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A review of things you need to know before you go home on Wednesday; Aussie inflation raises their currency, mortgage volumes sag further, Hubbard's trick, wholesale rates rise, and more

A review of things you need to know before you go home on Wednesday; Aussie inflation raises their currency, mortgage volumes sag further, Hubbard's trick, wholesale rates rise, and more
For Wednesday, July 23, 2014. <a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/">Image sourced from Shutterstock.com</a>

Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today.

NO RATE CHANGES
There were no rate changes again today. It's now all up to tomorrow's RBNZ OCR announcement.

AUSSIE INFLATION 3.0%
Today's inflation report across the ditch has it running twice as fast there as here (+1.6% pa over the same period).

HOME LOAN VOLUMES SAG FURTHER
For the first time this year (in a non-holiday week) there was less than $1 bln last week in home loan approvals in the RBNZ C16 series. Values are down -12% on the equivalent quarter a year ago, volumes are down -17%.

A DIFFERENT MORTGAGE PROMOTION
Rather than cash, iPads, or TVs, TSB Bank has a competition offering a meal cooked in your home by a Masterchef winner as the prize.

FONTERRA'S CANPAC SHRINKS
The dairy giant today proposed to cut 114 jobs at its Hamilton distribution centre, rationalising how it moves its product and focusing that unit on nutritionals only. Overall job losses are light nationally, however.

HOW ALLAN HUBBARD WORKED
This from Radio NZ's trial coverage: "It would be a common practice for him to pay down any related party loans that he had the ability to control at the reporting date be it 31 September or 30 June, and then within a few days following the reporting date to draw down that loan again."

WHOLESALE RATES
Wholesale swap rates rose +1 or +2 bps for terms of four years and less. The 90 day bank bill rate was up as well, up +2 bp at 3.67% ahead of tomorrow morning's OCR review. The market 'knows' a +25 bps rise is coming.

OUR CURRENCY
The NZ dollar has moved lower slightly again today. The NZD is now at 86.7 USc. It fell noticeably against the Aussie on their higher CPI and is now just below 92 AUc and the TWI is now at 80.7.

You can now see an animation of this chart. Click on it, or click here.

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18 Comments

" reporting date be it 31 September"

 

Well, there are not a few FY2014 sales made on the 38th June 2014, but really....

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HOW ALLAN HUBBARD WORKED

"It would be a common practice for him to pay down any related party loans that he had the ability to control at the reporting date be it 31 September (sic) or 30 June, and then within a few days following the reporting date to draw down that loan again."

 

The US Federal Reserve Bank of New York regularly turns a blind eye of accommodation to facilitate end of quarter bank 'window dressing' at the Temporary Open Market Operations desk. Read more

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Auditors are supposed to examine "post balance sheet events" and report anything significant

 

The gymnastics referred to are significant enought to warrant a qualification of the accounts by the auditors

 

But sadly the auditors make no mention of it. Wonder why the A+NZ Institute of Chartered Accountants remain silent. The FMA should be delisting those same auditors pronto

 

Heeeeelllllooooo FMA

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If it wasn't for Mr Wheeler's excellant leadership we would also have 3.0%, probably more.

Well done to the RBNZ....he deserves a pay rise.

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Which costs are being suppressed by the recent OCR hikes?   Electricity?  Council rates?  Petrol? Diesel?  Interest costs to business?  Etc.  

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What is missing from your posts, attacking Wheeler, is a "disclosure statement" that you are a significant multi-million dollar debtor to the banks

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The banks call him an asset, my deposit makes me a liability. ;-)

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Yes, the Aussie banks are desparate to keep their "pass the parcel" charade going for just another year.

Therefore they put their product "on sale" just to get punters in the door.

 

The zero net migration to Aussie proves the immense vote of confidence kiwis have in Mr Wheeler's handling of our monetry policy.

The man derserves a New Years honour as well as a pay rise.

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Wheeler yes, the Govt even moreso Spottie

 

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Yes, Wheeler has certainly paid his way. If he were on the previous governor's emolument scheme, which he hasn't reached yet, the capital set-aside to pay $600,000 @ 2.5% OCR has fallen from $24.0 million to ~$17.0million @ 3.5% OCR.

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Reasons for NZ home loan approvals falling?    

A perception that the price of money is too high and that the price will fall in future? 

The LVR restrictions? 

The threat of higher interest rates? 

That house prices have hit a second peak since 2008?

or general uncertainty? 

If Auckland house prices are still increasing, while mortgage approvals are falling - what is chasing up prices?   Immigrants?  Offshore buyers? Investors?   Or cash-buyers?! 

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Interesting.  Opposing pressures on the RBNZ and the NZD.  

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where are your stops ???

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Stops are for losers - just a mechanism to reward those that capitalise the price discovery  infrastructure. Read more

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In this case, depending on how wide they were, it saved some bacon, minimised the pain

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At 3:26 pm AUD/NZD high $1.09985

 

Trouble when Euro session opens at 7:00 pm NZDT

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Ostrich: well done. I take my hat off to you

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