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A review of things you need to know before you go home on Monday; Kiwibank raises mortgage rates, BNZ and ASB cut savings/TD rates, PSI expansion slows, Greens want population growth targets, swap rates raise, NZD sideways

A review of things you need to know before you go home on Monday; Kiwibank raises mortgage rates, BNZ and ASB cut savings/TD rates, PSI expansion slows, Greens want population growth targets, swap rates raise, NZD sideways

Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today.

TODAY'S MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
Kiwibank has added +5 bps to its one and two year fixed rate specials taking them to 4.29%. It has also changed its added a three year special pitching it at 4.39%, although that is +5 bps higher than its previous special standard rate for that term.

TODAY'S DEPOSIT RATE CHANGES
BNZ has sliced -15 bps off its Personal OnCall account taking it down to 0.35%. It has also reduced its Total  Money credit interest rates to just 0.10% (down from 0.15%) for amounts up to $100,000, and now only 0.35% for amounts above $100,000, a -15 bps reduction. It has made similar reductions to its Call account, but the 0.35% rate only applies to balances over $500,000. ASB has but their 9 month term deposit rate to 3.25%, shifting their nine month 3.60% special to seven months.

A SERVICE STUMBLE?
New Zealand's services sector expanded at a slower pace last month. The PSI for September was 54.1. This was 3.8 points down from August, and very similar to the 54.3 recorded in July. The weather, school holidays, and the slowdown in the volume of house sales have all been raised as reasons. But this is just one month interrupting a steady expansion, so it may be too early to jump to conclusions.

WINSTON GETS AN UNWELCOME FRIEND
The Green Party has proposed tightening migration settings to achieve 1% population growth per year. Leader Shaw wants to smooth out the big swings in migration and reduce pressure on infrastructure, and especially housing. The NZFirst leader has responded, accusing the Greens of hypocrisy.

BACK TO THE FUTURE
China’s Communist Party organs must serve as the ultimate bosses of the country’s state-owned enterprises, the country’s leader Xi Jinping said at an extraordinarily high-profile conference, sending a clear signal that the party will not loosen its grip on the state sector. The two-day work conference concluded that the Communist Party must beef up its role, especially in terms of key decisions, ideology and personnel, in the country’s biggest industrial behemoths and financial enterprises, after gradually fading into the background of state company operation in recent decades. In New Zealand, Chinese SOEs active here include Bright Food, (who control Synlait), and China Forest Group (who bought the NZ Super Funds North Island forestry assets). And then there are the three big Chinese banks here, ICBC (chaired by Don Brash), China Construction Bank (chaired by Jenny Shipley), and Bank of China.

WHOLESALE RATES HIGHER
Swap rates resumed their slow, relentless rise today, up +1 to +3 bps in a steepening bias. This follows the rise on Wall Street where the UST 10yr ended last week at 1.805% although in todays trading in this time zone it has retreated a little from that level. The 90-day bank bill is unchanged however at 2.14%.

NZ DOLLAR SIDEWAYS
The Kiwi dollar has traded sideways from its open this morning. The NZD/USD is now at 70.9 USc. On the cross rates, it is trading at 93.5 AUc, and is at 64.6 euro cents. The TWI-5 is 75.1. Check our real-time charts here.

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7 Comments

BNZ has sliced -15 bps off its Personal OnCall account taking it down to 0.35%. It has also reduced its Total Money credit interest rates to just 0.10% (down from 0.15%) for amounts up to $100,000, and now only 0.35% for amounts above $100,000, a -15 bps reduction. It has made similar reductions to its Call account, but the 0.35% rate only applies to balances over $500,000.

Money for nothing - are bank liability owners (depositors) hair trigger poised to initiate a bank run regardless of the costs?

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Australia’s new long bond could provide investors with a gain of more than 24 percent within its first six months if a prediction by Japan’s Asset Management One Co. proves correct. Read more

Who would be silly enough to commit time for paid work or money to business endeavours when government mandated central bank interest rate cuts offer such fantastic unearned income returns funded and underwritten by the taxpayer?

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RBA report notes Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank Ltd. and Westpac Banking Corp. -- known as the four pillars -- reported aggregate profit that was little changed in the latest half, after adjusting for a A$5 billion loss that NAB incurred on the sale of its U.K. subsidiary in February.

But
It said there had been some worsening of the performance of banks’ New Zealand exposures, particularly to the dairy industry.

“A sharp increase in the charge for bad and doubtful debts from low levels subtracted from profits as asset performance deteriorated across a number of portfolios,” the RBA said Read more

No wonder NZ bank depositors believe they are being unduly punished for poor bank officer lending decisions by banks' shareholders demanding corrective action.

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May give a hint as to why mortgage interest rates are not dropping....

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Re soil moisture. I see that the farmers are now complaining that the ground is too wet. I think we should give them some money.

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Or perhaps hold NIWA to account for needless sky falling bigging up: "...drought is the hazard that could have the largest effect on the New Zealand economy..." Though of course like all arse covering troughers slip the word "could" in there.

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Same shite different country: I am not arguing that people be stopped from objecting to development. I am criticising the time and cost of planning indecisions. There’s a political theory to explain what has gone wrong, called “public choice theory”. It argues that people within public bodies may be partly motivated by the public good, but they are also — inevitably and not surprisingly — motivated by budget maximisation. The same is true for charities and pressure groups. And, for that matter, companies, but then everybody already knows that private firms are profit maximisers.

As C Northcote Parkinson might have put it (as an example of his eponymous law), the civil servant who delays a decision because he is inundated with protests, then pleads a backlog of work as a reason for needing a bigger budget and expanded team, is not being irrational; far from it. But nor is he taking decisions solely in the public interest. The protester whose actions lead to a goldmine of publicity and the besieged public servant who thereby gets a budget increase, and the lawyer who interrogates both in court — are all benefiting from delay.

If this government wants to govern it must grasp how this process works. The risk is not just that the state is ineffective but that it gets consumed. Like a caterpillar full of parasitic wasp larvae that will eat its vital organs last, Britain can still inch forward in the world economy despite its ridiculous planning system and its powerful protest industry. But not for ever. Somehow we have to rebalance the incentives in favour of faster and cheaper decision-making."

http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/weve-become-a-nation-paralyse…

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