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Aussie apartment developers facing the squeeze from Chinese companies are set to move into the Auckland market

Property
Aussie apartment developers facing the squeeze from Chinese companies are set to move into the Auckland market

Australian apartment developers are taking an increasing interest in the Auckland market as they find it difficult to compete against huge Chinese companies on their home turf.

Bruce Whillans  of commercial real estate agency Ray White Commercial Auckland, said there was growing interest in the Auckland apartment market from Australian developers, who viewed Auckland as a more attractive development proposition than Sydney or Melbourne.

"We've had two quite substantial groups out of Melbourne approach us in the last month and their situation is that they've been very active in the Melbourne apartment market and they had been looking to move into Sydney," Whillans said.

"But they've found that both Sydney and Melbourne are now awash with this new wave of Chinese developers that are paying top end prices, if not above market prices for land and they are just being pushed out and are missing out on opportunities.

"There's been constant commentary about the strength of the Auckland housing market which has been getting across to the other side of the Tasman, so they are looking to Auckland as an alternative to grow their business. They see it as a space they'd like to try."

Whillans (pictured left) said both companies were actively looking for sites to acquire in Auckland and both had a long record of successful developments in Australia and had solid financial backing.

"The difference between the Australian development market and the New Zealand development market is that most of the Australian developers have serious balance sheets," he said.

However Whillans also expected to see a pick up in development activity from Chinese investors in this country, however it may not be from the same Chinese companies that are active in the Australian market.

"I think the wave of Chinese investors we've seen in New Zealand to date have mainly been high net worth individuals looking to diversify out of their region," he said.

"The liberalisation of some Chinese monetary policies means some have decided to move money out of China and park it down here.

"They understand land and many of them have just been buying land to land bank," he said.

However some of them were also developers and he was aware of two major residential developments in Auckland, at New Lynn and Albany, that were being undertaken by private Chinese developers.

Whillans said most of the Chinese developers active in Australia were huge, multinational companies like Shanghai-based Greenland Group, which is currently developing what will be Australia's tallest residential building, the Greenland Centre in downtown Sydney.

"Companies like Greenland Group, which is one of the largest developers from China who are now taking Melbourne and Sydney by storm, it's companies like that that the local Australian developers are finding it hard to compete against," he said.

Whillans said Greenland Group had sent a delegation of executives to this country about two months ago to look at the Auckland market, but he did not think the big Chinese companies would be in a hurry to come here.

"I think the bigger Chinese developers just look at the population of Australia and the size of its cities, and I'm not sure whether Auckland is big enough for them," he said.

"I think we are probably going to see a group of developers come here but I'm not sure it's going to be the big corporates."

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*Bruce Whillans founded Whillans Realty Group five years ago and the company has traded as Ray White Commercial Auckland since then. However the Ray White franchise expires on July 1 and Whillans said he had decided not to renew it.

He said although the arrangement had been a happy one, Ray White was primarily known as a residential agency. "We found it difficult to come out from under the residential shadow,"  he said.

The agency will operate as Whillans Realty Group from next month.

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9 Comments

What is going on??

The Chinese forcing up the price of development land. Are they then making a profit with their development or just intent on forcing up the price of the end product??

It appears we are about to become entirely at the behest of China. They will control the supply of new homes (by land banking and forcing up land cost), they will control the supply of rentals (by buying all of our current properties at inflated prices), they will control our primary industries (by buying up land at inflated prices and then gaining control of supply).

Overall, invasion with an endless supply of money to buy all assets is far more effective than invasion with infantry - fiat money is infinite...how do we defeat something that is infinite??

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I've been using booking.com for a number of NZ hotel/motel bookings over the last few days and I noticed this statement on all the properties that I looked at on that site: "We speak your language!".

What language are they referring to, I wonder?

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Not mine they've over booked on us twice useless a@&$)$es, left us bedless in Toowomba, motel manager said it wasn't her fault as she doesn't look at internet booking and we should just ring. I'd call it third world but that'd be insulting.

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Chris_J ... the same things were being said about Japan and Japanese investment in the 1980s. Look what happened there.

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What is going on? The Chinese are smart and we are not. Foreigners are barred from buying land or real estate in China, if they open a company then it has to be joint venture with a majority Chinese partner and it is not even easy to transfer profits out of China, if you make any (they want you to re-invest).

Hence within the last few decades there has been a massive transfer of knowledge, jobs and capital away from us and into China. Now the capital is coming back and our governments are so anti-patriotic that they do not even legislate against foreign takeovers as the Chinese do themselves.

Consider changing your voting patterns, or book a language course.

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Don't give up CJ.
The crash currently happening in the Chinese stock market might be about to even up the playing field.

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Check out what this graph of Combined capital city median land prices for Australia.

http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2015/04/australian-land-prices-go-verti…

Land prices have gone vertical! How long can that be sustained?

and

"Since mid-2012, development site prices have doubled," he said. "Three years ago you could buy in North Sydney at a site price equivalent to $148,000 a unit. Now its not less than $300,000."

"The big issue now is construction costs. That is a major factor starting to rear its head.

"You used to be able to build, six stories or under for $250,000 a unit. Now it is $300,000. And high rise has gone from $325,000 a unit to $400,000. And there is difficulty in engaging a builder, even at an elevated price, because they have so much work on."

http://www.afr.com/real-estate/one-developer-is-selling-sites-not-apart…

Finally lets look at some aussie history of housing bubbles.

http://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/rearvision/the-history-of-…

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And the construction cost isn't likely to be the building materials or workmanship.
Follow the money,...

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Well the numbers for apartment building costs in Sydney-6 stories and under, per unit.

Three year ago. Land under $150K, Construction $250K, so total cost = $400K.

Now Land over $300K, construction $300K, so total cost = $600K

So in three years the 'gains' in affordability from going higher density has been swallowed up in escalating site (mostly) and construction costs.

What is the solution?

In theory you can increase density an infinite number of times. But in practice the boxes get pretty small, as the cubeliving people demonstrate.

http://www.cubeliving.ca/

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