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A review of things you need to know before you go home Friday; Westpac raises rates, very strong PMI, innovation slippage, Vancouver rethinks, swaps rise & steepen, NZD stable

A review of things you need to know before you go home Friday; Westpac raises rates, very strong PMI, innovation slippage, Vancouver rethinks, swaps rise & steepen, NZD stable

Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today.

MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
Westpac has raised all their floating rates by +11 bps. That puts them with the most expensive floating rate in the New Zealand market at 5.95%

DEPOSIT RATE CHANGES
Westpac has launched a new eight month term deposit 'special of 3.50%.

'MARVELOUS MAY'
"New Zealand’s Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) lifted to a very strong 58.5 in May s.a., or 60.1 unadjusted. This is up from April’s 56.9 (53.1), which was not-too-shabby itself despite some possible drag from the timing of holidays in that month. The PMI has now pushed up to its highest level in 16 months. It all makes the mild slowdown we saw at the beginning of the year a distant memory. Positivity is prevalent throughout the May survey, across the major components of production, new orders and employment, as well as across firm sizes, industries, and regions. It sets up the manufacturing sector to make a strong positive contribution to Q2 GDP growth." - assessment by BNZ's Doug Steel.

INNOVATION SLIPPAGE
Cornell University, the United Nations’ World Intellectual Property Organisation, and Insead released their annual Global Innovation Index report overnight. And New Zealand has slipped four places to 21st in the world. A small consolation is that we are ahead of Australia who are 23rd. In Asia we rank 5th ahead of China and Australia, but behind Singapore (#7 worldwide), Korea (#11), Japan (#14) and Hong Kong (#16). We do rank #1 in the sub-groups of "Political stability and absence of violence/terrorism", "Ease of Starting a Business "Ease of Getting Credit" and "Protecting Minority Shareholders". But we are let down in the areas of "Graduates in Science and Engineering" (#66), "Gross Capital Formation" (#53), "GDP per unit of Energy Use" (#75), "FDI Inflows" (#156") and "GDP per Capita" (#59). We score #4 for "Government Effectiveness", and #3 for "Regulatory Quality". Embarrassingly, our public sector scores hold us up, our private sector scores let us down.

NO INQUIRY
In a key vote in the Australian lower House of Representatives, a bill to hold a parliamentary banking inquiry failed today. That is probably the end of the current move there to put the big banks under intense political scrutiny, an effort that has gone of for at least two years.

CAMPAIGN ONE WAY, GOVERN ANOTHER?
For those interested in British Columbia housing policy, it looks like the new Government (a left coalition of the NDP + the Greens) is backing away from a tax on "speculative real estate investment" in the province.

A NEW LOW
Just in case you think Donald Trump represents most Americans, his job approval weekly average edged down to 37% during the week ending June 11. This rating is one percentage point below the previous week's rating and is the lowest weekly average of his administration. His disapproval rating for the same week, 58%, was his highest to date.

WHOLESALE RATES RISE & STEEPEN
Yesterday's fall and flattening has been partially reversed today with rises across the board with a steeper bias. The two year is up +2 bps, the five year is up +3 bps, and the tem year is up +4 bps. These rises are less than yesterday's falls. Even the 90 day bank bill rate is up, even if only by +1 bp to 1.94%.

NZ DOLLAR REMAINS STABLE
NZD is basically unchanged today at 72.1 USc. On the cross rates, against the Aussie we are at 94.9 AUc, and we are at 64.6 euro cents. The TWI-5 is stable at 76.4. And bitcoin is lower again by -3.4% to US$2,423,.

You can now see an animation of this chart. Click on it, or click here.

Daily exchange rates

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End of day UTC
Source: CoinDesk

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16 Comments

Interest.co.nz - we get it; you are against Trump. But please just stop. I have had enough of this all the time.

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When is reporting approval ratings biased?

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It's plain to see for anyone that's followed Interest.co.nz since the election. That being said the MSM tears are quite delicious. Every time I need a good laugh I just go back and read the "polls" or "chance of winning" stats just prior to the election.... If you still have faith in these "approval ratings" after that election, well, that says a lot.

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My mind automatically filters out anything relating to Trump. I only noticed it after the comment. I'm not sure why people even give a damn what happens and how it's reported. Politically Trump is the least interesting President in a very long time.

Do I value the statistic? No, it's about Trump.

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Like Alec Baldwin has promised, we'll stop too when he releases his tax returns.

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You didn't do it for President Obama - it's just not relevant. Let's not get sucked into American political games. And Alec Baldwin - I didn't realise he set the editorial policy for Interest.co.nz.

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I wouldn't give them much notice, they are just parroting what they see on American "news"

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Remember the equivalent of Trumps tax returns was Obama's birth certificate. Reporting bizarre claims that Obama was from Kenya didn't make much sense to anyone.

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President Obama released his tax returns, as for Alex Baldwins comment, when your right your right, not point in reinventing the wheel.

On a serious note, the geopolitical risk imposed by the Trump Whitehouse has far reaching implication so news other that usual "tweet storm" is welcome in my book.

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Essentially the only things you need to check for is: has he started a war? has one of his policies been voted through both congress and the senate?

Outside of that it's just mindless noise which Trump summarised as covfefe.

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at least he adds a bit of humour to a dull day,
#covfefe

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"There's going to be coal. Lot's of coal. You'll never have seen so much coal."

:)

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For all the noise from US financial commentators yesterday about the Fed there's still be a small increase in rates.

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Another week on Trade me. For sale circling 10500, price reduced fell to 140 (167), mortgagee 10 (9), desperate 13 (14), must sell 231 (225), urgent 166 (165), reluctant 18 (17), and 1 still divorcing. Available rental properties have again risen 4300 (4135)

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Thank you cowpat. I wish trademe put this data out.

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You could add to that, overseas+vendor although I fully expect that not all properties being sold by an overseas vendor would like to declare that, but it could prove interesting.

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