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US data mixed with dodgy aspects; China trade surplus huge; Japanese machine tool orders jump; South Korean surprise; global growth stable; UST 10yr at 4.14%; gold up , silver zooms again; oil on hold; NZ$1 = 57.5 USc; TWI-5 = 61.6

US data mixed with dodgy aspects; China trade surplus huge; Japanese machine tool orders jump; South Korean surprise; global growth stable; UST 10yr at 4.14%; gold up , silver zooms again; oil on hold; NZ$1 = 57.5 USc; TWI-5 = 61.6

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; ANZ ups its floating rate, property signals turn mostly positive, better labour market signals, better milk powder prices, swaps up, gold up, NZ$1 = 57.3 USc, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; ANZ ups its floating rate, property signals turn mostly positive, better labour market signals, better milk powder prices, swaps up, gold up, NZ$1 = 57.3 USc, & more

Reserve Bank Governor Anna Breman and other leading central bankers 'stand in full solidarity' with US Fed & its Chairman Jerome Powell against pressure from Donald Trump

Reserve Bank Governor Anna Breman and other leading central bankers 'stand in full solidarity' with US Fed & its Chairman Jerome Powell against pressure from Donald Trump

QV says residential property value rises becoming more widespread across NZ, but pace is modest

QV says residential property value rises becoming more widespread across NZ, but pace is modest

Lynda Moore says being clear about your goals for 2026, as well as the method of achieving them, is the key to success

Lynda Moore says being clear about your goals for 2026, as well as the method of achieving them, is the key to success

David Mahon sees China growing in confidence it will lead an Asia-centric renewal, even with India included

David Mahon sees China growing in confidence it will lead an Asia-centric renewal, even with India included

Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve risk fuelling US inflation and ending dollar dominance, Emre Tarim says

Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve risk fuelling US inflation and ending dollar dominance, Emre Tarim says

US core CPI undershoots expectations for the second consecutive month. Oil prices gain 3% and approach two-month highs. US dollar recovers from the decline earlier in the week

US core CPI undershoots expectations for the second consecutive month. Oil prices gain 3% and approach two-month highs. US dollar recovers from the decline earlier in the week

US inflation unchanged; US jobs weak; sentiment surveys waver; Japan data good, snap election likely; Australia sentiment eases; UST 10yr at 4.17%; gold stable, silver higher; oil up; NZ$1 = 57.4 USc; TWI-5 = 61.6

US inflation unchanged; US jobs weak; sentiment surveys waver; Japan data good, snap election likely; Australia sentiment eases; UST 10yr at 4.17%; gold stable, silver higher; oil up; NZ$1 = 57.4 USc; TWI-5 = 61.6

Although the rate of increase has tailed off over the past two years, residential construction costs remain very high with the pandemic rises now baked in. But builders sense better demand in 2026

Although the rate of increase has tailed off over the past two years, residential construction costs remain very high with the pandemic rises now baked in. But builders sense better demand in 2026

2026 kicks off with our largest home loan lender raising its floating rate (as a profit improver) but others are not likely to follow

2026 kicks off with our largest home loan lender raising its floating rate (as a profit improver) but others are not likely to follow

Reserve Bank Financial Policy Committee to make financial stability decisions by consensus 'wherever possible'

Reserve Bank Financial Policy Committee to make financial stability decisions by consensus 'wherever possible'

Yes, those big touchscreens in cars are dangerous and buttons are coming back, Milad Haghani says

Yes, those big touchscreens in cars are dangerous and buttons are coming back, Milad Haghani says

NZIER says QSBO shows economic recovery starting to take shape with effects of lower interest rates flowing into broader economy. BNZ's Toplis sees 'clear signs' inflationary pressures are rising

NZIER says QSBO shows economic recovery starting to take shape with effects of lower interest rates flowing into broader economy. BNZ's Toplis sees 'clear signs' inflationary pressures are rising

Nolan Fahrenkopf says rogue nations are capitalising on gaps in crypto regulation to finance weapons programmes

Nolan Fahrenkopf says rogue nations are capitalising on gaps in crypto regulation to finance weapons programmes

Mohamed El-Erian thinks that last year's economic tailwinds will give way to more challenging conditions as the AI narrative fades

Mohamed El-Erian thinks that last year's economic tailwinds will give way to more challenging conditions as the AI narrative fades

Kiwis spent more on food and less on other goods in December, while Boxing Day sales were quieter

Kiwis spent more on food and less on other goods in December, while Boxing Day sales were quieter

Fed Chair Powell reveals Justice Department criminal threats raising concerns over central bank independence. Precious metals reach record highs. US dollar weaker against G10 currencies. NZD outperforms

Fed Chair Powell reveals Justice Department criminal threats raising concerns over central bank independence. Precious metals reach record highs. US dollar weaker against G10 currencies. NZD outperforms

Bogus claims against Fed boss being watched closely; Indian CPI stay low; Australian household spending rises; Google's AI chops power its valuation; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold hits new record, oil stable; NZ$1 = 57.7 USc; TWI-5 = 61.7

Bogus claims against Fed boss being watched closely; Indian CPI stay low; Australian household spending rises; Google's AI chops power its valuation; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold hits new record, oil stable; NZ$1 = 57.7 USc; TWI-5 = 61.7

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says Department of Justice subpoenas 'a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President'

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says Department of Justice subpoenas 'a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President'

NZ’s low productivity is often blamed on businesses staying small. That could be a strength in 2026, Rod McNaughton says

NZ’s low productivity is often blamed on businesses staying small. That could be a strength in 2026, Rod McNaughton says

'Open electricity' to offer greater competition and choice for consumers from September, government says

'Open electricity' to offer greater competition and choice for consumers from September, government says

Unlike the sanguine outlook reviews from many others, David Skilling says 2026 will be another disruptive year of structural global economic and geopolitical change

Unlike the sanguine outlook reviews from many others, David Skilling says 2026 will be another disruptive year of structural global economic and geopolitical change

We look at the forces that will influence our borrowing interest rates in 2026. Some of the significant ones are out of our local control, but others are not

We look at the forces that will influence our borrowing interest rates in 2026. Some of the significant ones are out of our local control, but others are not

Brian Easton notes we are a small, isolated nation and we need to design our institutions accordingly. We should avoid uncritically imitating larger nations

Brian Easton notes we are a small, isolated nation and we need to design our institutions accordingly. We should avoid uncritically imitating larger nations