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Inside Treasury’s oil shock modelling as officials attempt to map fast-moving conflict scenarios

Inside Treasury’s oil shock modelling as officials attempt to map fast-moving conflict scenarios

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; no retail rate changes, ANZ sees 3 hikes this year, Westpac sees spending bite, service sector struggling, fuel update, swaps rise, NZX falls, NZD hovers, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; no retail rate changes, ANZ sees 3 hikes this year, Westpac sees spending bite, service sector struggling, fuel update, swaps rise, NZX falls, NZD hovers, & more

New Zealand is surrounded by ocean energy. Craig Stevens looks at what it would take to tap it

New Zealand is surrounded by ocean energy. Craig Stevens looks at what it would take to tap it

Here are the key changes to know about in the New Zealand equity market; SkyTV, Tower, Fletcher and Chorus advance while a2 Milk, Summerset, Ryman and Serko drive the decline

Here are the key changes to know about in the New Zealand equity market; SkyTV, Tower, Fletcher and Chorus advance while a2 Milk, Summerset, Ryman and Serko drive the decline

Less equity, better resolvability: Inside New Zealand’s bank capital reforms

Less equity, better resolvability: Inside New Zealand’s bank capital reforms

‘The world has definitely changed but we have seen the benefits over time of low and stable inflation’: RBNZ Governor Anna Breman stands by inflation target, says 2% midpoint appropriate

‘The world has definitely changed but we have seen the benefits over time of low and stable inflation’: RBNZ Governor Anna Breman stands by inflation target, says 2% midpoint appropriate

ANZ picks Reserve Bank to raise the OCR 3 times this year starting in July, but notes there's a high level of uncertainty

ANZ picks Reserve Bank to raise the OCR 3 times this year starting in July, but notes there's a high level of uncertainty

Brian Easton says the 2026 World Happiness Report challenges us to think differently about economics and about our country

Brian Easton says the 2026 World Happiness Report challenges us to think differently about economics and about our country

John Key proved that National did not need a global pandemic to win half the voting public

John Key proved that National did not need a global pandemic to win half the voting public

Richard Allen to be Miles Hurrell's replacement at the $26 bln dairy co-operative, Fonterra

Richard Allen to be Miles Hurrell's replacement at the $26 bln dairy co-operative, Fonterra

Tried our quiz yet? Give it a go, and join a growing group who love the challenge. Make it a habit

Tried our quiz yet? Give it a go, and join a growing group who love the challenge. Make it a habit

Roger J Kerr asks how and when might the NZD/AUD cross-rate turn, after the RBNZ’s “hawkish hold” is positive for the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr asks how and when might the NZD/AUD cross-rate turn, after the RBNZ’s “hawkish hold” is positive for the Kiwi dollar

Risk-sensitive assets stable ahead of US–Iran talks. But the lack of a peace deal will likely see higher oil prices and weigh on market sentiment. US consumer sentiment fell to a record low pointing to downside risk for consumption

Risk-sensitive assets stable ahead of US–Iran talks. But the lack of a peace deal will likely see higher oil prices and weigh on market sentiment. US consumer sentiment fell to a record low pointing to downside risk for consumption

US to block Hormuz; US inflation rises, sentiment tumbles; China inflation modest; Taiwan exports high again; Hungary ousts Orban; IMF glum about 2026; UST 10yr at 4.32%; gold eases as oil holds high; NZ$1 = 58.4 USc; TWI-5 = 61.9

US to block Hormuz; US inflation rises, sentiment tumbles; China inflation modest; Taiwan exports high again; Hungary ousts Orban; IMF glum about 2026; UST 10yr at 4.32%; gold eases as oil holds high; NZ$1 = 58.4 USc; TWI-5 = 61.9

Rising defense spending requires difficult fiscal choices to avoid raising vulnerabilities, while post-war recovery hinges on policies to reduce uncertainty, rebuild capital, and help displaced people return home, says the IMF

Rising defense spending requires difficult fiscal choices to avoid raising vulnerabilities, while post-war recovery hinges on policies to reduce uncertainty, rebuild capital, and help displaced people return home, says the IMF

David Seymour's smaller government and smaller public service plan - how he proposes to do it

David Seymour's smaller government and smaller public service plan - how he proposes to do it

Mark Tanner sees three new trends developing in the dynamic Chinese consumer markets; fusion of traditional values, human interaction instead of AI, and deep personalisation made possible by AI and smart manufacturing

Mark Tanner sees three new trends developing in the dynamic Chinese consumer markets; fusion of traditional values, human interaction instead of AI, and deep personalisation made possible by AI and smart manufacturing

Barry Eichengreen compares the US currency's global trajectory to that of the Roman denarius under Emperor Nero

Barry Eichengreen compares the US currency's global trajectory to that of the Roman denarius under Emperor Nero

Angus Kebbell's third report of the Irish investigation into the Brazilian beef industry, one of the largest livestock industries in the world and one where traceability is opaque and troubling, often not central in trade deals

Angus Kebbell's third report of the Irish investigation into the Brazilian beef industry, one of the largest livestock industries in the world and one where traceability is opaque and troubling, often not central in trade deals

After ceasefire, negotiating a lasting deal with Iran would require overcoming regional rivalries and strategic incoherence

After ceasefire, negotiating a lasting deal with Iran would require overcoming regional rivalries and strategic incoherence

Robin Hu points out that US policies meant to bifurcate the global economy are actually producing the opposite effect

Robin Hu points out that US policies meant to bifurcate the global economy are actually producing the opposite effect

Murray Grimwood wishes new Energy Minister Simeon Brown luck, but suggests he faces an impossible task

Murray Grimwood wishes new Energy Minister Simeon Brown luck, but suggests he faces an impossible task

US inflation surges, confidence tanks. Canada jobs market stable; China inflation low but rises; Taiwan exports star again; diesel armada heads for Australia; UST 10yr at 4.31%; gold eases as oil dips slightly; NZ$1 = 58.5 USc; TWI-5 = 62. Bitcoin up

US inflation surges, confidence tanks. Canada jobs market stable; China inflation low but rises; Taiwan exports star again; diesel armada heads for Australia; UST 10yr at 4.31%; gold eases as oil dips slightly; NZ$1 = 58.5 USc; TWI-5 = 62. Bitcoin up

Huge drop in the number of properties being auctioned with just a third selling under the hammer

Huge drop in the number of properties being auctioned with just a third selling under the hammer

Assistant Governor Karen Silk says Reserve Bank has already received more than 4000 responses on its 'keeping cash local' consultation

Assistant Governor Karen Silk says Reserve Bank has already received more than 4000 responses on its 'keeping cash local' consultation