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- BNZ ends 2 tier home loan offers 28
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- House price inflation up, sales down 19
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- 90 seconds at 9 am: China stutters 8
- Always risks around 'sure bets' 7
90 seconds at 9 am: China house prices rise; US business lending grows; Ireland upgraded; Demographia reports; bond yields and swaps fall; NZ$1 = US$0.825 TWI = 78.4
Here's my summary of the key news overnight in 90 seconds at 9 am, including news the real estate bubble keeps growing in China.
New-home prices in China’s cities defined by the government as first tier rose more than 15% in December, led by Guangzhou and Shenzhen in the south, as local property curbs failed to deter buyers.
The REINZ house price data for December will be out either today or tomorrow.
Reuters is reporting that bank lending to businesses have risen to a record high and bank managers say they are increasingly optimistic about the American economy.
Increasing demand for bank loans often is a prelude to higher economic growth. With the US government budget crisis seemingly sorted for now and Europe showing signs of economic recovery, companies are feeling more comfortable borrowing to invest in machinery, factories, and buildings.
The credit rating agency Moody's upgraded Ireland's debt from junk status over the weekend saying their economy has good potential for growth. Moody's was the only one of the big three credit rating agencies to push Ireland below investment grade. A stronger construction sector is aiding that growth.
The annual Demographia survey which tracks and benchmarks median multiples across a number of countries, is out today, its 10th review. This review uses house prices at 3 times household income as a measure of 'affordability'. For 2013, it says New Zealand was at 5.5 times and Auckland at 8 times. By its standards, only Ireland, Canada and the US had some markets that are 'affordable'. (It is not clear whether this new survey, based on September data, uses New Zealand's latest Census results.)
Benchmark UST 10yr bond yields fell to 2.82% - in fact, NZ swap rates start the week a lot lower, off between 2 and 5 bps across the curve with the curve flattening.
The NZ dollar starts today well of its Friday highs at 82.5 USc, 93.9 AUc and the TWI is at 78.4. It fell back across the board in final trading on Saturday in New York.
If you want to catch up with all the changes on Friday, we have an update here.
The easiest place to stay up with today's event risk is by following our Economic Calendar here »