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Cash flow pressures intensify for businesses in Dun and Bradstreet survey

Posted in News

Despite an apparent recovery in confidence, New Zealand businesses delayed their payments to other businesses by a further 2 days in the March quarter, increasing the average to around 46.6 days, credit information firm Dun and Bradstreet has reported.

State owned businesses continue to be slower payers than privately owned businesses, while large firms pay slower than smaller ones. South Island firms also pay faster than North Island ones. Wellington firms have the slowest payment records of all the major cities, the survey showed.

"A further deterioration of the size recorded in the March quarter could put payment days back near the levels experienced during the height of the global crisis," Dun and Bradstreet said.

"Business confidence has begun to improve which bodes well for domestic demand in 2010. However, liquidity and access to cash are absolutely critical in an upturn. Consequently, the decline in payment terms is cause for concern,” said Dun and Bradstreet General Manager John Scott.

"If payment terms continue to deteriorate in the months ahead firms may find themselves battling the cash flow pressures that impacted business growth and stability during the height of the credit crisis," Scott said.

Here is the full news release below:

New Zealand firms face the prospect of renewed cash flow pressures in the months ahead, according to the latest business-to-business trade payment figures released today by credit reporting agency Dun & Bradstreet.

The findings -- which examine the millions of current accounts receivable records
contained on the Dun & Bradstreet database -- reveal that a deterioration (2.0 days) in the March 2010 quarter has taken payment terms to 46.6 days and largely reversed the gains made over the previous three quarters.

A further deterioration of the size recorded in the March quarter could put payment days back near the levels experienced during the height of the global crisis.

According to John Scott, General Manager of Dun & Bradstreet New Zealand, access to cash is absolutely critical to New Zealand's economic recovery.

"Business confidence has begun to improve which bodes well for domestic demand in 2010. However, liquidity and access to cash are absolutely critical in an upturn. Consequently, the decline in payment terms is cause for concern,” said Mr Scott. "If payment terms continue to deteriorate in the months ahead firms may find themselves battling the cash flow pressures that impacted business growth and stability during the height of the credit crisis."

Industry
The mining sector was the quickest to pay in the March quarter 2010 despite adding
one day to the time taken to settle accounts (compared to the previous quarter). The
agriculture sector was a close second, averaging 41.8 days to settle its trade accounts – this group added 1.5 days to its payment terms. Conversely, the electric, gas and sanitary services sector was the slowest paying group (some 14 days slower than the mining sector). This group averaged 54.7 days to settle accounts, following an increase in terms of close to three days (quarter-on-quarter).

The fishing sector was the only group whose payment terms did not deteriorate compared to the previous quarter, while the finance sector experienced the most significant increase in payment terms (rising by 3.4 days).

Public | private
Public companies are consistently slower to settle their accounts than their private counterparts however; the gap between the two groups has narrowed. Private companies added 2.1 days to their payment terms to average 46.6 days to settle accounts during the March quarter. Meanwhile, public firms took 2.3 days off the time taken to pay their bills, taking terms to 47.0 days.

Location
Firms based on the North Island have traditionally been slower to pay their bills than
South Island firms. This trend continued in the March quarter 2010, with firms averaging 47.1 and 43.6 days respectively to settle their accounts. The terms of both groups deteriorated compared to the previous quarter with north island firms payment terms up 2.1 days and the terms of south island firms rising by 1.6 days.

Wellington based firms recorded their third consecutive quarter as the slowest paying group, averaging 49.8 days to settle accounts. Auckland and Christchurch followed at
48.0 and 44.8 days respectively.

Wellington based firms increased their terms more than the other major cities (rising by 3.1 days compared to the December quarter) and were the only group to experience a deterioration in terms compared to the March quarter 2009.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

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6 Comments

Since about mid April business

Since about mid April business is a lot slower then in the last 12 months.
For many retail businesses an extremely tough 8 months coming, I think - worldwide events means more testing times for our economy.

In one of our service

In one of our service business's to the high end lifestyle farm market we are seeing a huge change in the customers attitudes - debtor collection is slow, people are lying, professional debt collection is now the norm. In all we see the economy as still going backwards which is a huge concern for small business.

Just weeks ago, we have

Just weeks ago, we have so much good news. Everything was up - confidence, gdp, house prices and so on. Could Dun and Bradstreet have gotten it wrong?

There was a report recently

There was a report recently about expecting business financial stress to be worst about the middle of this year [as a lagging indicator]. So because SMEs rely on mortgages over homes to support their business banking loans, we can expect a lot more mortgagee sales.
The question is will there be enough to bring down the deceitful median property prices.
The idea that median prices give valid information suits REINZ, the Banks and the print Media whose profits all rely on deceiving the public into thinking that all is well with property prices. But the median does not represent reality.
The only way to get the truth about prices is to use a similar house to similar house valuation over time. Even the RBNZ stratified results are a long way from the truth.
Example: If within the strata several more expensive houses are sold, the strata median goes up. That is so notwithstanding those several houses may have been purchased for a lot more a year or two previously. Those houses go down. The median goes up. Medians are simply false.

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