Stuart Ritson
Latest articles
US Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25bp as expected citing growing weakness in the labour market. The median FOMC member expects a further 50bp of easing this year. Markets whipsaw but modest moves overall
18th Sep 25, 7:50am
US Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25bp as expected citing growing weakness in the labour market. The median FOMC member expects a further 50bp of easing this year. Markets whipsaw but modest moves overall
US equity markets consolidated. Asian indices hit record levels. Global bond yields rebound. US Treasury 10-year up 4bp with a steeper curve. Fitch downgrades French rating amid rising debt and political instability
15th Sep 25, 7:20am
US equity markets consolidated. Asian indices hit record levels. Global bond yields rebound. US Treasury 10-year up 4bp with a steeper curve. Fitch downgrades French rating amid rising debt and political instability
US producer price data softer than expected supporting the case for Fed easing. US treasuries rally. 10-year yields approach 4.0%, the lowest level since April. S&P500 reaches fresh record high
11th Sep 25, 7:37am
US producer price data softer than expected supporting the case for Fed easing. US treasuries rally. 10-year yields approach 4.0%, the lowest level since April. S&P500 reaches fresh record high
Further weakness in US labour market as payrolls undershoot again. Data clears the way for a September rate cut. Bond markets rally and US dollar is weaker. OPEC+ to increase oil production next month
8th Sep 25, 7:17am
Further weakness in US labour market as payrolls undershoot again. Data clears the way for a September rate cut. Bond markets rally and US dollar is weaker. OPEC+ to increase oil production next month
Long end of sovereign bond markets remain in focus. US job openings weaker than expected supporting the case for a September cut. Treasury yields decline following the data. 30-year yields touch 5.0% before retracing
4th Sep 25, 7:38am
Long end of sovereign bond markets remain in focus. US job openings weaker than expected supporting the case for a September cut. Treasury yields decline following the data. 30-year yields touch 5.0% before retracing
Global equities declined on Friday but ended August with solid gains. US core PCE deflator and consumption data matches expectations. A court ruling has found most of the Trump administration’s tariffs to be illegal
1st Sep 25, 7:22am
Global equities declined on Friday but ended August with solid gains. US core PCE deflator and consumption data matches expectations. A court ruling has found most of the Trump administration’s tariffs to be illegal
US equities in a holding pattern ahead of Nvidia results. Treasury curve steepens amid politicisation of the Fed. US tariffs on India rise to 50%. A sharp increase in Australian CPI reflects timing of electricity subsidy payments
28th Aug 25, 7:48am
US equities in a holding pattern ahead of Nvidia results. Treasury curve steepens amid politicisation of the Fed. US tariffs on India rise to 50%. A sharp increase in Australian CPI reflects timing of electricity subsidy payments
Federal Reserve Chair Powell signalled the central bank may cut rates in September. US equities made solid gains. The small cap Russell 2000 index advanced almost 4.0%. US treasury yields declined and the curve steepened
25th Aug 25, 7:37am
Federal Reserve Chair Powell signalled the central bank may cut rates in September. US equities made solid gains. The small cap Russell 2000 index advanced almost 4.0%. US treasury yields declined and the curve steepened
Minutes from July FOMC suggest members were more concerned about inflation than employment. The US administration has continued to pressure Federal Reserve officials. Tech stocks decline
21st Aug 25, 7:57am
Minutes from July FOMC suggest members were more concerned about inflation than employment. The US administration has continued to pressure Federal Reserve officials. Tech stocks decline
US equities consolidate near record highs amid mixed economic data. US retail sales were solid but consumer sentiment dipped aligned with increased inflation expectations
18th Aug 25, 7:33am
US equities consolidate near record highs amid mixed economic data. US retail sales were solid but consumer sentiment dipped aligned with increased inflation expectations
Positive tone for risk sensitive assets continues. MSCI world equity index reaches record high. Implied volatility across equities, bonds and currencies falling. US dollar weaker but currency moves modest overall
14th Aug 25, 7:51am
Positive tone for risk sensitive assets continues. MSCI world equity index reaches record high. Implied volatility across equities, bonds and currencies falling. US dollar weaker but currency moves modest overall
Global bond yields closed higher despite limited economic data. Gold prices whipsaw on confusion about US tariffs on imports of gold bars. US equities extend recent gains
11th Aug 25, 7:25am
Global bond yields closed higher despite limited economic data. Gold prices whipsaw on confusion about US tariffs on imports of gold bars. US equities extend recent gains
Risk sentiment firm. S&P500 higher and has retraced the post services ISM fall. US hits India with extra 25% tariff for Russia oil purchases. Soft demand in US 10-year auction. Yields modestly higher
7th Aug 25, 7:52am
Risk sentiment firm. S&P500 higher and has retraced the post services ISM fall. US hits India with extra 25% tariff for Russia oil purchases. Soft demand in US 10-year auction. Yields modestly higher
Investor risk sentiment takes a hit from significantly weaker than expected US labour market data. Global equities fell sharply and credit spreads widen. Probability of a Fed rate cut in September increases
4th Aug 25, 7:27am
Investor risk sentiment takes a hit from significantly weaker than expected US labour market data. Global equities fell sharply and credit spreads widen. Probability of a Fed rate cut in September increases
US equity markets retrace from record intra-day high. Yen declines after Bank of Japan meeting. US dollar on track for first monthly gain this year
1st Aug 25, 7:56am
US equity markets retrace from record intra-day high. Yen declines after Bank of Japan meeting. US dollar on track for first monthly gain this year
S&P500 advances to another record high close. US and EU announce trade agreement. Bond markets subdued. Global markets look ahead to first-tier economic releases and central bank meetings
28th Jul 25, 7:23am
S&P500 advances to another record high close. US and EU announce trade agreement. Bond markets subdued. Global markets look ahead to first-tier economic releases and central bank meetings
ECB leave rates on hold and suggests the bar is raised for additional easing. German bond yields move higher led by the front end of the curve. Upbeat risk sentiment contributes to further gains for global equities
25th Jul 25, 7:44am
ECB leave rates on hold and suggests the bar is raised for additional easing. German bond yields move higher led by the front end of the curve. Upbeat risk sentiment contributes to further gains for global equities
Growing optimism of US trade deals with key partners supports risk sentiment. US reaches agreement with Japan on tariffs and a deal with the EU appears close. Equity markets gain and global bond yields higher
24th Jul 25, 7:57am
Growing optimism of US trade deals with key partners supports risk sentiment. US reaches agreement with Japan on tariffs and a deal with the EU appears close. Equity markets gain and global bond yields higher
US dollar extends recent decline. Bessent offers supportive comments for Fed Chair Powell. Global bond yields lower led by 10-year US treasury yields
23rd Jul 25, 7:53am
US dollar extends recent decline. Bessent offers supportive comments for Fed Chair Powell. Global bond yields lower led by 10-year US treasury yields
S&P500 hits another record high. US Treasury yields decline and US dollar weaker against G10 currencies. Yen gains following the Japanese election
22nd Jul 25, 7:54am
S&P500 hits another record high. US Treasury yields decline and US dollar weaker against G10 currencies. Yen gains following the Japanese election
US announces trade deal with Vietnam. S&P500 underpinned and trades to fresh record high. ADP private payrolls significantly undershoot expectations
3rd Jul 25, 7:39am
US announces trade deal with Vietnam. S&P500 underpinned and trades to fresh record high. ADP private payrolls significantly undershoot expectations
Front end treasury yields higher after stronger than expected US job openings. Trump’s US$3.3 tln tax and spending bill has passed the Senate. Currency markets stable
2nd Jul 25, 8:00am
Front end treasury yields higher after stronger than expected US job openings. Trump’s US$3.3 tln tax and spending bill has passed the Senate. Currency markets stable
S&P500 hits a fresh record intra-day high and has registered near 10% gains in the quarter outstripping other indices. US Treasury Secretary wants to avoid longer end treasury supply. US Treasury yields decline and the curve flattens
1st Jul 25, 7:52am
S&P500 hits a fresh record intra-day high and has registered near 10% gains in the quarter outstripping other indices. US Treasury Secretary wants to avoid longer end treasury supply. US Treasury yields decline and the curve flattens
After recovering from a dip on tariff concerns, the S&P500 closed at a record high. US core PCE deflator benign but above expectations. Real consumption soft. OPEC+ is considering a further increase in supply
30th Jun 25, 7:43am
After recovering from a dip on tariff concerns, the S&P500 closed at a record high. US core PCE deflator benign but above expectations. Real consumption soft. OPEC+ is considering a further increase in supply
Middle East ceasefire supports risk sensitive assets. Oil prices plunge. Fed Chair Powell reiterates FOMC messaging. US treasuries rally on weak confidence data and lower oil prices
25th Jun 25, 7:51am
Middle East ceasefire supports risk sensitive assets. Oil prices plunge. Fed Chair Powell reiterates FOMC messaging. US treasuries rally on weak confidence data and lower oil prices