Economy

Mohamed El-Erian argues that the US economy is locked in a tense tug-of-war between three distinct futures

Mohamed El-Erian argues that the US economy is locked in a tense tug-of-war between three distinct futures

US data unconvincing; reaction to Japan rate rise surprises; China's FDI stays weak; Australian wealth surges; Macquarie and ANZ slapped harder; UST 10yr at 4.15%; gold dips; oil stays low; NZ$1 = 57.6 USc; TWI-5 = 61.8

US data unconvincing; reaction to Japan rate rise surprises; China's FDI stays weak; Australian wealth surges; Macquarie and ANZ slapped harder; UST 10yr at 4.15%; gold dips; oil stays low; NZ$1 = 57.6 USc; TWI-5 = 61.8

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; investors shun Kiwibank capital raise, sentiment surveys positive, more milk payout cuts, big trade improvements, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; investors shun Kiwibank capital raise, sentiment surveys positive, more milk payout cuts, big trade improvements, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more

US CPI surprises with sharp easing; US factory surveys generally downbeat; Canada SMEs upbeat; many central bank reviews; US-China freight rates rise; UST 10yr at 4.13%; gold up at new record; oil stays low; NZ$1 = 57.8 USc; TWI-5 = 62

US CPI surprises with sharp easing; US factory surveys generally downbeat; Canada SMEs upbeat; many central bank reviews; US-China freight rates rise; UST 10yr at 4.13%; gold up at new record; oil stays low; NZ$1 = 57.8 USc; TWI-5 = 62

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; more retail rate changes, Willis on Kiwibank IPO, Fonterra cuts again, GDP bounces back, some big scam losses, swaps stable, NZD soft, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; more retail rate changes, Willis on Kiwibank IPO, Fonterra cuts again, GDP bounces back, some big scam losses, swaps stable, NZD soft, & more

'Do we really think we are currently growing at the same pace as China and three times that of Australia?': BNZ's head of research says latest GDP result delivered 'more noise than signal', encourages scepticism

'Do we really think we are currently growing at the same pace as China and three times that of Australia?': BNZ's head of research says latest GDP result delivered 'more noise than signal', encourages scepticism

Stats NZ says the 1.1% rise in economic activity in the September 2025 quarter was broad-based, with increases in 14 out of 16 industries

Stats NZ says the 1.1% rise in economic activity in the September 2025 quarter was broad-based, with increases in 14 out of 16 industries

Divergence of Fed views on display again; Canada attracts investment, restricts people; more strong Japanese data; eyes on more central banks; UST 10yr at 4.16%; gold up near new record; oil stays low; NZ$1 = 57.8 USc; TWI-5 = 62

Divergence of Fed views on display again; Canada attracts investment, restricts people; more strong Japanese data; eyes on more central banks; UST 10yr at 4.16%; gold up near new record; oil stays low; NZ$1 = 57.8 USc; TWI-5 = 62

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; consumer mood brightens, current account deficit shrinks, dairy prices tanking, RBNZ aims to make getting into debt easier, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; consumer mood brightens, current account deficit shrinks, dairy prices tanking, RBNZ aims to make getting into debt easier, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more

The deficit between what we earn overseas and what we spend has continued to narrow, now to 3.5% of GDP, compared with a level of 9% three years ago; global credit rating agencies should be happy

The deficit between what we earn overseas and what we spend has continued to narrow, now to 3.5% of GDP, compared with a level of 9% three years ago; global credit rating agencies should be happy

Governor Anna Breman says the Reserve Bank 'really has to consider' moving to eight OCR meetings per year - something the bank switched away from 10 years ago

Governor Anna Breman says the Reserve Bank 'really has to consider' moving to eight OCR meetings per year - something the bank switched away from 10 years ago

Dairy prices fall hard again; US jobs data messy, retail data soft; Japan, India, the EU and Australia all get rising PMIs; Australian consumer mood slips; UST 10yr at 4.16%; gold unchanged; oil drops again; NZ$1 = 57.9 USc; TWI-5 = 62

Dairy prices fall hard again; US jobs data messy, retail data soft; Japan, India, the EU and Australia all get rising PMIs; Australian consumer mood slips; UST 10yr at 4.16%; gold unchanged; oil drops again; NZ$1 = 57.9 USc; TWI-5 = 62

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; no rate changes, REINZ results soggy, food price pressure eases a little, job ads rise slowly, retail just hanging in there, HYFEU worse, swaps drop, NZD down, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; no rate changes, REINZ results soggy, food price pressure eases a little, job ads rise slowly, retail just hanging in there, HYFEU worse, swaps drop, NZD down, & more

Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show that food prices dropped 0.4% in November, lowering the annual increase to 4.4% - while rents had their lowest annual increase since at least 2011

Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show that food prices dropped 0.4% in November, lowering the annual increase to 4.4% - while rents had their lowest annual increase since at least 2011

US data hesitant; Canadian data mixed; Japan sentiment rises; China data weak; Hong Kong trashes its democracy; India exports rise; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold hovers near record; oil lower; NZ$1 = 57.9 USc; TWI-5 = 62

US data hesitant; Canadian data mixed; Japan sentiment rises; China data weak; Hong Kong trashes its democracy; India exports rise; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold hovers near record; oil lower; NZ$1 = 57.9 USc; TWI-5 = 62