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QV says national house prices up 6.5% in past year; Auckland up 11%, but rate of growth might be slowing now

Property
QV says national house prices up 6.5% in past year; Auckland up 11%, but rate of growth might be slowing now
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Latest figures from QV.co.nz show that New Zealand house prices rose 6.5% in the year to March.

In Auckland, the hotspot for market activity, prices were up 11%. The average price in Auckland was NZ$620,605, which was 13.4% higher than the market peak in 2007.

The New Zealand average was NZ$429,061, which was 3.3% above 2007 levels.

However, QV research director Jonno Ingerson said that while nationwide values were still increasing, there were signs that the rate of increase had slowed in the past month or two in Auckland, Hamilton, Christchurch and Dunedin.

"However it is still too early to tell if this is the start of a more widespread slowing of values."

Ingerson said the markets in the provincial centres remained variable with no universal trends evident either over the past three months or the past year.

The number of properties on the market remains limited, particularly in Auckland.

"This has constrained the number of sales at a time when buyers have generally shown more confidence and have been keen to purchase."

Within the Auckland region areas such as Rodney and the old Auckland City continued to show somewhat slower rates of growth over the past three months than had previously been seen and in comparison to other areas. But overall, values were still markedly above last year, with North Shore seeing the greatest increase at 11.6%.

QV Operations Manager Kerry Stewart said the continued lack of Auckland listings had worsened over the past month as people started to hold on to their properties more, especially in the wake of the release of the draft unitary plan.

"Many buyers are also starting to feel that house prices are unreasonable and are waiting it out to see if houses become more affordable."

Outside of Auckland, the main cities continued to increase, though at varying rates.

Hamilton grew 1.3% in the past three months and 4.6% in the year.

Tauranga continued to fluctuate within a narrow range, rising 0.8% over the past three months but just 0.3% on this time last year.

Values in the Wellington area have increased since November after being relatively steady for most of 2012. Values there are now 2.1% above this time last year.

QV Valuer Pieter Geill said that although the Wellington market had been busy, it had been relatively unpredictable, with houses that were expected to sell quickly sticking around for longer.

"Houses priced too high, or perceived as quirky or in need of renovation appear to be putting younger buyers off," he said.

"Houses around the NZ$300,000 mark are selling quickly in the Hutt Valley, with many buyers tapping into the KiwiSaver first home deposit subsidy, which in the Hutt Valley is capped at house and land packages valued at NZ$300,000. In Wellington City there has been good activity around properties in the NZ$1-1.3 million bracket as well as entry level homes around NZ$450,000. The apartment market is slow at present."

Christchurch values remained significantly above last year with a 7.8% increase. The outlying areas such as Waimakariri and Selwyn continued to hold their value, although the increase in recent months has been slower than seen previously.

QV Valuer Daryl Taggart said on Christchurch: "The market is still quite strategic with vendors not wanting to show their hand too much if they can help it. The outlying areas appear to be not selling like they used to but could see slight lifts again in the future."

Dunedin had seen a 1.7% increase over the past three months, leaving it 4.4% up on last year.

The main provincial centres were still experiencing increases in values, albeit at different rates around the country. Some areas where values had previously been faltering, such as Rotorua (up 0.5% over the past three months) and Gisborne (up 1.9% over the past three months) had also seen a turn around and were now experiencing increases. Whangarei continued to buck the trend, with a 0.9% decrease over the past three months.

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17 Comments

Neatly summed up from Olly Newland's website:

 

"These statistics only confirm what everyone knew already.
Prices have risen again but may be having a bit of a breather and “a cup of tea” in a manner of speaking.
The property market, like all markets, is a pendulum which swings from one side to the other and left alone will balance itself out eventually.
That’s why those who mindlessly want interference in the market by the authorities should be careful for what they wish for.
Interference in the market invariably leads to distortions which will enrich the few who know how to manipulate the market, while disadvantaging the rest".

 

www.ollynewland.co.nz

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Totally Agree Big D.

We should therefore apply housing LVRs comparable with small businesses, tax capital gains as income, and remove housing subsidies.

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Bigdaddy

I would not take to much notice of Olly I think he is now looking after his retirement plan.He started to agree with bankers now the first time in his life.I think his comments are for his own interest not the market.Went to hear him speak the other not impressed.

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What's he trying to say there Big Daddy....? I just ran it through Bernard's Bullshit meter and it couldn't make any sense of it ........go figure eh..?

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House Prices in NZ are at artifical levels. Why? Because of Central banks around the world in the USA, Europe, Japan etc have made it this way. Stimulus after stimulus, quantitive easing after quantitive easing. Cheap credit after cheap credit, bubble after bubble.  Eventually this will end. Stock markets and bond markets are also artifically inflated because of central banks. 

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Starfish1

You are right on the money.

Banks manipulating and controlling markets.It is going to be good to see them fall flat on there faces again.

 

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This QV data is for sales that settled in the 3 months up to March - Many sales that took place in Jan/Feb will not have settled yet - so QV data doesn't reflect the rampant market activity that has taken place in Feb/Mar - Barfoots data probably a better reflection of what's happening in the Auckland market.

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David

You are off the pace the wheels fell off the market on Auckland,s North shore 3 weeks ago as per front page of Herald today.Stop looking at old data and go out into market and see what is happening.This news flash may help you.

 

News Flash       News Flash       News Flash

  • ¾ of properties not selling under hammer.
  • Price correction coming very soon.
  • Negotiate a fair and reasonable deal from now on. No need to panic buy.
  • Only a few hotspots still getting silly prices.
  • Rest of market falling flat and wheels falling off.
  • No shortage of stock in Auckland 11660 properties for sale at present
  • Politicians don’t have finger on pulse.100 years of building in the southeast to Bombays and northwest Waimauku to Orewa.
  • Major shortage of funding for new builds. Banks won’t fund this manipulating and controlling market.
  • Doing the same with farming major, major crash coming here very soon.
  • Bankers and Real-estate industry are the only people talking it up.
  • Bankers trying to protect their future losses by getting power to steal money off clients when it all goes wrong
  • Creative accounting of sales numbers by real-estate industry.
  • Keep your hands in front pocket and money in back pocket
  • Follow the trend STOP BIDDING AND BUYING AT AUCTION other wise this will cost you up to $440000 over the term of your 20-year mortgage.
  • Buyers have power to take control back don’t be pushed into corners by bankers and real-estate industry.
  • Take action on all of this now.

 

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Even the national old data releases are uninspiring.

 

The New Zealand average was NZ$429,061, which was 3.3% above 2007 levels.

 

Collectively it is a national banking disaster in the making, once finance and maintenance costs are taken into consideration. And discounting the net returns for inflation since 2007 is just unimaginable.

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Black and White, stop nagging and talk to the hand!

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To his credit, he did report what has appeared on front page today; almost 3 weeks ago. That we have runners going around bringing the juice back early is what gives this board its power.

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You wish... what a rant!

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Chairman Moa

This is the same news as 3 weeks ago all on one piece of A4 paper but the real news it is happening out there right now.The opportunities are coming for good Kiwi citizens hold on and enjoy the ride.

Watch and Learn guys

BT city Auction this morning 14 under Hammer 4 sold.I wonder when they are going to report that there auction results have drop to about 20% looking forward to hearing from Peter T next media report.

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Interesting points Black and White... Where did you get your figures from? Further, my observation is, houses that were under the hammer on North Shore, now advertising sales price on sale signs... Just an observation...

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Watch this word Chinese come up over the next 6 months this is where the opportunities will come.Just like 2007 the Chinese builders disappeared back to china with bankers crying in there hankies.All you will see is the rates tails going up the stairs of the planes.

Where are these house Kimy?

Don,t buy these anyone this is the next disaster after leaky homes been in oven for last 10 years the Chinese are very poor builders only into sort cuts and trying to do every cheap does not work this is how we got leaky homes.

 

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Figures come by been at auctions and observing what sells under hammer.Realestate industry creative with these figures may not sell under hammer on day but then sells in negotiation after auction and they will say they sell at auction.This is not selling at auction to my way of thinking.You are right they will then advertise with price.Seen one property the other day passed in at $680 at auction then listed the next day at $767 the greed has creeped in.I purchased a house 2 doors down 12 months ago for $535 similar.This is not good for market or anyone.

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Figures come by been at auctions and observing what sells under hammer.Realestate industry creative with these figures may not sell under hammer on day but then sells in negotiation after auction and they will say they sell at auction.This is not selling at auction to my way of thinking.You are right they will then advertise with price.Seen one property the other day passed in at $680 at auction then listed the next day at $767 the greed has creeped in.I purchased a house 2 doors down 12 months ago for $535 similar.This is not good for market or anyone.

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