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A review of things you need to know before you go home Wednesday; mortgage rate changes; unemployment and wages data; hidden fees; risky apps; bitcoin splits, local rates and NZD lower

A review of things you need to know before you go home Wednesday; mortgage rate changes; unemployment and wages data; hidden fees; risky apps; bitcoin splits, local rates and NZD lower

Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today.

MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
The Cooperative Bank has reduced its 4 year and 5 year rates for owner occupied and standard loans by -10 bps.

DEPOSIT RATE CHANGES
No changes to report today.

UNEMPLOYMENT
The unemployment rate fell to its lowest level since December 2008, reading at 4.8%. Female unemployment was lower in the June quarter, with 10,000 fewer women unemployed, in contrast to men, of which there were 7,000 more unemployed. Employment was also lower at the end of the June quarter, falling to 66.7%, after six consecutive quarters of employment rises. On a y-o-y basis, employment was up +3.1%, much lower than the 4.1% economists were expecting. 20,000 more people reached the working age, taking the working age population to over 3.8 mln.

WAGES
The Labour Cost Index increased by +1.7% on a y-o-y basis and the Quarterly Employment Survey (QES) showed weekly before tax wages rising by +2.3% in the year ended 30-June-2017. Public sector wage growth was +3.6%, resulting in a public sector pay premium of 33.5%, down from 35.7% in the March quarter. The average weekly earnings in the public sector were $1462.42, including overtime, and in the private sector were $1095.08. Overall the average weekly earnings were $1,168.05, which is $30.15 on an hourly basis.

HIDDEN FEES
Consumer NZ chief Sue Chetwin says that shoppers could be paying $68 million each year in hidden fees disguised as "booking" or "service" fees that aren't disclosed upfront. She is calling for all-inclusive pricing rules to be added to the Fair Trading Act. 10,000 consumers have signed the online petition for this to happen.

OVER 1,200 KIWIS SUPPORTED
The $3K to Work grant that supports people relocate to take up employment has seen 1,203 people receive $3.6 mln to help them move off benefits. Over 90% of the recipients, mostly single men aged 20-29, remained in employment and off benefits for longer than 91 days. Around 25% of the recipients were employed in construction and over 180 people took up roles in farming, forestry and fisheries.

RISKY APPS
Apple and Google have dropped over 330 apps from their app stores after intervention from the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC). 63% were offered by binary option issuers and facilitated trading, 25% were from various signal providers and the rest were controlled by introducing brokers or were apps designed to influence people to trade binary options. The apps were dropped as they were unlicensed trading providers and some apps made misleading comments about profits that can be earned from trading. Watch out for any such apps that may still be offered in New Zealand.

LANDLORDS RELUCTANT
The Sustainability Trust says that some landlords are extremely reluctant to insulate investment properties, despite there being subsidies available for landlords with at-risk tenants. Under new legislation, ceiling and underfloor insulation will need to be retrofitted in social housing by July this year, and in all other rental homes by July 2019. Just 4,300 landlords have taken up insulation subsidies, despite a target of 20,000 houses by next June.

BITCOIN SPLITS
Bitcoin's underlying software has split to form a new virtual currency called "Bitcoin Cash", but the virtual currency got off to slow start due to lacklustre support for its network. The split was headed by a small group of Bitcoin miners from China, who were unhappy with the scheduled changes to the Bitcoin technology.

WHOLESALE RATES FALL
Local rates curve is lower and flatter with the 2 year rate falling -4 bps and the 10 year rate falling -6 bps. The 90 day bank bill rate is up +1 bps to 1.96%.

NZ DOLLAR LOWER
The NZD is down almost one cent from this time yesterday, falling to 74.3 USc, not helped by the weaker than expected employment data. On the cross rates we are also lower at 93.4 AUc and at 62.9 euro cents. The TWI-5 is at 76.7. The bitcoin price is at US$2,743.

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Daily exchange rates

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Source: RBNZ
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End of day UTC
Source: CoinDesk

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21 Comments

Regarding the Bitcoin hard fork. I received an email from one of the NZ exchanges saying they would freeze all transactions as they do not agree with BCC. Does anyone have any comments regarding this.

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They froze the transactions temporarily in-case of any issues and advised if you want "bitcoin cash(BCH)" then move your bitcoin off the exchange. BCH is classed as a alt-coin and they are under no obligation to support it.

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Thanks, though I would of thought the most appealing aspects of holding Bitcoin would be the so called, and much advertised, security of circumnavigating the banks' ability to freeze accounts under such things as OBR rules. However if alt coin exchanges simply decide unilaterally to freeze transactions, I would of thought that is even more restrictive than OBR rules, especially in a small country as NZ where there is limited ability to exchange these coins on the street. I really have no understanding of such matters, but as blockchain seems to be inevitable it might be prudent for people to try and educate themselves.

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The first rule of bitcoin is: If you don't hold the keys you don't own the bitcoin.
The bitcoin on the exchange are not in your control just like your money in the bank.
They froze the withdrawals from their own wallets to protect themselves. Understandable really.

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I agree, except fiat is readily accepted as a currency (for now) closely followed by gold. The New Zealand market for Bitcoin seems to be a little small at the moment to be holding any amounts over and above Monopoly money ?

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It was a fair enough move, they weren't sure where it would go - Bitcoin, new Bitcoin and old Bitcoin, nobody really knows. There'll be plenty more of this in a Judean's Peoples front, People's front of Judea style. It's still in it's infancy, I switched to Ethereum over that little period and have made some reasonablish gains. I think the key to mass wealth, is finding the next Bitcoin, which is a massive gamble/risk as everyone and their aunt is proclaiming they're the next Bitcoin. Out of interest what do you use to trade?

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it was only going to go one way Bitcoin(BTC) was always going to be Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash(BCH was a new thing.
Mass wealth is a illusion the ignorant are chasing. There is no next Bitcoin...

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I thought Ethereum was the way to go purely as Visa was joining with them, but I suppose it is the technology that is important not the value of the alt coin

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I've looked at Eth vs Eth Classic, it'll be interesting if there's any splitters from Bitcoin, there doesn't seem to be massive headway in Eth Classic, despite it being "true" to crypto foundational policies. There'll be a next Bitcoin, much like there's a new tulip craze or social media platform, it's deciphering whether it's crock of shit or not, or being first to realize it is more pertinently....

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It is probably and I would go as far as saying it is a "crock of $hit" as you put it, somewhat akin to the housing market and all power to the person who can see the collapse first, although at least one is not playing with ordinary people's ability to put a roof over their heads

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ha, yeah, I was going to liken it to the housing Ponzi, but that's a bit of sore subject on here :)

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Can I ask which exchange you use or if you think that 1 is better ? Thanks Alex

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I received a newsletter from Kiwi-Coin, but haven't traded anything yet, just trying to learn.

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Thanks , will have a look at it to

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... Bitcoin is falling to bits , huh ?

Well , you've got to larf , dontcha ... as it's written in the name ... isn't it .... ha ha ...

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The beauty of open-source software is that anyone can copy the code and innovate. The BCH guys believe their version has value and the market will decide.

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Clearly, IIRC, NZ is an 'irreducibly Pluvial Country'....by looking at all of that Blue on the maps. Or is that a Gnats-win prediction?

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... its gonna be the first spring since I was a little Gummy Boy , where I didn't need to wet my plants ...

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Off topic (or is it open forum?) but if you want to know what led to the wars in Yugoslavia, Iraq, Syria etc check out this from the very good Defend Democracy Press: Neocons Have Been Destroying Sovereign Nations for 20 Years. Includes a very revealing video from General Wesley Clark: Wars Were Planned - Seven Countries In Five Years
http://www.defenddemocracy.press/neocons-have-been-destroying-sovereign…

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No Central banks maybe ?

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Over 1200 Kiwis Supported - What a great success!

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