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Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

8 years 2 months

Latest articles

Global rates lower across the board, lower than expected US jobless claims data. The yuan weakens to a 16-year low; no spillover for NZD and AUD which hold up against robust USD. EUR and GBP fall to three-month lows; JPY supported by lower rates backdrop
8th Sep 23, 7:50am
Global rates lower across the board, lower than expected US jobless claims data. The yuan weakens to a 16-year low; no spillover for NZD and AUD which hold up against robust USD. EUR and GBP fall to three-month lows; JPY supported by lower rates backdrop
Weak China Caixin services PMI triggers fall in Asia-Pacific currencies and broad USD strength. Oil prices up to fresh high for the year on extended production/export cuts. GDT dairy auction shows a rare lift in pricing
6th Sep 23, 7:55am
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Weak China Caixin services PMI triggers fall in Asia-Pacific currencies and broad USD strength. Oil prices up to fresh high for the year on extended production/export cuts. GDT dairy auction shows a rare lift in pricing
Early signs of recovery in Beijing and Shanghai property markets after policy easing. US equity futures down a touch; US Treasury futures point to small lift in rates
5th Sep 23, 7:46am
Early signs of recovery in Beijing and Shanghai property markets after policy easing. US equity futures down a touch; US Treasury futures point to small lift in rates
Global rates push lower, led by European yields as some tightening priced in is pared back. New policies announced to help revive China's property market. CNY and JPY stronger, EUR and GBP weaker; NZD and AUD range-trade
1st Sep 23, 7:59am
Global rates push lower, led by European yields as some tightening priced in is pared back. New policies announced to help revive China's property market. CNY and JPY stronger, EUR and GBP weaker; NZD and AUD range-trade
US data much weaker than expected, showing much easier labour market conditions and lower consumer confidence. Markets cheer the data, reducing pricing for further rate hikes; US Treasury yields fall significantly
30th Aug 23, 7:45am
US data much weaker than expected, showing much easier labour market conditions and lower consumer confidence. Markets cheer the data, reducing pricing for further rate hikes; US Treasury yields fall significantly
Global risk sentiment supported by China's measures to "invigorate capital markets and boost investor activity". Global equities push higher; UST yields well contained, modestly lower
29th Aug 23, 7:34am
Global risk sentiment supported by China's measures to "invigorate capital markets and boost investor activity". Global equities push higher; UST yields well contained, modestly lower
US initial jobless claims data in sign of lingering labour market reslience. US Treasury yields higher, US equities lower and broad-based recovery in the USD
25th Aug 23, 8:03am
US initial jobless claims data in sign of lingering labour market reslience. US Treasury yields higher, US equities lower and broad-based recovery in the USD
US 10-year rate touches a fresh 16-year high before consolidating. Currency markets well contained. NZ-global rate spreads higher; NZGBs out of favour, seeing bond-swap spread head deeper into negative territory, a rare event
23rd Aug 23, 7:50am
US 10-year rate touches a fresh 16-year high before consolidating. Currency markets well contained. NZ-global rate spreads higher; NZGBs out of favour, seeing bond-swap spread head deeper into negative territory, a rare event
US Treasuries record new milestones, with the real 10-year rate up through 2% and the nominal 10-year rate as high as 4.35%. NZGBs underperform, not helped by expectations of more bond supply adding to the current tsunami of supply
22nd Aug 23, 7:40am
US Treasuries record new milestones, with the real 10-year rate up through 2% and the nominal 10-year rate as high as 4.35%. NZGBs underperform, not helped by expectations of more bond supply adding to the current tsunami of supply
Global rates continue to rise, led by the long end; US 10-year rate trades high; NZ 10-year rate closes at 5.05%, highest level since 2011. Weaker yuan drags down NZD and AUD to fresh lows before Chinese state intervention provides some relief
18th Aug 23, 7:40am
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Global rates continue to rise, led by the long end; US 10-year rate trades high; NZ 10-year rate closes at 5.05%, highest level since 2011. Weaker yuan drags down NZD and AUD to fresh lows before Chinese state intervention provides some relief
Strong US retail sales; strong UK wage inflation; poor China activity data and surprise PBoC rate cut; strong Japan GDP, and another poor GDT dairy auction. NZD resilient under the circumstances
16th Aug 23, 7:56am
Strong US retail sales; strong UK wage inflation; poor China activity data and surprise PBoC rate cut; strong Japan GDP, and another poor GDT dairy auction. NZD resilient under the circumstances
Sentiment on China remains pessimistic. Large shadow bank under the spotlight after missed bond payments. UST 10yr rate hits fresh high for the year. NZGB 10-year yield closed at its highest level since 2011
15th Aug 23, 7:41am
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Sentiment on China remains pessimistic. Large shadow bank under the spotlight after missed bond payments. UST 10yr rate hits fresh high for the year. NZGB 10-year yield closed at its highest level since 2011
Another benign US CPI result, core up 0.16% m/m, adding to the case that the Fed tightening cycle might be done. Tepid 30-year US bond auction drags up long end of the curve
11th Aug 23, 7:48am
Another benign US CPI result, core up 0.16% m/m, adding to the case that the Fed tightening cycle might be done. Tepid 30-year US bond auction drags up long end of the curve
Risk appetite weaker following poor China trade data, Moody's ratings downgrades of US banks and windfall tax on bank profits proposed by Italy. Global rates lower. USD enjoys safe-haven flows
9th Aug 23, 7:53am
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Risk appetite weaker following poor China trade data, Moody's ratings downgrades of US banks and windfall tax on bank profits proposed by Italy. Global rates lower. USD enjoys safe-haven flows
Higher US equities, global rates curves re-steepen, US 10-year rate pushes higher. NZD flat around 0.61; yen the weakest of the majors. US government shutdown chatter restarts
8th Aug 23, 7:49am
Higher US equities, global rates curves re-steepen, US 10-year rate pushes higher. NZD flat around 0.61; yen the weakest of the majors. US government shutdown chatter restarts
Global bond market selloff continues overnight; US 10-year rate up to almost 4.2%, a fresh high for the year; curve steepens for 8th consecutive day. BoJ steps in again to contain rise in 10-year JGB yield
4th Aug 23, 8:01am
Global bond market selloff continues overnight; US 10-year rate up to almost 4.2%, a fresh high for the year; curve steepens for 8th consecutive day. BoJ steps in again to contain rise in 10-year JGB yield
Another strong US ADP payrolls print. US Treasuries curve steepens (again); 10-year rises to fresh high for the year, peaking at 4.12% overnight. USD well supported in a weaker risk appetite environment
3rd Aug 23, 7:54am
Another strong US ADP payrolls print. US Treasuries curve steepens (again); 10-year rises to fresh high for the year, peaking at 4.12% overnight. USD well supported in a weaker risk appetite environment
US Treasury yields higher, led by the long end of the curve. Sentiment on increased supply and BoJ's move last week probably not helping. GDT dairy auction poor
2nd Aug 23, 8:04am
US Treasury yields higher, led by the long end of the curve. Sentiment on increased supply and BoJ's move last week probably not helping. GDT dairy auction poor
Run of stronger than expected US economic activity data continues. ECB hikes, keeps options open for more. Reports BoJ will tweak of its yield curve control policy
28th Jul 23, 7:52am
Run of stronger than expected US economic activity data continues. ECB hikes, keeps options open for more. Reports BoJ will tweak of its yield curve control policy
Fed hikes 25bps, the same as the NZ OCR. Fed keeps options open, maintains slight tightening bias. US rates and USD down modestly after Fed Chair spoke
27th Jul 23, 7:41am
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Fed hikes 25bps, the same as the NZ OCR. Fed keeps options open, maintains slight tightening bias. US rates and USD down modestly after Fed Chair spoke
Improved sentiment on China supports risk assets. EUR weaker on soft ECB bank lending survey. US equities continue to rally. Consumer confidence up to 2-year high; Treasury yields push higher ahead of Fed meeting early tomorrow
26th Jul 23, 7:43am
Improved sentiment on China supports risk assets. EUR weaker on soft ECB bank lending survey. US equities continue to rally. Consumer confidence up to 2-year high; Treasury yields push higher ahead of Fed meeting early tomorrow
US Treasury yields higher as labour market data remain remain too strong for comfort. Global forces and post-CPI afterglow drive NZ rates higher. Strong Australian employment report keeps prospect of further RBA tightening alive
21st Jul 23, 7:53am
US Treasury yields higher as labour market data remain remain too strong for comfort. Global forces and post-CPI afterglow drive NZ rates higher. Strong Australian employment report keeps prospect of further RBA tightening alive
Lower European rates support US Treasuries. US retail sales report mixed. ECB's usually hawkish Knot hoses down rate hike expectations beyond next week's meeting. German rates fall 10-13bps
19th Jul 23, 7:49am
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Lower European rates support US Treasuries. US retail sales report mixed. ECB's usually hawkish Knot hoses down rate hike expectations beyond next week's meeting. German rates fall 10-13bps
Weaker than expected China activity data drive weaker yuan, spilling over into weaker NZD and AUD. Global rates push lower, NZ rates play catch-up
18th Jul 23, 7:42am
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Weaker than expected China activity data drive weaker yuan, spilling over into weaker NZD and AUD. Global rates push lower, NZ rates play catch-up
Very strong US ADP payrolls and stronger ISM services report keep alive the probability of further Fed hikes; bond market selloff extends. NZ rates up to fresh multi-year highs as well, with more upside pressure likely today
7th Jul 23, 7:49am
Very strong US ADP payrolls and stronger ISM services report keep alive the probability of further Fed hikes; bond market selloff extends. NZ rates up to fresh multi-year highs as well, with more upside pressure likely today