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Govt's savings group meets, discusses deficits and low per capita GDP
The government appointed Savings Working Group discussed the country's persistent balance of payment deficits, high net foreign debt and low per capita Gross Domestic Product at its first meeting.
The Group, which is chaired by chairman of accountancy firm Grant Thornton and ex-BNZ chairman Kerry McDonald, has called for submissions on issues within its terms of reference and will seek advice from experts on savings related research.
Other members of the Group, which is being supported by the Treasury, include Capital Markets Research director Craig Ansley, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research senior fellow Andrew Coleman, financial columnist and Auckland University senior lecturer Mary Holm, Reserve Bank assistant governor John McDermott, PricewaterhouseCoopers partner Paul Mersi and Bank of New Zealand head of research Stephen Toplis.
Read the Group's statement below:
The Savings Working Group focused at its first meeting on New Zealand’s immediate economic situation and the challenges it poses for our future.
The Savings Working Group’s first meeting was held on 3-4 September. The group focused on the persistent balance of payments deficits leading to a very high level of net foreign obligations and debt (think Ireland, Spain and Greece); relatively low per capita levels of GDP and wealth - which are growing slowly compared with many other countries; the relatively low stock of capital in the business sector; and New Zealand’s poor productivity performance.
Many of these have links with savings, and the group discussed the nature and implications of the linkages and how they might fit into its work programme. Amongst a number of important issues were New Zealand’s high dependence on foreign capital and how market shocks – including a foot and mouth outbreak or a natural disaster – could affect national savings; and the implications of the low capital-labour ratio.
The group also had an initial discussion on a wide range of savings related issues, including the availability and quality of relevant statistics, the main issues in relation to the Government, household, business and external sectors, the significance of inflation, taxation (in various forms), markets and regulation.
Related Topics
It also considered, in broad terms, the likely implications of different levels of national savings and of savings sector by sector. The discussions identified a substantial number of significant issues, extensive data and information requirements and a somewhat clearer basis for tackling the group’s work programme.
An interesting, overarching question facing the group is: How is New Zealand engaging with a dynamic, globalizing economic environment?
The preliminary answer from a savings perspective might be: not very well. But the group has a lot of work to do before a more soundly based answer can be given.
The Savings Working Group decided:
To invite, via its website, submissions on matters within its Terms of Reference.
To approach a number of experts for information and advice on current savings-related research.
To alert organizations with a particular interest in Savings to the invitation for submissions.
The Savings Working Group’s next meeting will be towards the end of September 2010.
38 Comments
As soon as I saw Mary Holm
As soon as I saw Mary Holm was on the panel I realised nothing ground breaking was going to come of this. She is a one trick pony ('Kiwisaver is the best thing in the world, ever'), and appears to have not the slightest grasp of anything remotely unconventional (such as investing in precious metals). She is also fatally wedded to the view that 'over the long term stock markets always rise'. Go tell that to the Japanese Mary.........
andyh - Nice one! However
andyh - Nice one! However all the others are just as bad as MH. How many of them have gold as an investment? Submissions - a complete waste of time. What's the chances that JK will turn round and say that their recommendations are politically unachievable? The problem in NZ is the Government at every level. If people were able to keep more of their hard earned money they would be able to save!
i agree with you. I wrote to
i agree with you. I wrote to Mary about a particularly naive column she wrote about gold and she replied with a bemusing rebuttal about not investing in things you don't understand. As far as I can see, precious metals don't take much understanding compared to the labyrinth of mutual funds and equities (to her credit she recommends ETFs). Furthermore, her pussy-footing on the merits of property investing shows that she is possibly a fence sitter or afraid of pissing off the Herald management or editorial.
Fooeee...what a load of BS.
Fooeee...what a load of BS. The working group will work away on matters that avoid the real problem but should ensure the media are supplied with a steady stream of effluent sufficient to encourage the brainless to think some real action is being taken..but on no account are they to let on that they are just a waste of space time and money. They should manage their time wasting in such a manner, that those members of the public who would normally attack the govt over such poor decision making, will be distracted and given to thinking they can have a role in the formulation of govt policy, by entering into correspondence with said time wasting working group.
Hey it worked for the tax working on being silly group...so why not pull the same trick. Public are too dumb to remember!
By my chinny, chin, chin, it
By my chinny, chin, chin, it is enough to make me gag on my sheep a la English.....
Where does one start ?
Could it be the fact that Mr Craig Ansley is still being titled "Capital Markets Research director" when in fact he works for Russell Investments - sheep in wolves clothing ?
Or is it that they and Treasury are already a week behind the schedule - no self respecting pack member would dare to miss the start of a hunt....
No, it has to be this phrase:
"An interesting, overarching question facing the group is: How is New Zealand engaging with a dynamic, globalizing economic environment?"
Says it all really - why wait for the final outcome if it is going to be filled with meaningless drivel like this ?
Here is the wolfpack's input - take your engagement and place it somewhere dark and clammy....politics will call the shots in the end....
The group focused on the
The group focused on the persistent balance of payments deficits leading to a very high level of net foreign obligations and debt (think Ireland, Spain and Greece); relatively low per capita levels of GDP and wealth - which are growing slowly compared with many other countries; the relatively low stock of capital in the business sector; and New Zealand’s poor productivity performance.
Fer-christ-sake hasn't this been the situation for forty years?
Tax luxury imports
Raise the minimum wage
Stop robbing savers via taxes and inflation.
Just who is it that decides
Just who is it that decides what exactly a " luxury good " is , in the first instance ?
Scrap the minimum wage .
Scrap " Working For Families " .
Set a flat tax rate , for all ................ Then stand back , and watch the economy grow ! Ka-Zowie : Gummy Bears in every pantry through-out your country !
"Just who is it that decides
"Just who is it that decides what exactly a " luxury good " is, in the first instance ?"
We used to have such a system GBH. There is no reason sales tax rate has to be the same for a bag of potatoes as it is for a Ferrari, and of course we have the tobacco and alcohol tax
Is it really a problem for you of "who decides" or is it just the luxuries of the rich you want protected.?
In any case, slugging the rich was not my intention, nor really the luxury aspect, where we do have a problem is with imports. What we should be doing is, where there is no local production - say consumer electronics - raise the sales tax.
The low minimum wage is lowering our productivity. See how they build roads in India if you want proof of that.
A flat tax rate and scrapping the WFF (with the level of Govt spending we now "enjoy") would make half the households in NZ destitute.
Is that what you want? Are you Roger Douglas?
Government spending is way
Government spending is way above what Kiwis can afford . You do not deserve a first world health system nor a comprehensive welfare state . You do not earn enuff to pay for it .
Gotta set your sights lower .
And you want to employ more bureaucrats to decided wot is defined as a luxury good and wot is not ? Truely bizarre !
You're making stuff up now
You're making stuff up now GBH. Nowhere have I said I want a bigger government or anything at all about the health system.
I have said we should try and get our balance of payments problem sorted out and some suggestions towards that end as well as some ideas towards raising our productivity.
I believe we don't so much have a savings problem as an overseas debt problem due to decades of trade imbalance. Perhaps you might explain how your neo feudalist , trickle, Rogernomics ideas are going to help. From what I've seen they've made things worse not better.
Dodgey Rogie allowed rich
Dodgey Rogie allowed rich mates and overseas corporations to pick up SOE's for pennies in the dollar . That was utterly foolish . Many SOE's could have been 51 % held by the government ; 49 % floated onto the NZX .
How much better to enrich and encourage Kiwis into ownership of their own infrastructure companies , than to shepard them into managed funds & superannuation .
Before attacking the productivity issue , look to government spending . It is way of of whack .
100% agree GBH
100% agree GBH
Thumbs up for "tax luxury
Thumbs up for "tax luxury imports" KD. Amazed that this has never been much of an issue.
Scrap tax on savings Tax on
Scrap tax on savings
Tax on 2nd homes (holiday homes included, close all loop holes)
Get prisoners building infrastructure
Build tourism
scrap tax on saving,
scrap tax on saving, agree
tax on 2nd homes, agree
prisoners build infrastructure (they can't do any worse than today's tradesmans)
control tourism, but increase charges
(they can't do any worse than
(they can't do any worse than today's tradesmans)
What the f..ck would you know? What might you happen to be other than some idiot who puts all tradesman under one umbrella?
Maybe the govt should have a
Maybe the govt should have a minister for "Working Groups" too.
It is mathematically
It is mathematically impossible to acheive social outcomes of net economic wellbeing by borrowing from the private banking network with usurous amounts of compound interest attached. The US Greens have finally headed in the correct direction, hopefully the NZ Greens will now stop cowering like shivering dogs and do the same. But, dont hold your breath, I sent the below to every Green MP and have yet received a reply, I quess not admitting to having read the irrefutable facts is a defence against having to take on any difficult task of attempting to do anything about it?
Greetings All,
http://www.monetary.org/greenpartymonetaryplank.html
Dear Friends,
Some exciting and historic news from the U.S. Green Party!
This past week (end of August 2010) the Green Party's National Committee working on monetary and economic policy matters have approved an historic, comprehensive Monetary Reform Plank in their 2010 Platform which actually does the job, as it includes all three of the necessary elements to achieve real reform.
There is one thing that needs to change at the core of our current economic policy or quite simply by mathematical formula, nothing else can. The current 'New Green Deal' as promoted by the Green Party is as inept as the new deal of FDR it has hooked its wagon to. Despite what is now being endorced by the US Green Party(2010) being voted through the US Congress in 1932, it never made it through the US elite dominated Senate which saw FDR back down from his stance, and that of his brother before him for that matter;
Theodore Roosevelt Sixth State Of The Union Address, 1906;
I do not say that this is the right system. I only advance it to emphasize my belief that there is need for the adoption of some system which shall be automatic and open to all sound banks, so as to avoid all possibility of discrimination and favoritism. Such a plan would tend to prevent the spasms of high money and speculation which now obtain in the New York market; for at present there is too much currency at certain seasons of the year, and its accumulation at New York tempts bankers to lend it at low rates for speculative purposes; whereas at other times when the crops are being moved there is urgent need for a large but temporary increase in the currency supply. It must never be forgotten that this question concerns business men generally quite as much as bankers; especially is this true of stockmen, farmers, and business men in the West; for at present at certain seasons of the year the difference in interest rates between the East and the West is from 6 to 10 per cent, whereas in Canada the corresponding difference is but 2 per cent. Any plan must, of course, guard the interests of western and southern bankers as carefully as it guards the interests of New York or Chicago bankers; and must be drawn from the standpoints of the farmer and the merchant no less than from the standpoints of the city banker and the country banker.
Theodore Roosevelt, New York Times, March 27, 1922
"These International bankers and Rockefeller-Standard Oil interests control the majority of newspapers and the columns of these papers to club into submission or rive out of public office officials who refuse to do the bidding of the powerful corrupt cliques which compose the invisible government."
Franklin Roosevelt in his first inaugural Address, 1933,
"More important, a host of unemployed citizens face the grim problem of existence, and an equally great number toil with little return. Only a foolish optimist can deny the dark realities of the moment.
Yet our distress comes from no failure of substance. We are stricken by no plague of locusts. Compared with the perils which our forefathers conquered because they believed and were not afraid we have still much to be thankful for. Nature still offers her bounty and human efforts have multiplied it. Plenty is at our doorstep, but a generous use of it languishes in the very sight of the supply. Primarily this is because rulers of the exchange of mankind's goods have failed through their own stubbornness and their own incompetence, have admitted their failure, and have abdicated. Practices of the unscrupulous money changers stand indicted in the court of public opinion, rejected by the hearts and minds of men.
True they have tried, but their efforts have been cast in the pattern of an outworn tradition. Faced by failure of credit they have proposed only the lending of more money. Stripped of the lure of profit by which to induce our people to follow their false leadership, they have resorted to exhortations, pleading tearfully for restored confidence. They know only the rules of a generation of self-seekers. They have no vision, and when there is no vision the people perish.
The money changers have fled from their high seats in the temple of our civilization. We may now restore that temple to the ancient truths. The measure of the restoration lies in the extent to which we apply social values more noble than mere monetary profit.
Happiness lies not in the mere possession of money; it lies in the joy of achievement, in the thrill of creative effort. The joy and moral stimulation of work no longer must be forgotten in the mad chase of evanescent profits. These dark days will be worth all they cost us if they teach us that our true destiny is not to be ministered unto but to minister to ourselves and to our fellow men.
Recognition of the falsity of material wealth as the standard of success goes hand in hand with the abandonment of the false belief that public office and high political position are to be valued only by the standards of pride of place and personal profit; and there must be an end to a conduct in banking and in business which too often has given to a sacred trust the likeness of callous and selfish wrongdoing. Small wonder that confidence languishes, for it thrives only on honesty, on honor, on the sacredness of obligations, on faithful protection, on unselfish performance; without them it cannot live.
Restoration calls, however, not for changes in ethics alone. This Nation asks for action, and action now.
Our greatest primary task is to put people to work. This is no unsolvable problem if we face it wisely and courageously. It can be accomplished in part by direct recruiting by the Government itself, treating the task as we would treat the emergency of a war, but at the same time, through this employment, accomplishing greatly needed projects to stimulate and reorganize the use of our natural resources.
Hand in hand with this we must frankly recognize the overbalance of population in our industrial centers and, by engaging on a national scale in a redistribution, endeavor to provide a better use of the land for those best fitted for the land. The task can be helped by definite efforts to raise the values of agricultural products and with this the power to purchase the output of our cities. It can be helped by preventing realistically the tragedy of the growing loss through foreclosure of our small homes and our farms. It can be helped by insistence that the Federal, State, and local governments act forthwith on the demand that their cost be drastically reduced. It can be helped by the unifying of relief activities which today are often scattered, uneconomical, and unequal. It can be helped by national planning for and supervision of all forms of transportation and of communications and other utilities which have a definitely public character. There are many ways in which it can be helped, but it can never be helped merely by talking about it. We must act and act quickly.
Finally, in our progress toward a resumption of work we require two safeguards against a return of the evils of the old order: there must be a strict supervision of all banking and credits: and investments, so that there will be an end to speculation with other people's money; and there must be provision for an adequate but sound currency." End
I strongly suggest if the New Zealand Green Party want to truly assist the basically decent majority of this nation that they follow their United States Of America party of the same name and do something of merit that would acheive both the economic and social justice that they claim to pursue. Underwriting own own money supply by building of sustainable energy infrastructure would appear to also be a far more descent way of acheiving carbon emmission reductions than creating another great merry money go round that will favour only the private bankers who currently issue the worlds money supply as monetised debt, that would in all probability not impeed the growth of carbon for all the misery the $50 odd trillion of 'investment' + compounding interest, they claiming it will cost the global citizenship.
If you folks want to prevent the repeated cycles of predatory lending of excess created credit with compounding interest attached by private interests, you need to act now. If you do not, you are nothing but another corrupt institution in this nation, plain and simple.
American Bankers Association, 1891, as printed in the Congressional Record of April 29, 1913;
"On September 1st, 1894, we will not renew our loans under any consideration. On September 1st wee will demand our money. We will foreclose and become mortgagees in possession. We can take two-thirds of the farms west of the Mississippi, and thousands of them east of the Mississippi as well, at out own price... Then the farmers will become tenants as in England."
U.S. Banker's Association Magazine, 1924;
"Capital must protect itself in every way. Debts must be collected, mortgages foreclosed as rapidly as possible. When through the process of law the common people lose their homes, they will become more docile and more easily governed through the strong arm of government applied by a central power of wealth under leading financiers. People without homes will not quarrel with their leaders. This is well known among our principal men now engaged in forming an imperialism of capitalism to govern the world. By dividing the people we can get them to expend their energies in fighting over questions of no importance to us except as teachers of the common herd. It is thus by discreet action we can secure for ourselves that which has been so well planned and so successfully accomplished."
Regards
Iain Parker
Public Credit Advocate
Bugger off please.
Bugger off please.
Nice turn of phrase but I
Nice turn of phrase but I think IP's arguments have more substance.
Agreed KiwiD.... but does he
Agreed KiwiD.... but does he have to post a Magna Carta ...every ....bloody ....uh..time.
I've got eyeball ache.
Well paragraph one alone
Well paragraph one alone could be your stumbling block Iain.......You sent it to the Greens..?
First of all if you want them to read it........ you need to send it in.. Vegetarian Menu Format
You will find repeated reference to amethyst a real attention getter.
Sign off in honey scented candle wax... for effect.
But most of all Iain ..most of all...you need to word it.. in such a way ..as to make them think ..they gave you the idea... in the first place.
And BULLSEYE.
Wonderful comments! I am not
Wonderful comments! I am not alone in feeling it really is not worth making a submission to people I don't know and have no reason to respect. The tax working group was so unbelievably lame and totally lacking in creativity, will this bunch do any better?
The weird and stupid statement they put out is not a good sign.
We have had inflation for so long that we think it normal and have come to live with it. Inflation is savings destruction. The way to get ahead has been to borrow and buy assets. The assets then give a growing return as prices rise and the borrowings lose value. Voila! Kiwis may be a bit slow but now most have figured this out.
Presumably we need a savings destruction policy to prevent a return to a feudal society. However, the concentration of wealth in the US looks more and more feudal by the day. There must be a better way.
This is deep stuff but hopefully someone has a bright idea, er, someone,,,,
"the concentration of wealth
"the concentration of wealth in the US looks more and more feudal by the day"
The politicians are trying desperately to ensure that the debt stays on the books - pitchforks and lamposts being the alternative. The financial elite have publicly come out and said it "let the banks fail and we take society down with us" So debt (and tax) peonage for the middle and lower orders is the neo feudalists prefered option.
But what can't be paid won't be paid and, after a multi decade credit expansion, the level of unpayable debt has reached it's limit - the global financial ponzi is in it's final days.
Phil posted up the other day about some very ordinary house in Sydney going for a million. Now the occupants weren't hot shot business people or bankers or super qualified engineers or anything, these were suburban dance instructors or dog groomers or something. To illustrate how bizarre things have got, these folks clothes would have been made up by a seamstress in China or Vietnam on 50cents an hour. So this house represents the total of 1,000 years labour for the seamstres. There is something very out of balance here and I suspect it is not down to the exceptional productive capacity of said dog groomer. What absurdity of circumstance allowed this level of complexity to develop?
Seems to me this debt structure is resting on the most flimsy of foundations with a huge game of "lets pretend" being played out before our eyes. What's the end game when it's realized that all debt (and therefore fiat money) is worthless - hyperinflationary collapse?
I loved Olly Newlands comment
I loved Olly Newlands comment (cant remember where it was printed sorry) that anyone who takes Mary Holm's advice deserves to loose their shirt. Ha.
America land of the stupid
America land of the stupid home of the arse****s. But wait that could also sum up the Green's in every country (nice colour like their idea vomitlike)
End Economic Apartheid in New
End Economic Apartheid in New Zealand.
Maybe some repetition might help:
http://www.interest.co.nz/opinion/opinion-gareth-morgan-argues-baptists-and-bootleggers-favour-compulsory-savings-are-just-plain-wrong#comment-571881
Earnings, got it yet? And,
End Economic Apartheid in New Zealand.
All together now ...
Cheers, Les.
www.mea.org.nz
Before you can save you have
Before you can save you have to pay off your debt. Paying off debt will kill the banking system. The working group has to answer this question first, and the only possible answer is to restructure the banking system so that there is something other than "bank credit money" in circulation.
And so basically you have a
And so basically you have a group of people who specialise in relieving us of our money seeking innovative ways of getting us to stop doing that.
To the Savings Commission.
Dear Persons of Note..
I should like to make a submission....of course I shall expect a consultation fee from the public purse.....say....$113000.00 plus travel (should it be required).
I await your response in lucid anticipation.
1) Axe taxes on interest 2)
1) Axe taxes on interest
2) Axe the corporate tax. Tax incomes, not reinvested profits.
3) Abolish the minimum wage. If you want to help low income earners, don't tax them. Raise the threshold for zero tax, and keep raising it. This also gives welfare beneficiaries more incentive to work.
4) Listen to Paul Callaghan. "From Wool to Weta". Farming and Tourism are the backbone of a LOW WAGE economy. Every acre we convert to industrial, commercial and urban use, puts NZ ahead on every score. Making industry and their workforce pay hundreds of times as much for their land as farmers, is economic suicide. Abolish urban limits.
5) Workplace law needs to be realistically established according to whether we are doing more harm than good by disincentivising employers and potential employers. How many people leaving for Aussie every week are "once were employers" or "might have been employers"?
6) Permitting development needs to be put firmly back on a "rule of law" basis. There should a a book of rules, and it should be possible to look it up and see yes/no I can/can't do that here/there and the cost will be "x".
Phil you're an idiot!! The
Phil you're an idiot!! The system you're talking about only exists in China so bugger off there!! if you want to follow the american model, look where they are for following this kind of right wing ideology!!
Now, I can say I've heard
Now, I can say I've heard everything!
Also, if we abolish urban
Also, if we abolish urban limits, house and land packages will be so cheap that people will pay off the mortage decades earlier and be ABLE to start saving.
Besides the baby boomers
Besides the baby boomers having been through a period where obscene capital gains could be made on property, they also remember a period when inflation was so high that there was no POINT saving money.
Here is what needs to be seriously looked at.
What is the relationship between "buying now and paying off"; and "saving up and buying later"? If it is actually CHEAPER to "buy now and pay off", we have a serious, immoral problem. Margins between lending interest rates and borrowing interest rates are only part of the equation - the governemnt's role in all the other factors, monetary and fiscal, are what counts.
And of course there is the "disposable income" issue. This will get very much worse as long as oncoming generations have to pay several times as much for homes (and mortgages) as their grandparents did.
Here's a point,
Here's a point, PB.
.
^
You seem to be missing it.
Phil Best, please tell me you
Phil Best, please tell me you are taking the piss!
FYI, Treasury issued this
FYI, Treasury issued this today - http://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/media-speeches/speeches/pdfs/tp...
Hey Justice, What th govt
Hey Justice,
What th govt needs is to have a 'Minister of anti price gouging by so-called tradesmen'.