreground , and then pan camera to Julie Anrews , " the hills are alive with the sound of money .. .......... " . Cool !

Roger - they may resurrect

Roger - they may resurrect Ches and Dale...

we are the boys from down on the farm
we really know our cheese....

That's the first time I

That's the first time I have read anything about that sort of model (cull cows + high stocking rates +?). I saw something on the news but it was just about animal cruelty.

Some of these Crafar farms

Some of these Crafar farms have very poor infrastructure and are in poor dairying areas which will make a sale very difficult. Good homes, cowsheds and barns are important when spending millions of dollars on a farm.
Crafars were notorious for building cheap cowsheds. The choice of farms out there is vast, just have a look at the local papers, trademe etc. Many of these farms have the best of everything. Crafars farms dont and will struggle. Chuck in the implosion in the industry, banks reluctant, finance companies destroyed, I think these farms will sit in recievership for a few years.
Why buy a farm in the backblocks of Benneydale, when you can get a much better one in the Waikato. The listings are spilling out in a rush now.

I wouldn't want to be

I wouldn't want to be on the directors board of the bank that finanaced these boys!

I mean your due to have a chat to the IRD and a JUDGE and you look out the window to see....
THE COWS COMING HOME ha ha.....

Ches and Dale : Happy

Ches and Dale : Happy days , some things just don't age . Wish they'd put out an album !

PGGW will also likely be

PGGW will also likely be an unsecured creditor for farm inputs/supplies ........ likely the biggest unsecured creditor?? They should disclose their exposure to the NZX ,,, it is material and price sensitive. Perhaps Bernard might give them a prod??

THANKS for everything you have

THANKS for everything you have done to expose the totally unacceptable treatment of calves at Crafar farms. I would think however, that he is not alone in the way he permitted the calves to be neglected, there will be other farms around NZ who do the same thing given the nature of dairy farming. Male calves are not wanted and many times they are left to die, in order to save money. Still as an avid lover of ALL animals, I thank you.

I hope your exposure of the barbaric treatment of the animals will educate the public as to the everyday suffering on dairy farms, in fact on every farm.

Chip - PGW will be

Chip - PGW will be doing their Level best to keep their heads down...they need to complete the "credit rating process which is required by March 2010" in order to maintain their Govt deposit Gaurantee status.

This statement from Mark Darrow, head of PGG Wrightson Finance " sums up were they are at...

"Our first focus is to continue to support our existing clients, and we are
not looking for growth in the immediate future as we carefully navigate
through the myriad of regulatory changes scheduled over the next 18 or so
months. Our focus remains on business quality, internal improvements and
maintaining higher levels of liquidity to match the times "

http://www.directbroking.co.nz/directtrade/dynamic/announcement.aspx?id=...

I'm sorry you think all

I'm sorry you think all farmers mistreat their animals Karen. Mostly its a good life for them. They dont have predators after them. Feed can get tight at times, but in the wild you see animals digging in snow to get a mouthful. We chuck hay and silage at them. If an animal gets sick, there is a vet on call, with antibiotics at the ready. We keep them clear of parasites too.
Most farmed animals live a pretty good life. Especially those on drystock farms. Predator free hills to climb, lots of mates, lots to eat and drink, a health plan, better than a lot of people get.

Farmer Will - I want

Farmer Will - I want to live on your Farm... but, afraid I won't "Dress out" well.

mouse

Hundreds of farmers have protested

Hundreds of farmers have protested in Brussels to put pressure on European Union (EU) agriculture ministers meeting to discuss low milk prices. The talks came after weeks of protests across Europe, with farmers dumping milk stocks and withholding supplies at what they see as uneconomic prices.

The only decision taken at the meeting was to create a panel of experts to look at the dairy sector. Milk prices have fallen sharply in Europe as supply exceeds demand.

Amid a heavy police presence, farmers protested outside the main EU Council building where the meeting was being held. Many rang cow bells, while some poured milk onto the pavements or threw eggs. Others brought some of their dairy cows with them.

Ahead of the official meeting, ministers from about 20 of the 27 EU member states issued a joint statement, demanding that the EU Commission come up with funds to relieve dairy farmers' immediate needs.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8289976.stm

With a name like mouse

With a name like mouse I suspect your carcase weight could be a little disappointing.

More to the point, rodents

More to the point, rodents aren't generally welcome. Sorry Mouse.

Farmer Will - "specially those

Farmer Will - "specially those on drystock farms. Predator free hills to climb, lots of mates, lots to eat and drink, a health plan, better than a lot of people get."

They do miss a superannuation scheme!

re: Farmer Will, I agree.

re: Farmer Will, I agree. Having observed these people for many years, I believe this scenario is a case of 'when' not 'if'.

re: Karen. You are horribly mistaken if you believe the 'Crafar Model' to be the rule. They are the exception. There are others around similar, but it would be difficult to find worse. In general farmers are stockmen and women. If you have no soul nor compassion for your stock you will probably never achieve. People like Crafars have relied on 'capital gain' to nurture them. The only compassions they have probably of a fiscal, metallurgic and probably geological nature. In all industries and professions and indeed within humanity itself, a bull curve exists. As with doctors, lawyers, truck drivers, housewives, 20 percent are exceptional, 70 percent are average but the bottom 10 percent shouldn't be there.

You are witnessing the demise of a portion of the bottom 10 percent. But fear not, they will be replaced.

Re: Above, 'Bull Curve' should

Re: Above, 'Bull Curve' should read 'Bell Curve'. A freudian slip perhaps?

Perhaps their should be consideration

Perhaps their should be consideration to current members of the Fonterra board and their sustainable practice around running their own dairy farms businesses before the consider being the judge and jurior for the Crafar's

Is shade much of an

Is shade much of an issue on farms with pivot instigators?

I dare to suggest even

I dare to suggest even the fed farmers heirachy arent clean either Skinner. A close relly worked for one, she left the industry appalled. She is no shrinking violet, now works as an ag pilot. What she saw, done by a now reasonably high up member of the feds, makes me believe nothing will be done, greed will win the day.

Never forget people that at

Never forget people that at the end of the day, greed is the greatest protagonist of all the ills of this world.

Wow, for a seemingly 'professional'

Wow, for a seemingly 'professional' company it's amazing that KordaMentha have conducted the receivership of the CraFarms group like a bunch of high-school business elective students taking on an assignment well over their heads.

Having not even called a meeting of all those within CraFarms management and administration, it is no surprise that many workers (and management) within the company are feeling up-in-the-air at the moment.

Also, it is amazing to see so much feedback from people seemingly happy to see a New Zealand owned company going under. This makes me far more uneasy about the future of our country, than a trickle of effluent running off a paddock 6kms away from a waterway.

Anyone who operates a business knows that improvements are made on a daily basis, systems are reviewed and new processes implemented - I have seen many changes within the CraFarms group over the years, and there were still more to come...

I wish the family the best of luck and know that they are focusing on the hundreds of support calls, emails and letters (as well as fresh home baking) they have received over the past few weeks. If they weren't such a bunch of down to earth, hard-working people, they'd be laughing their asses off at the negativity of all the naysayers along with my friends, my family, my companies and myself.

Plenty of farmers happy to

Plenty of farmers happy to see the back of the Crafars as well Tony.

Sorry to disappoint, but I

Sorry to disappoint, but I doubt this will be the end of the Crafar family within the farming industry Bob. There are generations of them who would find it very difficult to shake the dirt from their bones.

Tony, correct me if I'm

Tony, correct me if I'm wrong but aren't the Crafers hell bent on selling to the Chinese?
They weregreedy denying other hard-working more capable Nzs the chance of farm ownership (in conjunction with incompetent banks), they have had a negative impact on staffing in the industry, not to maention the management issues, and they are trying to instigate a final travesty, and sell to the Chinese!
If Crafers were serious about enjoying the benefits of working hard in the NZ dairy industry they would have grown within there limits, which is quite obviously 1 family farm. I have had to try and employ people who have worked on 'their' farms, and also speak to contractors, truck drivers etc, and what has been reported in the last couple of weeks is correct. Crafers were sub standard large scale operators (they don't deserve to be labelled farmers).
However they aren't alone in the Central Plateau

But can we shake their

But can we shake their dirt from New Zealand's farming reputation. (Tony).

However, maybe the Chinese REPUTATION will benefit it even MORE. (Apple-Tree).

Perhaps they could run it like a Chinese COAL-Mine....or a Sweat Shop.

Out of the FRYING pan...seems to come to mind.

Hi Apple Tree Obviously as

Hi Apple Tree

Obviously as negotiations for the sale of the farms are continuing, I am unable to say who the Crafars would prefer to sell to. What I can say is they, along with thousands of other New Zealanders, would probably rather wait until property/farm values went up, rather than accept an offer from anyone at this point in time.

As with any workplace there are good and bad employees, the Crafars have been fortunate to work alongside some of the top farmers in the country and have often been responsible for assisting other's futures within the industry.

The Crafar family are definitely farmers in the true sense of the word, anyone who knows them well will attest to that.

Anyway, I could sit here endlessly playing text-table-tennis with those who oppose the Crafars, and although I would defend the entire family with all my might, I have businesses of my own to take care of.

Farming included, the country has taken a real knock in the past 18 months and I for one, intend to use all my time and energy to make sure I'm not another notch on the recession's belt.

Cheers, Tony.

You can really build a

You can really build a successful business with tragetted leads, provided of course they are managed correctly.

One has to focus specifically

One has to focus specifically within niches, and leads that are prone to receiving the right contact can provide a great source of customers and ultimately income for the company.

One has to focus specifically

One has to focus specifically within niches, and leads that are prone to receiving the right contact can provide a great source of customers and ultimately income for the company.

The New Zealand Farmers Weekly

The New Zealand Farmers Weekly reporting $10.6 million of Crafar debt unsecured. Also in the article "including Crafar land this constitutes a total of almost 16,000 ha of dairy land available for sale in a 100km radius of Tokoroa.

Greetings Farmer Will. The article

Greetings Farmer Will.
The article also quoted a real estate agent as saying there is a 20% difference between vendors and buyers 'expectations' at present.
16,000 ha of land largely owned by large scale corporates (Crafers included, even if they were the public face of a few banks and PGG Wrightsons) on young poorly developed sandy, pumicious central NI soils.
Is foriegn ownership of property that such 'large scale corporates' wish to sell, a threat to the security and longevity of 'traditional' New Zealand farming enterprises?

Don't forget, we the taxpayer

Don't forget, we the taxpayer have a large investment in 'young poorly developed sandy, pumicious central NI soils' Thanks to Landcorp. I hear that Galatea, Reporoa are in a massive drought at present,how are you getting on?

International Farmer. I believe the

International Farmer.

I believe the main threats "to the security and longevity of "˜traditional' New Zealand farming enterprises" come from within our own institutions, leadership (or lack thereof) and culture.

AndrewJ and PeterR are opening

AndrewJ and PeterR are opening up a more important future concern rather than raking over past events.
Unfortunately the "culture" that PeterR maybe refers to is shown at each extreme by the receivers (as Tony Bright has referred to), Alan and Frank to some degree, Wrightson with UFS, most banks and Landcorp.
This is one of almost arrogant disregard to listening and assessing wider (and probably wiser) counsel and moving rapidly rather than in a measured way.
This contrasts sharply with the attitudes from researchers, advisors and bankers in the period of most rapid development in farming from the 50's through to the mid 80's.
Many of the lessons learnt over that period have been forgotten or ignored and a new
"culture" of supreme self confidence embraced - without the underpinning of clear analytical thought.

The future for commodity agriculture does not lie within NZ.
So what to do now for the only "first world" country that still relies on agriculture for the majority of its overseas earnings and appears oblivious to the need to take this into a new more innovative phase?

Here is a great example

Here is a great example of that culture I refer to in my comment 2 above:

http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/industries/3231548/Top-adviser-exits-dai...

Peter Fraser had developed a good understanding of the dairy industry and Fonterra. He was as close as anyone in the NZ government got to being knowledgeable about agricultural economics.

Onging processes of removing those with the most ability reflects systemic failure - in this case within MAF and the dairy industry at least.

Maybe he hit a raw

Maybe he hit a raw nerve. The fact that a monopoly appears to be using the local market as a cash cow, at 12.5 liters of milk to a milk solid, you begin to get an understanding of the scale of the monopoly rent the NZ consumer is paying. In the UK its less than$1 NZ a liter for fresh milk. Its daylight robbery. The problem is on one side are the dairy farmers,the NZX, Fonterra and some MP's, on the other the poor old NZ consumer. Yes I support dairy farmers but as a monopoly NO. Fonterra should never have been given this much power in the first place, its a bloody mess that needs to be put right.

Having had the benefit of

Having had the benefit of a number of discussions with Peter Fraser and with reference back to my previous question "So what to do now for the only "first world" country that still relies on agriculture..." the possibilities just got so much worse with his removal from dairy policy analysis.

Peter provided good analytical reasons for statements he made.
He was willing to appear publicly and explain his reasoning and thus provide opponents with an opportunity for open debate.
The fact that few were willing to engage at this level speaks volumes for the robustness of Peter's analysis compared to theirs.
Lachlan McKenzie and others fail dismally in this regard.
We need debate from intelligent people well versed in the subject at hand.
Instead we seem now to be ruled by "seven second sound bites" and personal ego maintenance.
I have noted PeterR's comments on this site over time re systemic failure.
It seems more and more like intentional failure.
But WHY?

Well it obvious were the

Well it obvious were the conflict is, when 'good analytical reasoning' meets a bunch of wally's. ( no offense Wally)

It is at times like

It is at times like this we can judge the health of our democratic system.

An end result with no effective debate and leaders who should be accountable hiding behind underlings or PR peoplet will suggest that we have a system in an advanced state of decay or early failure. One where incompetents backed by the privileged status quo always trump reason and the wider benefit.

As a dairy farmer I

As a dairy farmer I find a couple of comments above interesting.

Firstly AndrewJ, I believe you will find that the price of milk in the UK has more to do with Govt intervention than your so called Monopoly.

Secondly your Monopoly comments are interesting. There are currently 3 farmer co-operatives in NZ, Fonterra, Tatua and Westland, along with Open Country, New Zealand Dairies and Synlait, with a further 2 -3 new companies in the pipeline. Obviously Fonterra is the largest processor, but as well as supplying these competitors they also supply smaller processors who have none of their own supply, like Kaimai Cheese etc. As far as I can see the biggest rort around is being done by 2 companies, Foodstuffs and Progressive.

Third point - NZ is the only First world country reliant on Agriculture, why is that such a bad thing. We do it well compared to the rest of the world, no subsidies. Perhaps we should follow the likes of Iceland (move away from fishing) and Ireland..... Remind me how are those countries at the moment.

Back to the original point on the number of farms on the market, the papers don't lie in this instance, stacks of farms on the market, 35% decrease in price from the peak, with the 2nd highest payout this season expected, might be the right time for a few of you to buy in given how much of a monopoly and rort it is.

Fertiliser has dropped hugely in

Fertiliser has dropped hugely in price, however my fert expert has just quoted me a mix that will come to $725/tonne spread. Three years ago before the huge price rise and (smaller) fall, I would generally pay around $400 spread. Ex GST.
Thankfully my debt has reduced in that time. However for a lot of NZ farmers in the last 5 years their debt has doubled or more. Add in these shocking shifts in cost and disaster is around the corner. No disaster is here.
Fertiliser now (with price decreases!) takes 30% of my income. I dont know where this is all leading, but it must be frightening for those who are highly geared. I believe the banks have worked out what the future holds and they are very unhappy their exposure is so large. We are looking at tough times, in a world which can not afford expensive commodity food, but has such a massive population that fertiliser and inputs are going to be shockingly expensive.
Remember Brendon O'Donovans recent advice for the farmer when oil heads up again. Walk to the dairy. With advice like that, from a friendly banker/economist, who needs enemies.

Farmer Bob, I not intentionally

Farmer Bob, I not intentionally trying to offend farmers, just provide some critique of the leadership. I appreciate the farmers who work until their bodies are stuffed,and have always enjoyed my time with them. However the structure that is Fonterra would never have been formed without the Govt of the day waving it past the commerce commission,it may not have a total monopoly but it behaves like it has.
I think your future as a farmer is tied up with what are called CDO's and credit-default swaps. The casino that has been formed in the banking industry, controls all our futures. As Paul Volcker said,"there is not one shred of neutral evidence that any financial innovation of the past 20 years has led to any economic growth".
I feel that Fonterra by inflating payouts above the market ,has lead to many of my friends becoming hopelessly indebted. This debt will hang around the industries neck for years and money that should be spent in our community will find its way to the coffers of the rich banking masters in the form on interest. We are too exposed to the risk of rising interest rates which must depress land values.
Iceland's fish stocks were raided by the UK and Spain. Ireland has too much debt and crap leadership, our problems are not that far removed and I keep reminding myself of the consequences of our nearly 200 billion dollars of foreign debt and our dependence on debt owed to mostly Australian controlled banks. Most of our trading partners face years of austerity this wont help our exports, potential wars in Iran and Pakistan hang over the world, nuclear proliferation is rearing its ugly head. I have no crystal ball but I think we have at least 10 lean years ahead of us.
I have some friends who are now getting good jobs running dairy farms for the banks,if the prices for dairy farms are back by 35% and the banks are putting managers in rather than meet the market id expect further falls. Id expect the market to stay subdued until production falls. I'm worried abut our cost structures ,costs cannot continue to climb as in the past or you like the Wine industry will get Systemic failure,that is, if you have not unknowingly already crossed that threshold. I don't get the idea of factory farming cows in Omarama. It looks completely daft to me.Where is the feed going to come from? wouldn't they be better of moving the cows nearer to a major city and trucking the feed in. I don't see any cost advantage of feeding cows in stalls in NZ over doing the same thing in Missouri. I think the future of farming in NZ may be less cows,less production and the associated lower costs that come with less intensive systems.

Some good stuff in this

Some good stuff in this document if you can find a way of accessing it, Id read it before purchasing a dairy farm,especially if that involved DEBT.

Australasian Investment Fiduciary Conference 2006, Rotorua, New Zealand

Introduction
This work was undertaken to examine the historical capital gains of dairy
farms throughout New Zealand. During a meeting with a Waikato chartered
accountant I was informed that he had read that farmland capital gains
historically have been 11% so this must be a good investment, considering
what the bank rate of return yields. On querying his source I received a copy
of a paper presented at the Hawke's Bay Large Herds Conference 2004 titled
"Financial Measures of Business Success". It was authored by Nicola
Shadbolt of Massey University. The thrust of her paper was comparing the
different types of ownership structures in terms of profitability and return on
assets. As far as I can ascertain she used 15 years of data. She states on
page 69 that "historically dairy farm land in New Zealand has increased in
value by 11% per annum (Nartea and Basanta 1998).

Key Points
"¢ It is often quoted that actual farm prices have risen rapidly but the
mean farm size has increased by 82% since 1978. The farm sale price
is misleading and the hectare rate is more significant for a returns
basis.
"¢ For a farm bought in 1978 the compound return has been 2.54% with a
standard deviation of 13.63%, inflation adjusted.
"¢ For farms owned for greater than 20 years the nominal return on farm
prices ranges from 2.16% to 4.24% while the real hectare return
ranges from 0.51% to 1.41%. Therefore the assertion by Shadbolt of
an 11% historical return cannot be substantiated.
"¢ For the period from 1989 to 2004 dairy land underperformed the following asset classes by the following percentages. The differential
for inflation has not been included because money is still expected to
be spent in New Zealand. Growth of $100,000 in dairy land grew to
$247,000.
US Micro Cap Stocks 4.86% ($485,000)
S & P 500 index 2.76% ($364,000)
US Government Bonds 0.66% ($272,000)
Fully diversified with 95% in equities 3.43% ($399,000)
Fully diversified with 35% in equities 2.48% ($350,000)

Conclusion
The limited amount of data available has allowed for an analysis of farm
prices against the assertion that they grow in value at 11% per annum long
term. This is clearly not the case.
As an investment fiduciary my responsibility is to consider all asset classes to
assist trustees create a diversified portfolio to meet the needs of their
beneficiaries. Clearly dairy farms are part of the economic base for private
families as well as New Zealand but it is important not to read too much into
simple statements without looking at long term statistics.
Overall dairy land has done poorly over the past 20 years compared to a
basket of other asset classes. How we use this information for the next 20 or
so years is a challenge for us all.

Long-term (20 years plus) full returns are 0-3% depending when the purchase was made.

AndrewJ your post at 10.35

AndrewJ your post at 10.35 echoes my own opinions. Farmers have sold themselves into slavery and peasantry. No surer than when we had kings and queens and lords and barons.

Let them eat cheescake.

Let them eat cheescake.

These guy's have an interesting

These guy's have an interesting take on farming

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/farming/3234378/Corporate-farming-here-t...

For at least two decades farmers have been upsizing to get economies of scale. Mr Kelly thinks the days of the small family farm are numbered.

"If I take the dairying industry for example, as recently as 10 years ago, the average herd size was 150 cows, now it's 300 and growing, ... so I think the concept of corporate farming, as in a large farm, will only increase."
The biggest players in New Zealand are Landcorp, the 58-farm South Island-based Dairy Holdings Ltd, the Cushing family's $200 million, 30-farm New Zealand Rural Equities Ltd based in Hastings, and some of the Maori incorporations.

With the exception of Landcorp, these are all in private ownership. In Australia, insurance companies own many of the high country stations where they can get the benefits of massive scale.

But that kind of model is thin on the ground in New Zealand, and there are no NZX-listed farming operations, with the exception of PGG Wrightson's venture in Uruguay.

Experts agree this is largely because farming is an asset-rich, cash-poor activity, unsuited to short-term investment.

"In farming most of the economic returns you get are from capital gain of the land as opposed to cash dividends and that just doesn't suit the corporate model in New Zealand," says Mr Kelly.

According to one estimate, income-only farming returns hover between 2 and 4 per cent, no better than some banks.

Farm syndication firm MyFarm begs to differ.

Thanks to land development and lower mortgages, it is forecasting short-term annual dividends of 6 to 7 per cent on some of its farms.

"With low debt and land prices going down in the past year and disillusioned investors [from other sectors], the focus for us is very much on cash returns," a spokesman says.

When capital gains are tossed in, investing in a farm becomes even more alluring.

The average farm price grew 16 per cent between 2000 and 2008. MyFarm has averaged a similar rate of return for the last five years.

Well we know from this report - Australasian Investment Fiduciary Conference 2006, Rotorua, New Zealand .link- http://www.omo.co.nz/Farm_Price_Research-AIF_Conference.pdf
That these are complete and utter bloody LIES. These comments lack the facts to back them up . Did CATHERINE HARRIS get her Journalism degree from the back of a weetbix pack.

Next lets look at the Wool industry

http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/industries/3231547/Farmers-angry-at-New-...

Many merino farmers think the salary rewards for top executives at their sales marketing company New Zealand Merino Co are too high, one disgruntled farmer says.

The high-profile farmer said he was upset after disclosure by one of New Zealand Merino's stakeholders that the industry was "struggling" yet the salaries were high in comparison to similar-sized firms.

NZ Merino had around 30 staff, yet chief executive John Brakenridge was on a salary in the band of $730,000-$740,000 for the June 2009 financial year, the farmer said.

Furthermore, three other employees were on salaries of between $240,000 and $280,000, according to statutory accounts for NZ Merino's 50 per cent shareholder Merino Grower Investments Ltd (MGIL), representing merino farmers.

NZ Merino is owned in a joint venture between MGIL and PGG Wrightson, which this week announced a restructuring of the company's board to give farmers an extra director representative, a move by merino farmers for more influence, including over salaries.

The question is `how come these farmers in the Mackenzie basin are saying they're struggling, when we see Icebreaker doing very well?'... "

A number of growers had been unhappy about the pay levels for some time and up to 50 per cent would probably be opposed to the high amounts, the farmer said.

But those farmers had not raised the issue for fear of losing contracts, he added.

What the hell what have we come to, "But those farmers had not raised the issue for fear of losing contracts." Are we run now by a Cabal of over hyped and overpaid elites like MR Kelly who rule with fear this disgusts me they all should be sacked.
I made $4 a ewe on Wool after costs last year that guy running the Merino NZ would need to run 100,000 ewes to get that income and have capital investment of 20 million + . Whats wrong with us are we run by Idiots?

Farmer Bob."Third point – NZ

Farmer Bob."Third point "“ NZ is the only First world country reliant on Agriculture, why is that such a bad thing. We do it well compared to the rest of the world, no subsidies. Perhaps we should follow the likes of Iceland (move away from fishing) and Ireland"¦.. Remind me how are those countries at the moment."

AndrewJ has dealt with fishing. The CAP system (averages which allowed large inflows to Ireland) provided dairy the means to intensify away from pasture to increase production then when poorer countries entered EU average altered and outflows from Ireland stuffed the bloated industries who had thought the gravy chain [like capital gain in farmland] would last forever. Ireland dairy costs to produce milk were just slightly more than NZ in 2007 - and likely less currently.
Ireland is still far less indebted than NZ as a Nation.
Ag Debt alone in NZ still sits at around $48 billion.
Environmental law and penalties are nowhere near as harsh in NZ as in UK/EU.
Animal welfare nowhere near as harsh as in "subsidised" countries.
IF carbon emissions are taxed world wide as mooted, NZ will be hit hard due mainly to ruminant emissions- but the NZ Govt has now decided to delay farm tax of this.
Dairy alone would be up for $60-90 mill/yr. (depending on level of tax $35-50/TCO2??)
This seems like a subsidy in the making to anyone else.
NZ is running a consistent loss so agriculture just cannot support the life style we now seem to expect. Does this mean we remain first world through reliance on agriculture (no matter how well we do it) and borrowing? That we reduce the level of social service to equate to what agriculture plus peripherals earns?
That somehow we retard the development of dairy exports from all marginal countries who have entered the race? Or enter into relationships to grow and enhance all involved.
Check out just how "well we do it" from the Jnl Primary Industry Mgt.Vol 10 No.4 Dec 2007 pages 6-8 -by your new Fonterra Director, Nicola Shadbolt -in comparison to Ireland too- and revisit my other comment about needing more debate.
Peter Fraser tried to open up topics for such debate and I reiterate my contention that his removal from dairy duties will make NZ dairy the poorer.

Robpeter So in simple plain

Robpeter
So in simple plain English. The tax payer is going to pay the carbon tax for the dairy industry at present that would be about $35-50 K a farm. Yep that definitely a subsidy.

AndrewJ, You are right. Full

AndrewJ, You are right. Full amount NZ Govt. will transfer from dairy farmer liability to NZ taxpayer liability if CO2 tax delayed will be $600-900 million/year. (My calculator can't handle enough "0's").
"Transfer" sounds much better than "subsidy"?

Robpeter, Milk powder appears to

Robpeter, Milk powder appears to be softening,looks like NZ maybe going to have to compete for the Chinese market

POWDER MARKET COMMENTS: "Demand is fair and along expected levels to contract customers, but is slow to develop for new or export interest. Stocks are building at many locations." That quote from DMN market watchers this week doesn't bode well for near-term prices for nonfat dry milk. Apparently many plants didn't like to see inventories rise as much as they have. Some sales this week were reported to be $.12 per lb below the low end of the West's "mostly" price range. Yes, the market is unsettled. However, average prices for last week's sales reported to the two major price compiling agencies gained all that was lost the prior week when end of year sales boosted volumes but busted prices. A special notice from China this week, which stated they expect to increase their imports of milk powders by a huge amount in January, issued supposedly to alert all interested parties to the potential disruption to regular supplies, should help to bolster global powder prices. It's CHICAGO
believed that the principal kind of milk powder referred to is whole milk powder, something about which the U.S. dairy industry shows very little interest. Go figure this: the same day China gave its notice, prices for extra grade and grade A nonfat dry milk on the CME dropped by $.07 per lb, and are now below the weekly average prices
for sales made last week.

Economy of scale when mixed

Economy of scale when mixed with corporates is a recipe for disaster. Note the 16000 ha of corporate farmland up for sale in the Tokoroa Taupo area right now. If it was such a success, what happened to this lot.
I understand the likes of corporates mentioned above demand 6 figure annual "management fees".
What for? Fat blubbers sitting on their fat buttocks, giving dubious advice. Also employing $100,000 consultants giving even more dubious advice. Its a rort, it will be shown to be a rort. More the fool who gets involved.
I see these dudes drive around their equity partnership corporate conglomerates in 2009 hiluxes, too weak to lift a spade, with their pansy skinny arms, and bloated gutses. Demanding the workers get up earlier, cup more cows and spray more thistles.
I recently heard some of the older vets in the district will not attend a callout to some of these farms because they are so up themselves, rude and obnoxious, and slow to pay.
What a load of codswallop from the MyFarm team. Factor in the extra hangers on and that is the annual dividend gone. Reread the comment carefully. Some of the returns are 6 -7 %, yes I can imagine, SOME (not all, not most even), the next year a 10 - 20 % loss. Then what. Yup I know, either more debt, or a watered down investment as they bring in another investor to staunch the flow of blood.
Where they used to be able to onsell for a profit to the next lot of loonies, now its down down down.
Read the saturday Waikato Times. Nobody is buying the extra Fonterra shares. Nobody can afford to and the banks arent willing to lend for them. The payout is looking down the barrell of over $6.00. That is an extraordinarily good year. But not now, not in dairy world 2010, in 2010 the banks want some of that money back thanks. The overdrafts of the last few years that they consolidated into bigger mortgages need some sort of repayment. And that is the story for the next 20 years. Repayment.
And in the meantime the fat cats that live off the back of hard workers, such as NZ Merino, take WHAT? three quarters of a million bucks!
My blood is boiling folks. Mainly because one of those little fat corporate employee useless dudes was as happy as hell to demand my family member take his tractor into a very bad place because bulldozing said place was too expensive! AND fatguts laughed at the same time as he wondered how he didnt roll it. AND the bulldozers are right there and could have done the work. If I was a bloke I would head up there and punch that soft paunch.
NZ farming needs real people and real workers and then we'll be right. We need to get rid of the parasites, freeloaders and conmen.

andrewj-re your 9.39 link chris

andrewj-re your 9.39 link
chris kelly from landcorp is banging on about what a ledgend he is and how they [manage?] a 1.7 billion dollar operation. he state,s that they return the govt 18% annually inclusive of capital gains.--- according to treasury for the last 2 years--08--09 landcorp has distributed-- 08----12 million+ 09--13 million---this is a return of about .75 of 1%---they,re hardly setting the world on fire even with the gfc
http://www.treasury.govt.nz/government/financialstatements/yearend/jun09...
good heads up from your posts
cheers

A fair summation I would

A fair summation I would say Farmer Will. The corporates tend to rely on economies of scale and capital gain to justify their Hiluxes. People I have spoken to who work on the corporate farms often have a story similar to that of the Crafer saga, ie under staffed, under paid, over worked, over stocked, inefficient, and as you mentioned expected to do more than what their employees would themselves. Frustrating as it sounds, it seems to be a growing phenomena (Land Corp including, and yes very dry up here in Central NI), my father wonders why keen young farmers aiming for land ownership don't boycott working for such people (ie corporates partially responsible for inflating land price above productive value).
As for Fonterra Dry Shares, as a shareholder what to do?? Haven't thought a lot about it. Bank manager said do what's best for our farming business, (added caveat that what ever we decide, won't make much difference to Fonterra, and that doesn't know many shareholders "˜sharing up').
When looking at the history of Fonterra and dairy co-ops, it's frustrating that industry leaders have led as here, esoteric capital structure and asking for more money. Where were the retentions? It wouldn't have been an unreasonable sacrifice given it was how we got to were Fonterra was able to be formed. And if anyone mentions DIRA, it's about time the board shoved that up the governments arse. Are reforms made by Rodger Douglas and Ruth Richardson partially responsible for the mess NZ farming is in now? Is Ruth Richardson involved with foreign funded Synlait? Talk about having the interest of NZ at heart!

Greetings, good to see some

Greetings, good to see some critical discussion on the dairy industry, and would like to add to the debate, at the risk of being out of line, no offence intended.
Regarding above comments about Peter Fraser. I know very little about him myself, but have heard a shareholders councilor express frustration in dealing with him. I could empathise, as he painted him to be yet another detached, ill informed Wellington bureaucrat.
The concept of DIRA may have been honorable at the time fonterra was proposed, but I can't help but think the real agenda was murky, and not concerned about "˜healthy' competition for the benefit of the NZ dairy industry and consumer. If role of DIRA was to regulate price paid for dairy products by NZ consumers, it has failed, and maybe Farmer Bobs comments about supermarket control is worth delving into further.
Farmer Bob, why aren't Fonterra shareholders, and the NZ public for that matter, jumping up and down re DIRA? The silence of the board is deafening, and I felt embarrassed at a xmas bbq when a board member yet again spieled out that it enabled Fonterra to exist. Other "˜small' processors notwithstanding, DIRA was the death knell for Gisborne Milk co-op, as it couldn't compete with other so called "˜independent' processors (who had cosy relations with supermarkets) receiving subsidized milk mandated by the government from Fonterra. Would it be fair to chalk the demise of Gisborne Milk up to Peter Fraser. What is more infuriating is the use of DIRA by politicians to form start up processors eg OCC (Wyatt Creech, John Luxton) Synlait (Ruth Richardson), NZ Dairies, and in the pipline, Oceania Milk (Don Brash), and their offshore backers. So the way I see it DIRA mandates milk (profit) subsidised by Fonterra to flow offshore for the benefit of a few wealthy and well informed New Zealanders. I think I'll keep an eye on Peter Fraser and see where he pops up.
I support Lachlan McKensie in his stance on the continuation of Fonterra as a co-op, and believe he is validated in the success of the NZ dairy industry up to the formation of Fonterra. However in support of PeterRs comments I'm concerned at the leadership of Fonterra and what looks like corporate culture undermining traditional robust co-op ethics. I think large scale shareholders (most directors, land corp, dairy holdings etc) have undue influence through the voting structure and election process. Why can't it be one vote per shareholder?

# AndrewJ Says: January 16th,

# AndrewJ Says:
January 16th, 2010 at 9:27 pm stuffed up and posted on the wrong thread

Does this sound familiar

In 1983, there were 297,000 dairy producers in the U.S. There are now about 56,000. Each downturn eliminated thousands of producers, resulting in a drop in milk, which in turn, resulted in price recovery. Those left are stronger and more stubborn. So now, our downturns are deeper, and more sustained in the past.

So here we are in January, 2010. When the milk price crashed to $10.00 last January, who would have thought we could make it to this point if the milk price didn't go up? Compared to last year, feed costs are now a bit down, the milk price is up a few bucks, but the losses, although less, continue. We're like boxers in the
12th round, punching and flailing without much strength and direction. We don't know what to do. Our bankers don't know what to do. Feed dealers don't know what to do. Our accountants don't know what to do. Co-ops just keep doing what they've always done; take our milk, place it wherever, for minimum prices. The processors such as Deans, Kraft, etc., are having record profits. And the milk keeps on flowing in ample supply to what we loosely call a market.

Further, when all the equity is gone, isn't it sick, but predictable logic for
producers to just hang on and hope "things change"? This is a pretty sorry mess for a multi-billion dollar industry.

Sounds familiar to me.

This dissection and comment on

This dissection and comment on Fonterra is currently being/been played out in Silver Fern Farms(once was PPCS)
For those that caught the articles in the Independent before Christmas, from chalkie and SFF chairman Garden , this is the sequel -

" Chairman Garden displays a vacuous knowledge of co-operatives if he and his board had to go searching for an answer to what one was.
He or his management team could find the answer under NZ Co-operatives Association, to realise Co-ops do have a number of unique characteristics:

* they are owned and democratically controlled by their members "“ the people who use the co-op's services or buy its goods "“ not by outside investors

* they return surplus revenues to their members in proportion to their use of the co-op, not in proportion to their investment or share ownership

* they are motivated by the need to meet their members' needs for affordable and high quality goods and services, rather than profit for its own sake

* they exist primarily to serve their members

The member-owners share equally in the control of their cooperative, meeting at regular intervals to review detailed reports and elect directors from among themselves..

Despite these principles, the Board and Management of SFF with their spin-doctors, promoted corporate ideals that amended the governance, capital structure and profit distribution mechanisms, and got support of enough transacting shareholders to succeed, but that support actually constituted just 10% of total shareholders.
This steal of the century, effectively disconnected SFF suppliers from: 100% ownership of their co-op, the security of redemption of shares at par value, and reduced their representation on the board, and old shareholders are now voting with their livestock, and supplying other processors.
How remiss of the Board to not explain, or ensure Grant Samuels explained, the ramifications of shares trading below par in the 2009 proposal.

SFF now finds itself on the slippery slope to a corporate structure, inevitably fully listed, reporting to and performing to investors' expectations.
Time is running out for SFF to realise that livestock, loyalty, performance and profit determine their business, not downsizing processing to match their shrinking business.

History has proved the value of co-op ownership in the meat industry as margins generally don't exist to pay suppliers via schedules, the end of season rebates, and also dividends to non supplying shareholders, and the blowtorch of corporate reality will severely burn these pretenders satisfying two masters.

Chairman Garden can talk up equity and value all he likes but the market will now value SFF shares on performance and profits relative to their competitors, and he will need to explain the loss of value in SFF to those that did and didn't buy the ruse."

SFF holds their AGM in Gore 1pm. Weds. 27 Jan.2010 and is the first opportunity to update shareholders how our shrinking, poorly performing, co-op/corporate is doing.
No chance to elect new directors as the present board suspended elections for a year.
LONG LIVE FARMER CO-OPS.

20 years ago a mate

20 years ago a mate of mine was in clover, he was collecting $700 net for a fat 20 month bull. That price hasnt changed much in 20 years. I am supposed to be pleased if I get $750. With the general shrinkage in the size of the average friesian bull due to the general shrinkage in the frame of the NZ friesian cow, it is becoming difficult to get the 18 to 20 month bull large enough to kill at that age.
Now we have to kill our bulls as 100s of thousands of dairy cows come out as boners. Any earlier and we are competing with 10s of thousands of service bulls coming out from the dairy industry. Any later and we hamstring our wintering systems. The meat companies use this to strangle the schedule at this time.
So I have thrown my lot in with the dairy boys. I now make $500 per hfr per 12 months, I can farm 1.6 heifers to 1 bull. Its a no brainer. When rearing a bull calf through to sale, I was looking at maybe $550/bull net of rearing expenses.
So I see myself as a dairy farmer now. I dont milk them, but I feed them for 12 months. What affects them affects me.
So what I am trying to explain is; the face of farming has changed for us beef farmers because of the choices of those who raced to milk cows. How does the saying go, unseen consequences.
Nothing ever stays the same, I understand that, and we have to move with the times. However that wont stop me complaining a bit.
And I am thinking my fert spreading bill, the fert itself, the vet, the local electrician. If these corporates arent paying their bills because they overspent on land, consultants, etc, then those who have been ripped off will just charge us that do pay,.. more.
So sympathy for Crafars, like hell. They owe my vet many many thousands, and I know who is going to end up paying.

French Farmer, I still farm

French Farmer, I still farm quite a few beefies as a buffer for the dairies. I will not ever supply PPCS again. When I was shafted over the shares I was forced to buy to supply, and then not allowed to either vote or sell these shares, I decided never again. I would imagine many are as pi$$ed with PPCS as me.

Co-operatives are great, but (as

Co-operatives are great, but (as french farmer notes) too many have become confused between co-operative and corporate and when you get Fonterra and SFF you can see where that leads.
California Milk Producers seems a co-op that is trying hard to steer its way through both.
I think Robpeter has been trying to push discussion to a point in the future that Farmer Will is trying to convey too.
Dairy has nurtured people with short term, maybe "modular" thinking, (as in 3-5 year bites with expansion always uppermost) and this philosophy is not good for Co-operatives, farming or land sustainability. Maori corporations ( when not captured by the same short term "bottom line") show strength and durability.
From beef to dairy grazing still allows that pride in doing a good job - without the downside of seeing that hard work killed for little farmer gain.
Oddly enough, many dairy farmers saw grazing off as the first option to exclude when times got tougher. In reality, it should be one of the last to drop (depending on what response to N can be obtained).
But some dairy farmers have a habit of complying with conventional wisdom rather than rationally exploring what may seem "radical" thinking.
Peter Fraser's role has been mentioned a few times in this thread and the frustration expressed by one Shareholders council member.
Frustration often results when comfort zones brought on by conventional wisdom or rubber-stamping some corporate agenda, are challenged.
NZ badly needs these challenges and they need to be more widely discussed.

International Farmer. <blockquote> Regarding above

International Farmer.

Regarding above comments about Peter Fraser. I know very little about him myself, but have heard a shareholders councilor express frustration in dealing with him. I could empathise, as he painted him to be yet another detached, ill informed Wellington bureaucrat.

Your shareholder councillor's frustration says a lot. I did know Peter when he was at TSY, and yes he was a bureaucrat but also a territorial soldier. Peter was passionate about his work, and at the time on a steep learning curve regards NZ agriculture.

In 2006 Treasury asked Fonterra questions regards agricultural debt and redemption risk and was informed neither was an issue for the dairy industry. By 2009 debt and redemption risk were major issues. I suspect Peter had by then gained a good understanding of how Fonterra operated, dairy farm profitability, and industry debt.

That understanding went much deeper and into production economics but is unlikely to have included the ongoing 11% capital gains that Fonterra's new director has espoused, or the almost unlimited profit increases from production intensification advocated many researchers, or the perceived benefits and economies of scale from corportate dairy farming misrepresented by Chris Kelly.

Your shareholder's council member and our Farmer Bob may have found that frustrating. If the former had had a case Peter would have been open to it. I suspect the problem was that even collectively the entire NZ dairy industry was not capable of making a cogent case (that would stand Peter's analysis) for sustaining its asset bubble. So Peter's dairy portfolio was reallocated - the bureaucratic equivalent of burning a heretic at the stake, and a warning to others.

That will make it easier for those in the dairy industry to spin the resumption of a credit driven asset bubble, but the removal of the brightest people with the highest integrity leaves the industry with only weak and/or intellectually shallow representation. But hey, that is part of how systemic failure works.

PeterR, many thanks for your

PeterR, many thanks for your comments.
It appears Peter Frasers had a more positive impact than DIRA and in particular 'regulatory milk'.

this link is very imformative

this link is very imformative ---re fonterra----don.t know who the author is
http://www.agprodecon.org/node/36#Introduction

Food for thought.

Food for thought.

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