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NZ 2 yr swaps slip toward 4% in pullback induced by the RBNZ election pause, pointing to a potential hedging opportunity

Bonds
NZ 2 yr swaps slip toward 4% in pullback induced by the RBNZ election pause, pointing to a potential hedging opportunity

By Raiko Shareef

NZ swap yields slid 3 bps yesterday, largely reflecting moves offshore on Friday night.

The 2-year swap closed at 4.08%.

With the RBNZ on pause for the near term, we anticipate a pull-back in yield in the short and mid part of the swaps curve.

We would consider a fall in the 2-year swap below 4% an attractive hedging opportunity, given that we continue to see the OCR at 5% by early 2016.

US bond yields are higher today, led by a weak auction of 2-year notes. There, the US Treasury sold 2-year paper at the highest yield since May 2011.

That helped the 10-year bond yield gain 2 bps to 2.49%.

Tonight, investors eyeing the data calendar will focus on US house prices and consumer confidence.

But really, we expect a fairly staid affair ahead of the marquee events, which kick off on Wednesday evening.

 

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