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Latest Roy Morgan opinion polls shows National climbing to 44% support, but an election result now would be 'too close to call'
The Government has had a strong jump in support according to the latest opinion poll from Roy Morgan.
Prime Minister John Key’s National Party saw its share of support surge to 44%, up 3% from the last poll conducted at the end of May.
The latest poll was conducted by telephone with an NZ wide cross-section of 909 electors from June 3-16.
But while the rise in support for National is positive for them, less positive is the fact that their coalition partners have experienced a slight dip, with the Maori Party 2% (unchanged), ACT NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future now on 0% (down 0.5%).
On the other side of the political spectrum, support support for Labour has dropped to 33% (down 2%), while the Green Party has dropped by half a percentage point to 11.5%.
Winston Peters' NZ First party has surged to its highest support level since November last year, with rise to 6% (up 1.5%).
Elsewhere, the Conservative Party of NZ is on 2% (down 0.5%) and others are on 0% (down 1.5%).
The latest NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is down 2.5pts to 120.5 with 54% (down 1.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared with 33.5% (up 1%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.
Roy Morgan executive chairman Gary Morgan said the latest poll show National on 44% "almost tied" with a potential Labour/ Greens Coalition (44.5%, down 2.5%) "leaving NZ First (6%, up 1.5%) as potential powerbrokers in determining who would form Government if an election were held now".
“Pressure on United Future Leader Peter Dunne over his alleged leaking of a Government Communications Security Bureau (GCSB) Report has already led to his resignation as Minister of Revenue and Dunne faces another challenge to re-register United Future as a political party following its de-registration after being unable to prove it had the 500 members required to be a registered political party. The New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for United Future slumping to 0%, its lowest since February 2013.”
Comparing where the major parties sit now versus where they were on election night, November 26, 2011, National is down 3.3 percentage points, Labour is up 5.5 percentage points, and the Greens are up nearly 0.5 of a percentage point.