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Articles by bnzeconomists

16 Mar 16, 8:19am
GBP weaker as Brexit headlines gain attention; devil in the detail with Balance of Payments data; another weak dairy auction, contrary to analyst expectations
26 Jan 16, 8:20am
Market expectations for ECB and BoJ to ease monetary policy further helping oil price rebound; highest correlation between oil and equity prices in 26 years; safe haven currencies top performers overnight
26 Jan 16, 8:10am
Traders accept NZ swap rate 'collapse' was overdone, given the RBNZ's core inflation data had a 'mild lift'
22 Jan 16, 8:13am
ECB's Draghi says there are no limits to achieving price stability; oil price rebounds strongly from oversold territory; NZD up over 1% against USD & 1.8% against Yen
22 Jan 16, 8:11am
Eyes now on RBNZ's Thursday OCR review tone. Will it hold its December line, or exhibit some nervousness?
21 Jan 16, 8:07am
RBNZ interpretation of core inflation surprises, may push out initial rate cut expectations. Low US inflation changes market expectations of the next hike
21 Jan 16, 8:01am
Excess supply main driver behind continued weakness in oil price; carnage across equity markets on open; AUD & NZD out of favour as market moves to risk off mode
20 Jan 16, 8:23am
NZ swap market continues to see preference for receiving fixed rates; falls in oil price and sluggish global growth will mean central banks will undershoot inflation expectations
20 Jan 16, 8:14am
China's GDP a smidge below forecasts but traders wanted excuse to sell assets; improved mood overnight has NZD, equities and commodities up; Fonterra auction better than expected
19 Jan 16, 8:34am
Overseas investors keen receivers of NZ rates at a time when mortgage and local corporate paying flows are light
19 Jan 16, 8:12am
PBoC imposing reserve-requirement ratios on yuan deposited onshore by overseas financial institutions; stronger Yuan fix boosts Asia-Pacific currencies; oil price stabilises after trading sub $28
18 Jan 16, 7:50am
Weak global data rocks markets; risk off mood sends Yen to fresh highs; NZD holding up compared to other 'risky' currencies, Aussie dollar not so lucky
8 Jan 16, 9:06am
China market shenanigans repeat, with echos worldwide. The AUD the 'worst performer'. Risks for the NZD are to the downside
8 Jan 16, 8:58am
NZ and global interest rates extend their slow soft slide with NZ rates leading the way
7 Jan 16, 9:01am
Asia sentiment glum although better data out for the US and Europe. NZD seen as ajusting back from December distortions
7 Jan 16, 8:53am
NZ Govt bond values rise, yields fall as bond-swap spreads move back to more normal levels. Swap rates see downward pressure too
6 Jan 16, 9:05am
Markets show disdain for Chinese market manipulations. Commodities fall along with commodity currencies. Fed tries to add unpredicatibility
6 Jan 16, 8:56am
NZ-US 10-year rate spread at 124 bps, but with NZ bonds to outperform US expect that spread to fall: BNZ
5 Jan 16, 9:21am
Many punters don’t have much conviction in the global economic outlook for 2016. Mid-East tensions and China anxiety fuel a bumpy start
5 Jan 16, 9:08am
Quiet local trading expected. Two year swap rate may be at top of its range: BNZ
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