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The Opening Bell: Where currencies start for Monday, July 1, 2014

Currencies
The Opening Bell: Where currencies start for Monday, July 1, 2014

By Dan Bell

The NZDUSD opens lower at 0.8755 this morning.

The USD fell to a 6-week low against a basket of currencies, while the NZD's recent ascent seems to have stalled, for the moment at least.

The positive NZD sentiment was dented a little after yesterday's NZ Business Confidence numbers slide, while a Treasury report suggested NZ terms of trade peaked in Q1.

The EUR rose to a 3-week high against the USD after headline Eurozone inflation figures suggested signs of stabilisation in disinflationary pressures.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has an interest rate meeting today - rates are expected to remain at 2.50%. The RBA may attempt to talk down the AUD.

Main data focus for this week will be on Friday morning's US non-farm payroll employment figures. Strong numbers are needed to counteract last week's disappointing US Q1 GDP figures and to maintain the positive economic momentum.

Global equity markets were mixed on the day - Dow -0.2%, Nikkei +0.4%, Shanghai +0.7%, FTSE -0.2%, DAX +0.2%

Gold prices gained 0.8% to USD$1,325. Oil prices dipped -0.8%.

The current indicative mid-rates are:

NZDUSD           0.8755
NZDEUR           0.6395
NZDGBP           0.5115
NZDJPY             88.70
NZDAUD          0.9285
NZDCAD          0.9345

There is nothing on the domestic data schedule today.

Chinese Manufacturing Data (official & HSBC) and the Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate announcement hit the tapes this afternoon.

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Dan Bell is the senior currency strategist at HiFX in Auckland. You can contact him here »

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