Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr sees the future direction of the NZ dollar value as governed by varying doses of good luck and good management
25th Oct 21, 9:23am
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Roger J Kerr sees the future direction of the NZ dollar value as governed by varying doses of good luck and good management
Roger J Kerr says the Government’s previous “smug complacency” has found us out with our pants down
18th Oct 21, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr says the Government’s previous “smug complacency” has found us out with our pants down
Roger J Kerr says the currency markets are signalling that the performance of the NZ economy over the next 12 months is likely to be inferior to peers and competitors
11th Oct 21, 7:56am
5
Roger J Kerr says the currency markets are signalling that the performance of the NZ economy over the next 12 months is likely to be inferior to peers and competitors
Roger J Kerr sees a day of reckoning and crunch-time ahead for the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says the important thing from the RBNZ's October 6 rates review will be how the RBNZ sees the NZ economy extracting itself from the massive fiscal and monetary stimulus it has been supported by over the last 18 months
27th Sep 21, 8:02am
2
Roger J Kerr says the important thing from the RBNZ's October 6 rates review will be how the RBNZ sees the NZ economy extracting itself from the massive fiscal and monetary stimulus it has been supported by over the last 18 months
Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets seem to be taking the view that the historical GDP growth numbers are questionable and the risks ahead for the NZ economy outweigh any positive past performance
20th Sep 21, 8:15am
9
Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets seem to be taking the view that the historical GDP growth numbers are questionable and the risks ahead for the NZ economy outweigh any positive past performance
Roger J Kerr tackles the nitty gritty on our current handling of the Covid pandemic, the direction of the economy and what it all means for the future value of the NZ dollar
13th Sep 21, 8:19am
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Roger J Kerr tackles the nitty gritty on our current handling of the Covid pandemic, the direction of the economy and what it all means for the future value of the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr says our currency seems to have 'zoomed' up too far and too fast, so, a fall seems likely in coming days
6th Sep 21, 8:30am
2
Roger J Kerr says our currency seems to have 'zoomed' up too far and too fast, so, a fall seems likely in coming days
Roger J Kerr suggests John Key and Bill English would have done a better job of managing the current Covid crisis
30th Aug 21, 9:25am
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Roger J Kerr suggests John Key and Bill English would have done a better job of managing the current Covid crisis
Roger J Kerr sees a likely 'sideways shuffle' in the value of the Kiwi dollar and then rising back above US70c in the medium to longer term
23rd Aug 21, 7:59am
4
Roger J Kerr sees a likely 'sideways shuffle' in the value of the Kiwi dollar and then rising back above US70c in the medium to longer term
Roger J Kerr says the 'reconnecting to the world' plan announced last week had no targets, no milestones and no objectives that business folk could plan around themselves
16th Aug 21, 8:16am
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Roger J Kerr says the 'reconnecting to the world' plan announced last week had no targets, no milestones and no objectives that business folk could plan around themselves
Roger J Kerr says the stronger US dollar he has consistently expected is now back on track
9th Aug 21, 8:30am
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Roger J Kerr says the stronger US dollar he has consistently expected is now back on track
Roger J Kerr says 'there is no question' global FX markets are differentiating between economies that are highly Covid-vaccinated and those that are not
2nd Aug 21, 8:40am
3
Roger J Kerr says 'there is no question' global FX markets are differentiating between economies that are highly Covid-vaccinated and those that are not
Roger J Kerr says the rapid spread of the delta strain has suddenly overshadowed any expectations that the RBNZ will act to tighten monetary policy and increase the OCR at their upcoming meeting on 18 August
26th Jul 21, 8:53am
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Roger J Kerr says the rapid spread of the delta strain has suddenly overshadowed any expectations that the RBNZ will act to tighten monetary policy and increase the OCR at their upcoming meeting on 18 August
Roger J Kerr doesn't see an August OCR hike, seeing stresses building in our regional economies with no overheating, and speculators ready to bet that the NZD is too high especially against the AUD
19th Jul 21, 8:11am
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Roger J Kerr doesn't see an August OCR hike, seeing stresses building in our regional economies with no overheating, and speculators ready to bet that the NZD is too high especially against the AUD
Roger J Kerr says New Zealand will not achieve the 4% to 5% growth the RBNZ and all the banks are forecasting; says it would be a mistake of RBNZ to 'bow' to NZ economists' thinking
12th Jul 21, 8:30am
5
Roger J Kerr says New Zealand will not achieve the 4% to 5% growth the RBNZ and all the banks are forecasting; says it would be a mistake of RBNZ to 'bow' to NZ economists' thinking
Roger J Kerr says there are just too many constraints on the NZ economy at this time to produce the higher GDP growth trajectory this year that the RBNZ and the banks are forecasting
5th Jul 21, 8:50am
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Roger J Kerr says there are just too many constraints on the NZ economy at this time to produce the higher GDP growth trajectory this year that the RBNZ and the banks are forecasting
Roger J Kerr says our slow vaccination rollout means we are going to be a long way behind the rest of the world in becoming fully functional again with international business and tourism travel and our economy will lag
28th Jun 21, 8:38am
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Roger J Kerr says our slow vaccination rollout means we are going to be a long way behind the rest of the world in becoming fully functional again with international business and tourism travel and our economy will lag
Roger J Kerr says the currency market landscape has dramatically changed in the past week
21st Jun 21, 8:46am
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Roger J Kerr says the currency market landscape has dramatically changed in the past week
Roger J Kerr says the US dollar has seemingly broken out of its shackles of recent weeks
14th Jun 21, 8:19am
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Roger J Kerr says the US dollar has seemingly broken out of its shackles of recent weeks
The speed of the US economic recovery slower than what financial markets expected, says Roger J Kerr. But the expected strength will come, and force the Fed's hand to raise interest rates and therefore the USD
7th Jun 21, 7:43am
5
The speed of the US economic recovery slower than what financial markets expected, says Roger J Kerr. But the expected strength will come, and force the Fed's hand to raise interest rates and therefore the USD
Roger J Kerr worried that weak border controls undermine foreign investment attractiveness advantages COVID-free might have given us. He also sees opportunity in upcoming RBNZ predictable messaging
22nd Jun 20, 8:49am
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Roger J Kerr worried that weak border controls undermine foreign investment attractiveness advantages COVID-free might have given us. He also sees opportunity in upcoming RBNZ predictable messaging
Roger J Kerr says it is not acceptable to be caught with the consequences of a high NZD when there are hedging strategies and tools easily available
13th Apr 15, 9:28am
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Roger J Kerr says it is not acceptable to be caught with the consequences of a high NZD when there are hedging strategies and tools easily available
Roger J Kerr says markets don't expect NZD-AUD parity is sustainable because income differentials can't support it and the AUD is due for a 'long overdue' correction higher
7th Apr 15, 7:49am
Roger J Kerr says markets don't expect NZD-AUD parity is sustainable because income differentials can't support it and the AUD is due for a 'long overdue' correction higher
Roger J Kerr assesses how the strong greenback and its upcoming positives will impact the NZD and finds much of the USD strength already priced in, and the RBNZ looking ahead
30th Mar 15, 12:26pm
Roger J Kerr assesses how the strong greenback and its upcoming positives will impact the NZD and finds much of the USD strength already priced in, and the RBNZ looking ahead