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US data underwhelms; airlines see good cargo growth; Malaysian fund defaults; ANZ adds more units for offloading; UST 10yr yield 1.93%; oil and gold up; NZ$1 = 68.8 US¢, TWI-5 = 71.8

US data underwhelms; airlines see good cargo growth; Malaysian fund defaults; ANZ adds more units for offloading; UST 10yr yield 1.93%; oil and gold up; NZ$1 = 68.8 US¢, TWI-5 = 71.8

Here's my summary of the key events overnight that affect New Zealand, with news that more bits of ANZ may be up for sale.

But first, there was a set of core American economic data out overnight which shows a weakening tone.

New orders for manufactured durable goods in the US in March increased +0.8% to $230.7 billion, a smaller rise than markets were expecting. Transportation equipment drove the increase. This increase, up two of the last three months, followed a -3.1% February decrease.

This data confirmed the latest factory PMI data which has recently shown an expansion that is running out of steam. On the much more important services front, the US economy is holding its own with a modest expansion still in place.

US consumer confidence, as recorded by the Conference Board index, which had increased in March, declined moderately in April.

And house prices in the US rose +5.3% in February according to the Case-Shiller Index, the same rate of increase as for the previous month. But there were some notably strong regional gains, especially in the West; Portland rose +11.9% year-over-year, Seattle +11.0%, and Denver +9.7%.

Despite these trimmed American growth data points, the world's airlines still see good trade growth in 2016 for both passengers and air cargoes.

Troubled Malaysian government investment fund 1Malaysia Development Bhd. defaulted on a series of bonds yesterday as part of an on-going dispute with the Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund, depressing the country’s stock and currency markets and raised concerns that their government may eventually have to spend billions to bail out the fund.

In Australia, the rumours about ANZ bank offloading parts of its Mike Smith empire are growing. First it was UDC, then stakes in three Asian-based banks, and now its discount brokerage business in Australia, E*Trade. In New Zealand ANZ has a similar business ANZ Securities, and presumably it will be in the mix for divestment too.

In New York the benchmark UST 10yr yield keeps rising and is now at 1.93%. That is seven consecutive days of rises now. We are seeing similar small regular rises in our local wholesale rates.

The oil price is up too and is now just on US$44/barrel in the US, while Brent is now just under US$46/barrel.

The gold price is up a smidge as well at US$1,242/oz.

And finally today, the NZ dollar opens little changed from yesterday, now at 68.8 US¢, at 88.9 AU¢, and at 61 euro cents. The TWI-5 index is now at 71.8, still in the range it has been in all year.

If you want to catch up with all the local changes yesterday, we have an update here.

The easiest place to stay up with event risk today is by following our Economic Calendar here ».

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14 Comments

interesting are ANZ trying to strengthen its balance sheet/capital ahead of the election. in theory if labour win and they get rid of neg gearing it is estimated it will drop house prices by up to 10%

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More to do with appeasing disgruntled shareholders - annual losses around 35%

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LOL i am one of those, my holding is still positive though as brought in after the 2008 GFC when they were as cheap as chips

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Really? Doesn't say much about your trading skill does it.

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Things are tough in the land of the free, although the drought is well and truely over and looking like a bumper spring, problems with debt and employment are showing up weakness in the economy.

>>
In just the last week, two high-profile companies, Peabody Energy and XXI Energy, filed for bankruptcy protection, bringing the junk bond defaults in the month of April to $14 billion.

And April is not even finished yet!
In March, a whopping $16.4 billion of loans went bad—the fifth straight month of defaults greater than $5 billion.

In the first quarter of 2016, 21 companies have defaulted on loans worth $31.4 billion, which is the fifth-highest quarterly default in history!

http://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/halliburton-cuts-6000-jobs-ami…

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/20/technology/intel-earnings-job-cuts.ht…

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-11/alcoa-earnings-beat-a…

http://ktla.com/2016/03/30/boeing-to-cut-4000-jobs-in-continued-effort-…

http://www.star-telegram.com/news/business/article69326397.html

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-06/nokia-plans-global-re…

http://www.freep.com/story/money/cars/chrysler/2016/04/06/fiat-chrysler…

get the trend

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The oil price goes up even though there is a 'glut' and the oil patch is laying off at a record rate (due to fracking sludge no longer being profitable), expect a bang when the glut clears which is why the oil speculators are taking a punt!

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Actually, the drought is not over, and Lake Mead is looking in very bad shape, with the lowest water level since the 1930s, when it was filling.

http://mead.uslakes.info/level.asp

When Hilary gets installed she will start a war and get things moving in the land of the free.

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Just one example of how ridiculous things have got:

Otara, 80% of homes being bought by investors, down too 28% overall home ownership. Crazy

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Its because those Otarians are frittering away their cash on flat whites and overseas trips. They need to learn to sacrafice like the property owning classes who have worked and sacraficed hard for their untaxed capital gains.

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Andrew, Can you explain to me why owning houses is part of a "Free Trade" agreement, are we going to export them or the land?

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we want to sell milk powder, don't we?

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And the Revenues keep climbing.....every person who makes a demand of the Government is at fault here......it is the hefty money extraction from private enterprise to the public purse and idiots in Wellington dividing up the loot using percentages which just creates wasteful extravagant expenditure among the bureaucrats and public services.They cannot learn to tighten their belts according to what we can trade!
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/new-zealand/government-revenues

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Next to tank will be the tax take.

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