Economy
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; no rent inflation, mortgage interest load low & stable, borrowers maintain their buffers, another strike, swaps rise, NZX dips, NZD firm, & more
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; no rent inflation, mortgage interest load low & stable, borrowers maintain their buffers, another strike, swaps rise, NZX dips, NZD firm, & more
Dambisa Moyo warns that financial markets have become so dependent on AI investment that a tech selloff could trigger a global recession
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Dambisa Moyo warns that financial markets have become so dependent on AI investment that a tech selloff could trigger a global recession
Some election results surprise; US data mixed; Taiwan retail and German sentiment improve; Aussie house buyers strike; Anthropic issues CYA IPO filing; UST 10yr at 4.98%; gold firms and oil holds high; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI-5 = 60.6
10
Some election results surprise; US data mixed; Taiwan retail and German sentiment improve; Aussie house buyers strike; Anthropic issues CYA IPO filing; UST 10yr at 4.98%; gold firms and oil holds high; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI-5 = 60.6
Nicky Hager’s Dirty Work raises questions of whether money has too much political power, observes Brian Easton
2
Nicky Hager’s Dirty Work raises questions of whether money has too much political power, observes Brian Easton
A big week ahead of central bank decisions; inflation elevated, while PMIs positive; Canada retail positive; EU inflation expectations hold; war drums beat louder; UST 10yr at 4.99%; gold holds low and oil holds high; NZ$1 = 57 USc; TWI-5 = 60.7
3
A big week ahead of central bank decisions; inflation elevated, while PMIs positive; Canada retail positive; EU inflation expectations hold; war drums beat louder; UST 10yr at 4.99%; gold holds low and oil holds high; NZ$1 = 57 USc; TWI-5 = 60.7
Navneeraj Sharma & Arvind Subramanian identify political, economic, and fiscal weaknesses in China that could turn into a perfect storm
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Navneeraj Sharma & Arvind Subramanian identify political, economic, and fiscal weaknesses in China that could turn into a perfect storm
An Official Cash Rate hike that once looked unlikely to happen just 10 days before the election, is now the overwhelmingly expected outcome
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An Official Cash Rate hike that once looked unlikely to happen just 10 days before the election, is now the overwhelmingly expected outcome
US sentiment stays low but inflation expectations rise; US PMI's expanding; Japan, Taiwan, India & the EU all deliver expanding PMIs; Australia doesn't; election season starts; UST 10yr at 4.99%; gold falls and oil rises; NZ$1 = 57 USc; TWI-5 = 60.7
25
US sentiment stays low but inflation expectations rise; US PMI's expanding; Japan, Taiwan, India & the EU all deliver expanding PMIs; Australia doesn't; election season starts; UST 10yr at 4.99%; gold falls and oil rises; NZ$1 = 57 USc; TWI-5 = 60.7
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes but most other data lower, bracing for a hawksih hike, wool prices steady, new scam risks, oil rises, swaps down, equities drop, NZD soft, & more
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes but most other data lower, bracing for a hawksih hike, wool prices steady, new scam risks, oil rises, swaps down, equities drop, NZD soft, & more
Big Tech takes hits as investors seek safety; US jobless claims fall; Canada PPI jumps; China FDI in doldrums; EU sentiment retreats; freight rates rise; UST 10yr at 4.95%; gold holds and oil rises; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI-5 = 60.6
12
Big Tech takes hits as investors seek safety; US jobless claims fall; Canada PPI jumps; China FDI in doldrums; EU sentiment retreats; freight rates rise; UST 10yr at 4.95%; gold holds and oil rises; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI-5 = 60.6
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; inflation dips momentarily, housing off the boil, insurance stress reactions, NZGB bonds in demand, NZSA becomes IANZ, swaps stable, NZX dips, NZD firms, & more
10
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; inflation dips momentarily, housing off the boil, insurance stress reactions, NZGB bonds in demand, NZSA becomes IANZ, swaps stable, NZX dips, NZD firms, & more
'Temporary reprieve' of 3.7% September year CPI inflation doesn't see economists pull back from expectations of OCR hike next week
'Temporary reprieve' of 3.7% September year CPI inflation doesn't see economists pull back from expectations of OCR hike next week
Annual inflation hits 3.7% in the September quarter with petrol continuing to lead the way, followed by the cost of constructing new housing, electricity, international airfares and local authority rates
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Annual inflation hits 3.7% in the September quarter with petrol continuing to lead the way, followed by the cost of constructing new housing, electricity, international airfares and local authority rates
Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan argues that concerns over the AI buildout, bond yields, and public debt cannot be divorced from supply shocks
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Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan argues that concerns over the AI buildout, bond yields, and public debt cannot be divorced from supply shocks
US mortgage activity drops sharply as home loan rates stay high; AI bond funding to get more expensive; Japanese exports strong; RBA sees worse inflation outlook; UST 10yr at 5.11%; gold holds and oil eases; NZ$1 = 57 USc; TWI-5 = 60.7
28
US mortgage activity drops sharply as home loan rates stay high; AI bond funding to get more expensive; Japanese exports strong; RBA sees worse inflation outlook; UST 10yr at 5.11%; gold holds and oil eases; NZ$1 = 57 USc; TWI-5 = 60.7