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US Treasuries show definite reluctance for yields to break below bottom on range

Bonds
US Treasuries show definite reluctance for yields to break below bottom on range

By Kymberley Martin

Yields pushed higher across NZ curves yesterday.

Overnight, US 10-year yields traded between 2.53% and 2.56%.

Following the release of the HSBC China PMI yesterday, AU yields pushed abruptly higher.

The yield on AU 10-year bonds rose from 3.66% to 3.75%. Equally, the likes of AU 10-year swaps pushed up from 4.04% to 4.12%.

This move then set the tone for the NZ market.

NZ swaps closed up 3-6bps with a steepening of the curve. While 2-yer swap now sits at 3.98%, the 2-10s curve sits at 81bps.

The NZ bond curve also steepened.

The yield on NZGB23s rose 6bps to 4.31%. We reiterate that we suggest shortening NZGB duration as the yield on NZGB23s has dipped below 4.30%.

Overnight, as equities provided further modest returns, US Treasuries traded fairly tight ranges.

The yield on 10-year has traded between 2.53% and 2.56%. While it is difficult to see the immediate catalyst for a sell-off in Treasuries, there is definite reluctance for yields to break below the bottom of 11-month ranges, at 2.47%.

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