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The Opening Bell: Where currencies start on Thursday, January 14, 2016

Currencies
The Opening Bell: Where currencies start on Thursday, January 14, 2016

By Dan Bell

The NZDUSD opens at 0.6530 (mid-rate) this morning.

The NZD has given up most of the gains it made following yesterday afternoons better than expected China trade balance.

China's trade surplus rose to $594.5b in December exceeding economists’ forecasts of a $51.3b surplus. The report showed exports fell 1.4% y/y in December well short of the expected 8% decline, while imports slid 7.6%, also slower than the expected decrease of 11%.

Elsewhere Euro-Zone industrial production m/m for November decreased by 0.7%, from October, its largest decline in 15months. Economists had expected a 0.3% fall in production following a previous estimate of 0.6% growth.

In the absence of any onshore data releases investors will turn their attention to Australia’s employment report due to be released at 13:30, while overnight the BOE release their monthly monetary policy statement.

Global equity markets remain mixed - Dow -1.66%, S&P 500 -1.75%, FTSE +0.54%, DAX -0.25%, CAC +0.30%, Nikkei +2.88,  Shanghai -2.42%.

Gold prices are currently up $4 at  $1090 an ounce, WTI Crude Oil is still holding above $30 a barrel currently up 0.2% at $30.45 a barrel.

Current indicative rates:

NZDUSD       0.6530      -0.1%
NZDEUR       0.6010      -0.2%
NZDGBP       0.4516      -0.3%
NZDJPY         76.95        0.1%
NZDAUD       0.9380       0.2%
NZDCAD       0.9362       0.3%

Upcoming Data releases (NZST):

  • 13:30 - AU unemployment

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Dan Bell is the senior currency strategist at HiFX in Auckland. You can contact him here »

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1 Comments

'The report showed exports fell 1.4% y/y in December well short of the expected 8% decline, while imports slid 7.6%, also slower than the expected decrease of 11%.'

'Elsewhere Euro-Zone industrial production m/m for November decreased by 0.7%, from October, its largest decline in 15months.'

No wonder oil is down to around $30 a barrel (Brent $30.12) and 'nobody' is making any money.

Shanghai down again, 2.42% yesterday.

1987, 1997, 2001, 2008,.... 2016?.

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