sign up log in
Want to go ad-free? Find out how, here.

Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

10 years 5 months

Latest articles

Oil prices higher overnight with Brent crude peaking just below USD92 on new Trump threats. Treasury yields push higher, but US equity market unperturbed as investors return. NZD and rates higher after strong NZ CPI report, but the move faded
22nd Jul 26, 7:53am
Oil prices higher overnight with Brent crude peaking just below USD92 on new Trump threats. Treasury yields push higher, but US equity market unperturbed as investors return. NZD and rates higher after strong NZ CPI report, but the move faded
Mixed news on Middle East tensions; ideas from mediators conveyed to Iran; Houthis propose maritime blockade for the Red Sea route used by Saudi Arabia; Brent crude currently just under US$90/bbl. US Treasury yields higher
21st Jul 26, 7:37am
Mixed news on Middle East tensions; ideas from mediators conveyed to Iran; Houthis propose maritime blockade for the Red Sea route used by Saudi Arabia; Brent crude currently just under US$90/bbl. US Treasury yields higher
US and Iran tit-for-tat military attacks increased. Crude rises through Friday night session, up 4½%; expect to see another lurch higher on the Asian open today, Rates and currencies well contained despite the lift in oil prices
20th Jul 26, 7:38am
1
US and Iran tit-for-tat military attacks increased. Crude rises through Friday night session, up 4½%; expect to see another lurch higher on the Asian open today, Rates and currencies well contained despite the lift in oil prices
Market movements well contained with no fresh catalysts to drive price action. US retail sales up modestly, in June as expected. US Treasuries and USD reverse course. Rates slightly higher and USD broadly stronger
17th Jul 26, 7:57am
Market movements well contained with no fresh catalysts to drive price action. US retail sales up modestly, in June as expected. US Treasuries and USD reverse course. Rates slightly higher and USD broadly stronger
Oil prices flat despite ongoing military strikes near the Strait of Hormuz and warnings of a supply crunch. US PPI data weaker than expected, driving down US rates and the USD; pricing for Fed hikes continues to fade
16th Jul 26, 7:57am
1
Oil prices flat despite ongoing military strikes near the Strait of Hormuz and warnings of a supply crunch. US PPI data weaker than expected, driving down US rates and the USD; pricing for Fed hikes continues to fade
Surprise, surprise, Trump backs down on his plan for a 20% Hormuz toll; oil prices pare earlier gains. US CPI for June much softer than expected. NZD well supported after run of data and more hawkish RBNZ stance
15th Jul 26, 7:53am
1
Surprise, surprise, Trump backs down on his plan for a 20% Hormuz toll; oil prices pare earlier gains. US CPI for June much softer than expected. NZD well supported after run of data and more hawkish RBNZ stance
US reinstates blockade on Iran shipping and impose a 20% levy on cargo shipped through the Strait. Waller signals possible rate hike. Oil prices surge. Global central bank tightening back in play and bond yields increase
14th Jul 26, 7:44am
US reinstates blockade on Iran shipping and impose a 20% levy on cargo shipped through the Strait. Waller signals possible rate hike. Oil prices surge. Global central bank tightening back in play and bond yields increase
US-Iran conflict escalates, but market reaction to hostilities muted, prior to further step up in military action over the weekend. Japanese bonds and yen supported after local investors encouraged to re-allocate towards Japanese assets
13th Jul 26, 7:36am
US-Iran conflict escalates, but market reaction to hostilities muted, prior to further step up in military action over the weekend. Japanese bonds and yen supported after local investors encouraged to re-allocate towards Japanese assets
Iranian Navy fires at ship crossing Strait Of Hormuz, following warnings. Oil prices rise. US core PCE rises, but not as high as some feared; UST 10-year rate falls
26th Jun 26, 7:47am
Iranian Navy fires at ship crossing Strait Of Hormuz, following warnings. Oil prices rise. US core PCE rises, but not as high as some feared; UST 10-year rate falls
Oil prices continue to fall. Lower oil prices pull down global rates. USD continues to strengthen, building on the gains since the Fed's hawkish hold last week. Other major currencies probe fresh lows
25th Jun 26, 7:41am
Oil prices continue to fall. Lower oil prices pull down global rates. USD continues to strengthen, building on the gains since the Fed's hawkish hold last week. Other major currencies probe fresh lows
Risk appetite weaker, linked to selling pressure across semi-conductor and AI-related stocks. Global equity markets fall. Move supports lower global rates, overpowering concern about prospect of tighter US monetary policy
24th Jun 26, 7:44am
Risk appetite weaker, linked to selling pressure across semi-conductor and AI-related stocks. Global equity markets fall. Move supports lower global rates, overpowering concern about prospect of tighter US monetary policy
US-Iran MOU signing has led to an earlier end to the conflict and a re-opening of Hormuz; oil and gas is flowing freely; Brent crude probing fresh 3-mth lows. US equities rebound. USD strength returns, sending DXY index to highest in over a year
19th Jun 26, 7:52am
US-Iran MOU signing has led to an earlier end to the conflict and a re-opening of Hormuz; oil and gas is flowing freely; Brent crude probing fresh 3-mth lows. US equities rebound. USD strength returns, sending DXY index to highest in over a year
Oil prices continue to tumble, ahead of the official signing of a US-Iran peace deal, seeing Brent crude trade down to USD79 per barrel; Iranian oil on the move already. BoJ rate hike and steady RBA policy both as expected
17th Jun 26, 8:04am
Oil prices continue to tumble, ahead of the official signing of a US-Iran peace deal, seeing Brent crude trade down to USD79 per barrel; Iranian oil on the move already. BoJ rate hike and steady RBA policy both as expected
US-Iran MOU signed electronically, paving the way for the Strait of Hormuz to gradually reopen. Brent crude falls to US$83/bbl; solid gains in many equity markets. Muted reaction for bonds and currencies
16th Jun 26, 7:41am
US-Iran MOU signed electronically, paving the way for the Strait of Hormuz to gradually reopen. Brent crude falls to US$83/bbl; solid gains in many equity markets. Muted reaction for bonds and currencies
Oil prices are lower on increased supply through Hormuz; reports of a downed US military helicopter had only a modest impact. The tech-related sell-off in US equities has resumed. US Treasury yields drifted lower
10th Jun 26, 7:58am
Oil prices are lower on increased supply through Hormuz; reports of a downed US military helicopter had only a modest impact. The tech-related sell-off in US equities has resumed. US Treasury yields drifted lower
New week opens with Iran and Israel firing missiles at each other; risk appetite improves a little overnight after they agree to end the strikes. US 10-year rate falls back. Bounce-back in IT stocks drives US equities higher
9th Jun 26, 7:47am
New week opens with Iran and Israel firing missiles at each other; risk appetite improves a little overnight after they agree to end the strikes. US 10-year rate falls back. Bounce-back in IT stocks drives US equities higher
Risk sentiment weaker after military action in the Middle East. This with stronger US data drives up US Treasury yields
4th Jun 26, 7:55am
Risk sentiment weaker after military action in the Middle East. This with stronger US data drives up US Treasury yields
Middle East backdrop remains tense and uncertain; oil prices trade a wide range on headlines; Brent crude back to US$95 after stretching towards US$98. Another strong US ISM manufacturing report. US and Australian rates higher
2nd Jun 26, 7:48am
Middle East backdrop remains tense and uncertain; oil prices trade a wide range on headlines; Brent crude back to US$95 after stretching towards US$98. Another strong US ISM manufacturing report. US and Australian rates higher
Risk sentiment improves after reports there's a peace deal. Brent crude down. Mixed US economic data, softer on balance. US Treasury yields and USD lower; US equities lift to a fresh record high
29th May 26, 8:04am
Risk sentiment improves after reports there's a peace deal. Brent crude down. Mixed US economic data, softer on balance. US Treasury yields and USD lower; US equities lift to a fresh record high
Mixed messages from Middle East, with Trump dampening expectations for an imminent deal; Brent crude falls regardless. NZD and AUD the only notable FX movers after RBNZ's hawkish hold and softer Australian CPI data
28th May 26, 7:53am
Mixed messages from Middle East, with Trump dampening expectations for an imminent deal; Brent crude falls regardless. NZD and AUD the only notable FX movers after RBNZ's hawkish hold and softer Australian CPI data
Risk sentiment is softer as the market awaits progress on a US-Iran peace deal and after military clashes. NZD in steady fall in the lead-up to today's RBNZ MPS, matching lower domestic rates heading into the meeting
27th May 26, 7:46am
Risk sentiment is softer as the market awaits progress on a US-Iran peace deal and after military clashes. NZD in steady fall in the lead-up to today's RBNZ MPS, matching lower domestic rates heading into the meeting
Risk sentiment improved on hopes that the Middle East conflict is nearing an end, supported by signs of increased traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Strong rally across bond markets with US 10-year rate down
21st May 26, 7:40am
Risk sentiment improved on hopes that the Middle East conflict is nearing an end, supported by signs of increased traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Strong rally across bond markets with US 10-year rate down
Global bond selloff returns after a one-day pause; US 30-year rate hits highest level since 2007, joining other countries seeing multi-decade highs in long-term rates
20th May 26, 7:58am
Global bond selloff returns after a one-day pause; US 30-year rate hits highest level since 2007, joining other countries seeing multi-decade highs in long-term rates
Risk off with higher oil prices, higher global rates and weaker equity markets. US and Japan rates reach fresh milestone highs before moves fade. No developments to resolve the Mid East conflict
19th May 26, 7:43am
Risk off with higher oil prices, higher global rates and weaker equity markets. US and Japan rates reach fresh milestone highs before moves fade. No developments to resolve the Mid East conflict
US equities continue their record-breaking run, supported by retail sales data. There were no immediate market implications from the first day of the Trump-Xi summit. Oil prices are relatively steady
15th May 26, 7:32am
US equities continue their record-breaking run, supported by retail sales data. There were no immediate market implications from the first day of the Trump-Xi summit. Oil prices are relatively steady