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Opinion: Why 'Save our farms' is a myopic and xenophobic campaign that needs debating

Posted in Opinion

By Bernard Hickey

The creation this week of the 'Save our Farms' campaign to block foreign ownership of New Zealand farm land has fired up a debate that needs to be had.

Unfortunately, the campaign's proposal to immediately block the sale of Crafar Farms to foreign interests and urgently review the Overseas Investment Act is myopic and xenophobic.

However, that doesn't mean we should try to shut down the debate. This intervention by a bunch of Auckland property developers, lawyers and accountants should be congratulated for bringing out into the open a discussion that has consisted so far of mutterings and asides behind a veil of caution.

Let's be open about why so many are concerned about a 'Chinese invasion' of 'our farmland' and what could and should be done about it.

John Key hinted at these concerns when he said he was worried about New Zealanders becoming 'tenants in their own land' and ordered for a review of the foreign investment rules.

He knows better than anyone the forces at work in the global economy and the inevitable results of completely open borders for both trade and capital.

This is the Chinese century and there is now US$1.4 trillion worth of wealth hidden in the nooks and crannies of the world's second largest economy. Much of it is of questionable parentage and the controllers of much of it are trying to squirrel it out to buy hard assets anywhere but China.

In a nation where the banking system is distrusted and even government owned companies are looking to buy commodity producing assets in other countries, it is inevitable that some of that wealth will come looking to buy food-producing assets in politically stable countries like New Zealand.

But why is this a bad thing? And why is it worse than say the Australian banks owning 91% of our financial system or an Australian retailer owning one of our two grocery chains, Progressive, or Australian media companies owning our three biggest media companies, APN, Fairfax and Mediaworks ?

Why is rural land so special?

Why is rural land more precious than say the intellectual capital of our iconic manufacturer. Fisher and Paykel Appliances, which is now controlled by China's bigggest appliance company, Haier, and only yesterday announced a new deal to license more New Zealand technology to this Chinese company.

A Chinese company, Agria, recently bought a big stake in our biggest rural services company, PGG Wrightson, and NEXT Window, a touch screen technology company, has just been bought by a Canadian company SMART Technologies.

Why is rural land so much more vulnerable and worthy of protection?

After all, unlike these other more portable assets, land cannot be dug up and shipped offshore. It will always still be taxed here and legislated for here. Foreign owners are still subject to the same tax laws, the same Resource Management Act and the same employment laws as everyone else.

Sell high, buy low

Also, land can be bought back. That's what happened in America in the 1970s and the 1980s. Cashed-up Arab investors bought American land at inflated prices in the 1970s, only to sell it back to the locals in later years at lower prices. The same thing happened in the 1980s when Japanese investors bought American and Australian land. They eventually sold it back to locals too, often at lower prices.

This is one way to make money: selling high and buying low.

And are farmers and voters really ready for the inevitable drop in land prices if foreigners are banned from buying land here?

However, there are issues that need to be debated.

Let's be consistent and address the real issues.

New Zealanders do not earn enough and save enough to pay for the consumption and investment we seem to want to do. So we borrow the difference or sell our assets to foreigners to make up the gap.

There's a couple of ways to deal with this.

Either we leave the borders open and save more while also spending and investing less. That requires different tax laws and a reorientation of our economy away from consumption and housing to production and exporting. This may require things like a capital gains tax or tax breaks on term deposits or a higher GST. 

Or we can physically close the borders to these capital flows.

That would mean blocking sales of residential land, rural land and local business assets. It would also mean blocking New Zealanders from buying assets overseas.

Is that what we really want?

This is the inevitable conclusion of going down this path proposed by 'Save the farms'

It is not necessarily the wrong path. Even the International Monetary Fund is musing about the legitimacy of capital controls for developing economies.

There may well be a case to slow and control the pace the globalisation of both trade and capital flows.

But let's debate that in a consistent way, rather than treating Chinese investment in rural land as somehow different.

Your view? I welcome your thoughts below.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment in the box on the right or click on the "'Register" link at the bottom of the comments. Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making these comments.

253 Comments

Can we buy farm land in

Can we buy farm land in china?

No. Just the cheap and

No. Just the cheap and disposable Red Shed crap.

Oh come one, some of the

Oh come one, some of the stuff in Red Shed is fine....other stuff, yes rubbish, both sets are made in China...

regards

Alright you have a point -

Alright you have a point - and The Warehouse is no worse than 95% of retailers out there in that respect.

The first thing I bought from

The first thing I bought from Warehouse was an alarm clock - 8 or 9 dollars - that never once went. I bought it to get up early for a job the next day. Once it failed me, I threw the effing thing against the wall and vowed never to shop at the 'warre-whare'. Few months, hell probably a few weeks later, being still poor, I was back...It certainly builds resentment.

No, neither can the Chinese

No, neither can the Chinese themselves...all land is goverment owned and can only be leased for a maximin 30 years....furthermore your land can be reposessed by the goverment anytime (ie whenever they can earn more money "leasing" it to someone else.) So don't beat the "China" bush so hard as their own citizens gets the hard end of the stick too.

A holder of a rather big

A holder of a rather big stick with at least one pretty hard end pretty much sums the Chinese government up I reckon.

Not only much needed capital

Not only much needed capital flows into the country , from foreigners buying in , but also the possibility of innovation . Who knows what intellectual and productivity value the new munny people will bring . We should be well pleased that we're seen as a desirable investment option .

We have only 200 years of European settlement here . That does not give us the right to develop a siege mentality towards future arrivals and/or their munny .

Chinese industry in 2010 is

Chinese industry in 2010 is the antithesis of innovation.

Much easier to steal ideas and technology.

BTW.... uh.... why do you spell 'money' as 'munny'?

Munny : My small ( and

Munny : My small ( and pathetic ) attempt to add a little colour to the English languish .

Stealing ideas and technology

Stealing ideas and technology is still 'innovation' and is undoubtedly at the heart of the initial Chinese boom (the accusation against the Japanese was they were merely imitators. Well, I'd love to have the income to purchase Sony gear!). I've heard several wonderful stories of NZ researchers and business people spilling the beans on some clever idea - even at international conferences - not noticing those in the crowd scribbling down notes and taking photos...

Its getting it out there and making 'filthy lucre' that is the aim!

lets keep it simple. apply

lets keep it simple. apply the foreign nationals own law to us. if i cant buy a house in china then a chinese person cant buy one here. i dont like hypocrasy

Can you please say "Chinese

Can you please say "Chinese non-NZ residing national" instead of "Chinese person" as the one you used actually sounds quite racist.

That's silly...."if i cant

That's silly...."if i cant buy a house in china then a chinese person cant buy one here. i dont like hypocrasy"....if Chinese laws allow you to buy a house and beat your wife should you want it to be allowed here too??..

All residents of this country follows the laws of this country.....!!

Idiots with loud mouths.

Bernard, I can't help but

Bernard, I can't help but think about the fundamental and strategic difference between land ownership and company or IP ownership.

Namely, one is an abstract property, and the other one extremely concrete.

The mankind functioned rather well, albeit less efficiently, before the recent inventions of corporation and intellectual property laws.

It never functioned without a direct reliance on land, either your own or someone elses. Historically, the latter were substantially underprivileged, so much so that they had to give their lives and personal freedoms away, and work for the landowner (feudalist) with the most limited possible conventional rights, without any hope of ever getting anything but a percentage of the food they grew themselves.

Secondly, it is extremely easy to violate IP laws - especially where IP law enforcement is weak - and almost as easy to nationalise corporate entities. Nationalisation of land, on the other hand, is normally met with such a level of violet physical resistance that, to do it, someone must put their lives at risk AND also have the support of the majority of the population (which is rare, except in bolshevik revolutions and similar).

In addition, nationalisation of foreign-controlled land sounds like a bloody good pretext for declaration of war and foreign invasion.

I think the Chinese are well aware of all of this, and I think that they are in such a strong position that they won't need to sell any of their land even if the prices collapse. Au contraire, they will be incentivised to buy even more, and the "land supplier nation", under financial stress due to property bubble meltdown, may have little choice but to sell even more.

Sounds like a bloody fast way to become a colony, and also bloody ironic (in a karmic way) in the context of how New Zealand was initially usurped from the natives.

Agree with you Stev-o-.F&P

Agree with you Stev-o-.F&P v`s land .Please Bernard get the real reality that while intellectual capital is nebulous land is what man has lived on forever.Still can ,can`t on intellectual capital.No it doesn`t earn the comparative return on capital that other means of earning bring ,but it does bring a "living' to all of us.

I usually come here to

I usually come here to complain that BH is being one sided but well done.  I personally believe we live in one big open world and that capital should and does flow openly and easily across borders, but it is something that should be debated.

Sell some of these big farms off to Asian investors.  It will be better for NZ - they will pay much more than anyone else, so therefor the banks will get back a maximum of capital that they can relend and stimulate the economy with, they will employ probably more NZers than if a NZer bought it, it will keep free trade open (remember - we have a lot of business in China that could equally be snubbed out if we snub China), etc, etc.

"one big open world" Why

"one big open world"

Why don't you say that to the soldiers guarding the Montana/Siberian/Inner Mongolian nuclear ICBM silos?

Rubbish, the banks will do

Rubbish, the banks will do the easiest and safest thing ie relend to NZers forced to match the chinese prices and the land ponzi game will continue.

One of the input costs is simply too high to make a living on....if you are a so called professional economist then I dispair  at your stupidity / blinkers.....this is not a sustainable or sane business model...

regards

 

Employ NZ ers....yep at 12.50

Employ NZ ers....yep at 12.50 an hr.  The word nieve springs to mind....

*naive

*naive

Bernard - it's about context

Bernard - it's about context and what you've said here doesn't indicate an appreciation of context differences that are important and the anti-sovereign nature of the failed doctrine we have come to know as Neoliberalism:

"Also, land can be bought back. That's what happened in America in the 1970s and the 1980s. Cashed-up Arab investors bought American land at inflated prices in the 1970s, only to sell it back to the locals in later years at lower prices. The same thing happened in the 1980s when Japanese investors bought American and Australian land. They eventually sold it back to locals too, often at lower prices."

In contrast, well said PEC and Selwyn Pellet:

http://www.pec.org.nz/2010/07/chinese-landlords-not-in-new-zealand%e2%80%99s-national-interest-says-pec/

http://www.pec.org.nz/2010/04/selwyn-pellet-interviewed-by-david-beatson-about-the-crafar-farm-sale/

Enjoy.

Cheers, Les.

www.mea.org.nz

  

I see land and other tangible

I see land and other tangible assets are different from Intellectual Property for at least three reasons.  1) You cannot manufacture land out of nothing, and therefore it has real tangible value when things get tough  2) the land and the ability to grow food on it, to grow trees for housing and to keep warm from burning wood is a comforting thought.  3) selling off our tangible assets is not sustainable; there is only so much land (it's finite) and selling it off to temporarily fund our current standard of living seems like madness to me.  Hardly fair on future generations either.

When you say: "That would mean blocking sales of residential land, rural land and local business assets. It would also mean blocking New Zealanders from buying assets overseas."

I don't see why that would stop New Zealanders from being able to buy overseas, if those countries let us.  There are certainly countries at the moment where we are not allowed to buy their land, yet they can buy ours.

I have no problem with leasing the land out, but selling, no.

Bernard, sorry but you get a

Bernard, sorry but you get a D.

We have proven foreign owned monopoly Co's in NZ have shredded our economy.

You need to retrain as a financial controller and work for a NZ Co and try to make ends meet. As an economist you are a theory man, protected by your theories from reality arguments.

Have you looked at the drain in the Current Account since Rogernomics did his work for the foreigners ?

Trotter, Douglas, Fay, Podmore, Deane, Caygill, Prebble, Hyde - Foreign owned Railways, Telecom, Oil Co's, Banks. Devastated the economy and the current account.

Call me, 021 1433 625. If you are really serious about helping NZ, I can help you to understand.

 Regards

Leon

You get a " D " for spelling

You get a " D " for spelling ! It's Hide , not Hyde .

Respect  to you Leon

Respect  to you Leon  ....there is always a need for those who put up...

While B.H. may not score high on your report... he likewise puts it out there and receives a good canning  for his efforts from time to time.

While many refer to him as an economist ,I read his articles as if he were a journalist observing...hopefully probing....and creating debate.

For my part I have grave concerns about setting a precedent for future foreign investment in land that may be exploited to it's fullest.

The difference is based in  ideology and in  particular the Foreign Nationals concept of what reasonable exploitation of a resource is..............................stupid Kiwi....uh stupid.

 From their viewpoint  I guess every journey begins with the first step ... so this is a crucial must win game for them ... and that suggests looking for precedent ... followed by exploitation of that precedent.

I repeat I have family there and their overview of us as a society is as if you were selling your clapped out Holden to a hillbilly and telling  him it's way better than his hoss.

Ripe for the picking does not translate well but ... you get the drift.

BH is of course correct - as

BH is of course correct - as long as we spend more than we make (both as a nation and as individuals) then one way or another the Chinese among others will own more and more assets in New Zealand. So the real debate is whether it's better for them to own our companies/IP, or our land.

BH's perspective is an interesting one - indeed it is easier to have a degree of control over land, which is immovable, than over foreign owned companies which can prove quite  transient. Certainly it invites debate - though you're not likely to get any, as New Zealanders are nothing short of zealous about land ownership.

Always best to sell them an

Always best to sell them an IP. Even cheaply!

If we don't they'd steal it anyway (and you all know it's true!).

farming is one of the few

farming is one of the few things we do better than the rest of the world

we lead the world in grassland farming

why should we sell this

this is not a chinese problem harvard are buying land in centrel otago.

the dairy industry is build on having a career pathway from worker to farm owner .this pathway is fragile enough now with out haveing investment funds buying land here. if this pathway is broken the best young farmers will not join the industry .

innovation comes from young minds carrying debt not from overseas investment funds

Where the hell have you been

Where the hell have you been the past decade...the horse has well and truly bolted out of that stable, the corporate farm is, unfortunately, the future for our 'Gumboot dancers'

out on the farm actually know

out on the farm

actually know many people who have achieved this in the last decade.and not just a small shareholder in a farm.

where have you been

out on the farm actually know

out on the farm

actually know many people who have achieved this in the last decade.and not just a small shareholder in a farm.

where have you been

out on the farm actually know

out on the farm

actually know many people who have achieved this in the last decade.and not just a small shareholder in a farm.

There are some fundimentals

There are some fundimentals at play...

Land here is vastly over-valued by 50% or more due to ppl buying for capital gains and not as a ongoing profitable business...thats just nuts.

So if the land's price collapses, who wins and looses? The idiots who overpaid and the banks who lent them the money...The winners are those who buy the land at a sensible price....the other winners are consumers who then pay a fair margin...

So by letting in foreign investors who benefits? the fools who bought but particualry  the (Australian owned) banks get let off the hook..  Or meanwhile the high land prices force up consumer costs for the goods it produces and the owner / farmer forces the land with irrigation and fertilzer to over-produce in order to meet the ingoing costs....ie do crazy things like drain down aquifiers, then the salt water rushes in which will ruin the land...China is doing this and killing its land....

Im all for banning foreign investment of this sort....get the land prices down to sane values, let the banks take a hefty haircut for their stupidity...we then control our land and its output.

regards

Bang on Steve-orig.....I,m

Bang on Steve-orig.....I,m all for the" free market" but China is anything BUT a free market.Land  is way over priced but instead of the necessary CORRECTION there are those among us(noteably aussie banks and overleveraged farmers) who want to be bailed out buy foreigners.

If this deal goes through then i imagine thebanks will be knocking on the door of those highly indebted farmers on asking them to ring a land agent.

Imagine if farmers had less debt serviving  then perhaps some of their spare income would be available for MORE innovation .At best many are just treading water while the rest of the world catches and passes us.

Hey....after we finished with

Hey....after we finished with "foreigner buying land and farms" let's continue with "Foreigners buying residential house" too after all the same rational apply...and after that let's gon on to factories, and banks, heck...let's just do "NEW ZEALAND FOR NEW ZEALANDERS ONLY". 

Sounds bloody good to

Sounds bloody good to me!

ps: I am still not against immigration or immigrants as such. But they must prove their loyalty first.

"Prove their loyalty"...jeeez

"Prove their loyalty"...jeeez thats so niave

*Naive.

*Naive.

See, that is a real good

See, that is a real good criterion.

Anyone who thinks that "proving loyalty" is "naive" almost certainly also believe that the feelings of loyalty are also "naive", and immediately fails any loyalty test based on self-rationalised disloyalty mindset.

It's a failure of not just loyalty to NZ but to any other country in the world.

There's a general underspecies of "traitors" that are disloyal to all others but themselves and any human group (Kiwi, Chinese, American, Inuit) - including their grandmothers - are probably way better off positively identifying them and neutralising them efficiently.

Hyde, Hide, who cares !

Hyde, Hide, who cares !

Leon you're generous giving

Leon you're generous giving Bernard a D, I would have said he gets about an F, flunked completely.

Funny how Benard has made no mention of how the government has been given a very large donation by the interests that want to buy that land, to me that sounds like oh I dunno ... bribery. 

And that's what you really

And that's what you really need to look at here Bob.... that is a demonstration of the difference in ideology............

We like our bribery to be secretive and tasteful...spy like if you wish

They have no time for such carry on.......it's in your face...... it's how things get done.....you are an Ant be grateful for the crumbs........ and no wrong is seen in corrupting foreign interests with  incentive based thinking........................" The baubles of Power "

Selling one farm to someone

Selling one farm to someone immigrating to NZ is OK in my mind.

Selling 16 farms to foreign owners is quite a different matter. Food supply is of high importance to the Chinese and they are happy to pay a premium for our farm land to achieve this.

But what is the environmental record of China in their own country? Appalling!

Are they going to be any different here? Probably not.

Do they care? Definitely not!

Will this create new jobs? No!

What if they build a new milk factory? They can do that anyway without needing to own the land.

Overall, selling large chunks of rural land to foreign owners - no matter where they are from - does not make sense especially when argriculture is one of your largest export earners. It will just lead to another growing balance of payments problem in the future similar to the one caused by the last large scale sell off of NZ assets. 

Was Telecom a better company under foreign ownership? The Amercian/Fay Richwhite consortium ripped huge amounts of cash out of NZ Rail before selling it off. Does Contact perform better than the State owned power companies?  

Sorry BH.  Cant agree. NZ is

Sorry BH.  Cant agree.

NZ is its land and what it can produce .Despite attempts to diverse business the majority of overseas earnings still come from the land and that includes tourism.

 Foreign individuals who come here to live and be part of NZ are OK.  But not foreign corporations with only a dollar as its principal overriding interest and never the country's.

If it i snon-resident foreign buyers that have kept property prices high then it will be better for locals (except existing landowners) if they are not allowed to purchase.  The higher land price adversely effects the cost of living for all of us. 

I see only good stuff coming

I see only good stuff coming out of this.

Overseas buyers chased away => lower demand for agricultural land.

Lower demand for ag. land => land prices fall.

Ag land prices fall => farmland speculators drown. They were parasites all along.

Ag land prices fall => cheaper farm prices for the core producers = farming community. Easier to achieve good yields without resorting to dirty intensive farming methods.

Ag land prices fall => drags down the value of urban fringe land

Urban fringe land prices fall => section prices fall. Great news for the construction industry & first home buyers

Bernard you are making the

Bernard you are making the horrendous mistake of assuming the next 30 years is going to be similar to the last 30 years.

Nothing could be further from the truth. The last 3 decades were about globalisation, the transient triumph of free-market economic liberalization, the unfettered growth in human populations and the dubious benefits of the information technology 'revolution'.

The next 30 years are going to be all about the dealing with the consequences of resource depletion, population over-shoot  and environmental degradation, together with the replacement of globalization by the systems that were in place 50 years or more ago.

In that context preserving 'lifeboat New Zealand' for those fortunate to be its present inhabitants becomes of prime importance. Our land, our water, our seas, and all the other resources we seemingly now take for granted will be our life support system. Many covetous (and eventually aggressive) eyes will no doubt be cast in our direction. We should be aware of this NOW.

The Chinese government and its various quasi-governmental entities have embarked on a highly aggressive resource acquisition spree all over the world - just take a look at the situation in Africa (the Sudan for example). As such it is hardly surprising that their motives are distrusted.

Well said andyh, could not

Well said andyh, could not agree more.

NZ is essentially one big

NZ is essentially one big farm. The world needs food, and in the future as cheap oil reduces the world's ability to support 6 billion plus humans, food is going to be in short supply. To sell off the one asset NZ has, and that which is going to make NZ an attractive place to live would be a poor strategic decision.

Having said that, in the event of food shortages and resource wars, NZ resources are likely to be taken by force.

I hear the issue of lack of capital being an issue for NZ. Is it really an issue for farming. It would seem to me that farming in NZ is actually overcapitalised - especially when you look at farm prices. They don't seem to make financial sense on a ROI viewpoint. 3-5% returns seem to be the norm.

If capital needs to flow into the farming sector by NZers then why isn't a vehicle designed so that NZers can invest in it. There is lots of cash sitting in term deposits. How about corpoatising some large NZ farms and floating them? This has happened in the US succesfully.

Hey let's not forget Banky

Hey let's not forget Banky Boys roll in all this...............I would imagine the Foreign owned banks would be quite comfortable with the sale.....................Because they live in our world ..... and they want other people(cash rich) to also.

Exactly right AndyH. NZ'ers

Exactly right AndyH. NZ'ers do not realise how valuable our abundance of water and productive farmland is in the context of a world that is fundamentally unable to sustain its population. This will be very positive for the wealth of NZ as a nation over the next 30 years. Just as Australia is getting rich selling minerals to developing nations, NZ will prosper from our ability to produce food for the worlds swelling population. I am very positive about asset values in NZ on a medium to long term view, because we are just so well positioned for the theme of the next 30 years which will be scarcity of food and water and the inability of nations to feed their populations.

While you may be right

While you may be right economically speaking Anon..population growth is just another more digestible term for......... infestation.

I know on this site that is tantamount to heresy .... but depopulation is what the ground beneath you is screaming for...............does not make for Boom economics...... but that is a sliding scale.  

On a tangent, did everyone

On a tangent, did everyone see that Whimpy guy made $900,000? lucky b******d

Why does land have to be sold

Why does land have to be sold ? What's wrong with providing 50 or 100 years lease for them ? Won't that be a win-win solution, after all they need to land to farm and raise cattle, not for capital gain ?

Also, I am sick of hearing the argument that NZers buy land all over the world but are up in arms when it comes to selling land in NZ. I think if land has to be sold, it should only be sold to a country which has a reciprocal agreement with NZ. China does not allow foreigners to buy land, and neither do most of the Asian countries, so why should NZ be obliged to sell land to them ?

By gum Neil, that there is

By gum Neil, that there is almost the same dam point made by King country Maori way back when....didn't do them any bloody good either....the British still stole it.

Tell the Chinese PP and PLA

Tell the Chinese PP and PLA to go take the British land then. Not like we've been forcefeeding them opium in the 1840s!

"Unfortunately, the

"Unfortunately, the campaign's proposal to immediately block the sale of Crafar Farms to foreign interests and urgently review the Overseas Investment Act is myopic and xenophobic." "

It's a pity Bernard doesn't think more deeply instead of so facilely tossing around the word xenophobic. He deals too much in cliches within a restricted ideology which ignores far greater realities, and I mean realities.

This isn't just a question of foreign ownership. China is on the march in the Pacific. Does Hickey not know that the Australians consider it is going to be a military threat to them within 10 to 20 years?

Any Chinese owned company operates only so long as the repressive and totalitarian Chinese government allows it to. Communist China can move in and appropriate land sold ostensibly to Chinese business interests any time it wants to. It would then own actual New Zealand territory.

China's practice historically has been to establish an economic base in the country, then to start interfering politically, and finally militarily. We need better thinking from you and others like you, Mr Hickey. Above all, apart from wanting to oust American interests in the Pacific, Communist China wants an excuse to claim some ownership of Antarctica. Owning New Zealand land (if the Chinese government takes over any such company, as it can) then gives China an excuse to argue for a right (based on its then part ownership of New Zealand) for a foothold into Antarctica.

Underinformed commentators do a great deal of damage. Read up your history. Mr. Hickey. How long should we wait while Bill English is dithering?

Yeah, the Chinese have

Yeah, the Chinese have historically been almost as nasty colonists/occupiers as the British. Just far less experience, but they'll get there!

"China's practice

"China's practice historically has been to establish an economic base in the country, then to start interfering politically, and finally militarily."...really!...tell us where AS.

This debate would never have

This debate would never have happen if the buyers of CRAFAR were British, Dutch or Germans...but HELL NO we must not those yellow skin slanty eyes in !! It's the Yellow Peril all over again !!  "China is on the march in the Pacific."

Communist China can move in and appropriate land sold ostensibly to Chinese business interests any time it wants to. It would then own actual New Zealand territory. Watch out for those commies under your bed !!

"Then to start interfering politically, and finally militarily." Yeah, like starting two wars to force the goverment to allow them to sell opium in the country !!

Above all, apart from wanting to oust American interests in the Pacific, Communist China wants an excuse to claim some ownership of Antarctica. ....WOW so the Americans own the Pacific and nobody else is allowed to have an interest in it...Guess Australia and New Zealand are vassal of the Americans after all !!...And the Antarctic ?? Isn't it under UN supervision and any country can establish a base in it for scientific research ?? BTW the Chinese already has a base in Antarctica...

Kin, I would not overplay

Kin, I would not overplay this card of "being vassals to America".

I am sure plenty of Kiwis would want the American corporates out of this country as much as the Chinese corporates.

And if you guys are seriously advance planning for another cold war with the Americans, please stay out of New Zealand.

This goes to all good Chinese (and American) folks that have immigrated here in New Zealand. If your loyalty is to your country of origin first and foremost, please leave Aotearoa.

The arguments likes of you kin actually pour petrol on the local xenophobia (which I find distasteful).

You are talking like it's your right to partly conquer New Zealand, or hold a stake in it, simply because "Americans already do".

No, it's your privilege, and it's a privilege of the Americans too, and it is soon to be taken away from all of you.

If you want to take Aotearoa, you'll have to do it by force.

Steve-o, sorry to have got

Steve-o, sorry to have got you under the skin (so to speak) but :

1. How have I overplayed this "vassal to America"??

2. I don't want American corporates or Chinese corporates or any other corporates out of this country as long as they contribute to our economic wellbeing

3.I am not pouring petrol on local xenophobia but more to highlight local xenophobia (Which I find not only distasteful but also very disgusting as well)

4. Chill dude, nobody is talking about "conquering" anywhere...see where the xenophobia is at ??

1. You've mentioned it

1. You've mentioned it first.

And I like the fact that you did. It brings me to my point - there is a still subtle but soon-to-escalate cold war between China and USA, and I want NZ to stay out of it as much as possible.

This runs against the belief of the cold war superpowers. In their mindset, you must be a vassal to one or the other. Those who are not with us are against us - they believe.

I beg to disagree. I am even inclined to think that those who think that way hold the interests of their chosen superpower of preference above the interests of their own homeland.

Which is why I question your loyalty to NZ now that you clearly defend the rights of one of the two Pacific superpowers to have its legal entities own land overseas, even though it allows no reciprocal ownership at home.

I consider what I perceive as core strategic interests of New Zealand above a GDP growth point or two - do you? Should not our interest matter to us more than the interests of Americans and Chinese in the Pacific, especially if they are essentially on a warpath against each other?

2. There is nothing to suggest that their ownership of land would contribute anything to "our" economic wellbeing. Maybe to yours, if you are associated with the Natural Dairy purchase, but definitely not to my own. Nor do the American Corporates owning land in NZ benefit me one bit! I could certainly live with them leaving their NZ possessions to the Kiwis.

3. I am not denying the fact that heaps of Kiwis are, indeed, xenophobic and sometimes even racist. But, that is a separate subject altogether. Now, how again does a Chinese corporate entity not being to buy NZ freehold prevent a Chinese immigrant to NZ from doing the same thing?

4. No one is talking about it, but judging by the growing military budgets, sure as hell everyone is PREPARING for it :)

 

I think people are right to

I think people are right to be wary of selling off NZ's farm-land.  Not for xenophobic reasons, but for practical ones.  

All over the world we are seeing natural disaster after natural disaster, causing drought, famine and poverty.  Suggestions are that these are being caused by environmental factors that are set to get worse, not better.

In the future, there is a very real possibility that the basic staples of life, such as food, are going to be difficult to produce in many places around the world.  We're already seeing it!  

Developing nations have enormously growing populations, with rapidly growing middle-classes with ever increasing life-style demands.  Sell them your farmland and ultimately where do you think the produce is going to end up?  

In NZ supermarkets, priced for New Zealanders?  Get real!  The next time there's a food shortage in the country of the "land owner" produce will be shipped off-shore in its entirety!  We already face the reality of most of our "premium" produce disappearing off-shore to wealthier markets.  Do we really want to see more NZ farm produce disappearing off-shore?

Yes, we can get a short-term win by selling off farm-land at massively inflated prices to the Chinese, the people who seem to have more cash than anybody else at the moment.  You think we'll ever be able to buy it back again?  Ha!  Fat chance!  

It would be incredibly short-sighted in my view.  Lease the land, maybe, but permanently selling something as strategically important as rich, food-producing land to a developing country with a booming and hungry population?  Strategic madness.

I understand that perhaps farmers would be a tad cheesed off (excuse the pun) with the above stance, because it would mean that their land prices would have to come back down to a level affordable to New Zealand investors.  Oh well.  

Perhaps a truer measure of "value" would be realised if the conversation were around leasing the farms instead of buying them?  The purchaser then loses the ability to weigh up the long term strategic value of the purchase and has to think of it very much as a "here and now" medium-term investment opportunity.  

As a fundamental principle,

As a fundamental principle, land (in general) should only be available for ownership by the citizens of that country. Land afterall is what defines a country. If you don't have land, you have nothing.

Wars have been fought over land, which is why I find it so abhorent that some are so ready to start selling it off a hectare at a time in exchange for worthless paper (aka fiat money)? It is pure foolishness to take such a short-sighted view, and those that do need to start thinking about future generations and not themselves. Everyone who calls themselves a New Zealander should be fighting for this one.

At the end of the day, economic issues can be easily fixed. Regaining valuable land in the future sold foolishly to foreigners will be much more of a challenge if not impossible.

  "Wars have been fought over

  "Wars have been fought over land"....tell it to King Country Maori  MattS....they decided not to flog any to the pommy migrants and look where it got them...so much for being "British subjects"

Exactly Wally .. its the same

Exactly Wally .. its the same thing except this time the muskets are of a different kind ;-)

So what you are saying MattS

So what you are saying MattS is we need to prevent land being bought by...by whom?...and how?

Land which if we are honest was in many cases stolen from "British Maori" who had been promised the full protection of British Law, by thieving British pollys with the support of corrupt courts and which we today are trying to make amends for any which way we can.

Wally, would be as simple as

Wally, would be as simple as rewriting property ownership laws to restrict ownership to NZ citizens .. take your point about history, something to learn from so we don't repeat the mistakes in the future. Oh, and we need to elect politicians who place principle above popularity... oh what the hell, we're stuffed..

So Wolly, what's your

So Wolly, what's your point?

If injustice and wrong has been done in the past, if the land was stolen from someone, it should be allowed to happen again?

How is a potential Chinese military takeover of NZ justified by what the British have done to the Maori in 19th century?

Would it all be "evened out" if the Maori eventually took over and recolonised parts of China in the 23rd?

Winnie said Maori are originally from Taiwan, after all... I'd get that back and a slice of Fukien on top of that if I were a Maori chief. Gotta get some interest on it after that many centuries eh?

Wolly, why not let the

Wolly, why not let the Chinese first nuke it out with the Yanks. They have far more landmass to produce food on, and are far likely to challenge them way earlier than they ever reach this far down.

The trouble is the (not too many) rest of us likely to remain would have to deal with the fallout, no pun intended.

Clearly you failed to grasp

Clearly you failed to grasp the meaning behind that cartoon in yesterdays 10 at 10...the one with the wee dog on the lead.....

Wolly, the whole purpose of

Wolly, the whole purpose of the ICBMs is that no one holds the lead, except the one who firest them off first. The one with the leash gets to die a much slower and more internal death.

Put the bottle away SO...the

Put the bottle away SO...the sun aint even up to the yard arm let alone over it.

I like your sun metaphor

I like your sun metaphor mate.

Matt once again the

Matt once again the difference in ideology appears ....

We see no wrong in...... not........ exploiting the ground beneath us to its maximum.

They perceive that as a waste of resource earning potential.

Suck it dry Suck it Dry Suck it dry.

Globalisation.......The Silos are infested.

If I was a plumber and I sold

If I was a plumber and I sold my tools what am I. Unemployed and prepared to accept the first job that comes along. The more plumbers that sell their tools the cheaper the cost of hiring plumbers. If I am a farmer and sell my farm what am I. The answers are the same and so is the effect of selling lots of farms at the same time.

The issue here is what’s good for New Zealand and how big might this trend be.

 Let’s say it’s just a few farms, well that’s not a huge problem but if say it ends up with say 25% of our farmers bailing to foreign interests then we have undermined our strategic cash cow and brand. I won’t repeat what’s in the Links that Les has already given above.

 What I will say is having worked and lived in Asia my comments and fears about the Chinese gaining hold of our land is a complement to their strategic intent and ability to execute on a strategy. They could wipe out Fonterra with a lower cost model any time we allow them to do so. Fly into Samoa have a look at the swimming pool in Apia (that eclipses anything here), Their many sports facilities, have a look at the new government buildings. All built with foreign aid, from China using Chinese labour and materials. Repeat that model with dairy production capability and low interest rates and Fonterra is history and frankly so is the New Zealand Dairy Brand.

 China can take all our production and so for them it’s just vertical integration to buy land, employee cheap labour (us Kiwi Indians) and transport the commodities back to China with no marketing required. It’s not rocket science Bernard. They are looking to the future and securing all the production of food water and energy they can get. They have spent 36 billion in Australia since 2005 doing just this. Buy it now and the price is largely fixed. Leave it for ten years and it could be a very different answer.  

 The issue is are we as a country happy to be a cheap labour force for those that have more capital than us right now. I’m not and have expressed that often.  The second issue is private property rights and that’s really testing our resolve for economic sovereignty.

All over the world countries protect their land for this reason and China and Samoa are but two examples.  Let them come and let them lease our land. I have no issue with that. Ownership is a completely different issue.  

spot on selwyn. leasing is

spot on selwyn. leasing is fine. ownership is a slippery slope

No, leasing isn't the answer,

No, leasing isn't the answer, see paragraph above starting, "What I will say is having worked and lived in Asia ...."

The answer is for NZ to recognise our context and that we have similar economic vulnerability to that of a developing nation and behave, legislate and develop our economy accordingly. In the latter case that means broadening the export mix, so that while dairy, ag. plays a strong part, it doesn't have the criticality it has had to shoulder.

As for the personal property rights argument, is it smart for the body to allow the backbone* to sell off it's vertebrae one by one? (Think context, think whole system, think about that paragraph I referred in Selwyn's comment above.)

Recent NZ gubmints seem to have no spine, but should we be content with them hollowing out the spine of the nation - the real economy?

Think context and (nevemind myopia) forget the BLINDNESS associated with the dogmatic, unthinking, lazy faith in the orthordoxies, of left, or right.

Forget cricket, no one else is playing that game.

Cheers, Les.

* noting that dairy ag. is the backbone of our fair land ....

Egomaniacal spammer begone.

Egomaniacal spammer begone.

Come the 15th September if

Come the 15th September if you ain't registered, you most certainly will be gone. Not before time.

well said..!!

well said..!!

Selwyn Many thanks for the

Selwyn

Many thanks for the thoughts. Interesting idea on leasing.

I'm actually open to the idea of such controls on foreign ownership of New Zealand assets.

I'm just saying we should be consistent and include other assets besides land in any review.

Thinking aloud, I'm having my own doubts about the unfettered and violent movements of capital across borders in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis, which I think has hammered the idea that global multi-national capitalism works all the time for everyone.

cheers

Bernard

Bernard - you say, we should

Bernard - you say, we should be consistent and include other assets besides land in any review.

Why?

What assumptions are you making about being consistent, across asset classes?

Cheers, Les.

To clarify, I made this

To clarify, I made this comment because the kind of consistency usually associated with the idealogical invariably means having to deal with the BLIND SPOTS and BLINDNESS associated with idealogical  dogma, rather than just dealing with a little myopia.  

Your need to get the cold

Your need to get the cold steel up these foreign land grabbers while you have the chance

True enuff WC ........ it's

True enuff WC ........ it's the very words Maori spoke when the first boatload of Poms arrived!

No Wolly, if they fully did

No Wolly, if they fully did there would not be much of a Waitangi Treaty to legitimise the Crown's conquest.

The same goes with the Native North Americans and their humanitarian follies, eg. the Thanksgiving day events.

Does not compoot SO...please

Does not compoot SO...please to try again!

Yep sorry bernard i think

Yep sorry bernard i think your position here is a bit idealistic. re china, until we can buy land over there, until they respect international IP rules, and until they stop exporting P to the gangs here i would rather err on the side of isolationist poverty .

let's not forget that  the near-slave wages they permit and the lack of environmental regulation  has done real harm to our manufacturing base too.

Im with andyh, unfortunately

Im with andyh, unfortunately the Brits never taught the Chinese how to play Cricket. Fair play is a strange western practice. 

 The Chinese are now such large buyers of  Milk that if they stop buying they will collapse the price and then start buying farmland. Then they wait for the next collapse. If people were too greedy and  too dumb to look at the returns then they take uninformed risks, they lose. Banks too deserve to lose. It will be a very different country with large foriegn corporates as the major producers.

 "Fair play is a strange

 "Fair play is a strange western practice.".....oh very strange indeed AJ...especially for the British in Noddy a hundred years ago when an Englishman caught sight of a Chinaman in Wellington and blew the Chinaman's brains out with a shot from a pistol...punnishment...not even a telling off! Read your history AJ. 

Yep, fair comment Wolly!  As

Yep, fair comment Wolly!  As a Britisher myself I can only acknowledge that historically we didn't build an empire by adopting a strategy of "fair play" - it was generally far easier to send in the gunboats.

On the principle of "it takes a thief to catch a thief", I'm telling you that it's madness to sell your farmland to the Chinese - or any developing, hungry nation!  Lease it, lease it.... 

Thank you Mozart! Finally

Thank you Mozart! Finally someone with some common sense.

It takes a thug and a thief to spot a co-worker straight away.

Please listen to the wisdom of the British, Interest.co.nz dudes and dudettes.

Your right about the history

Your right about the history lesson Wally..... but the man that comes to you now is not looking for a new home and a better life....... a different class of individual (if you like) had his head shot off.

We are all capable of brutal indifference regardless of race........ it often comes with money and power.

Money and power....quite

Money and power....quite right....so start with the Mandarin lessons because Noddyland is turning toward Asia for the next 100 years. Expect to see a visit to wgtn by the Chinese naval forces within the next decade. By 2020 many farmers will be bashing through the bush in Great Wall 4wds...the flood of tourists from Beijing alone will swamp all other groups. And we have people screaming out "don't sell don't sell"...what a bleeding joke.

I appreciate your reply

I appreciate your reply Wally.......... my Mandarin is good enough to get by on........ I am not screaming and reserve bold type for the visually impaired.

My concern is one of being marginalised by Other money interests that.... quite simply put.... have the power to change the rules once having entered the game ....as stands as a matter of history in our own case. 

I find ambiguity in your reply's thus far.......is it resignation...?

I meant what I said ...we are all capable of brutal indifference but more often than not as a result of money and power.

I'll be comfortable with being wrong.........I been wrong before.......... and survived it.

Not to forget how we got our

Not to forget how we got our hands on Aoteroa !!

No argument there

No argument there Anonimers..... but we have still failed to correct the history books in the most obvious ways.

Capt'n Cook discovered Australia in....................the f#%k he did

Capt'n Cook discovered New Zealand in.....................the f*%k he did

Brutality..confiscation....assimilation were all as a result of Money Power Control Greed.

No race holds the monopoly on those...........it's a human condition.

"Fair play is a strange

"Fair play is a strange Western practice" - one conveniently abandoned whenever dealing with a proper Easterner!

I simply cannot believe the

I simply cannot believe the xenophobic and insular attitudes displayed here.  If this is symptomatic of wider NZ then shame on us.  I guess it comes from living in remote islands at the bottom of the world.

Where did your ancestors come from?  FOREIGN LANDS.   How was NZ developed? FOREIGN INVESTMENT.  How do we get to enjoy today's lifestyle?  FOREIGN CAPITAL.  Have you any objection to Dutch immigrants buying farmland here?  Or English immigrants?  Why single out Chinese?  IT'S RACISM!  Pure and simple racism.  I worked with a lovely lady in an office in NZ,  she was 4th generation NZer but of Chinese descent.  She was as kiwi as the rest of us but the racism displayed towards her was a disgrace.  What is being displayed on this blog site is no different.

We should welome foreign buyers of our farmland.  They will bring capital,  innovation,  new ideas and greater opportunities for trade.  They will spend and employ locally.  We are a trading nation, and foreign investment enhances all our lifestyles.  Don't forget also that we New Zealanders also spend and invest overseas (oh the shame of it). 

God forbid in a generation or two we might even call them New Zealanders.  I am disgusted by Bouchier and his fellow travellers.

We should welcome investment in our

You're wrong Heathcliff, it's

You're wrong Heathcliff, it's not racism.  And I think you're missing your own point.  Yes, NZ has been developed by people and investment from foreign shores.  You talk about Dutch and English immigrants - that's the key!  

Those people, those immigrants and their descendants are still living here as Kiwi's, New Zealanders with a vested interest in improving this country.  They poured their lives and money into the soil of this country to reap rewards that benefit us all.  Immigrants still do.

The objection is to having this strategically important asset owned by faceless, off-shore investors with NO vested interest in New Zealand as a country.  That's not racism.

"The objection is to having

"The objection is to having this strategically important asset owned by faceless, off-shore investors with NO vested interest in New Zealand as a country"

So ownership of banking, retail and a bit chuck of manufacturing is not an important asset? They are all primarily owned by Oz for the purpose of profit.

This is a great debate, and has a hit a big nerve across NZ. Bernard, well done for addressing the real issue, the fact we spend more than we earn and to maintain the kiwi lifestyle assets will need to be sold. Something JK has real difficulty spitting out.

Hell, it might generate more comments than property prices...and attract comments from kiwis and not jaffas.

The retail sector is

The retail sector is completely expendable (it's just a middleman), banking can easily be returned, and the loss of manufacturing, while regrettable, can be corrected too, just let the protectionist feelings become fashionable again and give it some time.

Unlike land (or water), none of the above are of strategic importance.

Talking about disposable, what strikes me as the best disposed of is the current, turn of the 21st century "Kiwi lifestyle".

It all began with the property bubble. Just relegate the property bubble to history, and the Kiwi lifestyle will adjust to compensate.

There was nothing wrong with the 1960s lifestyle.
 

I agree Mozart. Has

I agree Mozart.

Has Heathcliff not grown up watching the old movies on how the west was won in America - the indian landholders killed and displaced for-ever.

Read about Australia's aboriginals or at home studied the Maori.

This has nothing to do with "Chinese" per say, as all countries particularly England, the Dutch and France, have a long history  of displacing the locals and managing it's resources to there own end.

Personally, I'm a little old fashioned I think if we are going to give away the family silverware, then it should be done through marriage.

You talk about Dutch and

You talk about Dutch and English immigrants - that's the key!  No this is not racism...those guys are white but THESE GUYS ARE YELLOW !!

Those people, those immigrants and their descendants are still living here as Kiwi's, Yes and no Chinese has ever immigrated to New Zealand and they never had any children and descendants either !! How that with cleaning out a whole chunk of NZ history !! But IT's NOT RACISM !!  

Kin, the Chinese corporates

Kin, the Chinese corporates are not immigrants.

They are corporates.

As far as I am concerned, the Chinese immigrants are still welcome to FH land. By moving here, they decide to become Kiwis too some day, hopefully.

The Chinese corporates aren't. And they have no intention of ever becoming Kiwi.

It's as simple as that really.

steve-o, how do you know that

steve-o, how do you know that the chinese who are working for those "corporates" will not be or are immigrants?? I personally know a few of them and they ARE immigrants, infact one is local born chinese kiwi !!

I suppose your principle appy to OZ and US as well ?? Or only to non-white people ??

The principle applies to

The principle applies to everyone - you suppose correctly. Yanks and Aussies included.

If the Chinese working for those corporates feel the need to invest in NZ, let them come here as business migrants/permanent residents, and let them buy the farmland then - as future Kiwis.

Or, if they are already immigrants that have arrived here, why don't they open a NZ company and then purchase the land?

The only trick is - the land must then be registered under their names, not under the name of some mainland or HK corporation.

Kin, I think you misplaced

Kin, I think you misplaced the emphasis in the text that I posted.  The emphasis was intended to be placed on the word immigrants.  Doesn't matter where they're from - I was using the examples of the Dutch and English because they are who Heathcliff referred to.

An asset as critically important as NZ's food producing land should be available only to Kiwi investors.  Those Kiwi investors can be black, white, brown, yellow, pink, grey or an unhealthy shade of green for all I care, so Kin please stop getting your knickers in a twist about race, it's irrelevant.  

If you are not a Kiwi investor, you shouldn't be able to buy up swathes of food producing farmland.  It's obvious that food is going to become a critical commodity in the future, why would we sell it now?

I should also point out that unlike many other countries in the world, NZ is somewhat isolated and remote.  If we give away all our food, it will be VERY VERY difficult to source it from elsewhere if we start experiencing global food shortages.

 "..The objection is to

 "..The objection is to having this strategically important asset owned by faceless, off-shore investors with NO vested interest in New Zealand as a country.  That's not racism."..

  • Why are farms strategically important Mozart?
  • Your 'Cullen fund' future pension is dependent on the very same ownership of property in other countries.
  • What is not strategically important Mozart?

Wolly you can be so full of

Wolly you can be so full of it.

Farms are important as they grow food.

You don't need a Made in China mobile phone to survive. You do need the food.

You can make people do nutty, oftentimes extremely humiliating things by taking away their food.

At the end of WW2, many Germans wifes found that they needed to sell their "favours" to the US soldiers in return for their families being fed, for instance.

The Cullen fund probably does not hold more than 1% of equity in foreign FH land, and could easily afford for any foreign land purchases to be LH only. I reckon that's a good model for foreign eg. Chinese corporate purchases here, too.

Anything that you don't absolutely rely on to survive is not strategically important. So, anything that is not providing food, shelter, water, energy or essential medical supplies is strategically unimportant.

Not much has changed there in the last 5000 years of civilisation.

steve-o, this is the point we

steve-o, this is the point we are talking and should be talking about ....

"At the end of WW2, many Germans wifes found that they needed to sell their "favours" to the US soldiers in return for their families being fed, for instance."....

When you run out of money (which we did !! and owe much more by the way ) we have to sell our assets to meet our debt....much like German wifes selling whatever they have to feed themselves and their families.

We should be debating how we should avoid getting into this debt hole instead of talking about who we should be selling or repaying our debt to !! (Not that we would have much choice in this matter, after all do you really see what ethnic group your banker belongs to ?)

Kin, I am afraid for you

Kin, I am afraid for you chinese that Kiwis have not nearly run out of funny money yet. Not as a whole. And definitely not individually.

All we have is heaps of private debt, some of it difficult to repay. And the private debtors that need to fail must be allowed to fail. The rest will survive anyway and need not sell their bodies etc.

This debt is mainly to the Australian bankers, whose ethnic group - or pesonal wellbeing - I don't care much about.

All that has been lost to rampant property bubbles can be replaced by freshly printed money, including the NZ denominated foreign borrowings.

The trick is that then there's a good chance the bottom would fall of the Kiwi dollar (something it takes the Chinese heaps of effort with the RMB) and there'd be a major change in lifestyle to quite a few here in NZ.

But, on the upside, that would immediately bring our living standards back in line with our means. No need for us or our spouses to sell anything that should never be up for sale.

And that beats foreign controlled entities that can be usurped by their national armies at any given point of their "national convenience" own your land freehold.

After all, your Chinese land can't be purchased by the New Zealanders, so why do you expect anything better in return?

Spot on Mozart.  This is not

Spot on Mozart.  This is not an issue of racism but one of sovereignty over our productive sector. This was an issue well before the Crafar farms became the news.  

If you are not settling down

If you are not settling down here, you don't get to freely hold the land.

The chinese corporations can't and won't settle here. The american ones should "benefit" from the same rules.

Leasehold only.

  Get a grip of yourself

 

Get a grip of yourself Heathcliff, maybe go and have a liedown

They could be any colour to me, doesn't make any difference to the main argument, in this country no land = no income.

 

Do you feel that passionately about China not allowing ANY foreign owners of their land?

You've totally missed

You've totally missed Bernard's point that other NZ income producing assets wind up in foreign ownership , such as Fisher&Paykel , yet there is no out-cry to keep them in NZ ownership .

You guys ex-NZ First voters ?

Warren Buffett uses a couple

Warren Buffett uses a couple of good analogies..

One is about slowly selling off the silverware, in order to maintain a standard of living beyond ones income.

The other one is about a family who slowly sells off little chunks of their land... to maintain their standard of living.

Over the long term ... the outcome is obvious.

A really good example of what happens when assets become foriegn owned.. is the Banking system.

Just before the Global crises , our major banks were repatriating about $4 billion dollars of profits per yr... back to Austrailia.

That was a major reason for our terrible Current acct deficits... which had to be financed with borrowed money. (Also, the interest that we pay on all the money we have borrowed from offshore sources..... ends up offshore as well ) 

Think of money flowing around and around... moving thru the local, domestic economy,...... Paid as wages... spent by consumers... put to work by businesses... paid as wages...etc..etc   ( think of it as re-oxygenated blood flowing around and around the body ( domestic economy) .. )

( What happens, if instead of this,billions of $ go offshore, as repatriated profits.?? ).. 

A beneficial, benevolent, "velocity of Money"  movement that is like "fresh oxygen".

Contrast that with Foreign direct investment... that obviously wants to buy our best income generating assets...  What do they do with their profits..????   Who benifits..?? who doesn,t..?? ( the way it is now, foreign investment is like a quick heroin fix which feels good in the short term, but leads to a lose of vitality in the long term.)

Foriegn direct Investment makes sense if the investment is towards something "new" that creates "New employment",..  and a "New Income stream", and new "wealth".

It makes NO SENSE, to me, to have allowed Foreign Direct Investment that simply buys our best assets and repatriates earnings....  ( that is akin to trading land for trinkets ).

That, truely is, selling the "family silverware".

There is nothing xenophobic or racist in the fact that most people intuitively know all this already.

Of course...   just my opinion.   cheers  Roelof

 "Unfortunately, the

 "Unfortunately, the campaign's proposal to immediately block the sale of Crafar Farms to foreign interests and urgently review the Overseas Investment Act is myopic and xenophobic." "

It's a pity Bernard doesn't think more deeply instead of so facilely tossing around the word xenophobic. He deals too much in cliches within a restricted ideology which ignores far greater realities, and I mean realities.

This isn't just a question of foreign ownership. China is on the march in the Pacific. Does Hickey not know that the Australians consider it is going to be a military threat to them within 10 to 20 years?

Any Chinese owned company operates only so long as the repressive and totalitarian Chinese government allows it to. Communist China can move in and appropriate land sold ostensibly to Chinese business interests any time it wants to. It would then own actual New Zealand territory.

China's practice historically has been to establish an economic base in the country, then to start interfering politically, and finally militarily. We need better thinking from you and others like you, Mr Hickey.

Above all, apart from wanting to oust American interests in the Pacific, Communist China wants an excuse to claim some ownership of Antarctica. Owning New Zealand land (if the Chinese government takes over any such company, as it can) then gives China an excuse to argue for a right (based on its then part ownership of New Zealand) for a foothold into Antarctica.

Underinformed commentators do a great deal of damage. Read up your history. Mr. Hickey. How long should we wait while Bill English is dithering?

Amy, to be fair to Mr Hickey,

Amy, to be fair to Mr Hickey, there is a very real danger that this debate could become xenophobic and it is CRITICAL that it doesn't go down that road.

It's simply not necessary and will only serve to undermine the arguments against selling strategic NZ assets to foreign investors.  

Bernard is right to warn against this turning into some sort of "racist, anti-chinese" rant - it absolutely shouldn't and quite simply doesn't need to adopt this tone.

Agreed

Agreed Mozart..............but I think Bernard could have chosen his words with a little more deliberation...prior to publishing.

agreed.. a more

agreed.. a more constitutional or principles based discussion would have been a better approach on this,.

From their website...
Nationality of the buyers:
United States 60
Mixture of countries 61
United Kingdom 36
Australia 24
Asian countries 9
Others 45

Approved for sale:
Gross land area (ha) 198,444

198,444 ha's? Jeez, that's

198,444 ha's? Jeez, that's almost 2,000 km2... 80% of the size of Luxembourg...

NZ ain't Siberia, can't keep selling it off at that rate...

This debate reminds me of

This debate reminds me of some kind of goose getting killed for laying golden eggs. Oh wait, we are talking about dairy farms here, not geese, how silly of me!

I think it unfortunate

I think it unfortunate Bernard that you played the race card so prominently in this piece.... it does not make a good bed for reasoned debate.

Why not include a detailed report of the Chinese Governments ideology and objectives where Foreign business interests are concerned.

The moment anyone here proffers a negative to the sale someone is pulling the race card.

I have a number of N.Z. Chinese friends and associates and their not bloody happy either so what does that make them .....?

Uncle Tom's.....?

Past governments were stupid

Past governments were stupid to fight for for free trade and allow globalization of product manufacture with the out comes being the decimation of our own manufacturing industries and current trade deficit - you could probably argue that Australian own banks owned most of this country, but nobody talks about this.

Again there are large problems for us if we sell the land under our feet, I mean, what if another country brought in their cheap work force to live and work on the land undercutting local manufacture further.  Also, with the risks with damaging our national brand image by a foreign entity make milking powder here and adding Malamin to boost the protein content.

Ever been to China Amy? Go to

Ever been to China Amy? Go to China Daily .com and read. Then compare with the stuff you read in NZ papers.

You think the USA totalatarian democracy is somehow better than the Chinese one party democracy. Democracy within the party that is. I know which one I prefer.

Actually, I would be equally

Actually, I would be equally worried about the US likes of Montsanto taking over the Kiwi farms and agricultural IPs. They're no less sociopathic than the PLA and PP leadership.

Do away with all foreign corporate ownership of freehold NZ land I reckon.

Not necessarily

Not necessarily Am............ I just know I'd prefer not to enjoy your politics imposed upon me and to continue to Google away uninterrupted.

As someone of Dutch descent ,

As someone of Dutch descent , I dont believe anyone who takes up farming in New Zealand should be prevented from buying a farm . Its unfair . We second generation Immigrants have I beleive contributed to what New Zealand is today . My neighbour is a Kiwi of Asian descent alsoi second generation , and he grows vegetables whch he sells up in Auckland . He is always willing to lend a hand and he is just as hard working as any other Kiwi .

A Chinese corporate is not

A Chinese corporate is not "anyone".

It is no one.

It is a legal entity, not a person.

It has no moral responsibility toward anyone. Especially not toward the people of New Zealand.

If it eventually kills a few Chinese babies selling poisoned NZ milk, a few of its excecutives will be lined up and shot, but a few years later, the corporate is free to pollute again, this time with the new execs on board.

Until they get caught again, that is. And so the cycle repeats.

Actually Kiwis are not

Actually Kiwis are not hardworking. Just go lookup the stats and you can see mostly Kiwis not working and on benefits. My observation is that migrants generally have better work ethics and willing to work long hours for low pay especially those from developing countries.

But on the other hand if you check the demographics of our prisons you get to see very hardworking Kiwis of a different sort.

Which part of a foreign

Which part of a foreign corporation constitutes a human immigrant?

Deadly viruses and bacteria are pretty hardworking too. Death occurs when they are more hard-working that the host's immune system.

"Chinese one party

"Chinese one party democracy"

LOL! I lived in China for 7 years. If you think having to register where you live with the Police (even the local Chinese have to) is somehow better than the freedoms we have in our society then you are sadly mistaken.

Over here you've got Facebook

Over here you've got Facebook to conveniently register your movement with the US authorities for you.

I was unaware that Facebook

I was unaware that Facebook had become compulsory.

Idiots consider it

Idiots consider it compulsory.

US intelligence merely considers it far more convenient than the traditional methods of public data mining and surveillence.

Micks,   your have to

Micks,

 

your have to register at the police your whereabouts (living address) in Europe as well. At least in Germany and Austria it is so. I am sure in switzerland as well. This is for administrative purpose. (Taxes, benefits, car registration, voting right etc). I could not believe when I came to New Zealand, that people here move about  and change homes and nobody can find them if they owe money to somebody (the landlord quite frequently),  or have had an accident and committed flight from the scene etc. As I understand it here in NZ people try to find out the whereabouts of a person by checking the phone register, but if somebody wants to escape, he does not register his name with the phone company.

So often I hear the cry of

So often I hear the cry of 'all the dividends go offshore' when talking of foreign investment here.  So what?  Shouldn't foreign investors be allowed a return on their capital?

Let's take a simple example.  I sell my farm  to an overseas investor for NZD2 million.  The farm had provided me with a 2% return every year, or $40k.  Now this $2m has allowed me to repay all my debt and invest here, and my average return on the capital is now 7%pa, or $140k.  There is now an extra $100k sloshing around  NZ which is employing people who make the things I buy etc.  Not just this year,  but every year.

For those who cry that 'dividends go offshore'  they forget the benefit of the return on the capital that came here in the first place.

Heres your problem

Heres your problem Heathcliff......You actually paid $2.7m for the farm with $400k equity so the $2m went back to aussie to prop up some other dodgy loans.The bank are still chasing you for the other $300k but they will miss out there cos you are broke.You may get a job as a labourer on the foreign owned farm but you are probably too old and wont work long hours for $12/hr.

However if you had gone" broke" and sold to  a young NZ farmer who has more ability and drive than you for say $1.5m then he would have manageable debt levels.he/she may even have some spare income to develop the farm(betterpastures/drainage etc)  which would be a lot better for NZ INC.(you still wouldnt have a job cos u are not that good anyway but someone else might!)

You may get some work relief milking or go and try your hand at selling realestate.

Heathcliff, let's imagine

Heathcliff, let's imagine that you don't simply receive 2 million bucks for your farm.  Let's say you receive a BILLION dollars!  And let's say that every other farm owner in NZ is offered a BILLION dollars too!  

Wow!  Clearly, no NZ investor is going to be able to afford to pay what these farms are now clearly "worth", so you all flick them off to this wealthy foreign investor based in, I don't know, let's say "Atlantis" to ensure that nobody starts getting all upset about race.

However, "Atlantis" only grows enough food for two thirds of their enormous population, and they're having a fairly rough time of it with alternating floods, drought, pestilence and pollution.  They're also got a growing middle class demanding luxury goods and foods regardless.

So "Atlantis" decides, amongst other measures, to ship all produce from their NZ based farms straight to their own shores.  Not only do they help solve a domestic issue, but they get a better return because it is deemed to be "premium" produce.

In the meantime, all the billionaire farmers in NZ have been having a high old time.  They've invested some of their money in property, driving prices up again.  They've invested some of their money in the banks, making Australians happy.  And they've invested the rest off-shore because there's not really much else in NZ any more to invest in.  They did try and buy some land and property in Atlantis because that's where the action seems to be, but Atlantis have laws making that kind of thing difficult, so they don't bother.  They buy some cool off-roaders instead, a few jet-ski's, build a life-style property and go fishing.  Sure, some of that money gets spread around and makes some people happy.

Then they go to the local supermarket one weekend and find that the shelves are empty.  When they manage to find a shop that will sell them some food, they discover that it's mostly local, homegrown, strictly seasonal and PHENOMENALLY expensive.  Some stuff has been imported, but that's even more expensive, because India has stopped exporting rice, Russia has stopped exporting grain, Europe is using everything it grows etc, etc...  Not everybody can afford food and there's not enough for everybody anyway.  

You watch the news and realise that this could well be a long term trend.  Oh crap.  What we really need, you decide, is some sustainability, some redundancy, our own farms.

Of course, if NZ farms were locally owned under such circumstances, these farms would absolutely cream it, flogging their premium and excess produce to the Atlantans and others in their time of need.  Local supplies might be second rate (actually, no change there...) but at least there still would BE local supplies!

See what I mean?  Maybe I should get a sandwich board and run around shouting "The end is nigh!"

Mozart Your hypothesis is

Mozart Your hypothesis is nonsense. Billion. Why not say a trillion?  Or zero.  When doing "what if" scenarios the  results only have relevance if the "what" has even a remote possibility of occurring.  However, I do enjoy some of your much earlier compositions, you would do well to stick with music.

I am so glad you like my

I am so glad you like my music Vera.  I am interested to hear that you don't consider that there is even a "remote" chance of food shortages occurring globally however?

Do you not watch the world-wide news?  Food shortages are occurring everywhere.  Natural disasters are occurring at an unprecedented rate.  Global warming and ridiculous levels of pollution are a reality.  Booming populations in developing countries are well documented.  

I would say that my comments were more an extrapolation of current events and trends, rather than some sort of blind hypothesis.  

Thank you, thank you.  I've registered now, and I'll be here all week.

Mick And the NZ police dont

Mick

And the NZ police dont know where you live? No need to register here. They already know.

Yeah, just shows that the

Yeah, just shows that the Chinese cops need better IT systems in place.

Sell them an IP perchance?

What a load of whinging!..The

What a load of whinging!..The Chinese that are here, are kiwis now.. they dont want to be a defacto province of China anymore than anyone else.

  Lets be totally clear the "a..holes".. that stuffed this country up are still stuffing it up..They screwed the working class and now they are screwing the middle class.

  The day we realise we have it all..and dont need anyone else will be the day..that the shops open again and the place gets a long needed coat of paint.

the discussion isn't about

the discussion isn't about Immigrants and immigration... its' about Foreign direct investment..   There is a BIG difference.

That major point of

That major point of difference is definitely still very murky to the local xenophobes and their intellectual buddies on the Chinese side.

Globalisation...........gee

Globalisation...........gee it's been great...! everything's Dandy.....pretty soon you'll be getting your number..... Rat-23698456356789901 and you will no longer have to concern yourself with all this s*$t.

In some ways I be cheering at the end.........thank..(insert your belief).... at last some perspective. 

Heathcliff....   Not sure if

Heathcliff....   Not sure if your argument applies to the Macro level.

On the Macro level... u are describing what is happening.... but not as u meant it.

We ( NZ) are selling bits of the Farm.. We are getting good $ for those bits of the Farm...  BUT  we are not reinvesting this Capital and getting high returns.

On a Macro level ...we are actually consuming that Capital...   We are spending it.

Can u see that on a Macro level.... ???? 

Can u see the long term implications of that..????

Are u saying that $4 billion of invisibles... going offshore, every yr... is fine, with no long term implications..????

Are u saying that Current acct deficits are not a problem... with long term implications..???

cheers  Roelof

This is argument is for me

This is argument is for me totally about economic sovereignty.

 

Sell and you progressively lose it.

Don’t sell and hope that there is a better future for your goods than there is today.

For those who keep talking about Chinese immigrants, that is not the argument. If Jimmy Ho comes to New Zealand, buys a farm and works it and competes on the same basis as every other farmer here they are very welcome. That’s immigration and I am all for it.

What we are actually arguing against is the faceless investor that does not live here and has no intention of competing on equal terms. Lets drop the former argument as null and void PLEASE as it has no place in this discussion..   

Good points, but if you are

Good points, but if you are going to talk about 'economic sovereignty' I would ask why we need to borrow money from overseas countries to fund our countries lifestyle of debt.

If we wanted economic sovereignty then we would simply print our own money.

Give it a few years and we

Give it a few years and we (again) will.

  BH: "Why is rural land

 

BH: "Why is rural land more precious than say the intellectual capital of our iconic manufacturer…"

Because you can't eat dishwashers and fridges, but you can grow your own food on your own land. (If it does belong to you and not someone else who has more mouths to feed than their land can provide for!)

Of course we should have this debate in broad public to make more people think about this in depth, but the essence is expressed above, and any other arguments are really a sideshow to that fact.

For the record, I have given my support to this campaign to stop sales of land to overseas owners.

  While the debate should be

  While the debate should be had as to who can own land in New Zealand I have to say that the present debate on farmland is unbalance and for those promoting demonstrates their ignorance of the present situation on farm ownership and how the present prices reflect the willing seller, willing buyer market reality.

As one who has been involved in the industry and also have considerable experience in business including agri business land prices in recent times do not reflect the return that the land is only capable of .

This protest also  demonstrates that a number of people who have attached their names to this campaign are have little or no experience in agriculture or if they do may have some sort of lifestyle block does not give them credibility that they can speak or comment on that sector.  Others who proclaim to be business people ,developers etc should consider their real motives.They should stick to their day jobs.

In reality and looking very objectively at this campaign these people are niave.

The present price for farmland has been driven by market forces and willing lenders,(overseas owned banks) who got caught in the past excesses of drunken stupor of having huge sums of money to lend without considering real risk.

The reality is that foriegn  owners can not take the land out of NZ ,those that work the land have to do so in NZ and those people then spend those hard earned funds in NZ

Any products produced and subsequently exported first have to pay the for the resourses to produce them.

There are also other issues that come into this debate. The Harvard Pension Fund has the rights to our largest forest and at present are paid in excess of $1million per week for carbon credits from the taxpayer of New Zealand .What contribution does that make us .no product produced, no added value ,no inovation ,no workers, just loss of our wealth .

Come on guys wake and smell the roses are are you on something else!

Perhaps some examples of the

Perhaps some examples of the benefits of selling off your prime land and number one export industry to foreign based entities would be in order. All those countries that have done this must be in the box seat now, right?

Come off  it, going down this road would be an indication of total national failure that would play on our collective psyche for generations. I would rather starve than see my children become slaves in their own country. 

Why foreign ownership is a

Why foreign ownership is a bad thing?

Because the interest of offshore investors rarely aligns with the overall national interest.

It sends wealth offshore, robbing us of the potential earning while creating a fiscal shortfall. And in some cases, deprives us of our limited resources and increases our pollution in the process.

The lost of fiscal dominance and control over our own local market leads to growing offshore political influence.

Foreign owners have more avenues when it comes to reducing their tax obligations.

This "Save Our Farms" group

This "Save Our Farms" group has come out the same time Kiwi/Iwi sensationalist billboards have come out.  It's fair to say there are plenty of cashed up-with-media-backing white NZers who want it the old way.  Which is wrong.  With those types financing these things it's hard to avoid the idea of xenophobia.

Meanwhile, the selling of strategic assets should be considered first for the betterment of NZ. Bill Roulston has a few good agruments such as creating jobs, but it would be like gold minings, boom bust, with welfare to pick up the pieces.

 

Bernard: Food exports will

Bernard:

Food exports will increasingly become a strategic asset for New Zealanders.  A great deal of discussion needs to be had in this country before Crafar, or any other property is sold to non-resident foreign interests.

Anonymous (1.13pm) You just

Anonymous (1.13pm)

You just don't get it, do you.  See my post at 11.58am.  The capital being introduced provides income for the NZ holder this year next year so on and so forth. The capital hasn't vanished into thin air!  The choice of its use rightly remains with the holder,  nothing unusual there.

All this nonsense about non-alignment of national interests,  off-shore political influence,  reducing tax obligations, give me a break!  Evidence please.  That's just a smokescreen for your xenophobia.

  Evidence that he is

 

Evidence that he is xenophobic, please?

As usual, you have none but your silly speculations.

The capital can vanish into thin air the same way it is produced in the first place. But there are plenty of other ways too.

Asset value meltdown, and the bad debt explosion, is just one more option. To max out the Ponzi and crank up the subsequent meltdown, add a few foreign companies to the bubble preceding it!

wrong again heathcliff....re

wrong again heathcliff....re read your 11.58 post

the capital introduced bails out the aussie banks..no more than that

Heathcliff Using your

Heathcliff

Using your earlier example.

Yes, the initial foreign investment is a boost to the local economy. And if invested wisely, has the potential to generate further returns. However, on the flipside, we now have the loss of resources, a pollution source, but no earnings from the farm - or the potential to grow that return.

Moreover, the process also drives up the cost of land, pricing more locals out of the game.

Furthermore, there is no guarantee, once sold, the money for the farm will be reinvested onshore and continue to help stimulate the local economy.

One only has to look at our past mistakes; some of our most lucrative sectors have fallen into foreign hands with the results having a negative effect on our balance of payments.

Re: non-alignment of national interests, offshore political influence, reducing tax obligations.

You want evidence? Take a closer look at our banking sector.

At the end of the day, foreign investors are just like any other investor, they are seeking a return on their investment - and that return becomes detrimental to the long-term wellbeing of our economy.

One of the reasons the country is in such a poor fiscal state is due to our past mistake of selling our wealth generating assets.

We need to learn from past mistakes - not add to them.

The only issue left to debate

The only issue left to debate is the physical ownership of NZ rural  land.  Asian ownership of NZ primary production and corporates,  including rural supply companies, NZ consumer debt etc is an established reality and apparently acceptable. As is NZrs owning dairy farmland in Uruguy , USA etc. So no objection per see to farmland being acquired by 'foreigners', apparently.    

American Julian Robertsons, English artistocrats, Canadian forestry companies etc can all buy rural land here without too much hullabaloo so this is, distilled to its essence, all about Chinese interests physically owning NZ land. 

What differences would we notice if Crafars is bought by the Chinese?. Probably none. Laws and operational rules enforced by relevant authorities would be just as applicable. Some downstream production might be offshored but most would stay here due to the nature of dairy and all inputs including labour would continue to be local. 

Suggest it is more about a fundamental distrust of the Chinese regime -  not entirely without reason given their aggressive behaviour elsewhere, especially once they achieve critical investment mass. But NZ is not some corrupt uncontrolled African state and we are talking about a relatively small chunk of NZs dairy land. Are we not losing perspective?. Why not let them invest in selected blocks and watch them for a few years to see how they act. Rather than in a knee jerk reaction stamping our puny little feet on the toes of this superpower. 

Question: Why do corporates

Question:

Why do corporates (overseas, here or in Uruguay) ever need to buy instead of leasehold, if all they are trying to do is add value?

Best case scenaro answer:

Adding value is not what they are primarily after. Land value speculation, on the other hand, is. Why bother making a dangerous bubble bigger by letting the corporates in? Why can't they simply lease it and then collect the profits?

Worst case scenario answer:

Chinese corporates buy FH NZ land. Then they get legally taken over by the People's Army. The People's Army owns the FH to NZ land then. To make the matters worse, another cold war starts. Try getting your land back then, suckers!

Hmmm... seems to me that most

Hmmm... seems to me that most of all of you so far in this thread would be in favour of the Government owning all the land.... given how "strategic" it is and all...

That'll work... state sponsored socialism anyone??

Meantime, while you are all so focused on beating off the 'yellow peril' German's keep turning up and writing cheques for New Zealand property...  does that worry anyone?

I'm not calling it either way...  

 

I respectfully distance

I respectfully distance myself from the idea of government ownership of any portion of NZ land being compulsory.

To me the government, and its motivation, should always be mistrusted almost as much as all corporations should always be.

Don M Wrong again.  Who said

Don M

Wrong again.  Who said anything about bailing out Aussie banks?  Stop making assumptions.  Even if that was the case,  the reduction in bank indebtedness would mean another borrower would have access to bank lending without your 'Aussie bank' having to borrow more from overseas!

Duh.

I agree with Don, a failure

I agree with Don, a failure by the banks to achieve a sale price to cover the full amount of the mortgage would show in their profits. That won't affect their ability to lend unless they where completely overwhelmed with bad debt. There is no pile of money sitting in the vault waiting to be lent out, the only thing constraining bank lending (i.e. money creation) is the borrowers propensity to get into debt.

The banks and their shareholders deserve any loss IMHO, be a good thing if all the debt was defaulted on actually. Start again.

its a pretty safe assumption

its a pretty safe assumption that the aussie banks plus rabo would hold most of rural nz debt.The thing you fail to grasp is that if the land price fell to economic levels the the will be LESS capital required..Period!Less debt servicing..less interest going offshore..more$ for investment here.....but this correction cant happen if foreign money props up land prices making farm ownership available to a select few.

I'm with Don too. Anyone with

I'm with Don too. Anyone with Heathcliff?

Given your support yet?

Given your support yet? http://tinyurl.com/2f56ztr

Thanks Anon, yes I

Thanks Anon, yes I have.

Bernard, any chance this link can be posted on a prominent place on your website so those that wish to can lend their support.

Selling companies and IP etc

Selling companies and IP etc offshore is fine as its not a finite resource. NZ is always full of young ideas and entrepreneurs coming thru ( allbeit with scant appreciation, assistance and financial support)

Land however, is finite and once sold to offshore interests who need food and minerals etc, its gone forever and we will loose control of our national destiny (as did our predecessors thru different circumstances)

Economic utilisation of our land for OUR benefit must be our first goal and retention of ownership by those of NZ Citizenship and Residency ( even if they are Chinese or Nigerian) must be our goal.

What we have in our our ground, in our waters and what we can produce off our land are the only things big enough in NZ to ensure our long term quality of life.

There will be hardship as our retained farmlands revalue downwards, but in the  end our future will be assured.  

Selling our dirt to faceless corporations or countries and having the money received used short term in a continuation of living beyond our means will ultimately have us down the same gurgler as we are going now (albeit a bit later on when the money's all be splurged and there aint no more. Consider how many farm sellers will reinvest some of their capital offshore eg equities, units in Qld etc..

All of us Govt, individuals, companies have to de leverage and take whatever pain it causes us to live within our means, later we readjust to the true value of what natural resources we have in ways they work for all of us not just the rich few.

We are a resource rich country and we must not sell it off, nor loose control of it.   

You are right Horace re other

You are right Horace re other overseas buyers.  But perhaps what is scaring people here in this debate is that it has been implied that the Chinese govt is either backing or behind this purchase.   When governments back something they are usually thinking strategically for their nation.  When an EU individual buys NZ farmland their motives do not usually consider their govts strategys.

The biggest mistake Natural Dairy made was getting May Wang to front the deal.

 

Don m If rural land prices

Don m

If rural land prices fall in value the debt servicing doesn't change one iota.  The debt doesn't fall commensurately with the land price falling!  All it will do is reduce  equity for current farmers,  perhaps making their lenders nervous,  restricting access to further borrowings,  reducing on-farm expenditure with all its downstream effects.  I don't how many farmers like the idea of their freehold equity being eroded.

At one level I agree that farm land is overpriced.  It always has been.  On an earnings multiple,  the way we value whether shares are cheap or expensive,  yes farms are way overpriced.  But other factors are at play here,  the 'lifestyle', country living at its best,  and a handy paddock for the kids' ponies etc.

Of course debt servicing

Of course debt servicing falls if land prices fall! If the land falls in value it is either sold, and someone takes a hit on the loss in equity ( either the seling land owner or the lender), and the new buyer gets on with business at a lower entry point and has less debt to service. Or, the current landowner stays on; has less advanced to them by their currmst lenders as result of a lower equity valuation ( or the do the previous point !) and has a lesser debt servicing ratio. It will mean that current borrowings are replaced by some form of stored equity ( ie: sell the bach in Tauranga etc) but that's all.

Gee Darce,  that's a useful

Gee Darce,  that's a useful contribution to the debate.

Oh, now I get it.  All our

Oh, now I get it.  All our dairy farming friends have baches in Tauranga.  No wonder the value of residential property is going down,  they're all listed for sale!

If only life were that simple.  You will find that lenders increase interest rates charged  to their borrowers if they perceive a change in their risk status.  It's called risk grading.  A reduction in equity could well trigger an increase in debt servicing.  If the farmers sell out and take the hit on their equity,  then NZ's GDP suffers via less economic activity. 

No free lunch here.

That's our problem, rural and

That's our problem, rural and urban ~ we have become used to the 'free lunches' provided by property price escalation. Where is our GDP now, and it's forcasts,  seeing as you brought it up? Look pretty grim to me. Property prices, nationwide, have to fall to meet our real standard of living, which is way below where we think it is today.

The sooner the prices correct

The sooner the prices correct to a level giving good yields, the sooner the prices can gain stability and start slowly appreciating again, in line with the actual yield, not with the temporary and vulnerable credit bubble.

The interest rates will then descend, and ultimately, only the highly leveraged landholders (by far & large value speculators and not farmers) will be affected. The same thing that happened with the residential speculator/investors and mortgagee sales of 2008/09. In general, only the biggest of gamblers had their properties sold off by the banks.

"In general, only the biggest

"In general, only the biggest of gamblers had their properties sold off by the banks."

The real mortgagee massacre hasn't even begun, but it's due very soon. Spring time, in fact.

As a farmer, I have no

As a farmer, I have no problem with farm values falling and neither will any genuine farmer in it for the long haul.  We are not in the game for capital gain, but for the farm to provide an income for us in our retirement.  So we won't be looking to sell to fund our retirement. We fully expect there to be no universal super for us so are making provisions for this. There are many farmers like us out there, but you don't hear a lot from us as we aren't 'newsworthy'.  The darstardly deeds of the big (but minority) corporates make for much better news.

In NZ agriculture innovation has come from New Zealanders, not corporates, or foreign owners.  Some of the biggest changes in farming in recent years relate to technology, not grass species etc.  And it is NZ designed technology, not foreign designed technology.  So the argument that foreign ownership would bring innovation doesn't stack up.  43% of all dairy farms in NZ are 250cows or less.

Recently we were cold called by a RE to sell our farm.  They are especially looking for farms in the 400-600cow range.  They can't get enough of them to meet the inquiry.  RE agent said the farms over this size were difficult if not impossible to sell, and some owners were resorting to putting two sheds on these larger farms in an attempt to sell them as two smaller units.

Hi Casual Observer.  You got

Hi Casual Observer.  You got a bach in Tauranga?  You could live there in retirement!

Seriously,  I don't see that the payment of National Super is at risk.  You compare the cost as a percantage of GDP,  and we stack up well against other OECD countries.

I admire what you and your fellow farmers have done and doing to make your industry more competitive and productive,  but I still don't think foreign investment in farm ownership will affect your industry negatively.  If anything it will enhance it.

Ah, Heathcliffe, I have been

Ah, Heathcliffe, I have been retired for 10years, just fall way short of the age for collecting the super. :-)

It is not the question of foreign ownership per se that I have reservations about with the Crafar deal - it is the intention of vertical integration proposals that Natural Dairy have, that as a Fonterra supplier I have reservations about.  If it goes ahead it will legitimise foreign companies coming here and setting up vertical integration dairy companies in opposition to a NZ based and owned company (Fonterra) on a very much unlevel playing field.  If foreign companies are allowed to come and buy farms and set up processing plants for their own milk, then Fonterra should not have to supply them with milk, and the DIRA should be thrown out.  One of the excuses given out for the DIRA is competition to benefit consumers.  I am not sure whose consumers this competition is supposed to benefit as most of the overseas owned dairy processors are not involved in the NZ consumer market so there is no benefit to the NZ consumer. There are however disadvantages to the Fonterra supplier in having to supply milk to these processors.  If a company has its own supply base or has been in operation for two years, Fonterra should not have to supply it with milk. As for farmers we can choose to supply Fonterra or not, we don't need the DIRA  to continue for that option to now be a reality.

Anonymous Go to

Anonymous

Go to www.treasury.govt.nz.  Some serious reading there,  inlcuding budget forecasts etc.  In the overview it is stated that GDP is expected to grow at a rate of 3%pa for the next four years.  That's good.   But closing our borders to foreign capital is one sure way of failing to achieve it.

To foreign corporate capital

To foreign corporate capital looking to buy farmland?

What is the percentage of that little bit compared to the entire foreign capital flowing in?

Some figures please?

"But closing our borders to foreign capital" - a typical Hollywood style dramatisation and unwarranted overgeneralisation. Spin, even.

All this thread is dealing about is - should the foreign corporates be able to freely buy FH land in NZ. Freehold. They could still buy leasehold, could they not? Would that not bring in any capital?

And they could buy anything else. Oh, no, the mighty foreign corporates require nothing other than bulk farmland FH title sacrifices in order to keep sending their billions over!

I do not see any benefits for

I do not see any benefits for Chinese to buy NZ farm land in any ways. 

1. Will 23 jobs created in NZ justify us to sell such massive farm land?

Think about Maori People back in 40s and 50s. we do the same thing: acquire land....What the promise we made to them and what Maori people get after all?  

 2. What would be our benefits as ordinary NZers if Natural diary NZ export NZ made diary to China?  

Do we want world second highest GDP, but end up with very poor GDP per person. Natural diary NZ sell NZ made diary product to China for premium, our real benefits would be only about 23 jobs created as Chinese keep their profits, but we have to share our reputation with Chinese. If there is any problems with them, we will go down with them. Do we really want that? Think about the value of "NZ made"? especially the high risk they have including milk scandal in China and the criminal offences of the director  May Wang.  Do we really want such capital inflow???? 

3. Chinese do business in their ways. On the bright side, they say they will play in accordance with NZ law, they will do good for NZ. On the hidden side, they play tricks, they acts in a totally nasty way. That is how Chinese do business in China. Do you think they will change their way to do business if they invest in NZ? They donate a large amount of money to National Party, why? they are business man, if there is no expected return, do you think they will donate? In china, bribe government official is usual way to do business successful in China. 

4. Chinese pays higher price to purchase farm land, if it is approved, it is more even difficult for NZers to purchase farm land in the future. Then what would make us for our living if we lost our productive assets?  what would be our real benefits after all?

Finally, I have to say, I have been in NZ for 7 years originally from China, but I definitely not happy Chinese to invest our diary industry. In the short run, we may benefits from limited job creating and increase of GDP, but in the long run...it is going to be a nightmare....... 

CO I understand your concern

CO

I understand your concern about the DIRA (Dairy Industry Restructuring Act) but I must say I strongly favour an open market for Fonterra shares - if nothing else it would benefit dairy farmers the most.  But that's a topic for another thread.

What do they say about monopolies - no-one likes them til you've got one!  Seems to sum up the dairy farmers' position.

Interesting that Kerry

Interesting that Kerry Hoggard is involved in this campaign, as he was on the Fletcher Challenge board when much of it was sold to overseas interests and incidentally was found guilty of insider trading a few years back.

If the same land cannot be

If the same land cannot be bought in China then sorry NO... Bernard, what's your problem? Xenophobia? Ask the Chinese or the Japanese or the Americans for that matter about that! Our land is NOT FOR SALE. It's all we have left. Once it's gone we have nothing. 

Ponder this: The reality is

Ponder this:

The reality is the land is not what they plan to take away - it's the resources used and return they make off the land.

Although resources used will be paid for, resources are limited, therefore depriving us of the opportunity of fully capitalising off the added value element of the return.

Do we want to allow the competition access and the opportunity to deprive us of our wealth generating resources? And do we want to cover their pollution cost in the process?

"Do we want to allow the

"Do we want to allow the competition access and the opportunity to deprive us of our wealth generating resources?  "

The answer is simple. Buy the F'n land.

If you can't afford it don't point the finger.

Pathetic. No doubt this anon lives on welfare and handouts.

To: kin, The real Ray,m

To: kin, The real Ray,m valuer, Steve-o, Nicholas Lee, Actual Professional Economist, enon e mouse, Leon Dale, Accountant, steven-orig, Don m, Confused, Neil, Amy-Sue, Mozart, Selwyn Pellett, Selwyn Pellett, Selwyn Pellett, Winston Churchill, Heathcliff, Trim Chai Latte, rk, Neil, aarron, am, Kiwi Dutchman, Anonimers, Don m, John W, Jeff M, Horace the Grump, Darce, Fungus, Benny, SImon

Much appreciate the comments

FYI and a reminder to all

We are planning to turn off unregistered "anonymous" comments from September 12.

We encourage everyone who is unregistered to register. The box on the right under the comment stream is the one. Registering also gives you the ability to edit comments, vote on comments and include links without the Captcha thingey.

Here's more detail

http://www.interest.co.nz/opinion/heres-why-wed-you-register-be-commente...

 

cheers

Bernard

Turkey has some good ideas

Turkey has some good ideas regarding foreign ownership:

http://www.turkisheconomy.org.uk/buyingproperty/property.html

Just got on here and read

Just got on here and read some of the comments.One thing that comes to mind is hypocrite for some comments.

I bet that some of the same people crying out for no land sale to Chinese (or anybody from another country)frequent the warehouse and go on holiday overseas to give that country our valuable money.Its just plain bloody silly talk.Show me ONE person who would refuse to sell his house to a Chinese who offers to pay over the odds and I will show you a moron.

You were probably quite picky

You were probably quite picky about the comments that you did read, and possibly just as picky about the amount of braincells you would engage analysing their content.

This issue is about selling large chunks of NZ land to Chinese corporations, not to people of Chinese origin, so your comparison makes no sense in itself.

However you make a good point. Once offered enough money, most folks, Kiwi or Chinese, would sell their own mothers, even if that ran against their best long-term interest, which is why there's a good case for regulation against it.

For the record, I haven't been to the Warehouse for well over a year, and usually discriminate against foreign goods whenever offered a Kiwi made alternative, even when the latter is dearer. If that makes me a moron, I hope that, unlike you, I am a reasonably patriotic one.

Enjoy buying your cheap crap.

Viva Steve-o!

Viva Steve-o!

Kia Kaha Steve-o

Kia Kaha Steve-o

Well, after reading most of

Well, after reading most of our hosts comments on this issue he's managed to change my mind and yip..i agree this could well be a way out for our well over leverage dairy sector..i'm still having trouble coming to terms with siding with BH..

I am an immigrant ,(non

I am an immigrant ,(non European)  migrated here in 1995 and consider this country as my home.

The issue of racism is a complex ,it is a human condition,just like greed,it is intertwined with power and capability of a race and is not unique or limited to any particular race. The might is right is at the bottom of race conflicts.The "might " may be physical or mental.  History illustrate this point well. I am not endorsing this as the Right thing but merely as an observation.

In my opinion land sale(commercial/agricultural)should be only sold to NZ citizens and houses  to NZ Citizens/residents. No matter where we come from we have a common future as a nation and our actions should be for the greater good of our country/adopted country. In this context we should not  favour any particular nation.

I agree, NZ citizens only

I agree, NZ citizens only please.

So where has all the money

So where has all the money (capital) gone that we got from selling the large numbers of all assets gone?

With all this great capital we got from selling our banks, telcos, supermarkets, energy companies, we should be rich shouldn't we?

Isn't it so great how we got all that great capital from selling these things, I just can't understand how it didn't make us rich, like it surely would do if only we sold the last few assets we still have.

Who wants an ongoing income when you get that great capital in one hit that you splurge away?

Can't help thinking of the comparison of Lotto winners, a big injection of capital, but very often it's all gone within a few years, with not much to show for it, sadly it sounds like NZ to me.

Good point Bob, fact is we've

Good point Bob, fact is we've sold assets that can be financed with government debt at 5% to multinational ticket clippers  wanting (and getting) 20% ROI.

Perhaps the neo feudalists out there could explain how this is a good idea.

Yeah mate, but hang on maybe

Yeah mate, but hang on maybe this time it will be different, and instead of like every other time when capital flows came in from selling assets, the capital will be put to good use, and not frittered away.... yeah right.

"fact is we've sold assets

"fact is we've sold assets that can be financed with government debt at 5% to multinational ticket clippers  wanting (and getting) 20% ROI."

Kiwidave, provide examples?

Plenty of sorry cases Anon,

Plenty of sorry cases Anon, the Telecom, NZ Rail and BNZ sales where complete rorts on the NZ public, a price we are paying to this day.

While the interest rates on govt debt were greater than 5% at the time; the US buyers of Telecom, after taking an axe to their Kiwi staff where able to walk away a couple of years later with a sale at $9/share against a purchase price of $1.81.

It goes on and on but you might like to read Brian Gaynor's "

Getting it wrong over foreign sales" http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=3584218

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brian Gaynor is always a good

Brian Gaynor is always a good read.

We do need to consider foreign capital controls - and not just on sensitive land, but on other strategic (infrastructure) assets.  Time to batten down the hatches - time to spend what we legitimately earn, as opposed to what we can either borrow from or sell to foreign interests.

but isnt farming a sunset

but isnt farming a sunset industry

i seem to remember you aucklanders spouting that so if a farmer wants to sell out whats the big deal

arent you a finaccial hub by now

There could be a better way

There could be a better way to sell our New Zealand property.

Why not create a "New Zealand Leasehold Title" on any land that is sold to foreigners. The lease would be a perpetual lease, and a yearly lease fee (perhaps 5% of the CV) would be charged and collected by the Government. If the property is resold to a New Zealander it would revert back to a freehold title, if it was on-sold to a new foreign owner, the lease would simply be reassigned. This could also help speed up the OIA process which is expensive and timely.

This achieves two simple things. It retains sovereign ownership of all New Zealand land, and provides a revenue base off land that would otherwise not be available. 

Patrick, you seem to have

Patrick, you seem to have missed the point a little

The bank wants to re-coop finances from the Crafar Farms. They dont want to retain ownership, they want it sold. Who do you propose buys this (and others like it) that have been taken over by the banks, in order to then lease to foreign investers?

The reason leasing land

The reason leasing land doesn't work is from an investor's perpective it's all about controlling the property (ownership).

Patrick, would you feel confident investing good money into a house on leased land - owned by a completely non-affiliated party? "Perpetual" has the same meaning as "guarantee" - no such thing in the real world.  

Discriminate against foreign investors, as proposed, you'll find investment will fall away to almost nothing - which extends beyond land and property. Then the government will be trying to find ways to attract more foreign investment to no avail.

It astounds me that so many NZers think foreign investment in land and property is prevalent, when the reality is it's not.

You can be assured the banter being played out in the media concerning a couple of Chinese investors, backed up by Key's naive comments regarding foreign ownership, has caused more harm than good.

Which I can attest too as a foreign investor who considered NZ. Not on a small scale, and not property specific. The uncertainty and instability surrounding taxes and restrictions imposed on foreign investment means NZ is no longer a consideration. South America is more appealing.

Anonymous | 25 Aug 10, 6:40am

Anonymous | 25 Aug 10, 6:40am

Buy the farm?

We tried. The offer was declined due to the potential of attaining a larger offshore offer.

Moreover, have a read of the link below:

Luxury properties including farmland and homes are being sold to wealthy foreign investors without being available to New Zealand buyers.

More here: http://tinyurl.com/25komaj

"Luxury properties including

"Luxury properties including farmland and homes are being sold to wealthy foreign investors without being available to New Zealand buyers."

And NZ properties are being offered exclusively to NZers.

Don't trust a link to "tinyurl" so no idea what you're referring too.

The point was NZers must "use foreign investment" to their advantage. To establish more wealth and create a higher standard of living. This will not be achieved if foreign investment is discounted or compromised at any level.

NZ's living standards as measured by per capita gross domestic product are 15% lower than the OECD average.

Not good when you look at some of the sub-performing countries included in the OECD.

" This will

" This will not be achieved if foreign investment is discounted or compromised at any level."...and that's the highest quality bullshit to be posted so far this year.!

What say you John Key...or are you behind this act of stupidity...afterall the Harcourt circus in Beijing is being looked after at a govt funded show.........what a bloody dumb act by you if you said it was OK.

As I said some time ago...not once has this govt said that it is concerned that property remains seriously unaffordable for Kiwi families....they don't give a bloody Rat's arse.

"and that's the highest

"and that's the highest quality bullshit to be posted so far this year.! "

Wolly.. I'll take it as a compliment if what I've posted is "higher quality" than the rambling BS you produce.

Take time to read and understand what's written.. Wolly. Although doubtful, you may actually learn something.

Read your own rubbish

Read your own rubbish anon...note the bit "at any level"...that's where you are saying it is ok if residential property and farmland prices are driven to the heights of madness on the back of a flood of hot money from overseas. I don't give a dam where overseas, OK....you need to go into a corner and have a good think.

"At any level" you uneducated

"At any level" you uneducated moron refers to the various types or classes of investment. Nothing to do with property values.

Look buddy I am not property focused. For F's sake. My comments refer to investment in general.

Having followed your comments a few weeks now, you're one F'd up individual... Wolly.

Anonymous | 25 Aug 10, 8:23am

Anonymous | 25 Aug 10, 8:23am

New Zealand must own its own future to successfully move forward

That won't be achieved by selling our wealth generating assets and becoming tenants in our own land.

We've already tried that. Opening our shores has led to our current fiscal shortfall.

There are alternative ways to overcome our current fiscal shortfall, but we'll save that for another thread.

Nevertheless, the shortfall can also be overcome by borrowing the funding without having to sell our wealth generating assets.

As long as borrowed offshore funding is utilised to generate a larger offshore return while alleviating local income disparity in the process, the country will successfully prosper over the long-term.

Selling wealth generating assets is a short-sighted short-term fix.

You shouldn't have a problem trying this link:

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=1066...

"We've already tried that.

"We've already tried that. Opening our shores has led to our current fiscal shortfall. "

Now that's bullshit. Comical.

Just think what a backwater NZ would be if it wasn't for foreign capital investment. Fiji would have a far stronger GDP.

"There are alternative ways to overcome our current fiscal shortfall, but we'll save that for another thread."

Let's hear them whiz kid.

"the shortfall can also be overcome by borrowing the funding without having to sell our wealth generating assets."

Where will NZ borrow the money when it's policy restrict any form of foreign investment?

You can't have it both ways.

"As long as borrowed offshore funding is utilised to generate a larger offshore return while alleviating local income disparity in the process, the country will successfully prosper over the long-term. "

Seriously, you really don't know what you're talking about. Give me one example of the economic viability leading to your conclusion?

"Selling wealth generating assets is a short-sighted short-term fix."

Where are these wealth generating assets headed (presume you mean land/property on topic)? Short term solution can equal long term prosperity if common sense and forward planning prevails.

Best of luck my friend. You need it.

Best luck with your "forward

Best luck with your "forward thinking" South America. Don't forget to hire and fully pay out expensive enough bodyguards not to pull an inside job on your body parts.

And hide them stashes well on the way back, "businessman".

Hey Stevie boy.. like NZ, you

Hey Stevie boy.. like NZ, you don't have to visit South America in order to own it.

Yeah, I am pretty sure they

Yeah, I am pretty sure they care very much about their banana "freehold titles".

Try enforcing one against the local gang, liberation movement or the government (same thing), you halfwit.

And with all due respect, do bugger off back to your Northern Hemisphere.

Dumb opportunist s**ts like you only come to do damage down under.

Not only should your likes be allowed to invest, but there should be compulsory nationalisation of any such funds invested by your likes, triggered on DEPOSIT_TRANS_DATE + 6.

Anonymous | 25 Aug 10, 9:42am

Anonymous | 25 Aug 10, 9:42am

Re: BS and Comical. It would be if it weren't true. Take a look at balance of payments history.

For decades now, a mixture of increasing debt and assets sales has constantly sustained our GDP growth - short-term fixes that have led to our current predicament.

As a nation, we've failed to invest in generating the offshore return required.

And largely due to our most lucrative sectors being foreign owned, returns made predominantly head back offshore.

I don't think anyone is suggesting we restrict any form of foreign investment. We are discussing foreign ownership. There is a difference. And yes, we can have it both ways.

A local currency is merely one of many alternative options at our disposal. You obviously lack vision or you're a bit of a latecomer to the game.

Re: evidence of economic viability

Again, I'll refer you to our balance of payment history and also our standard of living. As a nation, we borrowed less than what we earned while at the same time our income disparity was far more balanced. This led to our high standard of living.

As this fell apart so to did our standard of living and if it wasn't for all the debt, our current standard of living would be a lot lower.

Repeating past mistakes isn't going to correct that and successfully take us forward.

If commons sense and forward planning were initially applied, we wouldn't be turning to short-sighted short-term fixes.

As an engineer, I can attest

As an engineer, I can attest that short term fixes are NEVER a sign of good forward planning, and go against the best long term systemic interest in about 99.7% of the cases.

I agree that Anonymouses comments above your's Anon are complete rubbish.

We don't need dip***t foreign investors like that guy, well better off with him heading off to S America to get kidnapped, tortured or whatever.

"As an engineer, I can attest

"As an engineer, I can attest that short term fixes are NEVER a sign of good forward planning, and go against the best long term systemic interest in about 99.7% of the cases."

OK.. it's all clear. Engineers in NZ actually qualify in economic policy. Not engineering. Or is it the other way around. Hmmm.. .

Yes, as an ENGINEER, you must be absolutely correct in your economic observations and ratios.

Another idiot.

Another butt monkey.  

Another butt monkey.
 

"foreign investment. We are

"foreign investment. We are discussing foreign ownership. There is a difference. "

Say no more. You're embarrasing yourself.

From what I gather here and

From what I gather here and elsewhere, the window of real and peaceful visionary/ revolutionary solutions for a better world/ NZ is getting smaller by the month.

Anonymous | 25 Aug 10,

Anonymous | 25 Aug 10, 11:22am

*Expresses amusement*

I don't find pointing out your flawed assertions embarrassing. And your last one is indeed comical.

Why don't back your assertion and explain to everyone how you've come to the conclusion that foreign ownership and foreign investment are one in the same?

The only one embarrassing themselves here is you.

Anonymous | 25 Aug 10,

Anonymous | 25 Aug 10, 11:26am Take the time to enlighten yourself Dr Steve Keen on Engineer.net part 1 of 3 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wMw1cEZ1UAM

For once Bernard you seem to

For once Bernard you seem to have the right end of the stick :)

Instead of these guys banning all sales they should be running a campaign to
"Save Our Sheep and Beef Farmers" !!!!!

 

The discussion needs to be had, but we also have Private Property Rights to consider.

Ban the sale of farms & they better ban the sale of all business as well, and clifftop houses in Paratai drive (where many of these self interested "save the farms" crowd come from no doubt).

Perhaps the ban on sales of new property deveopments to overseas buyers may also change the mind of the Property developer backing this, who is probably just trying to keep his land prices down so he can make more money when he develops them !

http://www.tirau.simnz.com/farm.htm

Hume Dam 50% Full(3% 2 years

Hume Dam 50% Full(3% 2 years ago)

Eildon 40% Full

MacAlister Irrigation District 200% entitlements expected.

The upshot of all this. A huge amount of supply coming out of irrigation areas in Aus that have struggled for the last 10 years= sub $ 5 payout in NZ.

sell all the Dairy Farms

sell all the Dairy Farms quick before the Chinese go to Australia

Yeah no xenophobes in

Yeah no xenophobes in Queensland. Just hard core old school racists.

interesting you should say

interesting you should say that. When I was looking at DFms in Vic more than one Real Estate agent put all of the countries problems at the feet  of  Aborigines and immigrants who should be sent home.

How quickly they forget that there nation is another nations solution for the people they didnt want!!

Casual Observer, perceptive

Casual Observer, perceptive comments as per usual.

However I would like to throw a curve ball related to this thread. I believe that NZ agriculture is rapidly becoming 'corporatised', therefore shutting down the traditional pathways to farm ownership for young NZers wanting to work there way up the ladder. Therefore how are these ‘corporates’, whose daily farming operations generally leave much to be desired, going to cash in if not through 'foreign' buyers. Given the corporate bent of the government, it could be seen foreign ownership of NZ land is inevitable, unless we undertake tax reform to bring property into alignment with productive value. If this is a likely future scenario, I think it's worth debating selling Fonterra (look at the Govts 'support'...DIRA..for benefit of farmers, consumers, and a competitive industry..haha...tell that to Gisborne Milk Co-op). Say a farm is 'worth' eight times it's production, if this is applied to Fonterra, which earns 16b/annum, it's serious bikkies, and maybe we should cash in before BH sell us out.

Cricky you fellas must be

Cricky you fellas must be raking in a bit of dough with all the advertising clogging up the screen.
I disagree with Bernard when he claims that regulating the sale of NZs farmland to foreigners will decrease our standard of living, is myopic, and word of the month ‘xenophobic’. The only people to gain from cashing in to the ‘chinese are farmers (if you can call them that) that farm for capital gain (that would include all Queen St farmers). Apparently food and associated natural resources are in demand, therefore NZ is in a good position to generate a stable and sustainable income from exporting our agricultural commodities. Farmers will need to manage rising input costs, but this is where the cash margin is to be found. What needs to happen is for the capital gain cockies and their banking overlords to take a haircut, retain farmland for young NZ farmers and their families, and start making a meaningful income.

Exactly right IF, it just

Exactly right IF, it just seems like a tactic to try to label the people that have an opnion that Bernard doesn't like. 

It shows how weak his argument is that he has to resort to those tactics. 

Labelling anyone who actually see's it as better for NZ's economic future to keep our farms here as Xenaphobic.

It's riduclous to label people that think keeping our highest income earning asset in NZ's hands is best for NZ economically, as Xenaphobic. 

Hits for Bernards website seem to be coming before common sense here.

international farmer you

international farmer

you seem to suffer from clasic tall poppy syndrome

there are plenty of farms for sale in NZ ,at current valuations and current ebits they have never been better buying .

the question is are  you ready to take on the risks and rewards ?

or just keep writing siting behind your computer

Given the risk, I chose to

Given the risk, I chose to continue suffering tall poppy syndrome. What are the current valuations and ebit?

Kiwi, can you tell me what

Kiwi, can you tell me what the return on capital invested is for these good buying farms ebit or not?

if you bought a farm in 2008

if you bought a farm in 2008 and are highly indebted it is likely your return on capital is under 2%

For profitable buying at a production level of 1000ms/ha on a grass system, you  should pay no more than $15000 ha

which is exactly why Bayleys

which is exactly why Bayleys and the other treasonous rats want overseas investors to be allowed to buy carte blanche.

And Mr CFO who created this mess that will ultimately effect all of our Dairy Industry including Fonterra detrimentally?

The Banks did by signing off on loans that didnt pass the 5 Cs' of lending right from the outset.

The Chinese will not be

The Chinese will not be buying Crafar as the sale as been done already. JJJ240

$240m

Just watch the papers on the 3 sept

And then wait for the law suit against Hickey.

Well, after reading through

Well, after reading through the posts I thought I would add my 2c worth.

Rural NZ is not what it once was...

It has fewer shelterbelts, fewer grassroot families(the long term ones that do all the work in the rural communities), and fewer sheep.  

It has pop up shitbox 2bdrm prefab houses filled to the brim with scummy ex crim dairy workers.

It has so called "intensive" farming practices which is basically a term for over stocking and raping the land to its last gasp, more crime (or should I just say "crime", because we never had to lock our doors/petrol tanks/chainsaws/motorbikes up before dairying arrived in the district!

And for an added bonus...we now have Nitrate levels in our (and all bores in the district) drinking water (ground water) much higher than World Health Organisation levels (recent development since dairy farmers decided to dump fert on every sq. cm of their farm instead of just the paddocks that need it every year. (if you live near an "intensive dairy farm" and draw your water from a bore call your local enviro council and get them to test the water. High Nitrate levels are dangerous to children under 5,elderly and the sick.

So in my opinion, the rural landscape can't get much worse. Chinese, Brit, German, American or Kiwi it doesn't matter. We already shit where we sleep in this country so what's the bloody difference between a Kiwi corporate or a Chinese national polluting our land and water? Everybody cares, but they are only willing to care to the point where it starts affects THEIR farming practice.

The only reason the New Zealand Dairy industry has prospered thus far on the world stage is because they have an environmental subsidy- there are no true restrictions on their farming practices, which means our environment suffers.

Water...the reason for high land prices?

I am a firm believer that irrigation is the cause for land price grief.

Before the so called dairy boom a young couple who couldnt afford to buy premium flat land could always look to the dryer, rougher country which was significantly cheaper. Now where there was once rocks and rabbit shit, we see massive irrigators, green pastures and dairy cows. There is no such thing as cheap dirt anymore. Now you cant even get a viable unit without either a silver spoon (you would need to be born with one poking out of your mouth) or a bloody rich, childless, great uncle.

The era or the family farm is no longer

As much as I despise those foreign land grabbers, I am of firm belief that a farm is private property, no different to a town house. It has a family living there, a mailbox and a (very large)mortgage attached to it. For some accountant or lawyer from Auckland to stomp their feet and shout "save the farms" , personally I think they have a bloody cheek.

Enough ranting for this evening I think.

Many would argue that foreign

Many would argue that foreign urban land grabbers are no better and should be banned too. Me, I am thinking more and more that the non-residents should just be paying a non-resident land tax on any Kiwi land they may own, for as long as they own it and stay non-residents.

 “So what's the bloody

 “So what's the bloody difference between a Kiwi corporate or a Chinese national polluting our land and water?”

 The difference is who gets to retain the fiscal return from the environmental damage produced.