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Keith Woodford provides an update on A2 milk, noting good science always wins out in the long run, but this can require a long journey with many twists and turns

Rural News / opinion
Keith Woodford provides an update on A2 milk, noting good science always wins out in the long run, but this can require a long journey with many twists and turns
good science

I have been involved with the A2 milk journey since 2004 when I first started writing about A1 and A2 beta-casein. Then in 2007 I wrote the book ‘Devil in the Milk’ about A1 and A2 beta-casein and the associated milk politics. That caused quite some controversy. An American edition followed in 2009, then a New Zealand update was published in 2010, and then in 2018 there was a Russian language edition. There were also requests more recently for an edition in other languages, but I turned those down because I knew that a totally new version was required to bring things up to date.

I had planned for that to be written in 2023, but my own health issues got in the way and it is still sitting on the back burner. Time will tell.

In the meantime, my recent article on Synlait and its problems, including the disagreements between Synlait and The a2 Milk Company, has led to email correspondence with readers asking: what is happening within the overarching A2 milk category? It seems to have gone quiet, they say.

Yes, it has gone relatively quiet, but it is far from dead. The supermarket where my family buys milk sells three brands of A2 milk, sourced from three different suppliers, these being Fonterra, Lewis Road and Fresha Valley. There is also a broad range of micro brands at regional level. There are at least three brands of A2 infant formula sold in New Zealand, and there is A2 ice cream from Appleby in both my supermarket and in my fridge.

First, some clarity on the difference between ‘a2 Milk’ and ‘A2 milk’. The first of these terms with the small ‘a’ is a trademark of ‘The a2 Milk Company’ who pioneered the concept of A2 milk both in New Zealand and globally. In contrast, ‘A2 milk’ with a capital ‘A’ is a generic category of milk where all of the beta-casein is of the A2-type.   

The term ‘A2 milk’ is a term that I and others were using long before the trademark ‘a2 Milk’ came into existence. Accordingly, and linked also to A2 being the original natural form of beta-casein, there are no patents relating to the milk itself. Hence, there should also be no trademarks preventing any dairy company from marketing milk labelled as ‘A2 milk’ as long as it is free of A1 beta-casein.   

However, The a2 Milk Company is very litigious and new entrants to the category do get a ‘cease and desist’ letter for using ‘A2 milk’ to describe their products.

Small companies are typically scared to take on a company like The a2 Milk Company, which has more than $750 million in the bank, no debt, and is now back in the NZX10. So, often they try to avoid the threat by using terms like ‘A2 protein’ ‘or A2 infant formula’.

The a2 Milk Company still likes to throw its weight around in regard to whether those terminologies are acceptable, but it did lose two recent contests about A2 trademarks with Danone and Theland. We may not have heard the end of the trademark disputes.

The renaming of ‘A2 Corporation’ to ‘The a2 Milk Company’ and the registration of ‘a2 Milk’ as a trademark was a clever commercial ploy, which arguably should never have been accepted, given the confusion it creates. Fonterra also uses the same ‘a2’ trademark but that is under licence from ‘The a2 Milk Company’. 

The key point to remember here is that in anything I write, the use of ‘A2’ or ‘A2 milk’ refers to a category of milk where all the beta-casein is of the A2-type. Any term using ‘a2’ by itself, or at the start of a word, refers to products of The a2 Milk Company or other companies that it has licensed. For example, Fonterra’s a2-labelled milk is produced by Fonterra itself, but Fonterra pays a fee to The a2 Milk Company to use the trademark.

The a2 Milk Company, the biggest A2 marketer in the game, currently purchases all of its infant formula in a consumer-ready state from Synlait. It is currently the fifth largest marketer across all infant-formula categories in China, not just the A2 category.

After exceptional growth between 2010 and 2018, such that The a2 Milk Company was the largest company on the New Zealand stock exchange of any type, things have definitely quietened down. There are at least four contributing reasons for this.

The first reason was that a2 Milk was hit hard by COVID. They had been very entrepreneurial in their alliance with daigou who were local Australian Chinese in Australia who themselves wished to send the product to China-based colleagues. With COVID, this trade fell apart.

The second reason is that only limited clinical research has been undertaken recently. This is in part because A2 products cannot be patented as such. So, no dairy company is willing to fund major research that other dairy companies will also benefit from. Also, lack of patents means that none of the pharmaceutical companies that fund development of new drugs are going to research the health implications of A1 versus A2 beta-casein.

The third reason is that most global dairy companies are in the A2 business purely for risk-management reasons. They cannot afford not to have A2 products in case the A2 message suddenly becomes dominant in the media and they are left behind.  With the exception of The a2 Milk Company whose business is solely related to A2 products, and similarly with several niche companies, life would be simpler for dairy companies if the issue simply went away.

The fourth reason is that most of the health conditions linked to A1 beta-casein are chronic conditions. This means they result from long-term exposure. This makes it very difficult to do clinical trials. This is the same reason that clinical trials have never proved that smoking causes cancer, and hence why it took so many decades for powerful smoking-related health messages to become effective.  It makes for a long journey.

As well as authoring many A2 articles for farmers and consumers, I have also, over the years and as someone who likes to cross the boundaries between economics and science, co-authored six peer-reviewed papers in medical and nutrition journals on A1 and A2 beta-casein. My latest peer-reviewed paper, in this case single-authored, was published in 2021 in the International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. So far, according to Google Scholar, it has in just over two years picked up 17 citations within other scientific papers, where those authors are writing about their own work. Most of my co-authored scientific papers in medical and nutrition journals, published somewhat earlier, have now picked up over 100 citations, with one paper from 2015 totalling more than 200. That seems to say that the A2 issue is far from dead among the medical and nutrition fraternity, and with good reason.

It would be fair to say that most of the scientific beta-casein papers I am associated with initially went against mainstream wisdom. That has gradually changed as others have built on the work we reported.

One of the initial criticisms of the work on A1 versus A2 beta-casein was that it was supposedly highly unlikely that beta-casomorphin7, which is the opioid released from A1 beta-casein, could get through into the human bloodstream. That is now well proven. We also know the factors that influence whether this will occur.

There was also great scepticism whether beta-casomorphin7, if it did get into the bloodstream, could affect so many different organs of the body. However, it is now well understood that most organs of the body, including the pancreas, heart, lungs, kidney, brain and peripheral organs, all have mu-opioid receptors to which the beta-casomorphin7, being itself a mu-opioid, is highly attracted. How that then plays out depends on the individual genetics of the person. Just like with any drug, both the main-effects and the side-effects do vary from person to person.

The areas where it has been easiest to conduct clinical trials relate to digestive effects, reaction time and brain fog. This is because the effects occur within minutes and hours. It is therefore feasible to measure these effects directly in humans.

The irony is that although scientific knowledge continues to build, that information is not yet transferring efficiently to the general population. Another irony is that New Zealand is further down the track of dairy-herd conversion to produce milk free of A1 beta-casein than any other developed country.  It could have been a winner.

A third irony is that human milk is of the A2-type, as is sheep milk, goat milk, and indeed all mammals apart from the European breeds of cattle, where an ancient mutation has caused many modern dairy cows to produce A1 beta-casein.

Good science always wins out in the long run, but it can be a long journey with many twists and turns.  


*Keith Woodford was Professor of Farm Management and Agribusiness at Lincoln University for 15 years through to 2015. He is now Principal Consultant at AgriFood Systems Ltd. You can contact him directly here.

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27 Comments

Imagine a world where universities were facilities that could just conduct research without having to chase a dollar.

Interesting read Keith, thanks.

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Hamish
I sometimes ponder what my career decisions would be if I was starting out again. It would be wonderful to have a career in academia if there was no need to chase funds and student numbers, and there were no internal politics. It was more or less that way when I started out a vey long time ago.
KeithW

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When I got to postgrad level in the early 90's, it felt like there was heavy favoritism of support for students who were going to research within areas that were generating revenue.

This is an interesting read for those not aware of the situation that has been coming to a head for some time now. Kind of another tick against relying to heavily on AI chat bots for getting your 'definitive' answer (Sorry Keith, going off on a bit of a tangent here, but still....)

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9208319/

It is widely accepted that science is universal by nature. However, to make science universal, access to research findings is imperative. The open access model of publication of academic articles was established and consolidated during the last two decades. However, most of the open access journals apply article-processing charges (APCs), which can cost more than USD 10,000.00. In regions where support for research is scarce, these funds are usually not available.

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This is the same reason that clinical trials have never proved that smoking causes cancer, and hence why it took so many decades for powerful smoking-related health messages to become effective.  It makes for a long journey.

It's somewhat of a stretch to equate the scientific journey of A1 milk with tobacco smoking. Even the most ardent A2 convert would admit that it's a more subtle distinction to make ("WHO estimates that each year, in total about 6 million people, die from tobacco-related causes (about 10% of all deaths)").

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There may well be a difference in magnitude, but the analogy seems reasonable to me. Even the early epidemiological data in Keith's original book would be enough for me to keep A1 milk away from children as much as possible. 

What a strange world where regular milk is seen as healthy yet so many are scared of vaccines. 

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kohukohunui
I think you have missed the point. That point was to illustrate how even very powerful health messages in the absence of human clinical trials need a long time to take root and eventually flower, particularly in an environment where there is commercial hostility and and associated power structures. But the A2 issue does have in its favour that some clinical trials are possible and have indeed been undertaken, giving strong results for those effects that show up quickly. KeithW

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A1/tobacco, lets not go there 

The bottom has fallen out of sheep and goat milk markets, which are both naturally A2... Consumers make the final choice

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Sheep and goat milk both earn premium prices but the production costs are considerably more than for bovine milk. I have always been very cautious about both sheep and goat milk industries. I hope they succeed, and the animals are fun to work with, but I have never been confident.
KeithW

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Keith, any idea on how well Spring Sheep is doing in the nutrition space? Scottie Chapman has long gone so I wondered if they had taken a new direction. 

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J.C., Spring Sheep appear to be still in cautious growth mode and doing OK. As such they are an outlier in the NZ sheep milk industry. But with everyone else in trouble it is appropriate to be nervous.
KeithW

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If you have a look at Pamu accounts you’ll see Spring Sheep ltd posted a $9 million dollar Loss for there 1/2 share , that suggests $18 mil for the company

 

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That's fair. Maybe an easier analogy for me is the eventual classification of processed meats as a carcinogen - a subtle but significant effect at a population scale, and with some of the same inertia, even today.

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The evidence against processed meat has been around for a long time and I have always limited my own consumption thereof. but the evidence against red meats apart from the processed meats has always been very weak, and I contribute my fair share to the consumption of these. The exception is that meat burnt on the barbeque is almost certainly carcinogenic, as is also the case with burnt toast!
KeithW

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True. Avoid ultra-processed foods as much as possible and eat everything else in moderation (slow cook your foods to avoid charring and protect heat-sensitive nutrients)!

90% of the global population would benefit immensely from following these easy steps to diet.

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It does beggar belief that our herds are not all A2 by now given that it could be a relatively cost free change process that could have happened over the last 10 years

The dairy companies appear to have missed an opportunity to lead in the market place

Thanks Keith great update 

 

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Keith,

Very informative article.

Why Fonterra didn't run with it 23 years ago is a complete mystery.

What does a2 do with the $750 million?

 

 

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They have been buying manufacturing capacity - they bought Mataura Valley a few years ago and will be wanting to keep some dry powder for whatever happens with Synlait. They're also still ploughing money into building the US market, maybe they have other countries on their radar.

Basically they grew extremely fast as a one trick pony selling powder produced by Synlait to China, and that left (leaves) them vulnerable to disruption and they need to diversify. 

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Because to accept that A2 milk is superior is to admit that A1 milk is inferior. And Fonterra had a multi-billion dollar industry to protect. 

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Frank, Early on, Fonterra gave serious consideration as to whether A2 milk was a threat or an opportunity and decided it was a threat. In my book 'Devil in the Milk' I presented some of the internal documents that sort of 'fell of a truck'. In 2003, Fonterra and A2 corporation were in unofficial but serious discussions to find a path forward but then both Corran McLachlan and Howard Paterson, respectively the founder and chair of A2 Corporation, both died within a month of each other. At that stage Fonterra thought that A2 Corporation would also die a natural death and so the discussions stopped. And it would have died if the very wealthy Cliff Cook had not come along and saved it. It wasn't until 2014 that A2 Corporation, now The a2 milk Company, made a profit. KeithW

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$750 million in reserves after spending $250 million on Mataura Valley

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Keith - you note that ‘Another irony is that New Zealand is further down the track of dairy-herd conversion to produce milk free of A1 beta-casein than any other developed country.  It could have been a winner.”

How far down the track is New Zealand towards this? And how long would it take/ how difficult would it be to get all the way there?

I may be missing something, but it would seem prudent to move to a herd free of A1 beta-casein. Surely this is achievable over time without too much additional cost, given I understood farmers have long engaged in selective breeding of their herds. 

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Kiwiana02,
I don't have accurate figures at hand.
LIC says on its website that about 30% of cows are A2A2, i.e. carry double copies of the A2 gene. That implies that about 60% would be A1A2 and only a very small percentage A1A1.
For a cow to produce no A1 beta-casein it needs to be A2A2.
A1A2 cows produce the A1 and A2 beta-caseins in equal amounts.

I think the LIC figures probably need updating, and that the correct figure for A2A2 is higher than this.

There are some breeding technologies that will speed up the conversion process, starting with using A2A2 semen, and also using sex selected semen over heifers to ensure all replacements are A2A2
KeithW

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Good science may win out in the long run, but in the interim it won't prevent consumers being taken for a ride. 

For example, just consider how many "A2" whey products are on the market. 

How can you get people to understand that the difference between A1 and A2 milk is the substitution of proline and histidine at position 67 of the casein peptide, when they don't understand the difference between casein and whey?

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Oscar, yes, you are correct. It makes no nutritional sense to differentiate between the whey from A1 and A2 whey because there is no beta-casein in whey.

Personally, I am not a fan for whey products that contain no casein. It is not by accident that all mammals produce both casein and whey. And there is some good science demonstrating that casein plays an important role as a 'chaperone' for whey. Without casein as a chaperone, the whey digests in ways that are problematic and aggregates to form lumps. Intriguingly, there is evidence that A2 beta-casein is a better chaperone than A1. but the bottom line is that nature is very clever and there will be a good reason why casein and whey are always produced together. There are suggestions that the key reason may well relate to what happens after the whey proteins enter the bloodstream.
KeithW

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Frank is a recent arrival to these fair shores, and has never heard of “a2 milk”, and would wager  good money at low odds most of his fellow working men haven’t either.

Regardless of science, price wins and a new and improved milk doesn’t capture the imagination the way a new iPhone does. Frank wishes you well but doesn’t see this taking off

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There are a few of us joining the dots up. I've been drinking A2 milk for years now, don't eat butter but slip up with ice cream.

My mother is 91 but has a form of dementia and I'm not keen to develop dementia if I get to that age. If there is a link between A1 milk and that type of disease and I can change my diet to avoid getting the disease then I will change. Maybe others will too once they realise what's at stake..

Interestingly I was watching a u-tube debate with a guy that was a bit of a nutter and a scientific type woman when the guy stated that the blue zones (long life regions) corresponded in at least a couple of cases with sheep shepherding regions where they eat sheep's millk cheese and yoghurt and drink sheep's milk rather than cow's milk. There was some talk of mitochondrial action due to the sheeps milk cheese that leads to longer life but I didn't understand that bit.

We could be at the start of a trend that Fonterra is entirely blind to.

 

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Northern Lights,
There is good evidence (clinical) that reaction times can be delayed by A1 beta-casein, in a similar way that alcohol delays reaction times.

There is also evidence for 'brain fog'.

There is no direct evidence relating to dementia, but there is an interesting hypothesis that is well worth exploring. That hypothesis relates to the evidence that it is important for whey to be consumed in conjunction with casein and that of course is how nature always makes it happen. The reason is that casein 'chaperones' the whey and stops it aggregating into lumps when consumed. And there is good evidence that A2 beta casein is a better chaperone than A1 beta-casein, with that evidence coming from Australia.  There is a hypothesis that whey consumed in the absence of casein as a chaperone could be associated with dementia and that is the reason why I would never recommend whey protein products that don't also include casein.  Also, sheep milk has a very high level of beta-casein, with this all being of the A2 type, which aligns with a point you make. We also know that A1 beta-casein has inflammatory characteristics and that inflammation is associated with cognitive decline. But at this stage the dots have not been drawn sufficiently to  be able to make any claims that A2 milk is protective for dementia.

Please note that this is something that those of us interested in pushing back the boundaries of knowledge talk about. But I emphasise it is not at the level that any claims can be made. And just because a hypothesis is very interesting to explore does not mean that a relationship will ever be established.

KeithW

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