covid-19
Ex-Bank of England Deputy Governor Paul Tucker on how quantitative easing has exposed government finances to rising interest rates
7th May 23, 4:20pm
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Ex-Bank of England Deputy Governor Paul Tucker on how quantitative easing has exposed government finances to rising interest rates
BNZ economists say the migration surge is 'great news for moderating wage inflation' but raises questions of how strong population-led growth may become and how this may delay the Reserve Bank easing monetary conditions
3rd May 23, 2:32pm
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BNZ economists say the migration surge is 'great news for moderating wage inflation' but raises questions of how strong population-led growth may become and how this may delay the Reserve Bank easing monetary conditions
Statistics New Zealand says the unemployment rate remained the same in the March quarter, while there were 22,000 jobs added, the labour force participation rate hit a new high and private sector ordinary hourly wage growth rose to 8.2%
3rd May 23, 11:04am
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Statistics New Zealand says the unemployment rate remained the same in the March quarter, while there were 22,000 jobs added, the labour force participation rate hit a new high and private sector ordinary hourly wage growth rose to 8.2%
Labour market figures to be released this week will likely show unemployment levels largely unchanged, but economists and the Reserve Bank are still expecting 'slack' to start emerging in the labour force as the year goes on
1st May 23, 2:31pm
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Labour market figures to be released this week will likely show unemployment levels largely unchanged, but economists and the Reserve Bank are still expecting 'slack' to start emerging in the labour force as the year goes on
Roger J Kerr says the short-term actions of central banks, coupled with long-term 'de-dollarisation' are pointing towards continued depreciation of the US dollar
1st May 23, 8:01am
Roger J Kerr says the short-term actions of central banks, coupled with long-term 'de-dollarisation' are pointing towards continued depreciation of the US dollar
Roger J Kerr has some timely and pertinent questions (and answers) on the economic and foreign exchange outlook
24th Apr 23, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr has some timely and pertinent questions (and answers) on the economic and foreign exchange outlook
Auckland University's Tim Hazledine offers a range of suggestions to help the Reserve Bank fight inflation
22nd Apr 23, 9:30am
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Auckland University's Tim Hazledine offers a range of suggestions to help the Reserve Bank fight inflation
Economist Brian Easton reflects on a report he wrote for the New Zealand Productivity Commission
17th Apr 23, 8:42am
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Economist Brian Easton reflects on a report he wrote for the New Zealand Productivity Commission
Roger J Kerr remains of the view that the US dollar currency value is 'primed for another significant leg downwards'
17th Apr 23, 8:04am
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Roger J Kerr remains of the view that the US dollar currency value is 'primed for another significant leg downwards'
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
13th Apr 23, 9:45am
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The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
Roger J Kerr notes that the NZD stays within its trading range despite the RBNZ's OCR surprise. And the “Fed vs the markets” battle of wills continues
10th Apr 23, 8:10am
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Roger J Kerr notes that the NZD stays within its trading range despite the RBNZ's OCR surprise. And the “Fed vs the markets” battle of wills continues
Statistics New Zealand figures show falling property values trimmed $93 billion from household net worth, but in the December quarter rises in disposable income for household outstripped increases in spending
6th Apr 23, 12:23pm
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Statistics New Zealand figures show falling property values trimmed $93 billion from household net worth, but in the December quarter rises in disposable income for household outstripped increases in spending
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
6th Apr 23, 8:45am
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BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
5th Apr 23, 2:55pm
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The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
Roger J Kerr says if there was a high probability of a global economic recession over the next 12 months, a bellwether commodity price such as copper would be plummeting in value - but it is rising
3rd Apr 23, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr says if there was a high probability of a global economic recession over the next 12 months, a bellwether commodity price such as copper would be plummeting in value - but it is rising
Roger J Kerr says the US Federal Reserve has adopted a measured middle path – and the net/net result is that it remains US dollar negative
27th Mar 23, 8:07am
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Roger J Kerr says the US Federal Reserve has adopted a measured middle path – and the net/net result is that it remains US dollar negative
Inflation will be extended if Kiwi's can't accept they are worse off, Reserve Bank’s Chief Economist Paul Conway says
23rd Mar 23, 2:20pm
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Inflation will be extended if Kiwi's can't accept they are worse off, Reserve Bank’s Chief Economist Paul Conway says
Roger J Kerr says the AUD is poised to make gains from a recovering China, as well as the expected safe haven capital flows trying to avoid the banking sector issues in the US and Europe
20th Mar 23, 7:45am
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Roger J Kerr says the AUD is poised to make gains from a recovering China, as well as the expected safe haven capital flows trying to avoid the banking sector issues in the US and Europe
Roger J Kerr sees the American Fed decisions driven by employment & wage trends, deficit & debt ceiling issues, credit stress, and US rent trends. Fed hawkishness and USD strength has run its course, he says
13th Mar 23, 8:41am
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Roger J Kerr sees the American Fed decisions driven by employment & wage trends, deficit & debt ceiling issues, credit stress, and US rent trends. Fed hawkishness and USD strength has run its course, he says
Roger J Kerr says Australia will out-perform New Zealand in the GDP economic growth stakes this year, but the interest rate differential will remain in favour of NZ over coming months with our wage-push and sticky inflation problem
6th Mar 23, 8:04am
Roger J Kerr says Australia will out-perform New Zealand in the GDP economic growth stakes this year, but the interest rate differential will remain in favour of NZ over coming months with our wage-push and sticky inflation problem
Reserve Bank still has 'expectations' the country's banks will increase their term deposit rates - despite no moves from any of the major banks to date since last week's Official Cash Rate hike
3rd Mar 23, 9:26am
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Reserve Bank still has 'expectations' the country's banks will increase their term deposit rates - despite no moves from any of the major banks to date since last week's Official Cash Rate hike
Productivity Commission to probe NZ's supply chain resilience at the same time the Ministry of Transport develops national supply chain strategy
28th Feb 23, 11:00am
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Productivity Commission to probe NZ's supply chain resilience at the same time the Ministry of Transport develops national supply chain strategy
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank are still full of inflation problems, but offer no solutions
27th Feb 23, 7:48am
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Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank are still full of inflation problems, but offer no solutions
[updated]
'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'
23rd Feb 23, 9:37am
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'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'
[updated]
The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters
22nd Feb 23, 2:11pm
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The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters