Currencies
Further macro uncertainty after a US court invalidated Trump’s ‘liberation day’ tariffs. An initial S&P500 rally following the decision faded. Soft US economic data brought lower US Treasury yields and a weaker US dollar
30th May 25, 7:43am
Further macro uncertainty after a US court invalidated Trump’s ‘liberation day’ tariffs. An initial S&P500 rally following the decision faded. Soft US economic data brought lower US Treasury yields and a weaker US dollar
Jim O'Neill points out that all the US president's latest pronouncements are undermining the greenback's standing
29th May 25, 12:24pm
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Jim O'Neill points out that all the US president's latest pronouncements are undermining the greenback's standing
Global rates higher with spillover from a poor ultra-long bond auction in Japan, but the UST 10-yr rate hasn’t pushed much higher. The NZD sustained the modest gain seen after the RBNZ’s new neutral bias, following its rate cut
29th May 25, 7:41am
Global rates higher with spillover from a poor ultra-long bond auction in Japan, but the UST 10-yr rate hasn’t pushed much higher. The NZD sustained the modest gain seen after the RBNZ’s new neutral bias, following its rate cut
US equities surge, encouraged by de-escalation of US-EU trade tensions while US consumer confidence rebounds sharply. Japan's move to address issues with its ultra-long bond market supports global rates market, with rates falling around the globe
28th May 25, 8:00am
US equities surge, encouraged by de-escalation of US-EU trade tensions while US consumer confidence rebounds sharply. Japan's move to address issues with its ultra-long bond market supports global rates market, with rates falling around the globe
Could the euro replace the dollar as global reserve currency? It’s not getting any less likely, Sergi Basco says
27th May 25, 11:20am
Could the euro replace the dollar as global reserve currency? It’s not getting any less likely, Sergi Basco says
Trump backtracks on Friday's threat to impose 50% tariff on EU. Euro Stoxx 600 index up 1%, S&P500 futures up 1.3%; US 10-year Treasury future unchanged, reversing move in NZ session
27th May 25, 7:41am
Trump backtracks on Friday's threat to impose 50% tariff on EU. Euro Stoxx 600 index up 1%, S&P500 futures up 1.3%; US 10-year Treasury future unchanged, reversing move in NZ session
Roger J Kerr sees three strands of economic stimulus coming for the local economy. Meanwhile, bond markets react to compounding fiscal risks. And the RBA starts to yoyo exactly as the RBNZ has flip-flopped in the past
26th May 25, 7:55am
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Roger J Kerr sees three strands of economic stimulus coming for the local economy. Meanwhile, bond markets react to compounding fiscal risks. And the RBA starts to yoyo exactly as the RBNZ has flip-flopped in the past
Trump threatened aggressive tariffs on the EU contributing to volatility in risk sensitive assets. S&P500 partially recovers from initial losses. Euro Stoxx down close to 2% and German bunds rally. US dollar broadly weaker
26th May 25, 7:20am
Trump threatened aggressive tariffs on the EU contributing to volatility in risk sensitive assets. S&P500 partially recovers from initial losses. Euro Stoxx down close to 2% and German bunds rally. US dollar broadly weaker
US PMIs resilient despite economic uncertainty. Euro-area PMIs soft. US dollar makes broad based gains. Modest increase in the NZGB borrowing programme forecast at the Budget
23rd May 25, 7:50am
US PMIs resilient despite economic uncertainty. Euro-area PMIs soft. US dollar makes broad based gains. Modest increase in the NZGB borrowing programme forecast at the Budget
Growing fiscal concerns and a weak UST 20-auction contributed to a large rise in long end treasury yields. Surge in yields weigh on US equities. UK CPI higher than expected. GBP/USD reached a 3-year high with less BOE easing priced
22nd May 25, 7:39am
Growing fiscal concerns and a weak UST 20-auction contributed to a large rise in long end treasury yields. Surge in yields weigh on US equities. UK CPI higher than expected. GBP/USD reached a 3-year high with less BOE easing priced
The RBA cut rates by 25bp to 3.85% as expected and moved to a more dovish stance. The market priced additional easing and NZD/AUD gained. A weak government bond auction contributed to a surge in long end JGB yields
21st May 25, 7:55am
The RBA cut rates by 25bp to 3.85% as expected and moved to a more dovish stance. The market priced additional easing and NZD/AUD gained. A weak government bond auction contributed to a surge in long end JGB yields
Initial weak risk sentiment linked to the US credit rating downgrade reverses. US 30-year yields reached 5.04%, the highest level since late 2023, before retracing. US dollar broadly weaker
20th May 25, 7:46am
Initial weak risk sentiment linked to the US credit rating downgrade reverses. US 30-year yields reached 5.04%, the highest level since late 2023, before retracing. US dollar broadly weaker
Roger J Kerr says wild volatility from tariffs has left central banks in a total quandary on how to manage monetary policy
19th May 25, 8:42am
Roger J Kerr says wild volatility from tariffs has left central banks in a total quandary on how to manage monetary policy
US consumer sentiment falls to historical lows, inflation expectations shoot higher. Trump's tax bill fails early in the process, a rare event. Moody's downgrades US credit rating. NZ inflation expectations rise; domestic rates market underperforms
19th May 25, 7:24am
US consumer sentiment falls to historical lows, inflation expectations shoot higher. Trump's tax bill fails early in the process, a rare event. Moody's downgrades US credit rating. NZ inflation expectations rise; domestic rates market underperforms
In a heavy US data release day, activity and pricing indicators were weak, driving down US rates and supported US equities. The NZD and AUD underperform again
16th May 25, 7:53am
In a heavy US data release day, activity and pricing indicators were weak, driving down US rates and supported US equities. The NZD and AUD underperform again