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90 seconds at 9 am: Yields up; Dow rises above 15,000; Gold tumbles; central bankers jawbone; Basel triggers bank hunt for new capital; NZ$1 = US$0.778, TWI = 73.5

90 seconds at 9 am: Yields up; Dow rises above 15,000; Gold tumbles; central bankers jawbone; Basel triggers bank hunt for new capital; NZ$1 = US$0.778, TWI = 73.5

Here's my summary of the key news overnight in 90 seconds at 9 am, including news markets are becoming yield conscious.

William Dudley, the president of the New York Federal Reserve, said that the timeline set out by Ben Bernanke for tapering QE was only “one possible outcome”. Dudley's intervention was the latest attempt by the world's monetary authorities to try to stem the recent rise in government bond yields.

Central bankers are fearful of the consequences, finance ministers of debt laden countries even more so. And bond investors are quickly tiring of low yields when they look likely to come with capital losses.

Investors are jumping to equities - the Dow is up over 15,000 again - and to property, although rising mortgage rates are a threat there. (Even the RBNZ now says higher rates are the wrong way to tackle the sharp run-up in house prices here.) US stocks rose because of upbeat economic data on housing, jobless claims and consumer spending.

Gold fell below US$1,200/oz at 6am this morning although it is hovering just above that level currently. It has been a big fall - about another 2% - and was triggered by the big US Treasury auction which saw yields rise. Gold has no yield, and along with the prospect of further capital declines, investors dumped the yellow metal. But it more than investors who are losers; central banks with large holdings are facing embarrassing writedowns.

China is still doing its bit to hold interest rates down after its liquidity scare of last week.

EU finance ministers say they have agreed on how to rescue troubled banks in any future crisis - without leaving taxpayers to face the bill. But they are still struggling to rescue troubled countries and France's troubles seem to be growing.

Also out overnight, new international bank rules on leverage are expected to put a squeeze on big European banks who may have to scramble for new capital. American banks have had leverage rules for a long time. But big American banks don't get off scot-free - those same rules undermine how they have been netting derivative positions, so there will be a capital scramble on their side of the Atlantic too.

This hunt for new capital is another market pressure that is likely to raise yields.

The NZ dollar starts ends the month pretty much unchanged from yesterday at 77.8 USc, 83.9 AUc, and the TWI is at 73.5.

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7 Comments

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Welcome home!  Yes, cold is right. It's been six months of extremes, that's for sure.

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Great selection, Andrew - provided you are not intent on defending the Status Quo. From Golem, and far better in context:

 

Suppressing the Truth

What Mr Howard did not quote is the next line from Goebbels.

It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”

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On the Gold thingy there David, while writedowns may appear embarrassing for some , I think you have to at least give some thought to the U.S. holding the lions share of those reserves at about 8,100 firmly reinforcing their position as the reserve currency.

You need control at one end to maintain control at the other, and hey what the hells a writedown while the printers still warm.....eh..?

And yes the poor gold bug has taken a hammering ....yet again, just more captured money.

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Also looking for new capital:

http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/farming/dairy/8853630/Offer-for-investo…

The 181-hectare irrigated property with a 168ha milking base is being offered to a new syndicate after several major investors opted to sell their investment.

MyFarm put the farm on the market, but when it did not sell they offered it to a new group.

The six investors were getting out for genuine reasons, said national sales manager Grant Payton. A German fund investor wanted to realise its returns and another investor wanted to expand another farm operation.

The investors stood to make a total return of 10 per cent on their investment and the farm was being syndicated again because there was still value, he said.

A $13 million Hinds dairy farm is being resyndicated, with a new offer introduced to allow smaller investors to become part of dairying in Canterbury.

An investor group of 10 to 15 investors is likely to take the shareholding.....

 

We hear production mentioned is round 1,700 kgMS/ha.

Refer our earlier posts re german wellbeing...

What does the group think, a leg up, or over.....

 

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I suspect things may be getting a little bit desperate when one share is having to be  split into $20,000 units for "mum and dad" investors.

 

Your $20,000 appears to give you the rough equivalent of a one cow, one quarter ha, share of profit along with 440 Fonterra shares 'worth' $3,100.

 

Sounds as good as gold or silver was.

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imagine the phone call. Sorry mate it died. what died , your cow, sorry mate but I need to look after the investors that actually own a cow.  Tags are in the mail,bye bye.

 

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