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Reserve Bank of Australia cuts official rate 25 bps to 3%
The Reserve Bank of Australia cut its official interest rate by 25 bps to 3%. This latest move has brought it in line with New Zealand's Official Cash Rate and was in line with market expectations, although Australian economists were split with many expecting rates to be left on hold, while others saw a 50 bps cut.
The Australian move will have been closely watched by Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Alan Bollard as he decides what to do with the OCR on April 30. Earlier today, Bollard was faced with the worst NZIER Business Opinion survey since 1970 and Treasury has said that the economy is in a worse position than its downside scenario in December. Treasury also said the outlook for 2009 and 2010 was worse than its previous downside forecasts.
The next RBA rate announcement will be on May 5.
Here is the statement by RBA Governor Glenn Stevens accompanying the move:
Recent information from abroad indicates that the contraction in the global economy continued during the first few months of this year, and most assessments of the near"‘term outlook have been further marked down. Considerable economic policy stimulus is in train in most countries, the full effects of which are not yet discernible, but which should help contain the downturn over the rest of the year. There are tentative signs of stabilisation in several countries, including China, though it is too early yet to judge how durable these will prove to be.
Conditions in global financial markets have continued to improve gradually, helped by progress towards a resolution of banking system difficulties in the United States and other major countries. Sentiment remains fragile, however, and the contraction in economic activity is affecting asset quality of financial institutions.
The Australian economy is contracting, though by less than those of its trading partners. Capacity utilisation has fallen from its peak, and will decline further over the rest of the year. With demand for labour weakening, growth in labour costs will probably also fall. Hence inflation over the medium term is likely to be lower than it has been over the past two years. Demand for credit is weak overall, though credit for owner"‘occupied housing is picking up.
There has already been a major change in both monetary and fiscal policy in Australia. Market and mortgage rates are at very low levels by historical standards and business loan rates are below recent averages, reducing debt"‘servicing burdens considerably. Nonetheless, the Board judged that there was scope for a further modest adjustment to the cash rate. The stance of monetary policy, together with the substantial fiscal initiatives, will provide significant support to domestic demand over the period ahead.
Recent information from abroad indicates that the contraction in the global economy continued during the first few months of this year, and most assessments of the near"‘term outlook have been further marked down. Considerable economic policy stimulus is in train in most countries, the full effects of which are not yet discernible, but which should help contain the downturn over the rest of the year. There are tentative signs of stabilisation in several countries, including China, though it is too early yet to judge how durable these will prove to be.
The Australian economy is contracting, though by less than those of its trading partners. Capacity utilisation has fallen from its peak, and will decline further over the rest of the year. With demand for labour weakening, growth in labour costs will probably also fall. Hence inflation over the medium term is likely to be lower than it has been over the past two years. Demand for credit is weak overall, though credit for owner"‘occupied housing is picking up.
Well that has sent the
Well that has sent the kiwi dollar falling like a lead balloon against the AUD$!!
Interest rates need to be
Interest rates need to be decided by the interaction between the willingness of people to save and the demand for productive capital.
The interference with this that results from housing bubbles (and any other speculative bubbles) is what is destroying modern economies today, even leaving aside the issue of whether the central banks can get the OCR's right.
A bubble develops through expectation of returns. Those expectations cannot be dampened by interest rates. Interest rates that would dampen a housing bubble, would kill productive business off in the process. That is why Reserve Banks are "pushing on a string" as long as housing issues are unresolved.
What the hell - why
What the hell - why halt the rate cut last time, then continue them now?
Does the RBA like being mysterious?
PhilBest, Perhaps you should research
PhilBest,
Perhaps you should research the Reserve bank mandate. It is not to ward off apparent asset bubbles, it is to keep consumer price inflation low.
"They" talk about data being
"They" talk about data being worse than expected, These are professional groups driven by a man who clearly hasnt got his finger on the pulse.
Wasnt it Bollard who sais before christmas that we are not in a recession.
He contributed to putting our economy into recession with his OCR being 1 year out of touch with what was happening on the street.
Bollard should have been looking at the indicators of the building industry, being consents, rather than the end result being unemployment.
Has the treasury taken into account that there will be many business's that will not have to pay tax, as there provisional was in excess of their actual earning
Sack Bollard for a start